⚾ Daily Matchup Lab

Pitcher arsenal vs expected lineup matchup edges for today's MLB slate.

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Fri, Jul 10, 2026
All Games (14) ★ Focus (0) Lineup Edge Pitcher Edge Balanced Low Confidence

Matchups

14 games
Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers
8:05 PM ET · Globe Life Field
Hunter Brown vs Cal Quantrill
Houston Astros has the edge
Slight Houston Astros AdvantageLineup-Based Medium Confidence
Houston Astros starter Hunter Brown (3.53 ERA) — Texas Rangers starter Cal Quantrill (3.56 ERA) — Overall: Slight Houston Astros Advantage. Edge source: Lineup-Based.
Log in to track picks
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
Overall edge indicator — left = Houston Astros · right = Texas Rangers · away pitching edge · away lineup edge
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Hunter Brown
Houston Astros · RHP · 11 GS
Average
3.53ERA
1.24WHIP
9.70K/9
4.90BB/9
1.10HR/9
58.7IP
4.39FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 2.41 · WHIP 0.804 · 18.7 IP
Cal Quantrill
Texas Rangers · RHP · 7 GS
Average
3.56ERA
1.19WHIP
5.90K/9
2.60BB/9
1.20HR/9
65.7IP
4.72FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 2.35 · WHIP 0.848 · 15.3 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Houston Astros Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Cal Quantrill )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Jeremy Peña 0.386 166pa 0.391 91pa ★ 0.152 21pa Tiny Sample 0.225 27pa ▼ 0.536 10pa Tiny Sample
2 Yordan Alvarez 0.456 287pa 0.360 97pa 0.328 74pa ▼ 0.506 51pa ★ 0.422 25pa
3 Isaac Paredes 0.369 299pa ★ 0.271 101pa 0.310 52pa 0.195 44pa ▼ 0.402 16pa Tiny Sample
4 Christian Walker 0.322 288pa 0.387 129pa ★ 0.279 41pa 0.183 44pa ▼ 0.375 15pa Tiny Sample
5 Jose Altuve 0.328 251pa ★ 0.269 130pa 0.165 34pa ▼ 0.265 20pa Tiny Sample 0.147 12pa Tiny Sample
6 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.357 73pa ★ ▼ 0.408 24pa Tiny Sample 0.356 17pa Tiny Sample 0.115 6pa Tiny Sample 0.416 3pa Tiny Sample
6 Zach Dezenzo 0.335 57pa ★ ▼ 0.038 18pa Tiny Sample 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample 0.293 6pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
7 Cam Smith 0.327 284pa ★ 0.261 103pa 0.224 40pa ▼ 0.331 23pa Tiny Sample 0.339 18pa Tiny Sample
8 Yainer Diaz 0.301 144pa ★ 0.284 62pa 0.279 32pa ▼ 0.218 21pa Tiny Sample 0.344 8pa Tiny Sample
9 Brice Matthews 0.360 154pa ★ 0.204 61pa 0.128 26pa ▼ 0.153 16pa Tiny Sample 0.000 10pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Texas Rangers Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Hunter Brown )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Elias Díaz 0.326 82pa ★ 0.216 36pa ▼ 0.312 23pa Tiny Sample 0.558 12pa Tiny Sample 0.176 5pa Tiny Sample
1 Joc Pederson 0.401 201pa ★ 0.367 69pa 0.229 59pa 0.206 46pa ▼ 0.363 14pa Tiny Sample
2 Wyatt Langford 0.328 199pa ▼ 0.430 72pa 0.446 30pa ★ 0.489 15pa Tiny Sample 0.474 8pa Tiny Sample
3 Josh Jung 0.357 231pa 0.293 97pa ▼ 0.446 42pa ★ 0.371 31pa 0.501 6pa Tiny Sample
4 Brandon Nimmo 0.374 306pa 0.366 89pa ★ 0.238 64pa ▼ 0.321 42pa 0.420 12pa Tiny Sample
5 Jake Burger 0.330 257pa 0.334 145pa 0.288 47pa ▼ 0.412 31pa ★ 0.169 12pa Tiny Sample
6 Ezequiel Duran 0.338 235pa 0.403 116pa ★ 0.359 47pa 0.268 44pa ▼ 0.139 9pa Tiny Sample
7 Evan Carter 0.331 212pa 0.329 55pa ★ 0.199 62pa 0.134 25pa ▼ 0.126 7pa Tiny Sample
8 Nicky Lopez 0.346 125pa ★ 0.254 49pa 0.104 34pa ▼ 0.361 18pa Tiny Sample 0.352 10pa Tiny Sample
8 Justin Foscue 0.329 75pa ★ 0.306 48pa ▼ 0.303 18pa Tiny Sample 0.454 14pa Tiny Sample —
9 Kyle Higashioka 0.382 113pa ★ 0.187 61pa ▼ 0.426 13pa Tiny Sample 0.121 13pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Houston Astros Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Christian Walker #4 Strong recent formBatting 1.025 OPS (last 14d, +0.285 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
  • 2.Yordan Alvarez #2 Strong recent formBatting 1.016 OPS (last 14d, +0.276 vs avg)
  • 3.Yainer Diaz #8Batting 1.051 OPS (last 14d, +0.311 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Top Texas Rangers Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Brandon Nimmo #4 Strong recent formBatting 0.899 OPS (last 14d, +0.159 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
  • 2.Ezequiel Duran #6Batting 0.811 OPS (last 14d, +0.071 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
  • 3.Elias Díaz #1Batting 0.800 OPS (last 14d, +0.060 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Hunter Brown (Houston Astros)
  • Above-average K rate (9.7 K/9)
  • Control concerns (4.9 BB/9)
Cal Quantrill (Texas Rangers)
  • FIP (4.72) above ERA — may regress upward
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 18 of 21 hitters
Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins
8:10 PM ET · Target Field
— vs —
Evenly matched tonight
BalancedBalanced Data Missing Confidence
Matchup appears evenly balanced.
Log in to track picks
Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins
Overall edge indicator — left = Los Angeles Angels · right = Minnesota Twins · even pitching · home lineup edge
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Starter TBD
Los Angeles Angels (away)
Data Unavailable
Starter TBD
Minnesota Twins (home)
Data Unavailable
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Los Angeles Angels Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: TBD )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Zach Neto 0.369 278pa ★ 0.297 136pa 0.234 70pa 0.165 49pa ▼ 0.168 17pa Tiny Sample
2 Nolan Schanuel 0.333 263pa 0.335 85pa ★ 0.302 45pa 0.273 33pa ▼ 0.207 17pa Tiny Sample
3 Vaughn Grissom 0.319 167pa 0.399 70pa ★ 0.200 36pa ▼ 0.280 36pa 0.120 6pa Tiny Sample
3 Denzer Guzman 0.317 92pa ★ 0.304 54pa ▼ 0.360 17pa Tiny Sample 0.099 7pa Tiny Sample 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample
4 Jorge Soler 0.368 214pa ★ 0.298 103pa 0.216 40pa 0.208 36pa ▼ 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample
5 Josh Lowe 0.307 134pa ★ 0.207 42pa 0.209 31pa ▼ 0.251 25pa 0.357 15pa Tiny Sample
6 Jo Adell 0.317 292pa 0.277 128pa 0.184 55pa ▼ 0.563 36pa ★ 0.111 13pa Tiny Sample
7 Oswald Peraza 0.334 181pa ★ 0.263 83pa 0.286 42pa 0.153 33pa ▼ 0.316 5pa Tiny Sample
8 Jose Siri 0.407 88pa ★ 0.192 33pa ▼ 0.353 14pa Tiny Sample 0.255 23pa Tiny Sample —
8 Wade Meckler 0.390 122pa ★ 0.221 32pa ▼ 0.246 28pa 0.144 17pa Tiny Sample 0.501 12pa Tiny Sample
9 Tyler Heineman 0.346 71pa ★ 0.183 26pa 0.139 25pa ▼ 0.084 21pa Tiny Sample 0.165 15pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Minnesota Twins Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: TBD )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Trevor Larnach 0.378 221pa ★ 0.305 67pa 0.131 47pa ▼ 0.360 39pa 0.371 21pa Tiny Sample
2 Ryan Jeffers 0.425 148pa ★ 0.300 68pa ▼ 0.343 26pa 0.405 15pa Tiny Sample 0.000 7pa Tiny Sample
3 Kody Clemens 0.293 270pa ▼ 0.350 80pa 0.348 50pa 0.373 37pa ★ 0.373 18pa Tiny Sample
4 Josh Bell 0.346 275pa ★ 0.323 67pa 0.286 96pa ▼ 0.314 49pa 0.112 19pa Tiny Sample
5 Royce Lewis 0.321 217pa ★ 0.300 103pa 0.183 40pa ▼ 0.288 21pa Tiny Sample 0.077 9pa Tiny Sample
6 Brooks Lee 0.361 255pa ★ 0.289 90pa 0.245 96pa 0.238 50pa ▼ 0.251 12pa Tiny Sample
7 Austin Martin 0.352 238pa ★ 0.236 70pa 0.197 33pa ▼ 0.295 18pa Tiny Sample —
7 Alan Roden 0.245 58pa ★ ▼ 0.278 12pa Tiny Sample 0.271 13pa Tiny Sample 0.408 6pa Tiny Sample 0.220 4pa Tiny Sample
8 Victor Caratini 0.296 223pa 0.379 48pa ★ 0.194 51pa ▼ 0.261 21pa Tiny Sample 0.176 10pa Tiny Sample
8 Tristan Gray 0.335 99pa ★ 0.125 59pa ▼ 0.255 42pa 0.282 19pa Tiny Sample 0.264 10pa Tiny Sample
8 Ryan Kreidler 0.370 133pa ★ 0.211 57pa 0.160 24pa Tiny Sample 0.142 26pa ▼ —
9 Luke Keaschall 0.370 278pa ★ 0.322 118pa 0.183 45pa ▼ 0.205 25pa 0.416 8pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Los Angeles Angels Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Wade Meckler #8Batting 0.904 OPS (last 14d, +0.164 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Jorge Soler #4 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 0.788 OPS (last 14d, +0.048 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Jose Siri #8 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 0.787 OPS (last 14d, +0.047 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Top Minnesota Twins Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Royce Lewis #5 Strong recent formBatting 1.222 OPS (last 14d, +0.482 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Josh Bell #4 Strong recent formBatting 0.970 OPS (last 14d, +0.230 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Luke Keaschall #9 Strong recent formBatting 0.941 OPS (last 14d, +0.201 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

⚠ Data Notes
  • Away probable starter not found
  • Home probable starter not found
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • One starter has a tiny MLB sample; pitcher edge reduced.
Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals
8:15 PM ET · Busch Stadium
Chris Sale vs Kyle Leahy
Atlanta Braves has the edge
Slight Atlanta Braves AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Atlanta Braves starter Chris Sale (2.20 ERA) — St. Louis Cardinals starter Kyle Leahy (3.45 ERA) — Overall: Slight Atlanta Braves Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
Overall edge indicator — left = Atlanta Braves · right = St. Louis Cardinals · away pitching edge · away lineup edge
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Chris Sale
Atlanta Braves · LHP · 21 GS
Above Average
2.20ERA
1.02WHIP
11.10K/9
2.10BB/9
0.60HR/9
123.0IP
2.47FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 3.00 · WHIP 0.833 · 18.0 IP
Kyle Leahy
St. Louis Cardinals · RHP · 21 GS
Average
3.45ERA
1.34WHIP
7.60K/9
2.80BB/9
0.80HR/9
107.3IP
3.73FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 2.65 · WHIP 1.294 · 17.0 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Atlanta Braves Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Kyle Leahy )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Michael Harris II 0.348 226pa 0.344 134pa 0.363 62pa ★ 0.213 46pa ▼ 0.329 18pa Tiny Sample
2 Ozzie Albies 0.340 257pa ★ 0.317 86pa 0.273 99pa 0.292 67pa 0.265 28pa ▼
3 Matt Olson 0.410 331pa ★ 0.320 115pa 0.397 50pa 0.272 51pa ▼ 0.278 12pa Tiny Sample
4 Drake Baldwin 0.395 250pa ★ 0.293 101pa 0.331 56pa 0.281 40pa ▼ 0.297 21pa Tiny Sample
5 Mauricio Dubón 0.341 287pa ★ 0.290 114pa 0.214 58pa ▼ 0.427 24pa Tiny Sample 0.219 15pa Tiny Sample
6 Mike Yastrzemski 0.338 188pa 0.255 65pa ▼ 0.321 41pa 0.382 29pa ★ 0.110 8pa Tiny Sample
6 Eli White 0.378 106pa 0.408 43pa ★ 0.203 25pa ▼ 0.200 8pa Tiny Sample 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample
7 Austin Riley 0.344 304pa ★ 0.256 114pa ▼ 0.256 50pa 0.287 36pa 0.250 11pa Tiny Sample
8 Dominic Smith 0.345 165pa 0.322 52pa 0.134 40pa ▼ 0.351 34pa ★ 0.225 16pa Tiny Sample
9 Joey Bart 0.286 72pa 0.287 44pa ★ 0.275 26pa ▼ 0.272 9pa Tiny Sample 0.126 7pa Tiny Sample
9 Jorge Mateo 0.337 98pa ★ 0.252 43pa ▼ 0.043 16pa Tiny Sample 0.188 16pa Tiny Sample —
9 Jim Jarvis 0.283 66pa ★ ▼ 0.156 16pa Tiny Sample 0.370 20pa Tiny Sample 0.249 5pa Tiny Sample 0.000 4pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
St. Louis Cardinals Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Chris Sale )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 JJ Wetherholt 0.355 325pa ★ 0.260 99pa 0.239 55pa ▼ 0.352 33pa 0.321 18pa Tiny Sample
2 Iván Herrera 0.345 283pa 0.342 128pa ★ 0.283 55pa ▼ 0.312 47pa 0.400 13pa Tiny Sample
3 Jordan Walker 0.344 284pa 0.302 136pa 0.381 53pa ★ 0.272 36pa ▼ 0.669 10pa Tiny Sample
4 Lars Nootbaar 0.335 106pa ★ 0.301 34pa 0.174 36pa ▼ 0.359 13pa Tiny Sample 0.278 14pa Tiny Sample
4 Nelson Velázquez 0.408 79pa ★ ▼ 0.224 21pa Tiny Sample 0.396 12pa Tiny Sample 0.390 9pa Tiny Sample —
5 Alec Burleson 0.367 246pa 0.297 113pa ▼ 0.373 83pa 0.394 57pa ★ 0.322 26pa
6 Masyn Winn 0.297 259pa 0.282 122pa 0.308 43pa ★ 0.258 37pa ▼ 0.098 16pa Tiny Sample
7 José Fermín 0.290 178pa ★ 0.240 53pa 0.138 32pa ▼ 0.282 21pa Tiny Sample 0.147 6pa Tiny Sample
7 Nathan Church 0.319 168pa ★ 0.225 84pa ▼ 0.292 69pa 0.303 33pa 0.235 15pa Tiny Sample
8 Blaze Jordan 0.288 93pa ★ 0.271 46pa ▼ 0.123 20pa Tiny Sample 0.435 11pa Tiny Sample 0.000 4pa Tiny Sample
9 Pedro Pagés 0.261 98pa ★ 0.240 51pa 0.213 29pa ▼ 0.236 15pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
9 Bryan Torres 0.353 69pa ★ ▼ 0.105 15pa Tiny Sample 0.229 17pa Tiny Sample 0.303 11pa Tiny Sample —
9 Jimmy Crooks 0.240 71pa ★ ▼ 0.591 15pa Tiny Sample 0.199 16pa Tiny Sample 0.057 12pa Tiny Sample 0.220 4pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Atlanta Braves Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Matt Olson #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.161 OPS (last 14d, +0.421 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Mike Yastrzemski #6Batting 1.023 OPS (last 14d, +0.283 vs avg)
  • 3.Austin Riley #7Batting 0.901 OPS (last 14d, +0.161 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Top St. Louis Cardinals Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Alec Burleson #5 Strong recent formBatting 0.968 OPS (last 14d, +0.228 vs avg)
  • 2.Blaze Jordan #8Batting 0.850 OPS (last 14d, +0.110 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Nelson Velázquez #4 Hot, but small sampleBatting 1.000 OPS (last 14d, +0.260 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Chris Sale (Atlanta Braves)
  • Elite ERA (2.20) — strong run prevention
  • Elite strikeout rate (11.1 K/9)
  • Above-average K rate (11.1 K/9)
  • Excellent HR suppression (0.6 HR/9)
  • FIP (2.47) confirms elite results
Kyle Leahy (St. Louis Cardinals)
  • No significant outliers in available metrics
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 24 of 25 hitters
Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres
9:40 PM ET · Petco Park
Shane Bieber vs JP Sears
San Diego Padres has the edge
Slight San Diego Padres AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Toronto Blue Jays starter Shane Bieber (5.11 ERA) — San Diego Padres starter JP Sears (4.68 ERA) — Overall: Slight San Diego Padres Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Toronto Blue Jays
San Diego Padres
Overall edge indicator — left = Toronto Blue Jays · right = San Diego Padres · home pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Shane Bieber
Toronto Blue Jays · RHP · 8 GS
Building Sample
5.11ERA
1.68WHIP
6.70K/9
4.90BB/9
1.90HR/9
42.7IP
6.01FIP
⚠ 42.7 IP — a growing sample. Getting more reliable, not fully trusted yet.
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 4.05 · WHIP 1.575 · 13.3 IP
JP Sears
San Diego Padres · LHP · 6 GS
Building Sample
4.68ERA
1.35WHIP
6.90K/9
3.00BB/9
1.70HR/9
32.7IP
5.20FIP
⚠ 32.7 IP — a growing sample. Getting more reliable, not fully trusted yet.
