⚾ Daily Matchup Lab

Pitcher arsenal vs expected lineup matchup edges for today's MLB slate.

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Fri, Jul 17, 2026
All Games (14) ★ Focus (0) Lineup Edge Pitcher Edge Balanced Low Confidence

Matchups

14 games
Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs
8:05 PM ET · Wrigley Field
Bailey Ober vs Colin Rea
Evenly matched tonight
BalancedBalanced Medium Confidence
Minnesota Twins starter Bailey Ober (4.45 ERA) — Chicago Cubs starter Colin Rea (4.59 ERA) — Matchup appears evenly balanced.
Log in to track picks
Minnesota Twins
Chicago Cubs
Overall edge indicator — left = Minnesota Twins · right = Chicago Cubs · away pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Bailey Ober
Minnesota Twins · RHP · 17 GS
Average
4.45ERA
1.22WHIP
6.10K/9
2.30BB/9
1.40HR/9
93.0IP
4.59FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 5.06 · WHIP 1.312 · 16.0 IP
Colin Rea
Chicago Cubs · RHP · 19 GS
Average
4.59ERA
1.36WHIP
6.70K/9
3.20BB/9
1.40HR/9
121.7IP
4.93FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 3.86 · WHIP 1.095 · 21.0 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Minnesota Twins Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Colin Rea )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Trevor Larnach 0.378 221pa ★ 0.305 67pa 0.131 47pa ▼ 0.360 39pa 0.371 21pa Tiny Sample
2 Ryan Jeffers 0.425 148pa ★ 0.300 68pa ▼ 0.343 26pa 0.405 15pa Tiny Sample 0.000 7pa Tiny Sample
3 Josh Bell 0.346 275pa ★ 0.323 67pa 0.286 96pa ▼ 0.314 49pa 0.112 19pa Tiny Sample
4 Kody Clemens 0.293 270pa ▼ 0.350 80pa 0.348 50pa 0.373 37pa ★ 0.373 18pa Tiny Sample
5 Royce Lewis 0.321 217pa ★ 0.300 103pa 0.183 40pa ▼ 0.288 21pa Tiny Sample 0.077 9pa Tiny Sample
6 Brooks Lee 0.361 255pa ★ 0.289 90pa 0.245 96pa 0.238 50pa ▼ 0.251 12pa Tiny Sample
7 Austin Martin 0.352 238pa ★ 0.236 70pa 0.197 33pa ▼ 0.295 18pa Tiny Sample —
7 Alan Roden 0.245 58pa ★ ▼ 0.278 12pa Tiny Sample 0.271 13pa Tiny Sample 0.408 6pa Tiny Sample 0.220 4pa Tiny Sample
8 Luke Keaschall 0.370 278pa ★ 0.322 118pa 0.183 45pa ▼ 0.205 25pa 0.416 8pa Tiny Sample
9 Tristan Gray 0.335 99pa ★ 0.125 59pa ▼ 0.255 42pa 0.282 19pa Tiny Sample 0.264 10pa Tiny Sample
9 Ryan Kreidler 0.370 133pa ★ 0.211 57pa 0.160 24pa Tiny Sample 0.142 26pa ▼ —
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Chicago Cubs Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Bailey Ober )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.399 280pa 0.402 116pa 0.316 63pa 0.289 53pa ▼ 0.593 30pa ★
2 Seiya Suzuki 0.398 242pa ★ 0.305 125pa 0.331 29pa 0.286 36pa ▼ 0.352 5pa Tiny Sample
3 Michael Busch 0.351 327pa ★ 0.328 111pa 0.203 78pa ▼ 0.353 37pa 0.314 15pa Tiny Sample
4 Alex Bregman 0.354 325pa ★ 0.321 130pa 0.320 44pa 0.245 42pa ▼ 0.378 6pa Tiny Sample
5 Ian Happ 0.352 275pa 0.371 83pa ★ 0.199 95pa ▼ 0.323 50pa 0.329 25pa
6 Nico Hoerner 0.300 347pa 0.422 116pa ★ 0.165 50pa ▼ 0.304 32pa 0.379 10pa Tiny Sample
7 Michael Conforto 0.428 134pa ★ 0.372 36pa 0.174 45pa ▼ 0.174 17pa Tiny Sample 0.113 11pa Tiny Sample
8 Carson Kelly 0.367 204pa ★ 0.330 96pa ▼ 0.377 24pa Tiny Sample 0.052 17pa Tiny Sample 0.000 4pa Tiny Sample
