PardonMe Sports Analytics

Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers

8:10 PM ET · American Family Field

Andrew Abbott vs Shane Drohan

Milwaukee Brewers has the edge

BalancedPitcher-Based Medium Confidence

Cincinnati Reds starter Andrew Abbott (3.92 ERA) — Milwaukee Brewers starter Shane Drohan (3.87 ERA) — Matchup appears evenly balanced.

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Cincinnati Reds

Milwaukee Brewers

Overall edge indicator — left = Cincinnati Reds · right = Milwaukee Brewers · home pitching edge · even lineups

Away Lineup: Confirmed

Home Lineup: Confirmed

Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Andrew Abbott

Cincinnati Reds · LHP · 24 GS

Average

3.92ERA

1.39WHIP

6.90K/9

4.30BB/9

1.20HR/9

128.7IP

4.75FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 4.08 · WHIP 1.358 · 17.7 IP

Shane Drohan

Milwaukee Brewers · LHP · 13 GS

Average

3.87ERA

1.25WHIP

9.00K/9

2.70BB/9

0.90HR/9

93.0IP

3.41FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 6.88 · WHIP 1.529 · 17.0 IP

Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming

We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.

Cincinnati Reds Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Shane Drohan )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Elly De La Cruz	0.381 264pa	0.347 75pa	0.412 72pa ★	0.222 52pa ▼	0.244 18pa Tiny Sample
2	Sal Stewart	0.404 299pa ★	0.287 151pa	0.342 42pa	0.237 43pa ▼	0.403 15pa Tiny Sample
3	Spencer Steer	0.350 264pa ★	0.266 83pa	0.251 48pa	0.251 26pa ▼	0.553 9pa Tiny Sample
4	Eugenio Suárez	0.322 206pa ★	0.243 89pa	0.218 25pa ▼	0.299 29pa	0.334 9pa Tiny Sample
5	Tyler Stephenson	0.385 203pa ★	0.288 95pa	0.140 35pa ▼	0.254 18pa Tiny Sample	0.000 12pa Tiny Sample
6	Noelvi Marte	0.278 129pa ★	0.226 68pa ▼	0.416 21pa Tiny Sample	0.378 16pa Tiny Sample	0.249 5pa Tiny Sample
7	JJ Bleday	0.378 206pa	0.390 76pa ★	0.298 68pa	0.365 27pa	0.169 26pa ▼
7	Ivan Johnson	0.473 13pa Tiny Sample	0.172 4pa Tiny Sample	—	0.000 6pa Tiny Sample	—
8	Matt McLain	0.341 218pa	0.346 107pa ★	0.259 32pa ▼	0.311 29pa	0.138 5pa Tiny Sample
9	Edwin Arroyo	0.266 74pa	0.227 18pa Tiny Sample	0.278 26pa ★	0.223 27pa ▼	0.293 3pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Milwaukee Brewers Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Andrew Abbott )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Jackson Chourio	0.372 222pa	0.246 99pa ▼	0.322 35pa	0.479 25pa ★	0.126 7pa Tiny Sample
2	Brice Turang	0.390 280pa ★	0.316 103pa	0.299 56pa	0.371 47pa	0.212 29pa ▼
3	William Contreras	0.368 289pa ★	0.227 115pa ▼	0.315 34pa	0.257 31pa	0.176 10pa Tiny Sample
4	Jake Bauers	0.424 249pa	0.399 96pa	0.504 46pa ★	0.302 47pa ▼	0.236 14pa Tiny Sample
5	Blake Perkins	0.240 75pa ★ ▼	0.338 18pa Tiny Sample	0.176 21pa Tiny Sample	0.143 11pa Tiny Sample	—
5	Andrew Vaughn	0.471 149pa ★	0.256 64pa ▼	0.445 28pa	0.102 19pa Tiny Sample	0.000 5pa Tiny Sample
6	Garrett Mitchell	0.337 248pa ★	0.321 92pa	0.254 45pa ▼	0.333 39pa	0.053 13pa Tiny Sample
7	Gary Sánchez	0.408 129pa ★	0.284 46pa ▼	0.319 31pa	0.389 17pa Tiny Sample	0.000 6pa Tiny Sample
8	Cooper Pratt	0.338 109pa ▼	0.445 45pa ★	0.120 22pa Tiny Sample	0.328 9pa Tiny Sample	0.224 7pa Tiny Sample
9	Joey Ortiz	0.323 186pa ★	0.258 81pa ▼	0.315 18pa Tiny Sample	0.271 14pa Tiny Sample	0.000 7pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Top Cincinnati Reds Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Tyler Stephenson #5Batting 1.036 OPS (last 14d, +0.296 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
2.Sal Stewart #2 Strong recent formBatting 0.910 OPS (last 14d, +0.170 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
3.Elly De La Cruz #1Batting 0.859 OPS (last 14d, +0.119 vs avg)

Top Milwaukee Brewers Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Jake Bauers #4Batting 1.002 OPS (last 14d, +0.262 vs avg)
2.Brice Turang #2Batting 0.863 OPS (last 14d, +0.123 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
3.Jackson Chourio #1Batting 0.835 OPS (last 14d, +0.095 vs avg)

Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Andrew Abbott (Cincinnati Reds)

Control concerns (4.3 BB/9)

Shane Drohan (Milwaukee Brewers)

Above-average K rate (9.0 K/9)

⚠ Data Notes

Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Recent form data for 18 of 20 hitters

Minnesota Twins @ Houston Astros

8:10 PM ET · Minute Maid Park

Taj Bradley vs Tatsuya Imai

Minnesota Twins has the edge

Slight Minnesota Twins AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence

Minnesota Twins starter Taj Bradley (3.76 ERA) — Houston Astros starter Tatsuya Imai (5.55 ERA) — Overall: Slight Minnesota Twins Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.

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Minnesota Twins

Houston Astros

Overall edge indicator — left = Minnesota Twins · right = Houston Astros · away pitching edge · home lineup edge

Away Lineup: Confirmed

Home Lineup: Confirmed

Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Taj Bradley

Minnesota Twins · RHP · 23 GS

Average

3.76ERA

1.25WHIP

10.10K/9

3.80BB/9

1.20HR/9

131.7IP

3.90FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 3.38 · WHIP 1.208 · 24.0 IP

Tatsuya Imai

Houston Astros · RHP · 15 GS

Below Average

5.55ERA

1.46WHIP

11.20K/9

5.80BB/9

1.30HR/9

61.7IP

4.69FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 2.79 · WHIP 1.241 · 9.7 IP

Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming

We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.

Minnesota Twins Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Tatsuya Imai )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Trevor Larnach	0.378 221pa ★	0.305 67pa	0.131 47pa ▼	0.360 39pa	0.371 21pa Tiny Sample
2	Brooks Lee	0.361 255pa ★	0.289 90pa	0.245 96pa	0.238 50pa ▼	0.251 12pa Tiny Sample
3	Kody Clemens	0.293 270pa ▼	0.350 80pa	0.348 50pa	0.373 37pa ★	0.373 18pa Tiny Sample
4	Josh Bell	0.346 275pa ★	0.323 67pa	0.286 96pa ▼	0.314 49pa	0.112 19pa Tiny Sample
5	Royce Lewis	0.321 217pa ★	0.300 103pa	0.183 40pa ▼	0.288 21pa Tiny Sample	0.077 9pa Tiny Sample
6	Victor Caratini	0.296 223pa	0.379 48pa ★	0.194 51pa ▼	0.261 21pa Tiny Sample	0.176 10pa Tiny Sample
7	Ryan Kreidler	0.370 133pa ★	0.211 57pa	0.160 24pa Tiny Sample	0.142 26pa ▼	—
8	Tristan Gray	0.335 99pa ★	0.125 59pa ▼	0.255 42pa	0.282 19pa Tiny Sample	0.264 10pa Tiny Sample
9	Luke Keaschall	0.370 278pa ★	0.322 118pa	0.183 45pa ▼	0.205 25pa	0.416 8pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Houston Astros Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Taj Bradley )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Jose Altuve	0.328 251pa ★	0.269 130pa	0.165 34pa ▼	0.265 20pa Tiny Sample	0.147 12pa Tiny Sample
2	Yordan Alvarez	0.456 287pa	0.360 97pa	0.328 74pa ▼	0.506 51pa ★	0.422 25pa
3	Isaac Paredes	0.369 299pa ★	0.271 101pa	0.310 52pa	0.195 44pa ▼	0.402 16pa Tiny Sample
4	Christian Walker	0.322 288pa	0.387 129pa ★	0.279 41pa	0.183 44pa ▼	0.375 15pa Tiny Sample
4	Brice Matthews	0.360 154pa ★	0.204 61pa	0.128 26pa ▼	0.153 16pa Tiny Sample	0.000 10pa Tiny Sample
5	Cam Smith	0.327 284pa ★	0.261 103pa	0.224 40pa ▼	0.331 23pa Tiny Sample	0.339 18pa Tiny Sample
6	Taylor Trammell	0.371 122pa ★	0.253 47pa ▼	0.281 30pa	0.523 14pa Tiny Sample	0.139 9pa Tiny Sample
7	Yainer Diaz	0.301 144pa ★	0.284 62pa	0.279 32pa ▼	0.218 21pa Tiny Sample	0.344 8pa Tiny Sample
8	Jake Meyers	0.296 106pa ★	0.146 51pa ▼	0.098 18pa Tiny Sample	0.402 7pa Tiny Sample	—
8	Joey Loperfido	0.368 89pa ★	0.228 34pa ▼	0.306 17pa Tiny Sample	0.277 15pa Tiny Sample	0.324 7pa Tiny Sample
9	Raynel Delgado	0.271 40pa ★ ▼	0.448 10pa Tiny Sample	0.306 8pa Tiny Sample	0.220 8pa Tiny Sample	—
9	Nick Allen	0.274 98pa ★	0.231 27pa ▼	0.307 11pa Tiny Sample	0.178 7pa Tiny Sample	0.587 3pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Top Minnesota Twins Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Royce Lewis #5 Strong recent formBatting 1.222 OPS (last 14d, +0.482 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
2.Josh Bell #4 Strong recent formBatting 0.970 OPS (last 14d, +0.230 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
3.Luke Keaschall #9 Strong recent formBatting 0.941 OPS (last 14d, +0.201 vs avg); strong vs Fastball