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 5.62 · WHIP 1.625 · 8.0 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: JP Sears )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Ernie Clement 0.332 268pa ★ 0.322 116pa 0.241 55pa 0.164 42pa ▼ 0.293 9pa Tiny Sample
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.366 261pa ★ 0.212 113pa ▼ 0.330 52pa 0.262 37pa 0.129 15pa Tiny Sample
3 Kazuma Okamoto 0.356 281pa ★ 0.296 121pa 0.178 38pa ▼ 0.208 40pa 0.514 7pa Tiny Sample
4 George Springer 0.340 231pa ★ 0.294 123pa 0.274 40pa ▼ 0.505 14pa Tiny Sample 0.204 12pa Tiny Sample
5 Alejandro Kirk 0.350 104pa ★ 0.280 57pa ▼ 0.278 14pa Tiny Sample 0.164 13pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
6 Daulton Varsho 0.320 243pa ★ 0.307 88pa 0.302 44pa 0.248 41pa ▼ 0.413 15pa Tiny Sample
7 Luis Urías 0.313 32pa ★ ▼ 0.401 16pa Tiny Sample 0.370 10pa Tiny Sample 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample —
7 Andrés Giménez 0.322 211pa 0.220 89pa ▼ 0.258 40pa 0.310 40pa ★ 0.235 15pa Tiny Sample
8 Myles Straw 0.283 167pa ★ 0.103 52pa ▼ 0.205 16pa Tiny Sample 0.567 11pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
9 Nathan Lukes 0.299 202pa ▼ 0.361 49pa 0.361 35pa 0.377 30pa ★ 0.414 20pa Tiny Sample
9 Jonatan Clase 0.383 21pa Tiny Sample 0.655 11pa Tiny Sample 0.177 12pa Tiny Sample — —
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
San Diego Padres Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Shane Bieber )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.346 313pa 0.377 127pa ★ 0.299 49pa ▼ 0.307 25pa 0.000 13pa Tiny Sample
2 Jackson Merrill 0.338 278pa ★ 0.296 94pa 0.252 74pa 0.261 49pa 0.111 30pa ▼
3 Xander Bogaerts 0.340 289pa ★ 0.241 100pa 0.198 39pa 0.155 36pa ▼ 0.149 13pa Tiny Sample
4 Manny Machado 0.366 284pa ★ 0.247 120pa 0.195 55pa 0.198 32pa ▼ 0.188 12pa Tiny Sample
5 Gavin Sheets 0.379 219pa ★ 0.309 74pa 0.231 67pa ▼ 0.290 36pa 0.185 19pa Tiny Sample
6 Ty France 0.333 206pa ▼ 0.385 82pa 0.494 43pa ★ 0.346 24pa Tiny Sample 0.264 10pa Tiny Sample
7 Miguel Andujar 0.316 160pa ★ 0.245 75pa ▼ 0.266 30pa 0.517 19pa Tiny Sample 0.504 10pa Tiny Sample
7 Jake Cronenworth 0.338 177pa ★ 0.163 38pa ▼ 0.165 38pa 0.302 28pa 0.412 13pa Tiny Sample
8 Luis Rengifo 0.306 186pa 0.314 58pa ★ 0.242 51pa 0.217 31pa ▼ 0.057 12pa Tiny Sample
8 Jase Bowen 0.282 68pa ★ ▼ 0.323 23pa Tiny Sample 0.125 17pa Tiny Sample 0.266 8pa Tiny Sample —
9 Rodolfo Durán 0.295 62pa ★ 0.284 36pa ▼ 0.115 6pa Tiny Sample 0.587 3pa Tiny Sample 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample
9 Luis Campusano 0.352 101pa ★ 0.307 35pa ▼ 0.576 11pa Tiny Sample 0.313 14pa Tiny Sample —
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Toronto Blue Jays Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Alejandro Kirk #5Batting 0.858 OPS (last 14d, +0.118 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Andrés Giménez #7Batting 0.758 OPS (last 14d, +0.018 vs avg)
  • 3.George Springer #4Batting 0.754 OPS (last 14d, +0.014 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Top San Diego Padres Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Fernando Tatis Jr. #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.966 OPS (last 14d, +0.226 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
  • 2.Jackson Merrill #2Batting 0.881 OPS (last 14d, +0.141 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Luis Campusano #9Batting 0.848 OPS (last 14d, +0.108 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Shane Bieber (Toronto Blue Jays)
  • Elevated HR/9 (1.9) — HR risk
  • Control concerns (4.9 BB/9)
JP Sears (San Diego Padres)
  • No significant outliers in available metrics
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 20 of 23 hitters
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers
10:10 PM ET · Dodger Stadium
Eduardo Rodriguez vs Kyle Hurt
Arizona Diamondbacks has the edge
Slight Arizona Diamondbacks AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Arizona Diamondbacks starter Eduardo Rodriguez (2.71 ERA) — Los Angeles Dodgers starter Kyle Hurt (4.58 ERA) — Overall: Slight Arizona Diamondbacks Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
Overall edge indicator — left = Arizona Diamondbacks · right = Los Angeles Dodgers · away pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Eduardo Rodriguez
Arizona Diamondbacks · LHP · 23 GS
Average
2.71ERA
1.24WHIP
6.30K/9
3.00BB/9
0.80HR/9
143.3IP
3.90FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 3.20 · WHIP 1.373 · 19.7 IP
Kyle Hurt
Los Angeles Dodgers · RHP · 1 GS
Building Sample
4.58ERA
1.42WHIP
10.90K/9
4.60BB/9
1.00HR/9
37.3IP
3.74FIP
⚠ 37.3 IP gives usable pitcher context — but only 1 GS means starter-role performance is less certain.
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 4.50 · WHIP 1.750 · 4.0 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Kyle Hurt )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Ketel Marte 0.353 255pa 0.268 87pa 0.208 85pa ▼ 0.374 48pa ★ 0.252 32pa
2 Geraldo Perdomo 0.361 308pa ★ 0.295 76pa 0.310 77pa 0.247 22pa Tiny Sample 0.220 28pa ▼
3 Corbin Carroll 0.353 271pa 0.361 111pa ★ 0.309 62pa 0.293 40pa 0.186 31pa ▼
4 Gabriel Moreno 0.422 229pa ★ 0.305 91pa 0.288 42pa ▼ 0.200 23pa Tiny Sample 0.350 14pa Tiny Sample
5 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.277 115pa ★ 0.185 39pa 0.152 25pa ▼ 0.314 5pa Tiny Sample 0.176 5pa Tiny Sample
6 Ildemaro Vargas 0.355 224pa ★ 0.274 61pa ▼ 0.275 65pa 0.308 29pa 0.176 15pa Tiny Sample
7 Nolan Arenado 0.413 237pa ★ 0.221 127pa 0.264 45pa 0.183 26pa ▼ 0.227 12pa Tiny Sample
8 Jorge Barrosa 0.324 120pa ★ 0.275 26pa ▼ 0.337 19pa Tiny Sample 0.247 17pa Tiny Sample 0.304 7pa Tiny Sample
8 Ryan Waldschmidt 0.332 115pa ▼ 0.379 65pa ★ 0.293 21pa Tiny Sample 0.125 10pa Tiny Sample 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample
9 Tim Tawa 0.332 135pa ★ 0.251 54pa ▼ 0.300 25pa 0.304 8pa Tiny Sample 0.379 10pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Los Angeles Dodgers Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Eduardo Rodriguez )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.417 249pa ★ 0.396 101pa 0.383 67pa 0.217 54pa ▼ 0.378 17pa Tiny Sample
2 Andy Pages 0.328 329pa ▼ 0.360 129pa 0.330 43pa 0.396 33pa ★ 0.278 12pa Tiny Sample
3 Freddie Freeman 0.407 313pa 0.279 98pa 0.243 60pa ▼ 0.441 47pa ★ 0.423 14pa Tiny Sample
3 Alex Call 0.336 122pa ▼ 0.367 41pa ★ 0.240 11pa Tiny Sample 0.490 5pa Tiny Sample 0.440 4pa Tiny Sample
4 Alex Freeland 0.316 140pa ★ 0.241 43pa 0.166 45pa ▼ 0.181 27pa 0.373 13pa Tiny Sample
4 Mookie Betts 0.319 242pa ★ 0.313 66pa 0.303 38pa ▼ 0.123 20pa Tiny Sample 0.277 7pa Tiny Sample
5 Tommy Edman 0.320 88pa ★ 0.423 23pa Tiny Sample 0.225 29pa ▼ 0.174 9pa Tiny Sample 0.832 8pa Tiny Sample
6 Kyle Tucker 0.355 270pa ★ 0.286 78pa 0.255 82pa ▼ 0.340 35pa 0.288 17pa Tiny Sample
6 Eliezer Alfonzo 0.266 40pa ★ ▼ 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample 0.147 6pa Tiny Sample 0.440 4pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
7 Teoscar Hernández 0.364 211pa 0.277 70pa ▼ 0.383 41pa ★ 0.229 23pa Tiny Sample 0.166 16pa Tiny Sample
8 Miguel Rojas 0.374 136pa ★ 0.305 47pa ▼ 0.158 20pa Tiny Sample 0.285 10pa Tiny Sample 0.176 5pa Tiny Sample
9 Dalton Rushing 0.359 148pa 0.402 49pa 0.282 44pa ▼ 0.426 33pa ★ 0.176 10pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Arizona Diamondbacks Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Geraldo Perdomo #2 Strong recent formBatting 0.915 OPS (last 14d, +0.175 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Ryan Waldschmidt #8Batting 0.878 OPS (last 14d, +0.138 vs avg)
  • 3.Ildemaro Vargas #6Batting 0.872 OPS (last 14d, +0.132 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Top Los Angeles Dodgers Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Shohei Ohtani #1 Strong recent formBatting 1.327 OPS (last 14d, +0.587 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Kyle Tucker #6Batting 0.871 OPS (last 14d, +0.131 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Andy Pages #2Batting 0.864 OPS (last 14d, +0.124 vs avg)
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks)
  • Elite ERA (2.71) — strong run prevention
  • FIP (3.9) above ERA — may regress upward
Kyle Hurt (Los Angeles Dodgers)
  • Elite strikeout rate (10.9 K/9)
  • Above-average K rate (10.9 K/9)
  • Control concerns (4.6 BB/9)
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Starter sample is small; pitcher edge is partially discounted.