9 Dansby Swanson 0.369 269pa ★ 0.247 116pa 0.233 50pa 0.084 36pa ▼ 0.099 7pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Minnesota Twins Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Royce Lewis #5 Strong recent formBatting 1.222 OPS (last 14d, +0.482 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Josh Bell #3 Strong recent formBatting 0.970 OPS (last 14d, +0.230 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Luke Keaschall #8 Strong recent formBatting 0.941 OPS (last 14d, +0.201 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Top Chicago Cubs Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Pete Crow-Armstrong #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.980 OPS (last 14d, +0.240 vs avg)
  • 2.Seiya Suzuki #2Batting 0.841 OPS (last 14d, +0.101 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Alex Bregman #4Batting 0.809 OPS (last 14d, +0.069 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Bailey Ober (Minnesota Twins)
  • No significant outliers in available metrics
Colin Rea (Chicago Cubs)
  • No significant outliers in available metrics
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals
8:10 PM ET · Kauffman Stadium
Michael King vs Seth Lugo
San Diego Padres has the edge
Slight San Diego Padres AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
San Diego Padres starter Michael King (3.37 ERA) — Kansas City Royals starter Seth Lugo (4.41 ERA) — Overall: Slight San Diego Padres Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
San Diego Padres
Kansas City Royals
Overall edge indicator — left = San Diego Padres · right = Kansas City Royals · away pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Michael King
San Diego Padres · RHP · 24 GS
Average
3.37ERA
1.17WHIP
7.90K/9
3.60BB/9
1.00HR/9
136.3IP
4.23FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 3.52 · WHIP 1.261 · 23.0 IP
Seth Lugo
Kansas City Royals · RHP · 24 GS
Average
4.41ERA
1.37WHIP
7.00K/9
3.10BB/9
1.10HR/9
134.7IP
4.31FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 4.50 · WHIP 1.208 · 24.0 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
San Diego Padres Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Seth Lugo )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.346 313pa 0.377 127pa ★ 0.299 49pa ▼ 0.307 25pa 0.000 13pa Tiny Sample
2 Jackson Merrill 0.338 278pa ★ 0.296 94pa 0.252 74pa 0.261 49pa 0.111 30pa ▼
3 Xander Bogaerts 0.340 289pa ★ 0.241 100pa 0.198 39pa 0.155 36pa ▼ 0.149 13pa Tiny Sample
4 Manny Machado 0.366 284pa ★ 0.247 120pa 0.195 55pa 0.198 32pa ▼ 0.188 12pa Tiny Sample
5 Gavin Sheets 0.379 219pa ★ 0.309 74pa 0.231 67pa ▼ 0.290 36pa 0.185 19pa Tiny Sample
5 Jase Bowen 0.282 68pa ★ ▼ 0.323 23pa Tiny Sample 0.125 17pa Tiny Sample 0.266 8pa Tiny Sample —
6 Ty France 0.333 206pa ▼ 0.385 82pa 0.494 43pa ★ 0.346 24pa Tiny Sample 0.264 10pa Tiny Sample
7 Jake Cronenworth 0.338 177pa ★ 0.163 38pa ▼ 0.165 38pa 0.302 28pa 0.412 13pa Tiny Sample
8 Miguel Andujar 0.316 160pa ★ 0.245 75pa ▼ 0.266 30pa 0.517 19pa Tiny Sample 0.504 10pa Tiny Sample
9 Freddy Fermin 0.292 142pa ▼ 0.287 54pa ★ 0.319 16pa Tiny Sample 0.300 12pa Tiny Sample 0.352 5pa Tiny Sample