Top Houston Astros Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Christian Walker #4 Strong recent formBatting 1.025 OPS (last 14d, +0.285 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
2.Yordan Alvarez #2 Strong recent formBatting 1.016 OPS (last 14d, +0.276 vs avg)
3.Yainer Diaz #7Batting 1.051 OPS (last 14d, +0.311 vs avg); strong vs Fastball

Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Taj Bradley (Minnesota Twins)

Elite strikeout rate (10.1 K/9)
Above-average K rate (10.1 K/9)

Tatsuya Imai (Houston Astros)

High ERA (5.55) — run-prevention risk
Elite strikeout rate (11.2 K/9)
Above-average K rate (11.2 K/9)
Control concerns (5.8 BB/9)

⚠ Data Notes

Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Recent form data for 18 of 21 hitters

Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies

8:40 PM ET · Coors Field

Max Meyer vs Kyle Freeland

Freeland (home) has struggled — offense could show up

Slight Miami Marlins AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence

Miami Marlins starter Max Meyer (2.68 ERA) — Colorado Rockies starter Kyle Freeland (6.63 ERA) — Overall: Slight Miami Marlins Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.

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Miami Marlins

Colorado Rockies

Overall edge indicator — left = Miami Marlins · right = Colorado Rockies · away pitching edge · home lineup edge

Away Lineup: Confirmed

Home Lineup: Confirmed

Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Max Meyer

Miami Marlins · RHP · 20 GS

Above Average

2.68ERA

1.14WHIP

9.80K/9

3.30BB/9

0.90HR/9

111.0IP

3.56FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Kyle Freeland

Colorado Rockies · LHP · 21 GS

Below Average

6.63ERA

1.50WHIP

7.70K/9

2.10BB/9

1.70HR/9

112.7IP

4.72FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 3.38 · WHIP 1.179 · 18.7 IP

Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming

We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.

Miami Marlins Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Kyle Freeland )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Otto Lopez	0.412 253pa ★	0.328 142pa	0.206 63pa ▼	0.225 44pa	0.317 20pa Tiny Sample
2	Esteury Ruiz	0.385 99pa ★	0.353 48pa	0.280 27pa ▼	0.201 7pa Tiny Sample	0.000 4pa Tiny Sample
3	Liam Hicks	0.353 263pa	0.300 81pa ▼	0.350 57pa	0.466 28pa ★	0.272 19pa Tiny Sample
4	Griffin Conine	0.438 95pa ★	0.296 47pa ▼	0.335 36pa	0.356 19pa Tiny Sample	0.086 8pa Tiny Sample
4	Heriberto Hernández	0.331 189pa	0.349 96pa ★	0.308 34pa ▼	0.317 22pa Tiny Sample	0.099 7pa Tiny Sample
5	Javier Sanoja	0.315 181pa	0.278 88pa ▼	0.323 36pa ★	0.264 18pa Tiny Sample	0.613 4pa Tiny Sample
6	Kyle Stowers	0.307 204pa ▼	0.321 84pa	0.356 59pa	0.535 34pa ★	0.318 24pa Tiny Sample
7	Leo Jiménez	0.302 105pa ★	0.093 36pa ▼	0.261 28pa	0.235 6pa Tiny Sample	0.709 3pa Tiny Sample
8	Brian Navarreto	0.221 16pa Tiny Sample	0.096 17pa Tiny Sample	0.249 5pa Tiny Sample	—	—
8	Xavier Edwards	0.378 300pa ★	0.273 99pa	0.276 79pa	0.175 32pa ▼	0.205 19pa Tiny Sample
9	Owen Caissie	0.341 138pa	0.207 60pa	0.393 39pa ★	0.202 32pa ▼	0.388 15pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Colorado Rockies Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Max Meyer )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Jake McCarthy	0.412 263pa ★	0.288 80pa	0.231 52pa ▼	0.236 36pa	0.814 13pa Tiny Sample
2	Mickey Moniak	0.385 161pa ★	0.357 77pa	0.253 52pa ▼	0.344 28pa	0.301 14pa Tiny Sample
3	Hunter Goodman	0.396 249pa ★	0.344 133pa	0.307 45pa	0.308 46pa ▼	0.131 12pa Tiny Sample
4	TJ Rumfield	0.381 276pa ★	0.328 119pa	0.307 55pa ▼	0.310 42pa	0.282 19pa Tiny Sample
5	Willi Castro	0.378 222pa	0.260 63pa ▼	0.259 74pa	0.392 47pa ★	0.112 14pa Tiny Sample
6	Tyler Freeman	0.334 191pa ★	0.204 74pa ▼	0.252 29pa	0.147 12pa Tiny Sample	0.352 4pa Tiny Sample
7	Troy Johnston	0.338 190pa	0.331 79pa	0.264 72pa ▼	0.438 42pa ★	0.423 18pa Tiny Sample
7	Cole Carrigg	0.386 123pa ▼	0.451 32pa ★	0.432 42pa	0.244 13pa Tiny Sample	0.000 6pa Tiny Sample
8	Kyle Karros	0.413 250pa ★	0.264 104pa	0.257 39pa	0.257 26pa ▼	0.594 7pa Tiny Sample
9	Ezequiel Tovar	0.263 229pa	0.245 112pa ▼	0.317 37pa ★	0.260 33pa	0.000 6pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Top Miami Marlins Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Kyle Stowers #6 Strong recent formBatting 0.955 OPS (last 14d, +0.215 vs avg)
2.Javier Sanoja #5Batting 0.945 OPS (last 14d, +0.205 vs avg)
3.Liam Hicks #3Batting 0.863 OPS (last 14d, +0.123 vs avg)

Top Colorado Rockies Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Willi Castro #5Batting 1.110 OPS (last 14d, +0.370 vs avg)
2.Jake McCarthy #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.970 OPS (last 14d, +0.230 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
3.Cole Carrigg #7 Strong recent formBatting 0.905 OPS (last 14d, +0.165 vs avg)

Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Max Meyer (Miami Marlins)

Elite ERA (2.68) — strong run prevention
Above-average K rate (9.8 K/9)

Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies)

High ERA (6.63) — run-prevention risk
ERA above FIP (4.72) — may regress downward (good sign)

⚠ Data Notes

Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Athletics

9:40 PM ET

— vs J.T. Ginn

Evenly matched tonight

BalancedPitcher-Based Low Confidence

Athletics starter J.T. Ginn (3.51 ERA) — Matchup appears evenly balanced.

Log in to track picks

Los Angeles Dodgers

Athletics

Overall edge indicator — left = Los Angeles Dodgers · right = Athletics · home pitching edge · away lineup edge

Away Lineup: Confirmed

Home Lineup: Confirmed

Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Starter TBD

Los Angeles Dodgers (away)

Data Unavailable

J.T. Ginn

Athletics · RHP · 19 GS

Average

3.51ERA

1.21WHIP

7.80K/9

3.60BB/9

1.00HR/9

119.0IP

4.20FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 4.50 · WHIP 1.167 · 6.0 IP

Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming

We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: J.T. Ginn )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.417 249pa ★	0.396 101pa	0.383 67pa	0.217 54pa ▼	0.378 17pa Tiny Sample
2	Andy Pages	0.328 329pa ▼	0.360 129pa	0.330 43pa	0.396 33pa ★	0.278 12pa Tiny Sample
3	Freddie Freeman	0.407 313pa	0.279 98pa	0.243 60pa ▼	0.441 47pa ★	0.423 14pa Tiny Sample
3	Dalton Rushing	0.359 148pa	0.402 49pa	0.282 44pa ▼	0.426 33pa ★	0.176 10pa Tiny Sample
4	Max Muncy	0.410 213pa ★	0.361 81pa	0.300 76pa	0.293 50pa ▼	0.302 23pa Tiny Sample
4	Mookie Betts	0.319 242pa ★	0.313 66pa	0.303 38pa ▼	0.123 20pa Tiny Sample	0.277 7pa Tiny Sample
5	Kyle Tucker	0.355 270pa ★	0.286 78pa	0.255 82pa ▼	0.340 35pa	0.288 17pa Tiny Sample
6	Tommy Edman	0.320 88pa ★	0.423 23pa Tiny Sample	0.225 29pa ▼	0.174 9pa Tiny Sample	0.832 8pa Tiny Sample
7	Alex Freeland	0.316 140pa ★	0.241 43pa	0.166 45pa ▼	0.181 27pa	0.373 13pa Tiny Sample
8	Miguel Rojas	0.374 136pa ★	0.305 47pa ▼	0.158 20pa Tiny Sample	0.285 10pa Tiny Sample	0.176 5pa Tiny Sample
9	Chuckie Robinson	0.063 17pa Tiny Sample	0.176 5pa Tiny Sample	—	—	—