  • Recent form data for 20 of 22 hitters
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants
10:15 PM ET · Oracle Park
Tanner Gordon vs Robbie Ray
San Francisco Giants has the edge
Slight San Francisco Giants AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Colorado Rockies starter Tanner Gordon (5.91 ERA) — San Francisco Giants starter Robbie Ray (3.24 ERA) — Overall: Slight San Francisco Giants Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
Overall edge indicator — left = Colorado Rockies · right = San Francisco Giants · home pitching edge · away lineup edge
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Tanner Gordon
Colorado Rockies · RHP · 5 GS
Below Average
5.91ERA
1.50WHIP
7.80K/9
1.70BB/9
2.00HR/9
67.3IP
4.99FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 5.62 · WHIP 1.375 · 8.0 IP
Robbie Ray
San Francisco Giants · LHP · 22 GS
Average
3.24ERA
1.33WHIP
7.70K/9
4.40BB/9
1.10HR/9
127.7IP
4.55FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 2.65 · WHIP 1.471 · 17.0 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Colorado Rockies Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Robbie Ray )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Jake McCarthy 0.412 263pa ★ 0.288 80pa 0.231 52pa ▼ 0.236 36pa 0.814 13pa Tiny Sample
2 Kyle Karros 0.413 250pa ★ 0.264 104pa 0.257 39pa 0.257 26pa ▼ 0.594 7pa Tiny Sample
3 Cole Carrigg 0.386 123pa ▼ 0.451 32pa ★ 0.432 42pa 0.244 13pa Tiny Sample 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample
4 Hunter Goodman 0.396 249pa ★ 0.344 133pa 0.307 45pa 0.308 46pa ▼ 0.131 12pa Tiny Sample
5 TJ Rumfield 0.381 276pa ★ 0.328 119pa 0.307 55pa ▼ 0.310 42pa 0.282 19pa Tiny Sample
5 Edouard Julien 0.304 168pa 0.283 58pa 0.198 45pa ▼ 0.323 25pa ★ 0.575 9pa Tiny Sample
6 Tyler Freeman 0.334 191pa ★ 0.204 74pa ▼ 0.252 29pa 0.147 12pa Tiny Sample 0.352 4pa Tiny Sample
7 Willi Castro 0.378 222pa 0.260 63pa ▼ 0.259 74pa 0.392 47pa ★ 0.112 14pa Tiny Sample
8 Mickey Moniak 0.385 161pa ★ 0.357 77pa 0.253 52pa ▼ 0.344 28pa 0.301 14pa Tiny Sample
9 Ezequiel Tovar 0.263 229pa 0.245 112pa ▼ 0.317 37pa ★ 0.260 33pa 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample
9 Troy Johnston 0.338 190pa 0.331 79pa 0.264 72pa ▼ 0.438 42pa ★ 0.423 18pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
San Francisco Giants Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Tanner Gordon )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Grant McCray 0.346 53pa ★ ▼ 0.209 16pa Tiny Sample 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample 0.126 7pa Tiny Sample —
1 Heliot Ramos 0.298 198pa 0.320 81pa ★ 0.205 36pa ▼ 0.283 24pa Tiny Sample 0.601 9pa Tiny Sample
2 Luis Arraez 0.344 340pa 0.318 76pa 0.214 50pa ▼ 0.452 30pa ★ 0.291 13pa Tiny Sample
3 Casey Schmitt 0.322 272pa 0.357 114pa 0.496 37pa ★ 0.215 30pa ▼ 0.120 6pa Tiny Sample
4 Rafael Devers 0.375 315pa 0.233 97pa ▼ 0.234 58pa 0.331 28pa 0.437 26pa ★
5 Willy Adames 0.345 296pa ★ 0.238 138pa 0.230 37pa 0.197 31pa ▼ 0.239 17pa Tiny Sample
6 Bryce Eldridge 0.391 207pa ★ 0.275 60pa 0.269 43pa 0.242 26pa ▼ 0.203 10pa Tiny Sample
7 Jung Hoo Lee 0.339 270pa 0.379 101pa ★ 0.317 34pa 0.291 37pa ▼ 0.463 12pa Tiny Sample
8 Drew Gilbert 0.333 177pa ★ 0.241 52pa ▼ 0.279 36pa 0.271 27pa 0.270 13pa Tiny Sample
9 Drew Cavanaugh 0.354 45pa ★ ▼ 0.238 14pa Tiny Sample 0.172 8pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample —
9 Eric Haase 0.418 59pa ★ 0.168 30pa ▼ 0.069 10pa Tiny Sample 0.000 8pa Tiny Sample —
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Colorado Rockies Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Willi Castro #7Batting 1.110 OPS (last 14d, +0.370 vs avg)
  • 2.Jake McCarthy #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.970 OPS (last 14d, +0.230 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Cole Carrigg #3 Strong recent formBatting 0.905 OPS (last 14d, +0.165 vs avg)
Top San Francisco Giants Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Jung Hoo Lee #7Batting 0.870 OPS (last 14d, +0.130 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
  • 2.Luis Arraez #2Batting 0.762 OPS (last 14d, +0.022 vs avg)
  • 3.Rafael Devers #4Batting 0.743 OPS (last 14d, +0.003 vs avg)
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Tanner Gordon (Colorado Rockies)
  • High ERA (5.91) — run-prevention risk
  • Elevated HR/9 (2.0) — HR risk
  • Sharp control (1.7 BB/9)
Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants)
  • Control concerns (4.4 BB/9)
  • FIP (4.55) above ERA — may regress upward
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 20 of 22 hitters
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
6:40 PM ET · Comerica Park
Aaron Nola vs Jack Flaherty
Detroit Tigers has the edge
Slight Detroit Tigers AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Philadelphia Phillies starter Aaron Nola (5.47 ERA) — Detroit Tigers starter Jack Flaherty (4.59 ERA) — Overall: Slight Detroit Tigers Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Philadelphia Phillies
Detroit Tigers
Overall edge indicator — left = Philadelphia Phillies · right = Detroit Tigers · home pitching edge · home lineup edge
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Aaron Nola
Philadelphia Phillies · RHP · 24 GS
Below Average
5.47ERA
1.45WHIP
9.30K/9
3.10BB/9
2.10HR/9
125.0IP
5.16FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 4.50 · WHIP 1.455 · 22.0 IP
Jack Flaherty
Detroit Tigers · RHP · 19 GS
Average
4.59ERA
1.41WHIP
10.60K/9
4.40BB/9
1.20HR/9
86.3IP
4.15FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Jack Flaherty )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Trea Turner 0.322 306pa 0.235 141pa ▼ 0.231 48pa 0.344 49pa ★ 0.243 16pa Tiny Sample
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.444 255pa ★ 0.263 136pa ▼ 0.411 51pa 0.311 55pa 0.390 20pa Tiny Sample
3 Bryce Harper 0.413 245pa ★ 0.380 117pa 0.310 56pa 0.323 63pa 0.186 35pa ▼
4 Brandon Marsh 0.359 258pa 0.242 112pa 0.195 50pa 0.386 45pa ★ 0.183 26pa ▼
5 Alec Bohm 0.312 322pa 0.186 114pa ▼ 0.475 32pa ★ 0.226 23pa Tiny Sample 0.321 16pa Tiny Sample
6 Bryson Stott 0.359 260pa 0.374 84pa ★ 0.330 57pa 0.228 53pa 0.133 26pa ▼
7 Gabriel Rincones Jr. 0.228 46pa ★ ▼ 0.271 14pa Tiny Sample 0.367 15pa Tiny Sample 0.000 9pa Tiny Sample 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample
8 Derek Hill 0.305 113pa ▼ 0.419 53pa ★ 0.310 24pa Tiny Sample 0.292 13pa Tiny Sample 0.176 5pa Tiny Sample
8 Justin Crawford 0.309 217pa 0.299 68pa ★ 0.229 46pa ▼ 0.301 38pa 0.136 18pa Tiny Sample
9 Rafael Marchán 0.214 70pa ★ ▼ 0.131 19pa Tiny Sample 0.096 13pa Tiny Sample 0.143 11pa Tiny Sample 0.313 9pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Detroit Tigers Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Aaron Nola )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Kevin McGonigle 0.427 344pa ★ 0.214 91pa ▼ 0.256 80pa 0.344 32pa 0.307 20pa Tiny Sample
2 Colt Keith 0.319 212pa ▼ 0.312 52pa 0.318 68pa ★ 0.477 24pa Tiny Sample 0.168 22pa Tiny Sample
3 Riley Greene 0.372 303pa 0.387 94pa ★ 0.241 79pa 0.319 29pa 0.256 33pa ▼
3 Ben Malgeri 0.370 35pa ★ ▼ 0.539 9pa Tiny Sample 0.000 9pa Tiny Sample 0.523 3pa Tiny Sample —
4 Spencer Torkelson 0.352 298pa ★ 0.331 118pa 0.238 49pa 0.167 28pa ▼ 0.068 13pa Tiny Sample
5 Matt Vierling 0.265 188pa ▼ 0.284 87pa ★ 0.264 33pa 0.218 21pa Tiny Sample 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample
5 Kerry Carpenter 0.309 159pa 0.189 49pa ▼ 0.475 45pa ★ 0.211 38pa 0.063 14pa Tiny Sample
6 Eduardo Valencia 0.485 37pa ★ ▼ 0.364 16pa Tiny Sample 0.304 7pa Tiny Sample — —
7 Zach McKinstry 0.318 204pa ★ 0.301 64pa 0.205 30pa 0.190 37pa ▼ 0.078 20pa Tiny Sample
8 James Outman 0.289 104pa 0.392 37pa ★ 0.098 36pa ▼ 0.251 24pa Tiny Sample 0.096 13pa Tiny Sample
9 Jake Rogers 0.306 102pa ★ 0.177 31pa ▼ 0.157 10pa Tiny Sample 0.324 7pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Philadelphia Phillies Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Bryce Harper #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.042 OPS (last 14d, +0.302 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Bryson Stott #6 Strong recent formBatting 1.007 OPS (last 14d, +0.267 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
  • 3.Trea Turner #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.893 OPS (last 14d, +0.153 vs avg)
Top Detroit Tigers Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Colt Keith #2Batting 1.185 OPS (last 14d, +0.445 vs avg)
  • 2.Eduardo Valencia #6Batting 1.154 OPS (last 14d, +0.414 vs avg)
  • 3.Ben Malgeri #3 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 1.393 OPS (last 14d, +0.653 vs avg)
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Aaron Nola (Philadelphia Phillies)
  • Above-average K rate (9.3 K/9)
  • Elevated HR/9 (2.1) — HR risk
Jack Flaherty (Detroit Tigers)
  • Elite strikeout rate (10.6 K/9)
  • Above-average K rate (10.6 K/9)
  • Control concerns (4.4 BB/9)
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 19 of 21 hitters
New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals
6:45 PM ET · Nationals Park
Ryan Weathers vs Carson Palmquist
New York Yankees has the edge
Slight New York Yankees AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
New York Yankees starter Ryan Weathers (3.79 ERA) — Washington Nationals starter Carson Palmquist (7.71 ERA) — Overall: Slight New York Yankees Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
New York Yankees
Washington Nationals
Overall edge indicator — left = New York Yankees · right = Washington Nationals · away pitching edge · home lineup edge
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Ryan Weathers
New York Yankees · LHP · 22 GS
Average
3.79ERA
1.22WHIP
9.80K/9
2.50BB/9
1.30HR/9
121.0IP
3.71FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 0.48 · WHIP 0.964 · 18.7 IP
Carson Palmquist
Washington Nationals · LHP · 6 GS
Small Sample
7.71ERA
1.78WHIP
8.30K/9
4.40BB/9
0.60HR/9
16.3IP
4.13FIP
⚠ Just 16.3 IP — the stats are real, but partially discounted until there's more evidence.