9 Luis Campusano 0.352 101pa ★ 0.307 35pa ▼ 0.576 11pa Tiny Sample 0.313 14pa Tiny Sample —
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Kansas City Royals Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Michael King )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Carter Jensen 0.359 241pa ★ 0.223 123pa 0.211 46pa ▼ 0.287 44pa 0.433 24pa Tiny Sample
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.361 234pa ★ 0.287 130pa ▼ 0.349 50pa 0.347 34pa 0.449 7pa Tiny Sample
3 Josh Rojas 0.291 70pa ★ ▼ 0.215 15pa Tiny Sample 0.316 17pa Tiny Sample 0.147 6pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
3 Jac Caglianone 0.328 210pa ▼ 0.363 98pa 0.383 63pa ★ 0.323 50pa 0.219 23pa Tiny Sample
4 Lane Thomas 0.336 244pa 0.276 58pa 0.349 38pa ★ 0.252 29pa ▼ 0.000 9pa Tiny Sample
5 Vinnie Pasquantino 0.298 223pa 0.100 56pa ▼ 0.330 35pa ★ 0.333 29pa 0.501 13pa Tiny Sample
6 Salvador Perez 0.319 208pa 0.237 139pa 0.327 55pa ★ 0.217 57pa ▼ 0.175 14pa Tiny Sample
7 Michael Massey 0.293 197pa 0.316 53pa ★ 0.252 48pa ▼ 0.656 21pa Tiny Sample 0.118 18pa Tiny Sample
8 Nick Loftin 0.373 196pa ★ 0.264 71pa 0.242 29pa ▼ 0.254 17pa Tiny Sample 0.088 10pa Tiny Sample
9 Isaac Collins 0.333 276pa 0.362 45pa ★ 0.163 52pa ▼ 0.225 24pa Tiny Sample 0.224 22pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top San Diego Padres Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Fernando Tatis Jr. #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.966 OPS (last 14d, +0.226 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
  • 2.Jackson Merrill #2Batting 0.881 OPS (last 14d, +0.141 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Freddy Fermin #9Batting 0.900 OPS (last 14d, +0.160 vs avg)
Top Kansas City Royals Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Jac Caglianone #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.144 OPS (last 14d, +0.404 vs avg)
  • 2.Bobby Witt Jr. #2Batting 1.002 OPS (last 14d, +0.262 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Salvador Perez #6Batting 0.774 OPS (last 14d, +0.034 vs avg)
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Michael King (San Diego Padres)
  • No significant outliers in available metrics
Seth Lugo (Kansas City Royals)
  • No significant outliers in available metrics
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 20 of 21 hitters
Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros
8:10 PM ET · Minute Maid Park
Dean Kremer vs Peter Lambert
Houston Astros has the edge
Slight Houston Astros AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Baltimore Orioles starter Dean Kremer (5.93 ERA) — Houston Astros starter Peter Lambert (3.09 ERA) — Overall: Slight Houston Astros Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros
Overall edge indicator — left = Baltimore Orioles · right = Houston Astros · home pitching edge · home lineup edge
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Dean Kremer
Baltimore Orioles · RHP · 8 GS
Building Sample
5.93ERA
1.32WHIP
8.80K/9
2.90BB/9
2.60HR/9
41.0IP
5.96FIP
⚠ 41.0 IP — a growing sample. Getting more reliable, not fully trusted yet.