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Athletics Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: TBD )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Shea Langeliers	0.375 234pa	0.386 131pa	0.234 43pa ▼	0.501 35pa ★	0.544 13pa Tiny Sample
2	Nick Kurtz	0.387 267pa	0.420 98pa ★	0.245 56pa ▼	0.388 22pa Tiny Sample	0.358 29pa
3	Colby Thomas	0.310 76pa ★	0.239 44pa	0.176 28pa ▼	0.359 13pa Tiny Sample	0.000 5pa Tiny Sample
4	Jonah Heim	0.310 162pa	0.208 50pa ▼	0.326 46pa ★	0.322 19pa Tiny Sample	0.309 16pa Tiny Sample
5	Joshua Kuroda-Grauer	0.365 37pa ▼	0.580 25pa ★	0.430 7pa Tiny Sample	0.147 6pa Tiny Sample	0.293 3pa Tiny Sample
6	Lawrence Butler	0.269 208pa	0.340 61pa ★	0.307 42pa	0.222 27pa ▼	0.222 25pa
7	Henry Bolte	0.356 189pa ★	0.262 69pa ▼	0.303 27pa	0.472 15pa Tiny Sample	0.215 9pa Tiny Sample
8	Jeff McNeil	0.303 230pa ★	0.249 67pa	0.252 51pa	0.466 14pa Tiny Sample	0.155 25pa ▼
9	Alika Williams	0.392 89pa ★	0.042 38pa ▼	0.297 22pa Tiny Sample	0.452 9pa Tiny Sample	0.637 5pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Top Los Angeles Dodgers Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Shohei Ohtani #1 Strong recent formBatting 1.327 OPS (last 14d, +0.587 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
2.Kyle Tucker #5Batting 0.871 OPS (last 14d, +0.131 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
3.Andy Pages #2Batting 0.864 OPS (last 14d, +0.124 vs avg)

Top Athletics Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Henry Bolte #7 Strong recent formBatting 0.914 OPS (last 14d, +0.174 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
2.Lawrence Butler #6Batting 0.843 OPS (last 14d, +0.103 vs avg)
3.Jonah Heim #4Batting 0.685 OPS (last 14d)

Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

J.T. Ginn (Athletics)

No significant outliers in available metrics

⚠ Data Notes

Away probable starter not found
Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
One starter has a tiny MLB sample; pitcher edge reduced.
Recent form data for 16 of 20 hitters

San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks

9:40 PM ET · Chase Field

Trevor McDonald vs Zac Gallen

Gallen (home) has struggled — offense could show up

Slight San Francisco Giants AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence

San Francisco Giants starter Trevor McDonald (5.12 ERA) — Arizona Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen (6.34 ERA) — Overall: Slight San Francisco Giants Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.

Log in to track picks

San Francisco Giants

Arizona Diamondbacks

Overall edge indicator — left = San Francisco Giants · right = Arizona Diamondbacks · away pitching edge · even lineups

Away Lineup: Confirmed

Home Lineup: Confirmed

Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Trevor McDonald

San Francisco Giants · RHP · 14 GS

Average

5.12ERA

1.31WHIP

7.30K/9

2.90BB/9

0.90HR/9

70.3IP

4.32FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Zac Gallen

Arizona Diamondbacks · RHP · 18 GS

Below Average

6.34ERA

1.56WHIP

5.30K/9

2.80BB/9

1.80HR/9

92.7IP

5.56FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming

We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.

San Francisco Giants Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Zac Gallen )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Luis Arraez	0.344 340pa	0.318 76pa	0.214 50pa ▼	0.452 30pa ★	0.291 13pa Tiny Sample
2	Casey Schmitt	0.322 272pa	0.357 114pa	0.496 37pa ★	0.215 30pa ▼	0.120 6pa Tiny Sample
3	Bryce Eldridge	0.391 207pa ★	0.275 60pa	0.269 43pa	0.242 26pa ▼	0.203 10pa Tiny Sample
4	Rafael Devers	0.375 315pa	0.233 97pa ▼	0.234 58pa	0.331 28pa	0.437 26pa ★
5	Jonah Cox	0.249 19pa Tiny Sample	0.000 4pa Tiny Sample	0.532 5pa Tiny Sample	0.440 4pa Tiny Sample	—
6	Jung Hoo Lee	0.339 270pa	0.379 101pa ★	0.317 34pa	0.291 37pa ▼	0.463 12pa Tiny Sample
7	Drew Gilbert	0.333 177pa ★	0.241 52pa ▼	0.279 36pa	0.271 27pa	0.270 13pa Tiny Sample
8	Drew Cavanaugh	0.354 45pa ★ ▼	0.238 14pa Tiny Sample	0.172 8pa Tiny Sample	0.000 3pa Tiny Sample	—
9	Christian Koss	0.264 65pa ★ ▼	0.212 24pa Tiny Sample	0.477 7pa Tiny Sample	0.126 7pa Tiny Sample	—

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Arizona Diamondbacks Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Trevor McDonald )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Ketel Marte	0.353 255pa	0.268 87pa	0.208 85pa ▼	0.374 48pa ★	0.252 32pa
2	Geraldo Perdomo	0.361 308pa ★	0.295 76pa	0.310 77pa	0.247 22pa Tiny Sample	0.220 28pa ▼
3	Corbin Carroll	0.353 271pa	0.361 111pa ★	0.309 62pa	0.293 40pa	0.186 31pa ▼
4	Gabriel Moreno	0.422 229pa ★	0.305 91pa	0.288 42pa ▼	0.200 23pa Tiny Sample	0.350 14pa Tiny Sample
5	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.277 115pa ★	0.185 39pa	0.152 25pa ▼	0.314 5pa Tiny Sample	0.176 5pa Tiny Sample
6	Adrian Del Castillo	0.292 101pa ★	0.256 38pa ▼	0.084 21pa Tiny Sample	0.212 19pa Tiny Sample	0.252 13pa Tiny Sample
7	Nolan Arenado	0.413 237pa ★	0.221 127pa	0.264 45pa	0.183 26pa ▼	0.227 12pa Tiny Sample
8	Pavin Smith	0.277 77pa ★ ▼	0.188 15pa Tiny Sample	0.287 18pa Tiny Sample	0.251 7pa Tiny Sample	0.000 4pa Tiny Sample
9	Tommy Troy	0.346 88pa ★	0.148 39pa ▼	0.299 15pa Tiny Sample	0.293 9pa Tiny Sample	—

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Top San Francisco Giants Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Jung Hoo Lee #6Batting 0.870 OPS (last 14d, +0.130 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
2.Luis Arraez #1Batting 0.762 OPS (last 14d, +0.022 vs avg)
3.Rafael Devers #4Batting 0.743 OPS (last 14d, +0.003 vs avg)

Top Arizona Diamondbacks Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Geraldo Perdomo #2 Strong recent formBatting 0.915 OPS (last 14d, +0.175 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
2.Nolan Arenado #7Batting 0.810 OPS (last 14d, +0.070 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
3.Gabriel Moreno #4Batting 0.688 OPS (last 14d); strong vs Fastball

Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Trevor McDonald (San Francisco Giants)

No significant outliers in available metrics

Zac Gallen (Arizona Diamondbacks)

High ERA (6.34) — run-prevention risk

⚠ Data Notes

Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Recent form data for 13 of 18 hitters

Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

12:35 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Noah Schultz vs Dean Kremer

Evenly matched tonight

BalancedPitcher-Based Medium Confidence

Chicago White Sox starter Noah Schultz (6.06 ERA) — Baltimore Orioles starter Dean Kremer (5.93 ERA) — Matchup appears evenly balanced.

Log in to track picks

Chicago White Sox

Baltimore Orioles

Overall edge indicator — left = Chicago White Sox · right = Baltimore Orioles · home pitching edge · even lineups

Away Lineup: Confirmed

Home Lineup: Confirmed

Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Noah Schultz

Chicago White Sox · LHP · 14 GS

Below Average

6.06ERA

1.42WHIP

8.10K/9

4.30BB/9

1.20HR/9

65.3IP

4.93FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 8.03 · WHIP 1.703 · 12.3 IP

Dean Kremer

Baltimore Orioles · RHP · 8 GS

Building Sample

5.93ERA

1.32WHIP

8.80K/9

2.90BB/9

2.60HR/9

41.0IP

5.96FIP

⚠ 41.0 IP — a growing sample. Getting more reliable, not fully trusted yet.

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 9.00 · WHIP 1.667 · 15.0 IP

Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming

We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.