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 9.45 · WHIP 2.250 · 6.7 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
New York Yankees Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Carson Palmquist )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Ryan McMahon 0.329 170pa ★ 0.163 70pa ▼ 0.289 32pa 0.215 37pa 0.366 14pa Tiny Sample
1 Amed Rosario 0.272 113pa ▼ 0.335 45pa ★ 0.286 36pa 0.374 20pa Tiny Sample 0.220 4pa Tiny Sample
1 Anthony Volpe 0.325 105pa ★ 0.288 49pa ▼ 0.308 15pa Tiny Sample 0.126 21pa Tiny Sample 0.000 4pa Tiny Sample
2 Ben Rice 0.435 254pa ★ 0.336 125pa 0.328 56pa 0.320 59pa 0.146 30pa ▼
3 Trent Grisham 0.304 275pa ▼ 0.346 67pa ★ 0.324 45pa 0.305 22pa Tiny Sample 0.078 20pa Tiny Sample
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.329 195pa 0.329 77pa 0.319 40pa ▼ 0.371 28pa ★ 0.147 6pa Tiny Sample
5 Cody Bellinger 0.340 288pa 0.381 76pa ★ 0.240 49pa ▼ 0.260 29pa 0.274 27pa
6 Jasson Domínguez 0.287 148pa ▼ 0.308 35pa 0.401 42pa ★ 0.347 12pa Tiny Sample 0.146 20pa Tiny Sample
7 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.312 242pa 0.356 94pa ★ 0.325 49pa 0.191 57pa ▼ 0.105 15pa Tiny Sample
8 José Caballero 0.304 215pa 0.245 89pa 0.184 35pa ▼ 0.343 28pa ★ 0.523 13pa Tiny Sample
9 Austin Wells 0.333 158pa ★ 0.144 58pa ▼ 0.188 29pa 0.119 19pa Tiny Sample 0.086 17pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Washington Nationals Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Ryan Weathers )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 James Wood 0.436 287pa ★ 0.383 143pa 0.328 68pa 0.152 60pa ▼ 0.286 15pa Tiny Sample
2 Curtis Mead 0.377 193pa ★ 0.276 86pa ▼ 0.317 38pa 0.527 23pa Tiny Sample 0.512 8pa Tiny Sample
3 Dylan Crews 0.295 191pa ★ 0.246 65pa 0.237 32pa ▼ 0.414 9pa Tiny Sample 0.103 7pa Tiny Sample
4 CJ Abrams 0.429 249pa ★ 0.275 142pa ▼ 0.352 62pa 0.395 71pa 0.402 14pa Tiny Sample
5 Jacob Young 0.344 216pa ★ 0.187 91pa ▼ 0.284 34pa 0.315 21pa Tiny Sample 0.508 8pa Tiny Sample
6 Andrés Chaparro 0.402 81pa ★ 0.229 30pa ▼ 0.272 28pa 0.285 10pa Tiny Sample —
6 Daylen Lile 0.333 256pa 0.284 113pa 0.233 84pa ▼ 0.398 49pa ★ 0.357 24pa Tiny Sample
7 Jorbit Vivas 0.333 155pa 0.288 51pa 0.157 28pa ▼ 0.362 25pa ★ 0.135 13pa Tiny Sample
7 Nasim Nuñez 0.294 243pa 0.342 70pa ★ 0.211 71pa 0.130 31pa ▼ 0.135 13pa Tiny Sample
8 Luis García Jr. 0.367 193pa 0.370 90pa ★ 0.294 76pa 0.366 47pa 0.116 26pa ▼
9 Keibert Ruiz 0.363 160pa ★ 0.239 64pa ▼ 0.341 43pa 0.238 20pa Tiny Sample 0.369 12pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top New York Yankees Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.José Caballero #8Batting 1.084 OPS (last 14d, +0.344 vs avg)
  • 2.Austin Wells #9Batting 0.801 OPS (last 14d, +0.061 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Ryan McMahon #1Batting 0.778 OPS (last 14d, +0.038 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Top Washington Nationals Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Jacob Young #5Batting 1.051 OPS (last 14d, +0.311 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Luis García Jr. #8Batting 1.009 OPS (last 14d, +0.269 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
  • 3.Daylen Lile #6Batting 0.856 OPS (last 14d, +0.116 vs avg)
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Ryan Weathers (New York Yankees)
  • Above-average K rate (9.8 K/9)
Carson Palmquist (Washington Nationals)
  • High ERA (7.71) — run-prevention risk
  • Excellent HR suppression (0.6 HR/9)
  • Control concerns (4.4 BB/9)
  • ERA above FIP (4.13) — may regress downward (good sign)
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Starter sample is small; pitcher edge is partially discounted.