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 9.00 · WHIP 1.667 · 15.0 IP
Peter Lambert
Houston Astros · RHP · 20 GS
Average
3.09ERA
1.15WHIP
8.80K/9
3.50BB/9
1.00HR/9
113.7IP
3.94FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 3.32 · WHIP 1.338 · 21.7 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Baltimore Orioles Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Peter Lambert )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Gunnar Henderson 0.317 277pa 0.263 131pa 0.312 70pa 0.323 42pa ★ 0.243 30pa ▼
2 Adley Rutschman 0.390 170pa ★ 0.334 50pa 0.219 61pa 0.245 25pa ▼ 0.242 8pa Tiny Sample
3 Taylor Ward 0.382 349pa ★ 0.220 123pa ▼ 0.280 39pa 0.237 33pa 0.272 10pa Tiny Sample
4 Pete Alonso 0.382 312pa ★ 0.350 132pa 0.315 48pa 0.213 51pa ▼ 0.246 8pa Tiny Sample
5 Samuel Basallo 0.367 163pa ★ 0.339 74pa 0.340 50pa 0.208 36pa ▼ 0.399 19pa Tiny Sample
6 Leody Taveras 0.315 213pa ★ 0.258 72pa 0.227 61pa 0.167 30pa ▼ 0.293 16pa Tiny Sample
6 Dylan Beavers 0.292 139pa ▼ 0.331 49pa 0.365 27pa ★ 0.186 20pa Tiny Sample 0.330 8pa Tiny Sample
7 Colton Cowser 0.400 153pa ★ 0.244 65pa 0.198 55pa 0.133 25pa ▼ 0.157 20pa Tiny Sample
8 Coby Mayo 0.367 157pa ★ 0.234 100pa ▼ 0.290 34pa 0.359 28pa 0.176 5pa Tiny Sample
9 Jackson Holliday 0.368 116pa ★ 0.293 40pa ▼ 0.154 24pa Tiny Sample 0.248 22pa Tiny Sample 0.481 13pa Tiny Sample
9 Jeremiah Jackson 0.354 123pa ★ 0.256 81pa 0.236 29pa ▼ 0.101 21pa Tiny Sample 0.208 6pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Houston Astros Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Dean Kremer )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Jeremy Peña 0.386 166pa 0.391 91pa ★ 0.152 21pa Tiny Sample 0.225 27pa ▼ 0.536 10pa Tiny Sample
2 Yordan Alvarez 0.456 287pa 0.360 97pa 0.328 74pa ▼ 0.506 51pa ★ 0.422 25pa
3 Nick Allen 0.274 98pa ★ 0.231 27pa ▼ 0.307 11pa Tiny Sample 0.178 7pa Tiny Sample 0.587 3pa Tiny Sample
3 Isaac Paredes 0.369 299pa ★ 0.271 101pa 0.310 52pa 0.195 44pa ▼ 0.402 16pa Tiny Sample
4 Christian Walker 0.322 288pa 0.387 129pa ★ 0.279 41pa 0.183 44pa ▼ 0.375 15pa Tiny Sample
5 Jose Altuve 0.328 251pa ★ 0.269 130pa 0.165 34pa ▼ 0.265 20pa Tiny Sample 0.147 12pa Tiny Sample
6 LaMonte Wade Jr. 0.357 73pa ★ ▼ 0.408 24pa Tiny Sample 0.356 17pa Tiny Sample 0.115 6pa Tiny Sample 0.416 3pa Tiny Sample
7 Cam Smith 0.327 284pa ★ 0.261 103pa 0.224 40pa ▼ 0.331 23pa Tiny Sample 0.339 18pa Tiny Sample
8 Lucas Spence 0.248 22pa Tiny Sample 0.274 17pa Tiny Sample 0.098 9pa Tiny Sample 0.201 7pa Tiny Sample —
9 Christian Vázquez 0.300 162pa ★ 0.189 49pa ▼ 0.194 10pa Tiny Sample 0.121 14pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
9 Taylor Trammell 0.371 122pa ★ 0.253 47pa ▼ 0.281 30pa 0.523 14pa Tiny Sample 0.139 9pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Baltimore Orioles Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Coby Mayo #8Batting 0.850 OPS (last 14d, +0.110 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Jackson Holliday #9Batting 0.691 OPS (last 14d); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Pete Alonso #4Batting 0.562 OPS (last 14d); strong vs Fastball
Top Houston Astros Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Christian Walker #4 Strong recent formBatting 1.025 OPS (last 14d, +0.285 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
  • 2.Yordan Alvarez #2 Strong recent formBatting 1.016 OPS (last 14d, +0.276 vs avg)
  • 3.LaMonte Wade Jr. #6 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 1.205 OPS (last 14d, +0.465 vs avg)
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Dean Kremer (Baltimore Orioles)
  • High ERA (5.93) — run-prevention risk
  • Elevated HR/9 (2.6) — HR risk
Peter Lambert (Houston Astros)
  • No significant outliers in available metrics
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 20 of 22 hitters
Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies
8:40 PM ET · Coors Field
Brady Singer vs Gabriel Hughes
Colorado Rockies has the edge
Slight Colorado Rockies AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Cincinnati Reds starter Brady Singer (4.67 ERA) — Colorado Rockies starter Gabriel Hughes (4.25 ERA) — Overall: Slight Colorado Rockies Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies
Overall edge indicator — left = Cincinnati Reds · right = Colorado Rockies · home pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Brady Singer
Cincinnati Reds · RHP · 22 GS
Below Average
4.67ERA
1.43WHIP
7.50K/9
3.00BB/9
1.70HR/9
119.7IP
5.07FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 3.18 · WHIP 1.471 · 17.0 IP
Gabriel Hughes
Colorado Rockies · RHP · 5 GS
Building Sample
4.25ERA
1.18WHIP
8.50K/9
2.70BB/9
0.30HR/9
29.7IP
2.71FIP
⚠ 29.7 IP — a growing sample. Getting more reliable, not fully trusted yet.