Chicago White Sox Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Dean Kremer )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Sam Antonacci	0.376 254pa ★	0.264 68pa	0.211 45pa ▼	0.465 17pa Tiny Sample	0.392 14pa Tiny Sample
2	Miguel Vargas	0.356 355pa	0.324 116pa	0.385 42pa ★	0.300 41pa ▼	0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
3	Andrew Benintendi	0.345 194pa	0.321 87pa	0.202 51pa ▼	0.372 29pa ★	0.177 24pa Tiny Sample
4	Braden Montgomery	0.372 110pa	0.383 26pa ★	0.224 43pa ▼	0.334 19pa Tiny Sample	0.165 16pa Tiny Sample
5	Jacob Gonzalez	0.285 85pa ▼	0.325 26pa ★	0.306 28pa	0.313 9pa Tiny Sample	0.323 15pa Tiny Sample
6	Chase Meidroth	0.353 309pa ★	0.310 108pa	0.307 62pa	0.218 32pa ▼	0.576 15pa Tiny Sample
7	Tristan Peters	0.336 227pa	0.395 59pa ★	0.236 41pa	0.214 33pa ▼	0.332 17pa Tiny Sample
8	Luisangel Acuña	0.303 129pa ★	0.269 58pa	0.144 33pa ▼	0.316 12pa Tiny Sample	—
9	Drew Romo	0.311 89pa ★	0.170 24pa Tiny Sample	0.171 37pa ▼	0.083 17pa Tiny Sample	0.080 11pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Baltimore Orioles Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Noah Schultz )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Gunnar Henderson	0.317 277pa	0.263 131pa	0.312 70pa	0.323 42pa ★	0.243 30pa ▼
2	Adley Rutschman	0.390 170pa ★	0.334 50pa	0.219 61pa	0.245 25pa ▼	0.242 8pa Tiny Sample
3	Taylor Ward	0.382 349pa ★	0.220 123pa ▼	0.280 39pa	0.237 33pa	0.272 10pa Tiny Sample
4	Pete Alonso	0.382 312pa ★	0.350 132pa	0.315 48pa	0.213 51pa ▼	0.246 8pa Tiny Sample
5	Coby Mayo	0.367 157pa ★	0.234 100pa ▼	0.290 34pa	0.359 28pa	0.176 5pa Tiny Sample
5	Samuel Basallo	0.367 163pa ★	0.339 74pa	0.340 50pa	0.208 36pa ▼	0.399 19pa Tiny Sample
6	Tyler O'Neill	0.365 129pa ★	0.289 57pa	0.136 36pa ▼	0.410 8pa Tiny Sample	0.138 5pa Tiny Sample
6	Colton Cowser	0.400 153pa ★	0.244 65pa	0.198 55pa	0.133 25pa ▼	0.157 20pa Tiny Sample
7	Leody Taveras	0.315 213pa ★	0.258 72pa	0.227 61pa	0.167 30pa ▼	0.293 16pa Tiny Sample
8	Jackson Holliday	0.368 116pa ★	0.293 40pa ▼	0.154 24pa Tiny Sample	0.248 22pa Tiny Sample	0.481 13pa Tiny Sample
9	Blaze Alexander	0.326 160pa ▼	0.378 69pa ★	0.285 24pa Tiny Sample	0.297 22pa Tiny Sample	—

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Top Chicago White Sox Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Chase Meidroth #6 Strong recent formBatting 0.921 OPS (last 14d, +0.181 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
2.Andrew Benintendi #3Batting 0.994 OPS (last 14d, +0.254 vs avg)
3.Luisangel Acuña #8 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 0.546 OPS (last 14d); strong vs Fastball

Top Baltimore Orioles Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Tyler O'Neill #6Batting 1.233 OPS (last 14d, +0.493 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
2.Coby Mayo #5Batting 0.850 OPS (last 14d, +0.110 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
3.Jackson Holliday #8Batting 0.691 OPS (last 14d); strong vs Fastball

Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Noah Schultz (Chicago White Sox)

High ERA (6.06) — run-prevention risk
Control concerns (4.3 BB/9)
ERA above FIP (4.93) — may regress downward (good sign)

Dean Kremer (Baltimore Orioles)

High ERA (5.93) — run-prevention risk
Elevated HR/9 (2.6) — HR risk

⚠ Data Notes

Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Recent form data for 17 of 20 hitters

Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Guardians

1:10 PM ET · Progressive Field

MacKenzie Gore vs Joey Cantillo

Evenly matched tonight

BalancedBalanced Medium Confidence

Texas Rangers starter MacKenzie Gore (4.55 ERA) — Cleveland Guardians starter Joey Cantillo (3.87 ERA) — Matchup appears evenly balanced.

Log in to track picks

Texas Rangers

Cleveland Guardians

Overall edge indicator — left = Texas Rangers · right = Cleveland Guardians · home pitching edge · home lineup edge

Away Lineup: Confirmed

Home Lineup: Confirmed

Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

MacKenzie Gore

Texas Rangers · LHP · 24 GS

Average

4.55ERA

1.24WHIP

9.80K/9

3.30BB/9

1.10HR/9

128.7IP

3.83FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 3.00 · WHIP 1.000 · 18.0 IP

Joey Cantillo

Cleveland Guardians · LHP · 24 GS

Average

3.87ERA

1.47WHIP

9.90K/9

4.20BB/9

1.10HR/9

119.7IP

4.03FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 4.97 · WHIP 1.816 · 12.7 IP

Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming

We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.

Texas Rangers Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Joey Cantillo )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Justin Foscue	0.329 75pa ★	0.306 48pa ▼	0.303 18pa Tiny Sample	0.454 14pa Tiny Sample	—
2	Josh Jung	0.357 231pa	0.293 97pa ▼	0.446 42pa ★	0.371 31pa	0.501 6pa Tiny Sample
3	Ezequiel Duran	0.338 235pa	0.403 116pa ★	0.359 47pa	0.268 44pa ▼	0.139 9pa Tiny Sample
4	Jake Burger	0.330 257pa	0.334 145pa	0.288 47pa ▼	0.412 31pa ★	0.169 12pa Tiny Sample
5	Kyle Higashioka	0.382 113pa ★	0.187 61pa ▼	0.426 13pa Tiny Sample	0.121 13pa Tiny Sample	0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
5	Joc Pederson	0.401 201pa ★	0.367 69pa	0.229 59pa	0.206 46pa ▼	0.363 14pa Tiny Sample
6	Josh Smith	0.326 124pa	0.358 39pa ★	0.222 32pa ▼	0.528 16pa Tiny Sample	0.213 10pa Tiny Sample
6	Cam Cauley	0.359 48pa ★ ▼	0.347 20pa Tiny Sample	0.223 11pa Tiny Sample	0.293 6pa Tiny Sample	0.293 3pa Tiny Sample
7	Alejandro Osuna	0.309 124pa	0.232 45pa ▼	0.348 48pa ★	0.384 16pa Tiny Sample	0.264 10pa Tiny Sample
8	Elias Díaz	0.326 82pa ★	0.216 36pa ▼	0.312 23pa Tiny Sample	0.558 12pa Tiny Sample	0.176 5pa Tiny Sample
9	Nicky Lopez	0.346 125pa ★	0.254 49pa	0.104 34pa ▼	0.361 18pa Tiny Sample	0.352 10pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Cleveland Guardians Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: MacKenzie Gore )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Steven Kwan	0.350 315pa ★	0.228 82pa ▼	0.277 52pa	0.429 20pa Tiny Sample	0.231 19pa Tiny Sample
1	David Fry	0.348 126pa ★	0.195 33pa ▼	0.191 22pa Tiny Sample	0.184 16pa Tiny Sample	0.230 3pa Tiny Sample
2	Chase DeLauter	0.405 255pa	0.407 94pa ★	0.199 52pa ▼	0.231 37pa	0.277 26pa
3	Rhys Hoskins	0.341 212pa ★	0.318 76pa	0.207 33pa ▼	0.311 21pa Tiny Sample	0.352 8pa Tiny Sample
4	Kyle Manzardo	0.355 219pa ★	0.270 89pa	0.130 46pa ▼	0.324 27pa	0.146 20pa Tiny Sample
5	Brayan Rocchio	0.355 273pa ★	0.344 78pa	0.231 91pa	0.217 26pa ▼	0.113 22pa Tiny Sample
6	Gabriel Arias	0.294 89pa ▼	0.310 47pa ★	0.238 14pa Tiny Sample	0.519 16pa Tiny Sample	0.126 7pa Tiny Sample
7	Kahlil Watson	0.296 60pa ★	0.258 28pa ▼	0.000 5pa Tiny Sample	0.293 3pa Tiny Sample	—
8	Austin Hedges	0.361 132pa ★	0.188 43pa ▼	0.278 15pa Tiny Sample	0.157 10pa Tiny Sample	—
9	Daniel Schneemann	0.305 158pa ★	0.237 73pa	0.181 34pa ▼	0.280 23pa Tiny Sample	0.259 15pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Top Texas Rangers Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Ezequiel Duran #3Batting 0.811 OPS (last 14d, +0.071 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
2.Elias Díaz #8Batting 0.800 OPS (last 14d, +0.060 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
3.Josh Smith #6 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 0.733 OPS (last 14d)

Top Cleveland Guardians Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Kyle Manzardo #4Batting 1.200 OPS (last 14d, +0.460 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
2.Rhys Hoskins #3 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 1.177 OPS (last 14d, +0.437 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
3.Steven Kwan #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.901 OPS (last 14d, +0.161 vs avg); strong vs Fastball

Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

MacKenzie Gore (Texas Rangers)

Above-average K rate (9.8 K/9)

Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians)

Above-average K rate (9.9 K/9)
Control concerns (4.2 BB/9)

⚠ Data Notes

Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Recent form data for 17 of 21 hitters

Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees

1:35 PM ET · Yankee Stadium

Troy Melton vs Will Warren

Detroit Tigers has the edge

Slight Detroit Tigers AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence

Detroit Tigers starter Troy Melton (1.58 ERA) — New York Yankees starter Will Warren (4.18 ERA) — Overall: Slight Detroit Tigers Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.

Log in to track picks

Detroit Tigers

New York Yankees

Overall edge indicator — left = Detroit Tigers · right = New York Yankees · away pitching edge · away lineup edge

Away Lineup: Confirmed

Home Lineup: Confirmed

Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Troy Melton

Detroit Tigers · RHP · 12 GS

Above Average

1.58ERA

0.91WHIP

7.80K/9

2.70BB/9

0.90HR/9

80.0IP

3.70FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 0.95 · WHIP 1.000 · 19.0 IP

Will Warren

New York Yankees · RHP · 22 GS

Average

4.18ERA

1.37WHIP

9.00K/9

2.90BB/9

1.20HR/9

114.0IP

3.91FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 5.17 · WHIP 1.404 · 15.7 IP

Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming

We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.