  • Recent form data for 20 of 22 hitters
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
7:05 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Luinder Avila vs Brandon Young
Baltimore Orioles has the edge
Slight Baltimore Orioles AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Kansas City Royals starter Luinder Avila (5.53 ERA) — Baltimore Orioles starter Brandon Young (3.43 ERA) — Overall: Slight Baltimore Orioles Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
Overall edge indicator — left = Kansas City Royals · right = Baltimore Orioles · home pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Luinder Avila
Kansas City Royals · RHP · 12 GS
Below Average
5.53ERA
1.61WHIP
7.80K/9
5.40BB/9
0.90HR/9
70.0IP
4.59FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 6.75 · WHIP 1.575 · 13.3 IP
Brandon Young
Baltimore Orioles · RHP · 19 GS
Average
3.43ERA
1.31WHIP
7.40K/9
3.20BB/9
1.00HR/9
107.7IP
4.03FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 4.41 · WHIP 1.286 · 16.3 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Kansas City Royals Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Brandon Young )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Carter Jensen 0.359 241pa ★ 0.223 123pa 0.211 46pa ▼ 0.287 44pa 0.433 24pa Tiny Sample
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.361 234pa ★ 0.287 130pa ▼ 0.349 50pa 0.347 34pa 0.449 7pa Tiny Sample
3 Jac Caglianone 0.328 210pa ▼ 0.363 98pa 0.383 63pa ★ 0.323 50pa 0.219 23pa Tiny Sample
4 Lane Thomas 0.336 244pa 0.276 58pa 0.349 38pa ★ 0.252 29pa ▼ 0.000 9pa Tiny Sample
5 Michael Massey 0.293 197pa 0.316 53pa ★ 0.252 48pa ▼ 0.656 21pa Tiny Sample 0.118 18pa Tiny Sample
6 Salvador Perez 0.319 208pa 0.237 139pa 0.327 55pa ★ 0.217 57pa ▼ 0.175 14pa Tiny Sample
7 Josh Rojas 0.291 70pa ★ ▼ 0.215 15pa Tiny Sample 0.316 17pa Tiny Sample 0.147 6pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
8 Nick Loftin 0.373 196pa ★ 0.264 71pa 0.242 29pa ▼ 0.254 17pa Tiny Sample 0.088 10pa Tiny Sample
9 Isaac Collins 0.333 276pa 0.362 45pa ★ 0.163 52pa ▼ 0.225 24pa Tiny Sample 0.224 22pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Baltimore Orioles Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Luinder Avila )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Gunnar Henderson 0.317 277pa 0.263 131pa 0.312 70pa 0.323 42pa ★ 0.243 30pa ▼
2 Adley Rutschman 0.390 170pa ★ 0.334 50pa 0.219 61pa 0.245 25pa ▼ 0.242 8pa Tiny Sample
3 Taylor Ward 0.382 349pa ★ 0.220 123pa ▼ 0.280 39pa 0.237 33pa 0.272 10pa Tiny Sample
4 Pete Alonso 0.382 312pa ★ 0.350 132pa 0.315 48pa 0.213 51pa ▼ 0.246 8pa Tiny Sample
5 Samuel Basallo 0.367 163pa ★ 0.339 74pa 0.340 50pa 0.208 36pa ▼ 0.399 19pa Tiny Sample
6 Tyler O'Neill 0.365 129pa ★ 0.289 57pa 0.136 36pa ▼ 0.410 8pa Tiny Sample 0.138 5pa Tiny Sample
6 Dylan Beavers 0.292 139pa ▼ 0.331 49pa 0.365 27pa ★ 0.186 20pa Tiny Sample 0.330 8pa Tiny Sample
7 Colton Cowser 0.400 153pa ★ 0.244 65pa 0.198 55pa 0.133 25pa ▼ 0.157 20pa Tiny Sample
8 Blaze Alexander 0.326 160pa ▼ 0.378 69pa ★ 0.285 24pa Tiny Sample 0.297 22pa Tiny Sample —
9 Jackson Holliday 0.368 116pa ★ 0.293 40pa ▼ 0.154 24pa Tiny Sample 0.248 22pa Tiny Sample 0.481 13pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Kansas City Royals Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Jac Caglianone #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.144 OPS (last 14d, +0.404 vs avg)
  • 2.Bobby Witt Jr. #2Batting 1.002 OPS (last 14d, +0.262 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Salvador Perez #6Batting 0.774 OPS (last 14d, +0.034 vs avg)
Top Baltimore Orioles Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Tyler O'Neill #6Batting 1.233 OPS (last 14d, +0.493 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Jackson Holliday #9Batting 0.691 OPS (last 14d); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Pete Alonso #4Batting 0.562 OPS (last 14d); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Luinder Avila (Kansas City Royals)
  • High ERA (5.53) — run-prevention risk
  • Control concerns (5.4 BB/9)
Brandon Young (Baltimore Orioles)
  • No significant outliers in available metrics
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 16 of 19 hitters
Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays
7:10 PM ET · Tropicana Field
Luis Castillo vs Nick Martinez
Tampa Bay Rays has the edge
Slight Tampa Bay Rays AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Seattle Mariners starter Luis Castillo (5.30 ERA) — Tampa Bay Rays starter Nick Martinez (2.65 ERA) — Overall: Slight Tampa Bay Rays Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
Overall edge indicator — left = Seattle Mariners · right = Tampa Bay Rays · home pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Luis Castillo
Seattle Mariners · RHP · 18 GS
Below Average
5.30ERA
1.41WHIP
7.90K/9
2.90BB/9
1.50HR/9
103.7IP
4.63FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 7.31 · WHIP 1.625 · 16.0 IP
Nick Martinez
Tampa Bay Rays · RHP · 22 GS
Average
2.65ERA
1.10WHIP
5.10K/9
1.40BB/9
1.10HR/9
129.0IP
4.07FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 3.06 · WHIP 0.962 · 17.7 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Seattle Mariners Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Nick Martinez )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 J.P. Crawford 0.308 246pa 0.196 68pa ▼ 0.472 28pa ★ 0.277 26pa 0.323 12pa Tiny Sample
2 Randy Arozarena 0.380 269pa ★ 0.342 126pa 0.346 56pa ▼ 0.349 36pa 0.100 16pa Tiny Sample
3 Dominic Canzone 0.393 184pa 0.303 63pa 0.196 65pa ▼ 0.459 30pa ★ 0.315 21pa Tiny Sample
4 Cal Raleigh 0.256 210pa 0.298 65pa ★ 0.281 46pa 0.215 40pa ▼ 0.275 21pa Tiny Sample
5 Josh Naylor 0.353 284pa ★ 0.270 89pa 0.228 57pa 0.243 35pa 0.155 28pa ▼
6 Luke Raley 0.392 175pa ★ 0.263 59pa 0.252 55pa 0.248 26pa ▼ 0.000 15pa Tiny Sample
7 Cole Young 0.348 327pa 0.338 102pa ★ 0.279 54pa ▼ 0.287 31pa 0.273 20pa Tiny Sample
8 Victor Robles 0.288 90pa ★ 0.229 36pa ▼ 0.137 22pa Tiny Sample 0.293 12pa Tiny Sample —
8 Miles Mastrobuoni 0.241 24pa Tiny Sample 0.115 7pa Tiny Sample — — —
9 Buddy Kennedy 0.309 32pa ★ ▼ 0.492 12pa Tiny Sample 0.110 8pa Tiny Sample 0.323 6pa Tiny Sample —
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Tampa Bay Rays Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Luis Castillo )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Yandy Díaz 0.322 309pa 0.480 110pa ★ 0.320 48pa 0.312 46pa ▼ 0.400 15pa Tiny Sample
2 Jonathan Aranda 0.362 315pa 0.363 93pa 0.253 56pa ▼ 0.398 35pa ★ 0.246 23pa Tiny Sample
3 Junior Caminero 0.455 267pa ★ 0.301 145pa 0.304 54pa 0.256 41pa ▼ 0.481 19pa Tiny Sample
4 Cedric Mullins 0.293 263pa 0.248 72pa ▼ 0.299 33pa ★ 0.313 35pa 0.243 12pa Tiny Sample
5 Chandler Simpson 0.330 305pa 0.355 73pa ★ 0.183 48pa ▼ 0.219 29pa 0.210 20pa Tiny Sample
6 Victor Mesa Jr. 0.308 98pa ▼ 0.394 26pa ★ 0.503 17pa Tiny Sample 0.136 18pa Tiny Sample 0.196 9pa Tiny Sample
7 Taylor Walls 0.310 230pa ★ 0.211 42pa 0.171 40pa 0.144 29pa ▼ 0.215 9pa Tiny Sample
8 Richie Palacios 0.336 186pa 0.280 40pa 0.354 32pa ★ 0.095 30pa ▼ 0.110 8pa Tiny Sample
9 Hunter Feduccia 0.290 115pa ★ 0.198 24pa Tiny Sample 0.253 25pa ▼ 0.084 23pa Tiny Sample 0.490 10pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Seattle Mariners Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Josh Naylor #5 Strong recent formBatting 0.931 OPS (last 14d, +0.191 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Cole Young #7Batting 0.861 OPS (last 14d, +0.121 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
  • 3.J.P. Crawford #1 No recent at-bats — not countedBatting 0.000 OPS (last 14d)
Top Tampa Bay Rays Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Junior Caminero #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.011 OPS (last 14d, +0.271 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Richie Palacios #8Batting 0.835 OPS (last 14d, +0.095 vs avg)
  • 3.Jonathan Aranda #2Batting 0.783 OPS (last 14d, +0.043 vs avg)
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Luis Castillo (Seattle Mariners)
  • No significant outliers in available metrics
Nick Martinez (Tampa Bay Rays)
  • Elite ERA (2.65) — strong run prevention
  • Sharp control (1.4 BB/9)
  • FIP (4.07) above ERA — may regress upward
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 18 of 19 hitters
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
7:10 PM ET · loanDepot park
Parker Messick vs Sandy Alcantara
Cleveland Guardians has the edge
Slight Cleveland Guardians AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Cleveland Guardians starter Parker Messick (2.57 ERA) — Miami Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara (3.52 ERA) — Overall: Slight Cleveland Guardians Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Cleveland Guardians