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 5.28 · WHIP 1.239 · 15.3 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Cincinnati Reds Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Gabriel Hughes )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.381 264pa 0.347 75pa 0.412 72pa ★ 0.222 52pa ▼ 0.244 18pa Tiny Sample
2 Noelvi Marte 0.278 129pa ★ 0.226 68pa ▼ 0.416 21pa Tiny Sample 0.378 16pa Tiny Sample 0.249 5pa Tiny Sample
2 Sal Stewart 0.404 299pa ★ 0.287 151pa 0.342 42pa 0.237 43pa ▼ 0.403 15pa Tiny Sample
3 Dane Myers 0.354 141pa ★ 0.289 61pa ▼ 0.293 24pa Tiny Sample 0.384 12pa Tiny Sample 0.000 4pa Tiny Sample
3 JJ Bleday 0.378 206pa 0.390 76pa ★ 0.298 68pa 0.365 27pa 0.169 26pa ▼
4 Spencer Steer 0.350 264pa ★ 0.266 83pa 0.251 48pa 0.251 26pa ▼ 0.553 9pa Tiny Sample
5 Eugenio Suárez 0.322 206pa ★ 0.243 89pa 0.218 25pa ▼ 0.299 29pa 0.334 9pa Tiny Sample
6 Tyler Stephenson 0.385 203pa ★ 0.288 95pa 0.140 35pa ▼ 0.254 18pa Tiny Sample 0.000 12pa Tiny Sample
7 TJ Friedl 0.290 179pa ★ 0.282 34pa 0.065 35pa ▼ 0.242 21pa Tiny Sample 0.307 9pa Tiny Sample
8 Edwin Arroyo 0.266 74pa 0.227 18pa Tiny Sample 0.278 26pa ★ 0.223 27pa ▼ 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample
9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.262 141pa ★ 0.125 44pa ▼ 0.174 9pa Tiny Sample 0.133 16pa Tiny Sample 0.147 6pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Colorado Rockies Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Brady Singer )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Jake McCarthy 0.412 263pa ★ 0.288 80pa 0.231 52pa ▼ 0.236 36pa 0.814 13pa Tiny Sample
2 Mickey Moniak 0.385 161pa ★ 0.357 77pa 0.253 52pa ▼ 0.344 28pa 0.301 14pa Tiny Sample
2 Cole Carrigg 0.386 123pa ▼ 0.451 32pa ★ 0.432 42pa 0.244 13pa Tiny Sample 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample
3 Hunter Goodman 0.396 249pa ★ 0.344 133pa 0.307 45pa 0.308 46pa ▼ 0.131 12pa Tiny Sample
4 TJ Rumfield 0.381 276pa ★ 0.328 119pa 0.307 55pa ▼ 0.310 42pa 0.282 19pa Tiny Sample
5 Kyle Karros 0.413 250pa ★ 0.264 104pa 0.257 39pa 0.257 26pa ▼ 0.594 7pa Tiny Sample
6 Willi Castro 0.378 222pa 0.260 63pa ▼ 0.259 74pa 0.392 47pa ★ 0.112 14pa Tiny Sample
7 Troy Johnston 0.338 190pa 0.331 79pa 0.264 72pa ▼ 0.438 42pa ★ 0.423 18pa Tiny Sample
8 Tyler Freeman 0.334 191pa ★ 0.204 74pa ▼ 0.252 29pa 0.147 12pa Tiny Sample 0.352 4pa Tiny Sample
9 Ezequiel Tovar 0.263 229pa 0.245 112pa ▼ 0.317 37pa ★ 0.260 33pa 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Cincinnati Reds Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Tyler Stephenson #6Batting 1.036 OPS (last 14d, +0.296 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Sal Stewart #2 Strong recent formBatting 0.910 OPS (last 14d, +0.170 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Elly De La Cruz #1Batting 0.859 OPS (last 14d, +0.119 vs avg)
Top Colorado Rockies Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Willi Castro #6Batting 1.110 OPS (last 14d, +0.370 vs avg)