Detroit Tigers Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Will Warren )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Kevin McGonigle	0.427 344pa ★	0.214 91pa ▼	0.256 80pa	0.344 32pa	0.307 20pa Tiny Sample
2	Dillon Dingler	0.384 290pa	0.457 95pa ★	0.274 60pa	0.190 39pa ▼	0.198 16pa Tiny Sample
3	Matt Vierling	0.265 188pa ▼	0.284 87pa ★	0.264 33pa	0.218 21pa Tiny Sample	0.000 5pa Tiny Sample
3	Kerry Carpenter	0.309 159pa	0.189 49pa ▼	0.475 45pa ★	0.211 38pa	0.063 14pa Tiny Sample
4	Riley Greene	0.372 303pa	0.387 94pa ★	0.241 79pa	0.319 29pa	0.256 33pa ▼
5	Colt Keith	0.319 212pa ▼	0.312 52pa	0.318 68pa ★	0.477 24pa Tiny Sample	0.168 22pa Tiny Sample
5	Hao-Yu Lee	0.320 118pa ★	0.311 49pa ▼	0.244 22pa Tiny Sample	0.215 14pa Tiny Sample	0.582 5pa Tiny Sample
6	Spencer Torkelson	0.352 298pa ★	0.331 118pa	0.238 49pa	0.167 28pa ▼	0.068 13pa Tiny Sample
7	Zach McKinstry	0.318 204pa ★	0.301 64pa	0.205 30pa	0.190 37pa ▼	0.078 20pa Tiny Sample
8	James Outman	0.289 104pa	0.392 37pa ★	0.098 36pa ▼	0.251 24pa Tiny Sample	0.096 13pa Tiny Sample
9	Jake Rogers	0.306 102pa ★	0.177 31pa ▼	0.157 10pa Tiny Sample	0.324 7pa Tiny Sample	0.000 3pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

New York Yankees Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Troy Melton )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Ben Rice	0.435 254pa ★	0.336 125pa	0.328 56pa	0.320 59pa	0.146 30pa ▼
2	Ali Sánchez	0.313 46pa ★ ▼	0.303 14pa Tiny Sample	0.555 7pa Tiny Sample	0.000 5pa Tiny Sample	0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
2	Jasson Domínguez	0.287 148pa ▼	0.308 35pa	0.401 42pa ★	0.347 12pa Tiny Sample	0.146 20pa Tiny Sample
3	Cody Bellinger	0.340 288pa	0.381 76pa ★	0.240 49pa ▼	0.260 29pa	0.274 27pa
4	Amed Rosario	0.272 113pa ▼	0.335 45pa ★	0.286 36pa	0.374 20pa Tiny Sample	0.220 4pa Tiny Sample
5	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.312 242pa	0.356 94pa ★	0.325 49pa	0.191 57pa ▼	0.105 15pa Tiny Sample
6	Anthony Volpe	0.325 105pa ★	0.288 49pa ▼	0.308 15pa Tiny Sample	0.126 21pa Tiny Sample	0.000 4pa Tiny Sample
7	Austin Wells	0.333 158pa ★	0.144 58pa ▼	0.188 29pa	0.119 19pa Tiny Sample	0.086 17pa Tiny Sample
7	Spencer Jones	0.350 76pa ▼	0.349 33pa ★	0.469 19pa Tiny Sample	0.113 20pa Tiny Sample	0.115 6pa Tiny Sample
8	José Caballero	0.304 215pa	0.245 89pa	0.184 35pa ▼	0.343 28pa ★	0.523 13pa Tiny Sample
9	Oswaldo Cabrera	0.286 18pa Tiny Sample	0.000 6pa Tiny Sample	0.172 4pa Tiny Sample	—	—

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Top Detroit Tigers Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Colt Keith #5Batting 1.185 OPS (last 14d, +0.445 vs avg)
2.Kevin McGonigle #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.982 OPS (last 14d, +0.242 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
3.Jake Rogers #9 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 1.125 OPS (last 14d, +0.385 vs avg); strong vs Fastball

Top New York Yankees Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.José Caballero #8Batting 1.084 OPS (last 14d, +0.344 vs avg)
2.Spencer Jones #7Batting 0.789 OPS (last 14d, +0.049 vs avg)
3.Austin Wells #7Batting 0.801 OPS (last 14d, +0.061 vs avg); strong vs Fastball

Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Troy Melton (Detroit Tigers)

Elite ERA (1.58) — strong run prevention
FIP (3.7) above ERA — may regress upward

Will Warren (New York Yankees)

Above-average K rate (9.0 K/9)

⚠ Data Notes

Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Recent form data for 19 of 22 hitters

Washington Nationals @ Boston Red Sox

1:35 PM ET · Fenway Park

Brad Lord vs Payton Tolle

Boston Red Sox has the edge

Slight Boston Red Sox AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence

Washington Nationals starter Brad Lord (3.81 ERA) — Boston Red Sox starter Payton Tolle (3.20 ERA) — Overall: Slight Boston Red Sox Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.

Log in to track picks

Washington Nationals

Boston Red Sox

Overall edge indicator — left = Washington Nationals · right = Boston Red Sox · home pitching edge · home lineup edge

Away Lineup: Confirmed

Home Lineup: Confirmed

Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Brad Lord

Washington Nationals · RHP · 1 GS

Average

3.81ERA

1.20WHIP

8.20K/9

3.10BB/9

1.00HR/9

61.7IP

4.12FIP

⚠ 61.7 IP gives usable pitcher context — but only 1 GS means starter-role performance is less certain.

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 0.00 · WHIP 0.000 · 1.0 IP

Payton Tolle

Boston Red Sox · LHP · 19 GS

Average

3.20ERA

1.10WHIP

10.40K/9

2.40BB/9

1.10HR/9

107.0IP

3.31FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 2.60 · WHIP 1.096 · 17.3 IP

Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming

We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.

Washington Nationals Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Payton Tolle )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	James Wood	0.436 287pa ★	0.383 143pa	0.328 68pa	0.152 60pa ▼	0.286 15pa Tiny Sample
2	Curtis Mead	0.377 193pa ★	0.276 86pa ▼	0.317 38pa	0.527 23pa Tiny Sample	0.512 8pa Tiny Sample
3	Andrés Chaparro	0.402 81pa ★	0.229 30pa ▼	0.272 28pa	0.285 10pa Tiny Sample	—
3	Luis García Jr.	0.367 193pa	0.370 90pa ★	0.294 76pa	0.366 47pa	0.116 26pa ▼
4	Dylan Crews	0.295 191pa ★	0.246 65pa	0.237 32pa ▼	0.414 9pa Tiny Sample	0.103 7pa Tiny Sample
5	Daylen Lile	0.333 256pa	0.284 113pa	0.233 84pa ▼	0.398 49pa ★	0.357 24pa Tiny Sample
6	Jacob Young	0.344 216pa ★	0.187 91pa ▼	0.284 34pa	0.315 21pa Tiny Sample	0.508 8pa Tiny Sample
7	Jorbit Vivas	0.333 155pa	0.288 51pa	0.157 28pa ▼	0.362 25pa ★	0.135 13pa Tiny Sample
8	Nasim Nuñez	0.294 243pa	0.342 70pa ★	0.211 71pa	0.130 31pa ▼	0.135 13pa Tiny Sample
9	Drew Millas	0.285 97pa ★	0.131 34pa ▼	0.244 21pa Tiny Sample	0.118 21pa Tiny Sample	0.176 5pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Boston Red Sox Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Brad Lord )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Anthony Seigler	0.369 93pa ★ ▼	0.306 18pa Tiny Sample	0.169 20pa Tiny Sample	0.113 11pa Tiny Sample	0.266 8pa Tiny Sample
2	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.311 284pa	0.438 110pa ★	0.326 57pa	0.262 40pa ▼	0.801 13pa Tiny Sample
3	Wilyer Abreu	0.343 282pa	0.359 90pa	0.283 85pa ▼	0.366 36pa ★	0.207 23pa Tiny Sample
4	Willson Contreras	0.427 269pa	0.326 94pa	0.422 56pa ★	0.295 29pa ▼	0.390 11pa Tiny Sample
5	Romy Gonzalez	0.320 45pa ★ ▼	0.250 11pa Tiny Sample	0.000 7pa Tiny Sample	0.000 5pa Tiny Sample	0.312 5pa Tiny Sample
6	Caleb Durbin	0.347 306pa ★	0.274 91pa	0.204 39pa ▼	0.418 19pa Tiny Sample	0.266 8pa Tiny Sample
7	Nate Eaton	0.238 35pa ★ ▼	0.228 20pa Tiny Sample	0.323 6pa Tiny Sample	0.172 4pa Tiny Sample	—
8	Andruw Monasterio	0.371 160pa ★	0.250 85pa ▼	0.292 22pa Tiny Sample	0.428 15pa Tiny Sample	0.413 6pa Tiny Sample
9	Connor Wong	0.307 131pa ★	0.252 46pa ▼	0.247 20pa Tiny Sample	0.393 12pa Tiny Sample	0.172 4pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Top Washington Nationals Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Jacob Young #6Batting 1.051 OPS (last 14d, +0.311 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
2.Luis García Jr. #3Batting 1.009 OPS (last 14d, +0.269 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
3.Daylen Lile #5Batting 0.856 OPS (last 14d, +0.116 vs avg)

Top Boston Red Sox Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Wilyer Abreu #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.109 OPS (last 14d, +0.369 vs avg)
2.Ceddanne Rafaela #2 Strong recent formBatting 1.045 OPS (last 14d, +0.305 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
3.Caleb Durbin #6 Strong recent formBatting 0.972 OPS (last 14d, +0.232 vs avg); strong vs Fastball

Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Brad Lord (Washington Nationals)

No significant outliers in available metrics

Payton Tolle (Boston Red Sox)

Elite strikeout rate (10.4 K/9)
Above-average K rate (10.4 K/9)

⚠ Data Notes

Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Starter sample is small; pitcher edge is partially discounted.
Recent form data for 16 of 19 hitters

San Diego Padres @ Chicago Cubs

2:20 PM ET · Wrigley Field

Walker Buehler vs Colin Rea

Evenly matched tonight

BalancedBalanced Medium Confidence

San Diego Padres starter Walker Buehler (5.07 ERA) — Chicago Cubs starter Colin Rea (4.59 ERA) — Matchup appears evenly balanced.