Miami Marlins
Overall edge indicator — left = Cleveland Guardians · right = Miami Marlins · away pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Parker Messick
Cleveland Guardians · LHP · 23 GS
Above Average
2.57ERA
1.04WHIP
9.00K/9
2.50BB/9
0.90HR/9
136.7IP
3.25FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 1.82 · WHIP 0.892 · 24.7 IP
Sandy Alcantara
Miami Marlins · RHP · 25 GS
Average
3.52ERA
1.17WHIP
7.00K/9
2.30BB/9
0.90HR/9
163.7IP
3.83FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 1.67 · WHIP 0.926 · 27.0 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Cleveland Guardians Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Sandy Alcantara )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Travis Bazzana 0.359 233pa ★ 0.253 89pa ▼ 0.322 32pa 0.371 19pa Tiny Sample 0.203 13pa Tiny Sample
2 Brayan Rocchio 0.355 273pa ★ 0.344 78pa 0.231 91pa 0.217 26pa ▼ 0.113 22pa Tiny Sample
3 Chase DeLauter 0.405 255pa 0.407 94pa ★ 0.199 52pa ▼ 0.231 37pa 0.277 26pa
4 Kyle Manzardo 0.355 219pa ★ 0.270 89pa 0.130 46pa ▼ 0.324 27pa 0.146 20pa Tiny Sample
5 Rhys Hoskins 0.341 212pa ★ 0.318 76pa 0.207 33pa ▼ 0.311 21pa Tiny Sample 0.352 8pa Tiny Sample
6 Kahlil Watson 0.296 60pa ★ 0.258 28pa ▼ 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample —
7 Daniel Schneemann 0.305 158pa ★ 0.237 73pa 0.181 34pa ▼ 0.280 23pa Tiny Sample 0.259 15pa Tiny Sample
8 Austin Hedges 0.361 132pa ★ 0.188 43pa ▼ 0.278 15pa Tiny Sample 0.157 10pa Tiny Sample —
9 Steven Kwan 0.350 315pa ★ 0.228 82pa ▼ 0.277 52pa 0.429 20pa Tiny Sample 0.231 19pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Miami Marlins Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Parker Messick )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Otto Lopez 0.412 253pa ★ 0.328 142pa 0.206 63pa ▼ 0.225 44pa 0.317 20pa Tiny Sample
2 Heriberto Hernández 0.331 189pa 0.349 96pa ★ 0.308 34pa ▼ 0.317 22pa Tiny Sample 0.099 7pa Tiny Sample
3 Xavier Edwards 0.378 300pa ★ 0.273 99pa 0.276 79pa 0.175 32pa ▼ 0.205 19pa Tiny Sample
4 Javier Sanoja 0.315 181pa 0.278 88pa ▼ 0.323 36pa ★ 0.264 18pa Tiny Sample 0.613 4pa Tiny Sample
5 Kyle Stowers 0.307 204pa ▼ 0.321 84pa 0.356 59pa 0.535 34pa ★ 0.318 24pa Tiny Sample
6 Leo Jiménez 0.302 105pa ★ 0.093 36pa ▼ 0.261 28pa 0.235 6pa Tiny Sample 0.709 3pa Tiny Sample
6 Liam Hicks 0.353 263pa 0.300 81pa ▼ 0.350 57pa 0.466 28pa ★ 0.272 19pa Tiny Sample
7 Griffin Conine 0.438 95pa ★ 0.296 47pa ▼ 0.335 36pa 0.356 19pa Tiny Sample 0.086 8pa Tiny Sample
7 Esteury Ruiz 0.385 99pa ★ 0.353 48pa 0.280 27pa ▼ 0.201 7pa Tiny Sample 0.000 4pa Tiny Sample
8 Jakob Marsee 0.294 301pa 0.216 80pa ▼ 0.318 44pa 0.343 25pa ★ 0.333 18pa Tiny Sample
9 Joe Mack 0.357 130pa ★ 0.263 52pa 0.181 36pa ▼ 0.143 21pa Tiny Sample 0.196 9pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Cleveland Guardians Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Kyle Manzardo #4Batting 1.200 OPS (last 14d, +0.460 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Rhys Hoskins #5 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 1.177 OPS (last 14d, +0.437 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Steven Kwan #9 Strong recent formBatting 0.901 OPS (last 14d, +0.161 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Top Miami Marlins Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Kyle Stowers #5 Strong recent formBatting 0.955 OPS (last 14d, +0.215 vs avg)
  • 2.Javier Sanoja #4Batting 0.945 OPS (last 14d, +0.205 vs avg)
  • 3.Liam Hicks #6Batting 0.863 OPS (last 14d, +0.123 vs avg)
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Parker Messick (Cleveland Guardians)
  • Elite ERA (2.57) — strong run prevention
  • Above-average K rate (9.0 K/9)
Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins)
  • No significant outliers in available metrics
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 18 of 20 hitters
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
7:10 PM ET · Great American Ball Park
Shota Imanaga vs Hunter Greene
Chicago Cubs has the edge
Slight Chicago Cubs AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Chicago Cubs starter Shota Imanaga (3.60 ERA) — Cincinnati Reds starter Hunter Greene (6.83 ERA) — Overall: Slight Chicago Cubs Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Overall edge indicator — left = Chicago Cubs · right = Cincinnati Reds · away pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Shota Imanaga
Chicago Cubs · LHP · 23 GS
Average
3.60ERA
1.09WHIP
8.50K/9
2.00BB/9
1.70HR/9
132.7IP
4.44FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 1.53 · WHIP 0.962 · 17.7 IP
Hunter Greene
Cincinnati Reds · RHP · 5 GS
Building Sample
6.83ERA
1.37WHIP
10.70K/9
2.90BB/9
1.30HR/9
27.7IP
3.62FIP
⚠ 27.7 IP — a growing sample. Getting more reliable, not fully trusted yet.
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 7.94 · WHIP 1.676 · 11.3 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Chicago Cubs Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Hunter Greene )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.399 280pa 0.402 116pa 0.316 63pa 0.289 53pa ▼ 0.593 30pa ★
2 Alex Bregman 0.354 325pa ★ 0.321 130pa 0.320 44pa 0.245 42pa ▼ 0.378 6pa Tiny Sample
3 Michael Busch 0.351 327pa ★ 0.328 111pa 0.203 78pa ▼ 0.353 37pa 0.314 15pa Tiny Sample
4 Seiya Suzuki 0.398 242pa ★ 0.305 125pa 0.331 29pa 0.286 36pa ▼ 0.352 5pa Tiny Sample
5 Ian Happ 0.352 275pa 0.371 83pa ★ 0.199 95pa ▼ 0.323 50pa 0.329 25pa
6 Nico Hoerner 0.300 347pa 0.422 116pa ★ 0.165 50pa ▼ 0.304 32pa 0.379 10pa Tiny Sample
7 Michael Conforto 0.428 134pa ★ 0.372 36pa 0.174 45pa ▼ 0.174 17pa Tiny Sample 0.113 11pa Tiny Sample
8 Carson Kelly 0.367 204pa ★ 0.330 96pa ▼ 0.377 24pa Tiny Sample 0.052 17pa Tiny Sample 0.000 4pa Tiny Sample
9 Dansby Swanson 0.369 269pa ★ 0.247 116pa 0.233 50pa 0.084 36pa ▼ 0.099 7pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Cincinnati Reds Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Shota Imanaga )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.381 264pa 0.347 75pa 0.412 72pa ★ 0.222 52pa ▼ 0.244 18pa Tiny Sample
2 Sal Stewart 0.404 299pa ★ 0.287 151pa 0.342 42pa 0.237 43pa ▼ 0.403 15pa Tiny Sample
3 Spencer Steer 0.350 264pa ★ 0.266 83pa 0.251 48pa 0.251 26pa ▼ 0.553 9pa Tiny Sample
4 JJ Bleday 0.378 206pa 0.390 76pa ★ 0.298 68pa 0.365 27pa 0.169 26pa ▼
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.322 206pa ★ 0.243 89pa 0.218 25pa ▼ 0.299 29pa 0.334 9pa Tiny Sample
6 Tyler Stephenson 0.385 203pa ★ 0.288 95pa 0.140 35pa ▼ 0.254 18pa Tiny Sample 0.000 12pa Tiny Sample
7 TJ Friedl 0.290 179pa ★ 0.282 34pa 0.065 35pa ▼ 0.242 21pa Tiny Sample 0.307 9pa Tiny Sample
7 Noelvi Marte 0.278 129pa ★ 0.226 68pa ▼ 0.416 21pa Tiny Sample 0.378 16pa Tiny Sample 0.249 5pa Tiny Sample
8 Edwin Arroyo 0.266 74pa 0.227 18pa Tiny Sample 0.278 26pa ★ 0.223 27pa ▼ 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample
9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.262 141pa ★ 0.125 44pa ▼ 0.174 9pa Tiny Sample 0.133 16pa Tiny Sample 0.147 6pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Chicago Cubs Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Pete Crow-Armstrong #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.980 OPS (last 14d, +0.240 vs avg)
  • 2.Seiya Suzuki #4Batting 0.841 OPS (last 14d, +0.101 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Alex Bregman #2Batting 0.809 OPS (last 14d, +0.069 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Top Cincinnati Reds Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Tyler Stephenson #6Batting 1.036 OPS (last 14d, +0.296 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Sal Stewart #2 Strong recent formBatting 0.910 OPS (last 14d, +0.170 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Elly De La Cruz #1Batting 0.859 OPS (last 14d, +0.119 vs avg)
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Shota Imanaga (Chicago Cubs)
  • Sharp control (2.0 BB/9)
Hunter Greene (Cincinnati Reds)
  • High ERA (6.83) — run-prevention risk
  • Elite strikeout rate (10.7 K/9)
  • Above-average K rate (10.7 K/9)
  • ERA above FIP (3.62) — may regress downward (good sign)
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 18 of 19 hitters
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
7:15 PM ET · Citi Field
Sonny Gray vs Nolan McLean
Boston Red Sox has the edge
Slight Boston Red Sox AdvantageMixed Medium Confidence
Boston Red Sox starter Sonny Gray (2.78 ERA) — New York Mets starter Nolan McLean (3.51 ERA) — Overall: Slight Boston Red Sox Advantage. Edge source: Mixed.