  • 2.Jake McCarthy #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.970 OPS (last 14d, +0.230 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Cole Carrigg #2 Strong recent formBatting 0.905 OPS (last 14d, +0.165 vs avg)
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Brady Singer (Cincinnati Reds)
  • No significant outliers in available metrics
Gabriel Hughes (Colorado Rockies)
  • Excellent HR suppression (0.3 HR/9)
  • FIP (2.71) confirms elite results
  • ERA above FIP (2.71) — may regress downward (good sign)
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 20 of 21 hitters
Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels
9:38 PM ET · Angel Stadium
Troy Melton vs Reid Detmers
Detroit Tigers has the edge
Slight Detroit Tigers AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Detroit Tigers starter Troy Melton (1.58 ERA) — Los Angeles Angels starter Reid Detmers (4.12 ERA) — Overall: Slight Detroit Tigers Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
Overall edge indicator — left = Detroit Tigers · right = Los Angeles Angels · away pitching edge · away lineup edge
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Troy Melton
Detroit Tigers · RHP · 12 GS
Above Average
1.58ERA
0.91WHIP
7.80K/9
2.70BB/9
0.90HR/9
80.0IP
3.70FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 0.95 · WHIP 1.000 · 19.0 IP
Reid Detmers
Los Angeles Angels · LHP · 23 GS
Average
4.12ERA
1.10WHIP
10.50K/9
2.70BB/9
1.20HR/9
129.0IP
3.54FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 3.77 · WHIP 0.977 · 14.3 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Detroit Tigers Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Reid Detmers )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Matt Vierling 0.265 188pa ▼ 0.284 87pa ★ 0.264 33pa 0.218 21pa Tiny Sample 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample
2 Kevin McGonigle 0.427 344pa ★ 0.214 91pa ▼ 0.256 80pa 0.344 32pa 0.307 20pa Tiny Sample
3 James Outman 0.289 104pa 0.392 37pa ★ 0.098 36pa ▼ 0.251 24pa Tiny Sample 0.096 13pa Tiny Sample
3 Dillon Dingler 0.384 290pa 0.457 95pa ★ 0.274 60pa 0.190 39pa ▼ 0.198 16pa Tiny Sample
4 Spencer Torkelson 0.352 298pa ★ 0.331 118pa 0.238 49pa 0.167 28pa ▼ 0.068 13pa Tiny Sample
5 Riley Greene 0.372 303pa 0.387 94pa ★ 0.241 79pa 0.319 29pa 0.256 33pa ▼
6 Eduardo Valencia 0.485 37pa ★ ▼ 0.364 16pa Tiny Sample 0.304 7pa Tiny Sample — —
6 Kerry Carpenter 0.309 159pa 0.189 49pa ▼ 0.475 45pa ★ 0.211 38pa 0.063 14pa Tiny Sample
7 Hao-Yu Lee 0.320 118pa ★ 0.311 49pa ▼ 0.244 22pa Tiny Sample 0.215 14pa Tiny Sample 0.582 5pa Tiny Sample
8 Jake Rogers 0.306 102pa ★ 0.177 31pa ▼ 0.157 10pa Tiny Sample 0.324 7pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
8 Colt Keith 0.319 212pa ▼ 0.312 52pa 0.318 68pa ★ 0.477 24pa Tiny Sample 0.168 22pa Tiny Sample
8 Ben Malgeri 0.370 35pa ★ ▼ 0.539 9pa Tiny Sample 0.000 9pa Tiny Sample 0.523 3pa Tiny Sample —