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San Diego Padres

Chicago Cubs

Overall edge indicator — left = San Diego Padres · right = Chicago Cubs · home pitching edge · even lineups

Away Lineup: Confirmed

Home Lineup: Confirmed

Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Walker Buehler

San Diego Padres · RHP · 23 GS

Below Average

5.07ERA

1.46WHIP

7.90K/9

3.70BB/9

1.20HR/9

108.3IP

4.43FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 3.72 · WHIP 1.552 · 19.3 IP

Colin Rea

Chicago Cubs · RHP · 19 GS

Average

4.59ERA

1.36WHIP

6.70K/9

3.20BB/9

1.40HR/9

121.7IP

4.93FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 3.86 · WHIP 1.095 · 21.0 IP

Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming

We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.

San Diego Padres Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Colin Rea )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.346 313pa	0.377 127pa ★	0.299 49pa ▼	0.307 25pa	0.000 13pa Tiny Sample
1	Jase Bowen	0.282 68pa ★ ▼	0.323 23pa Tiny Sample	0.125 17pa Tiny Sample	0.266 8pa Tiny Sample	—
2	Gavin Sheets	0.379 219pa ★	0.309 74pa	0.231 67pa ▼	0.290 36pa	0.185 19pa Tiny Sample
3	Manny Machado	0.366 284pa ★	0.247 120pa	0.195 55pa	0.198 32pa ▼	0.188 12pa Tiny Sample
3	Freddy Fermin	0.292 142pa ▼	0.287 54pa ★	0.319 16pa Tiny Sample	0.300 12pa Tiny Sample	0.352 5pa Tiny Sample
4	Ty France	0.333 206pa ▼	0.385 82pa	0.494 43pa ★	0.346 24pa Tiny Sample	0.264 10pa Tiny Sample
5	Samad Taylor	0.384 70pa ★ ▼	0.312 24pa Tiny Sample	0.251 7pa Tiny Sample	0.135 13pa Tiny Sample	0.086 8pa Tiny Sample
5	Jackson Merrill	0.338 278pa ★	0.296 94pa	0.252 74pa	0.261 49pa	0.111 30pa ▼
6	Xander Bogaerts	0.340 289pa ★	0.241 100pa	0.198 39pa	0.155 36pa ▼	0.149 13pa Tiny Sample
6	Miguel Andujar	0.316 160pa ★	0.245 75pa ▼	0.266 30pa	0.517 19pa Tiny Sample	0.504 10pa Tiny Sample
7	Jake Cronenworth	0.338 177pa ★	0.163 38pa ▼	0.165 38pa	0.302 28pa	0.412 13pa Tiny Sample
8	Rodolfo Durán	0.295 62pa ★	0.284 36pa ▼	0.115 6pa Tiny Sample	0.587 3pa Tiny Sample	0.000 6pa Tiny Sample
9	Sung-Mun Song	0.330 88pa ★ ▼	0.283 18pa Tiny Sample	0.175 19pa Tiny Sample	0.138 5pa Tiny Sample	0.000 3pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Chicago Cubs Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Walker Buehler )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.399 280pa	0.402 116pa	0.316 63pa	0.289 53pa ▼	0.593 30pa ★
1	Pedro Ramírez	0.342 81pa ★ ▼	0.299 24pa Tiny Sample	0.455 24pa Tiny Sample	0.110 8pa Tiny Sample	0.404 9pa Tiny Sample
2	Alex Bregman	0.354 325pa ★	0.321 130pa	0.320 44pa	0.245 42pa ▼	0.378 6pa Tiny Sample
3	Michael Busch	0.351 327pa ★	0.328 111pa	0.203 78pa ▼	0.353 37pa	0.314 15pa Tiny Sample
4	Seiya Suzuki	0.398 242pa ★	0.305 125pa	0.331 29pa	0.286 36pa ▼	0.352 5pa Tiny Sample
4	Jordan Wicks	—	—	—	—	—
5	Ian Happ	0.352 275pa	0.371 83pa ★	0.199 95pa ▼	0.323 50pa	0.329 25pa
5	Kevin Alcántara	0.320 30pa ★ ▼	0.251 14pa Tiny Sample	0.389 10pa Tiny Sample	0.454 6pa Tiny Sample	—
6	Nico Hoerner	0.300 347pa	0.422 116pa ★	0.165 50pa ▼	0.304 32pa	0.379 10pa Tiny Sample
6	Justin Dean	0.339 15pa Tiny Sample	0.293 3pa Tiny Sample	—	—	—
7	Michael Conforto	0.428 134pa ★	0.372 36pa	0.174 45pa ▼	0.174 17pa Tiny Sample	0.113 11pa Tiny Sample
8	Miguel Amaya	0.395 116pa ★	0.286 69pa ▼	0.207 23pa Tiny Sample	0.080 9pa Tiny Sample	—
9	Dansby Swanson	0.369 269pa ★	0.247 116pa	0.233 50pa	0.084 36pa ▼	0.099 7pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Top San Diego Padres Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Fernando Tatis Jr. #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.966 OPS (last 14d, +0.226 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
2.Jackson Merrill #5Batting 0.881 OPS (last 14d, +0.141 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
3.Freddy Fermin #3Batting 0.900 OPS (last 14d, +0.160 vs avg)

Top Chicago Cubs Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Pete Crow-Armstrong #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.980 OPS (last 14d, +0.240 vs avg)
2.Seiya Suzuki #4Batting 0.841 OPS (last 14d, +0.101 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
3.Alex Bregman #2Batting 0.809 OPS (last 14d, +0.069 vs avg); strong vs Fastball

Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Walker Buehler (San Diego Padres)

No significant outliers in available metrics

Colin Rea (Chicago Cubs)

No significant outliers in available metrics

⚠ Data Notes

Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Recent form data for 22 of 26 hitters

New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays

3:07 PM ET · Rogers Centre

Freddy Peralta vs Braydon Fisher

Toronto Blue Jays has the edge

Slight Toronto Blue Jays AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence

New York Mets starter Freddy Peralta (5.37 ERA) — Toronto Blue Jays starter Braydon Fisher (3.79 ERA) — Overall: Slight Toronto Blue Jays Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.

Log in to track picks

New York Mets

Toronto Blue Jays

Overall edge indicator — left = New York Mets · right = Toronto Blue Jays · home pitching edge · away lineup edge

Away Lineup: Confirmed

Home Lineup: Confirmed

Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Freddy Peralta

New York Mets · RHP · 23 GS

Below Average

5.37ERA

1.52WHIP

8.90K/9

3.80BB/9

1.50HR/9

117.3IP

4.66FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 10.57 · WHIP 2.348 · 7.7 IP

Braydon Fisher

Toronto Blue Jays · RHP · 7 GS

Average

3.79ERA

1.25WHIP

8.50K/9

4.90BB/9

0.90HR/9

59.0IP

4.35FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 4.70 · WHIP 1.696 · 7.7 IP

Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming

We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.

New York Mets Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Braydon Fisher )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Carson Benge	0.379 286pa ★	0.258 93pa	0.266 54pa	0.312 47pa	0.237 25pa ▼
2	Juan Soto	0.407 200pa	0.426 80pa ★	0.375 41pa ▼	0.372 32pa	0.306 17pa Tiny Sample
3	Bo Bichette	0.309 280pa	0.331 140pa ★	0.309 62pa	0.289 52pa ▼	0.198 16pa Tiny Sample
3	Ronny Mauricio	0.320 25pa ★ ▼	0.270 21pa Tiny Sample	0.501 12pa Tiny Sample	0.049 14pa Tiny Sample	0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
4	Francisco Lindor	0.296 167pa ▼	0.350 46pa	0.324 43pa ★	0.473 17pa Tiny Sample	0.197 16pa Tiny Sample
5	A.J. Ewing	0.381 189pa ★	0.288 72pa	0.240 42pa	0.183 25pa ▼	0.215 14pa Tiny Sample
6	Francisco Alvarez	0.356 177pa	0.305 91pa ▼	0.388 32pa ★	0.324 19pa Tiny Sample	0.451 9pa Tiny Sample
7	Jared Young	0.346 141pa ★	0.218 44pa ▼	0.336 22pa Tiny Sample	0.279 25pa	0.467 10pa Tiny Sample
8	Brett Baty	0.341 229pa ★	0.148 84pa ▼	0.287 48pa	0.282 27pa	0.125 24pa Tiny Sample
9	Tyrone Taylor	0.343 123pa ★	0.290 44pa ▼	0.406 23pa Tiny Sample	0.145 14pa Tiny Sample	—