Log in to track picks
Boston Red Sox
New York Mets
Overall edge indicator — left = Boston Red Sox · right = New York Mets · away pitching edge · away lineup edge
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Sonny Gray
Boston Red Sox · RHP · 21 GS
Average
2.78ERA
1.15WHIP
8.00K/9
2.40BB/9
0.90HR/9
119.7IP
3.59FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 4.50 · WHIP 1.333 · 18.0 IP
Nolan McLean
New York Mets · RHP · 23 GS
Average
3.51ERA
1.16WHIP
10.70K/9
3.30BB/9
1.00HR/9
130.7IP
3.56FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 4.67 · WHIP 1.615 · 17.3 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Boston Red Sox Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Nolan McLean )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Anthony Seigler 0.369 93pa ★ ▼ 0.306 18pa Tiny Sample 0.169 20pa Tiny Sample 0.113 11pa Tiny Sample 0.266 8pa Tiny Sample
2 Ceddanne Rafaela 0.311 284pa 0.438 110pa ★ 0.326 57pa 0.262 40pa ▼ 0.801 13pa Tiny Sample
3 Wilyer Abreu 0.343 282pa 0.359 90pa 0.283 85pa ▼ 0.366 36pa ★ 0.207 23pa Tiny Sample
4 Romy Gonzalez 0.320 45pa ★ ▼ 0.250 11pa Tiny Sample 0.000 7pa Tiny Sample 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample 0.312 5pa Tiny Sample
5 Masataka Yoshida 0.327 177pa 0.398 31pa ★ 0.354 40pa 0.182 30pa ▼ 0.381 12pa Tiny Sample
6 Caleb Durbin 0.347 306pa ★ 0.274 91pa 0.204 39pa ▼ 0.418 19pa Tiny Sample 0.266 8pa Tiny Sample
7 Jarren Duran 0.315 248pa ★ 0.190 99pa 0.233 67pa 0.238 52pa 0.170 30pa ▼
8 Connor Wong 0.307 131pa ★ 0.252 46pa ▼ 0.247 20pa Tiny Sample 0.393 12pa Tiny Sample 0.172 4pa Tiny Sample
9 Tsung-Che Cheng 0.285 33pa ★ ▼ 0.126 7pa Tiny Sample 0.277 7pa Tiny Sample 0.440 4pa Tiny Sample 0.176 5pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
New York Mets Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Sonny Gray )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 A.J. Ewing 0.381 189pa ★ 0.288 72pa 0.240 42pa 0.183 25pa ▼ 0.215 14pa Tiny Sample
2 Juan Soto 0.407 200pa 0.426 80pa ★ 0.375 41pa ▼ 0.372 32pa 0.306 17pa Tiny Sample
3 Francisco Lindor 0.296 167pa ▼ 0.350 46pa 0.324 43pa ★ 0.473 17pa Tiny Sample 0.197 16pa Tiny Sample
4 Carson Benge 0.379 286pa ★ 0.258 93pa 0.266 54pa 0.312 47pa 0.237 25pa ▼
5 Jorge Polanco 0.171 88pa ▼ 0.504 25pa ★ 0.260 30pa 0.123 13pa Tiny Sample 0.125 10pa Tiny Sample
6 Jared Young 0.346 141pa ★ 0.218 44pa ▼ 0.336 22pa Tiny Sample 0.279 25pa 0.467 10pa Tiny Sample
7 Francisco Alvarez 0.356 177pa 0.305 91pa ▼ 0.388 32pa ★ 0.324 19pa Tiny Sample 0.451 9pa Tiny Sample
8 Brett Baty 0.341 229pa ★ 0.148 84pa ▼ 0.287 48pa 0.282 27pa 0.125 24pa Tiny Sample
9 Tyrone Taylor 0.343 123pa ★ 0.290 44pa ▼ 0.406 23pa Tiny Sample 0.145 14pa Tiny Sample —
9 Zack Short 0.262 49pa ★ ▼ 0.175 14pa Tiny Sample 0.352 8pa Tiny Sample 0.312 4pa Tiny Sample —
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Boston Red Sox Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Wilyer Abreu #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.109 OPS (last 14d, +0.369 vs avg)
  • 2.Ceddanne Rafaela #2 Strong recent formBatting 1.045 OPS (last 14d, +0.305 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
  • 3.Caleb Durbin #6 Strong recent formBatting 0.972 OPS (last 14d, +0.232 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Top New York Mets Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Carson Benge #4 Strong recent formBatting 1.041 OPS (last 14d, +0.301 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Jared Young #6Batting 0.750 OPS (last 14d, +0.010 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Francisco Lindor #3Batting 0.724 OPS (last 14d)
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Sonny Gray (Boston Red Sox)
  • Elite ERA (2.78) — strong run prevention
Nolan McLean (New York Mets)
  • Elite strikeout rate (10.7 K/9)
  • Above-average K rate (10.7 K/9)
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 16 of 19 hitters
Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
7:40 PM ET · Guaranteed Rate Field
Jacob Lopez vs Sean Burke
Chicago White Sox has the edge
Slight Chicago White Sox AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Athletics starter Jacob Lopez (5.64 ERA) — Chicago White Sox starter Sean Burke (3.08 ERA) — Overall: Slight Chicago White Sox Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Athletics
Chicago White Sox
Overall edge indicator — left = Athletics · right = Chicago White Sox · home pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Jacob Lopez
Athletics · LHP · 15 GS
Below Average
5.64ERA
1.63WHIP
8.40K/9
5.20BB/9
1.60HR/9
75.0IP
5.38FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 1.76 · WHIP 1.239 · 15.3 IP
Sean Burke
Chicago White Sox · RHP · 19 GS
Average
3.08ERA
1.12WHIP
10.10K/9
2.70BB/9
1.00HR/9
128.7IP
3.42FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 2.20 · WHIP 1.041 · 16.3 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Athletics Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Sean Burke )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Lawrence Butler 0.269 208pa 0.340 61pa ★ 0.307 42pa 0.222 27pa ▼ 0.222 25pa
2 Shea Langeliers 0.375 234pa 0.386 131pa 0.234 43pa ▼ 0.501 35pa ★ 0.544 13pa Tiny Sample
3 Tyler Soderstrom 0.373 296pa 0.334 82pa ▼ 0.380 47pa 0.402 30pa ★ 0.174 18pa Tiny Sample
3 Colby Thomas 0.310 76pa ★ 0.239 44pa 0.176 28pa ▼ 0.359 13pa Tiny Sample 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample
4 Jonah Heim 0.310 162pa 0.208 50pa ▼ 0.326 46pa ★ 0.322 19pa Tiny Sample 0.309 16pa Tiny Sample
5 Alika Williams 0.392 89pa ★ 0.042 38pa ▼ 0.297 22pa Tiny Sample 0.452 9pa Tiny Sample 0.637 5pa Tiny Sample
5 Jacob Wilson 0.342 225pa ★ 0.231 77pa ▼ 0.234 50pa 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample 0.139 9pa Tiny Sample
6 Joey Meneses 0.364 27pa ★ ▼ 0.115 6pa Tiny Sample — — —
7 Joshua Kuroda-Grauer 0.365 37pa ▼ 0.580 25pa ★ 0.430 7pa Tiny Sample 0.147 6pa Tiny Sample 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample
8 Henry Bolte 0.356 189pa ★ 0.262 69pa ▼ 0.303 27pa 0.472 15pa Tiny Sample 0.215 9pa Tiny Sample
9 Jeff McNeil 0.303 230pa ★ 0.249 67pa 0.252 51pa 0.466 14pa Tiny Sample 0.155 25pa ▼
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Chicago White Sox Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Jacob Lopez )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Sam Antonacci 0.376 254pa ★ 0.264 68pa 0.211 45pa ▼ 0.465 17pa Tiny Sample 0.392 14pa Tiny Sample
2 Junior Perez 0.185 29pa ★ ▼ 0.277 13pa Tiny Sample 0.290 7pa Tiny Sample 0.680 4pa Tiny Sample —
2 Munetaka Murakami 0.421 199pa 0.243 99pa ▼ 0.462 35pa 0.483 30pa ★ 0.077 9pa Tiny Sample
3 Miguel Vargas 0.356 355pa 0.324 116pa 0.385 42pa ★ 0.300 41pa ▼ 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
4 Colson Montgomery 0.324 317pa 0.243 101pa ▼ 0.337 49pa 0.369 28pa ★ 0.236 21pa Tiny Sample
5 Braden Montgomery 0.372 110pa 0.383 26pa ★ 0.224 43pa ▼ 0.334 19pa Tiny Sample 0.165 16pa Tiny Sample
6 Chase Meidroth 0.353 309pa ★ 0.310 108pa 0.307 62pa 0.218 32pa ▼ 0.576 15pa Tiny Sample
7 Andrew Benintendi 0.345 194pa 0.321 87pa 0.202 51pa ▼ 0.372 29pa ★ 0.177 24pa Tiny Sample
8 Kyle Teel 0.239 42pa ★ ▼ 0.303 20pa Tiny Sample 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample 0.354 10pa Tiny Sample —
9 Tristan Peters 0.336 227pa 0.395 59pa ★ 0.236 41pa 0.214 33pa ▼ 0.332 17pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Athletics Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Henry Bolte #8 Strong recent formBatting 0.914 OPS (last 14d, +0.174 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Lawrence Butler #1Batting 0.843 OPS (last 14d, +0.103 vs avg)
  • 3.Jonah Heim #4Batting 0.685 OPS (last 14d)
Top Chicago White Sox Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Jacob Lopez (Athletics)
  • High ERA (5.64) — run-prevention risk
  • Control concerns (5.2 BB/9)
Sean Burke (Chicago White Sox)
  • Elite strikeout rate (10.1 K/9)
  • Above-average K rate (10.1 K/9)
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 16 of 21 hitters
Pitcher quality scores use ERA, WHIP, K/9, BB/9, and HR/9 relative to 2026 MLB averages. Lineup scores use recent OPS (last 14 days) weighted by batting order. Confidence reflects available data — not a betting recommendation.