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Toronto Blue Jays Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Freddy Peralta )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Nathan Lukes	0.299 202pa ▼	0.361 49pa	0.361 35pa	0.377 30pa ★	0.414 20pa Tiny Sample
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.366 261pa ★	0.212 113pa ▼	0.330 52pa	0.262 37pa	0.129 15pa Tiny Sample
3	Kazuma Okamoto	0.356 281pa ★	0.296 121pa	0.178 38pa ▼	0.208 40pa	0.514 7pa Tiny Sample
4	Daulton Varsho	0.320 243pa ★	0.307 88pa	0.302 44pa	0.248 41pa ▼	0.413 15pa Tiny Sample
5	Alejandro Kirk	0.350 104pa ★	0.280 57pa ▼	0.278 14pa Tiny Sample	0.164 13pa Tiny Sample	0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
6	Myles Straw	0.283 167pa ★	0.103 52pa ▼	0.205 16pa Tiny Sample	0.567 11pa Tiny Sample	0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
6	Yohendrick Piñango	0.330 102pa ★	0.228 32pa ▼	0.287 33pa	0.133 16pa Tiny Sample	0.533 15pa Tiny Sample
7	Luis Urías	0.313 32pa ★ ▼	0.401 16pa Tiny Sample	0.370 10pa Tiny Sample	0.000 5pa Tiny Sample	—
7	Ernie Clement	0.332 268pa ★	0.322 116pa	0.241 55pa	0.164 42pa ▼	0.293 9pa Tiny Sample
8	Sean Keys	0.312 41pa ★ ▼	0.099 7pa Tiny Sample	0.176 5pa Tiny Sample	0.086 8pa Tiny Sample	—
9	Andrés Giménez	0.322 211pa	0.220 89pa ▼	0.258 40pa	0.310 40pa ★	0.235 15pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Top New York Mets Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Carson Benge #1 Strong recent formBatting 1.041 OPS (last 14d, +0.301 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
2.Jared Young #7Batting 0.750 OPS (last 14d, +0.010 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
3.Francisco Lindor #4Batting 0.724 OPS (last 14d)

Top Toronto Blue Jays Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Alejandro Kirk #5Batting 0.858 OPS (last 14d, +0.118 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
2.Andrés Giménez #9Batting 0.758 OPS (last 14d, +0.018 vs avg)
3.Luis Urías #7 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 0.741 OPS (last 14d, +0.001 vs avg)

Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Freddy Peralta (New York Mets)

Above-average K rate (8.9 K/9)

Braydon Fisher (Toronto Blue Jays)

Control concerns (4.9 BB/9)

⚠ Data Notes

Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Recent form data for 18 of 21 hitters

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies

6:40 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park

Paul Skenes vs Zack Wheeler

Philadelphia Phillies has the edge

Slight Philadelphia Phillies AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence

Pittsburgh Pirates starter Paul Skenes (3.96 ERA) — Philadelphia Phillies starter Zack Wheeler (2.69 ERA) — Overall: Slight Philadelphia Phillies Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.

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Pittsburgh Pirates

Philadelphia Phillies

Overall edge indicator — left = Pittsburgh Pirates · right = Philadelphia Phillies · home pitching edge · even lineups

Away Lineup: Confirmed

Home Lineup: Confirmed

Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Paul Skenes

Pittsburgh Pirates · RHP · 24 GS

Average

3.96ERA

1.12WHIP

11.20K/9

2.50BB/9

0.90HR/9

129.7IP

2.97FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 8.16 · WHIP 1.744 · 14.3 IP

Zack Wheeler

Philadelphia Phillies · RHP · 19 GS

Above Average

2.69ERA

0.98WHIP

10.80K/9

2.30BB/9

1.10HR/9

110.3IP

3.22FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 5.71 · WHIP 1.442 · 17.3 IP

Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming

We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Zack Wheeler )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Konnor Griffin	0.385 152pa ★	0.269 71pa	0.121 28pa ▼	0.345 22pa Tiny Sample	0.000 9pa Tiny Sample
2	Brandon Lowe	0.379 248pa	0.238 133pa	0.281 64pa	0.433 48pa ★	0.239 25pa ▼
3	Bryan Reynolds	0.397 278pa ★	0.310 115pa ▼	0.300 85pa	0.328 65pa	0.242 13pa Tiny Sample
4	Esmerlyn Valdez	0.441 110pa ★	0.434 56pa	0.167 26pa ▼	0.327 11pa Tiny Sample	0.172 4pa Tiny Sample
5	Ryan O'Hearn	0.369 258pa ★	0.290 96pa	0.368 35pa	0.267 39pa ▼	0.086 8pa Tiny Sample
6	Nick Gonzales	0.341 299pa	0.335 111pa ★	0.298 39pa	0.264 36pa ▼	0.160 10pa Tiny Sample
7	Jake Mangum	0.340 203pa	0.328 76pa	0.235 60pa ▼	0.376 38pa ★	0.240 11pa Tiny Sample
8	Jared Triolo	0.289 194pa	0.203 58pa ▼	0.300 31pa ★	0.308 12pa Tiny Sample	0.587 3pa Tiny Sample
8	Tyler Callihan	0.344 67pa ★	0.293 33pa ▼	0.151 18pa Tiny Sample	0.328 9pa Tiny Sample	0.147 6pa Tiny Sample
9	Henry Davis	0.304 169pa ★	0.217 58pa ▼	0.171 21pa Tiny Sample	0.176 16pa Tiny Sample	0.523 3pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Philadelphia Phillies Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Paul Skenes )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Trea Turner	0.322 306pa	0.235 141pa ▼	0.231 48pa	0.344 49pa ★	0.243 16pa Tiny Sample
2	Kyle Schwarber	0.444 255pa ★	0.263 136pa ▼	0.411 51pa	0.311 55pa	0.390 20pa Tiny Sample
3	Bryce Harper	0.413 245pa ★	0.380 117pa	0.310 56pa	0.323 63pa	0.186 35pa ▼
4	Brandon Marsh	0.359 258pa	0.242 112pa	0.195 50pa	0.386 45pa ★	0.183 26pa ▼
5	Alec Bohm	0.312 322pa	0.186 114pa ▼	0.475 32pa ★	0.226 23pa Tiny Sample	0.321 16pa Tiny Sample
6	Bryson Stott	0.359 260pa	0.374 84pa ★	0.330 57pa	0.228 53pa	0.133 26pa ▼
7	J.T. Realmuto	0.306 233pa	0.297 65pa ★	0.156 27pa ▼	0.285 21pa Tiny Sample	0.221 12pa Tiny Sample
8	Derek Hill	0.305 113pa ▼	0.419 53pa ★	0.310 24pa Tiny Sample	0.292 13pa Tiny Sample	0.176 5pa Tiny Sample
8	Gabriel Rincones Jr.	0.228 46pa ★ ▼	0.271 14pa Tiny Sample	0.367 15pa Tiny Sample	0.000 9pa Tiny Sample	0.000 5pa Tiny Sample
9	Justin Crawford	0.309 217pa	0.299 68pa ★	0.229 46pa ▼	0.301 38pa	0.136 18pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Top Pittsburgh Pirates Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Brandon Lowe #2 Strong recent formBatting 0.893 OPS (last 14d, +0.153 vs avg)
2.Jake Mangum #7Batting 0.840 OPS (last 14d, +0.100 vs avg)
3.Tyler Callihan #8 No recent at-bats — not countedBatting 0.000 OPS (last 14d)

Top Philadelphia Phillies Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Bryce Harper #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.042 OPS (last 14d, +0.302 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
2.Bryson Stott #6 Strong recent formBatting 1.007 OPS (last 14d, +0.267 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
3.Trea Turner #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.893 OPS (last 14d, +0.153 vs avg)

Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Paul Skenes (Pittsburgh Pirates)

Elite strikeout rate (11.2 K/9)
Above-average K rate (11.2 K/9)
FIP (2.97) confirms elite results

Zack Wheeler (Philadelphia Phillies)

Elite ERA (2.69) — strong run prevention
Elite strikeout rate (10.8 K/9)
Above-average K rate (10.8 K/9)

⚠ Data Notes

Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Recent form data for 19 of 20 hitters

St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves

7:15 PM ET · Truist Park

Michael McGreevy vs Reynaldo López

Evenly matched tonight

BalancedLineup-Based Medium Confidence

St. Louis Cardinals starter Michael McGreevy (3.59 ERA) — Atlanta Braves starter Reynaldo López (3.64 ERA) — Matchup appears evenly balanced.

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St. Louis Cardinals

Atlanta Braves

Overall edge indicator — left = St. Louis Cardinals · right = Atlanta Braves · even pitching · home lineup edge

Away Lineup: Confirmed

Home Lineup: Confirmed

Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Michael McGreevy

St. Louis Cardinals · RHP · 22 GS

Average

3.59ERA

1.20WHIP

6.10K/9

2.30BB/9

1.20HR/9

126.0IP

4.32FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 9.49 · WHIP 2.027 · 12.3 IP

Reynaldo López

Atlanta Braves · RHP · 11 GS

Average

3.64ERA

1.34WHIP

8.30K/9

3.60BB/9

1.30HR/9

71.7IP

4.38FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 4.50 · WHIP 1.800 · 10.0 IP

Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming

We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Reynaldo López )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	JJ Wetherholt	0.355 325pa ★	0.260 99pa	0.239 55pa ▼	0.352 33pa	0.321 18pa Tiny Sample
2	Iván Herrera	0.345 283pa	0.342 128pa ★	0.283 55pa ▼	0.312 47pa	0.400 13pa Tiny Sample
3	Alec Burleson	0.367 246pa	0.297 113pa ▼	0.373 83pa	0.394 57pa ★	0.322 26pa
4	Jordan Walker	0.344 284pa	0.302 136pa	0.381 53pa ★	0.272 36pa ▼	0.669 10pa Tiny Sample
5	Lars Nootbaar	0.335 106pa ★	0.301 34pa	0.174 36pa ▼	0.359 13pa Tiny Sample	0.278 14pa Tiny Sample
6	Masyn Winn	0.297 259pa	0.282 122pa	0.308 43pa ★	0.258 37pa ▼	0.098 16pa Tiny Sample
7	José Fermín	0.290 178pa ★	0.240 53pa	0.138 32pa ▼	0.282 21pa Tiny Sample	0.147 6pa Tiny Sample
7	Nathan Church	0.319 168pa ★	0.225 84pa ▼	0.292 69pa	0.303 33pa	0.235 15pa Tiny Sample
8	Blaze Jordan	0.288 93pa ★	0.271 46pa ▼	0.123 20pa Tiny Sample	0.435 11pa Tiny Sample	0.000 4pa Tiny Sample
9	Pedro Pagés	0.261 98pa ★	0.240 51pa	0.213 29pa ▼	0.236 15pa Tiny Sample	0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
9	Jimmy Crooks	0.240 71pa ★ ▼	0.591 15pa Tiny Sample	0.199 16pa Tiny Sample	0.057 12pa Tiny Sample	0.220 4pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Atlanta Braves Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Michael McGreevy )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Drake Baldwin	0.395 250pa ★	0.293 101pa	0.331 56pa	0.281 40pa ▼	0.297 21pa Tiny Sample
2	Ozzie Albies	0.340 257pa ★	0.317 86pa	0.273 99pa	0.292 67pa	0.265 28pa ▼
3	Matt Olson	0.410 331pa ★	0.320 115pa	0.397 50pa	0.272 51pa ▼	0.278 12pa Tiny Sample
4	Michael Harris II	0.348 226pa	0.344 134pa	0.363 62pa ★	0.213 46pa ▼	0.329 18pa Tiny Sample
5	Mauricio Dubón	0.341 287pa ★	0.290 114pa	0.214 58pa ▼	0.427 24pa Tiny Sample	0.219 15pa Tiny Sample
6	Dominic Smith	0.345 165pa	0.322 52pa	0.134 40pa ▼	0.351 34pa ★	0.225 16pa Tiny Sample
7	Austin Riley	0.344 304pa ★	0.256 114pa ▼	0.256 50pa	0.287 36pa	0.250 11pa Tiny Sample
8	Mike Yastrzemski	0.338 188pa	0.255 65pa ▼	0.321 41pa	0.382 29pa ★	0.110 8pa Tiny Sample
9	Jorge Mateo	0.337 98pa ★	0.252 43pa ▼	0.043 16pa Tiny Sample	0.188 16pa Tiny Sample	—

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Top St. Louis Cardinals Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Alec Burleson #3 Strong recent formBatting 0.968 OPS (last 14d, +0.228 vs avg)
2.Blaze Jordan #8Batting 0.850 OPS (last 14d, +0.110 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
3.Nathan Church #7Batting 0.742 OPS (last 14d, +0.002 vs avg); strong vs Fastball

Top Atlanta Braves Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Matt Olson #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.161 OPS (last 14d, +0.421 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
2.Mike Yastrzemski #8Batting 1.023 OPS (last 14d, +0.283 vs avg)
3.Austin Riley #7Batting 0.901 OPS (last 14d, +0.161 vs avg); strong vs Fastball

Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Michael McGreevy (St. Louis Cardinals)

No significant outliers in available metrics

Reynaldo López (Atlanta Braves)

No significant outliers in available metrics

⚠ Data Notes

Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Recent form data for 19 of 20 hitters

Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals

7:40 PM ET · Kauffman Stadium

Shane McClanahan vs Seth Lugo

Tampa Bay Rays has the edge

Slight Tampa Bay Rays AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence

Tampa Bay Rays starter Shane McClanahan (3.09 ERA) — Kansas City Royals starter Seth Lugo (4.41 ERA) — Overall: Slight Tampa Bay Rays Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.

Log in to track picks

Tampa Bay Rays

Kansas City Royals

Overall edge indicator — left = Tampa Bay Rays · right = Kansas City Royals · away pitching edge · home lineup edge

Away Lineup: Confirmed

Home Lineup: Confirmed

Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Shane McClanahan

Tampa Bay Rays · LHP · 20 GS

Average

3.09ERA

1.12WHIP

8.30K/9

3.20BB/9

0.60HR/9

99.0IP

3.41FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 2.25 · WHIP 0.750 · 8.0 IP

Seth Lugo

Kansas City Royals · RHP · 24 GS

Average

4.41ERA

1.37WHIP

7.00K/9

3.10BB/9

1.10HR/9

134.7IP

4.31FIP

FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.

FIP uses full-season pitcher data.

Recent (21d): ERA 4.50 · WHIP 1.208 · 24.0 IP

Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming

We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Seth Lugo )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Yandy Díaz	0.322 309pa	0.480 110pa ★	0.320 48pa	0.312 46pa ▼	0.400 15pa Tiny Sample
2	Jonathan Aranda	0.362 315pa	0.363 93pa	0.253 56pa ▼	0.398 35pa ★	0.246 23pa Tiny Sample
3	Junior Caminero	0.455 267pa ★	0.301 145pa	0.304 54pa	0.256 41pa ▼	0.481 19pa Tiny Sample
4	Victor Mesa Jr.	0.308 98pa ▼	0.394 26pa ★	0.503 17pa Tiny Sample	0.136 18pa Tiny Sample	0.196 9pa Tiny Sample
5	Chandler Simpson	0.330 305pa	0.355 73pa ★	0.183 48pa ▼	0.219 29pa	0.210 20pa Tiny Sample
6	Cedric Mullins	0.293 263pa	0.248 72pa ▼	0.299 33pa ★	0.313 35pa	0.243 12pa Tiny Sample
7	Taylor Walls	0.310 230pa ★	0.211 42pa	0.171 40pa	0.144 29pa ▼	0.215 9pa Tiny Sample
8	Richie Palacios	0.336 186pa	0.280 40pa	0.354 32pa ★	0.095 30pa ▼	0.110 8pa Tiny Sample
9	Nick Fortes	0.332 185pa ★	0.173 60pa ▼	0.309 28pa	0.495 14pa Tiny Sample	0.293 6pa Tiny Sample
9	Hunter Feduccia	0.290 115pa ★	0.198 24pa Tiny Sample	0.253 25pa ▼	0.084 23pa Tiny Sample	0.490 10pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Kansas City Royals Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Shane McClanahan )

📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)

↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families

#	Hitter	Fastball	Slider/Sweep	Changeup	Curve/Slurve	Splitter
1	Lane Thomas	0.336 244pa	0.276 58pa	0.349 38pa ★	0.252 29pa ▼	0.000 9pa Tiny Sample
2	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.361 234pa ★	0.287 130pa ▼	0.349 50pa	0.347 34pa	0.449 7pa Tiny Sample
3	Jac Caglianone	0.328 210pa ▼	0.363 98pa	0.383 63pa ★	0.323 50pa	0.219 23pa Tiny Sample
4	Starling Marte	0.313 94pa	0.226 36pa ▼	0.306 28pa ★	0.291 20pa Tiny Sample	0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
4	Kameron Misner	0.181 35pa ★ ▼	0.293 12pa Tiny Sample	0.560 9pa Tiny Sample	0.248 10pa Tiny Sample	—
5	Salvador Perez	0.319 208pa	0.237 139pa	0.327 55pa ★	0.217 57pa ▼	0.175 14pa Tiny Sample
6	Carter Jensen	0.359 241pa ★	0.223 123pa	0.211 46pa ▼	0.287 44pa	0.433 24pa Tiny Sample
7	Nick Loftin	0.373 196pa ★	0.264 71pa	0.242 29pa ▼	0.254 17pa Tiny Sample	0.088 10pa Tiny Sample
8	Tyler Tolbert	0.296 68pa ▼	0.401 28pa ★	0.351 15pa Tiny Sample	0.408 7pa Tiny Sample	0.416 3pa Tiny Sample
9	Michael Massey	0.293 197pa	0.316 53pa ★	0.252 48pa ▼	0.656 21pa Tiny Sample	0.118 18pa Tiny Sample

Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest

Top Tampa Bay Rays Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Junior Caminero #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.011 OPS (last 14d, +0.271 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
2.Richie Palacios #8Batting 0.835 OPS (last 14d, +0.095 vs avg)
3.Jonathan Aranda #2Batting 0.783 OPS (last 14d, +0.043 vs avg)

Top Kansas City Royals Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

1.Jac Caglianone #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.144 OPS (last 14d, +0.404 vs avg)
2.Tyler Tolbert #8Batting 1.084 OPS (last 14d, +0.344 vs avg)
3.Bobby Witt Jr. #2Batting 1.002 OPS (last 14d, +0.262 vs avg); strong vs Fastball

Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays)

Excellent HR suppression (0.6 HR/9)

Seth Lugo (Kansas City Royals)

No significant outliers in available metrics

⚠ Data Notes

Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Recent form data for 19 of 20 hitters

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⚾ Daily Matchup Lab

Matchups

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