9 Zach McKinstry 0.318 204pa ★ 0.301 64pa 0.205 30pa 0.190 37pa ▼ 0.078 20pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Los Angeles Angels Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Troy Melton )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Zach Neto 0.369 278pa ★ 0.297 136pa 0.234 70pa 0.165 49pa ▼ 0.168 17pa Tiny Sample
2 Mike Trout 0.384 318pa ★ 0.296 70pa 0.335 43pa 0.170 28pa ▼ 0.219 12pa Tiny Sample
3 Nolan Schanuel 0.333 263pa 0.335 85pa ★ 0.302 45pa 0.273 33pa ▼ 0.207 17pa Tiny Sample
4 Jorge Soler 0.368 214pa ★ 0.298 103pa 0.216 40pa 0.208 36pa ▼ 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample
4 Wade Meckler 0.390 122pa ★ 0.221 32pa ▼ 0.246 28pa 0.144 17pa Tiny Sample 0.501 12pa Tiny Sample
5 Jose Siri 0.407 88pa ★ 0.192 33pa ▼ 0.353 14pa Tiny Sample 0.255 23pa Tiny Sample —
5 Josh Lowe 0.307 134pa ★ 0.207 42pa 0.209 31pa ▼ 0.251 25pa 0.357 15pa Tiny Sample
6 Jo Adell 0.317 292pa 0.277 128pa 0.184 55pa ▼ 0.563 36pa ★ 0.111 13pa Tiny Sample
7 Oswald Peraza 0.334 181pa ★ 0.263 83pa 0.286 42pa 0.153 33pa ▼ 0.316 5pa Tiny Sample
7 Vaughn Grissom 0.319 167pa 0.399 70pa ★ 0.200 36pa ▼ 0.280 36pa 0.120 6pa Tiny Sample
8 Denzer Guzman 0.317 92pa ★ 0.304 54pa ▼ 0.360 17pa Tiny Sample 0.099 7pa Tiny Sample 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample
9 Logan O'Hoppe 0.270 164pa 0.221 74pa 0.176 36pa ▼ 0.452 25pa ★ —
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Detroit Tigers Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Colt Keith #8Batting 1.185 OPS (last 14d, +0.445 vs avg)
  • 2.Eduardo Valencia #6Batting 1.154 OPS (last 14d, +0.414 vs avg)
  • 3.Ben Malgeri #8 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 1.393 OPS (last 14d, +0.653 vs avg)
Top Los Angeles Angels Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Wade Meckler #4Batting 0.904 OPS (last 14d, +0.164 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Jorge Soler #4 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 0.788 OPS (last 14d, +0.048 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Jose Siri #5 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 0.787 OPS (last 14d, +0.047 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Troy Melton (Detroit Tigers)
  • Elite ERA (1.58) — strong run prevention
  • FIP (3.7) above ERA — may regress upward
Reid Detmers (Los Angeles Angels)
  • Elite strikeout rate (10.5 K/9)
  • Above-average K rate (10.5 K/9)
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 24 of 25 hitters
Washington Nationals @ Athletics
9:40 PM ET
Cade Cavalli vs Gage Jump
Washington Nationals has the edge
Slight Washington Nationals AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Washington Nationals starter Cade Cavalli (3.57 ERA) — Athletics starter Gage Jump (4.46 ERA) — Overall: Slight Washington Nationals Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Washington Nationals
Athletics
Overall edge indicator — left = Washington Nationals · right = Athletics · away pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Cade Cavalli
Washington Nationals · RHP · 25 GS
Average
3.57ERA
1.30WHIP
9.90K/9
2.70BB/9
1.10HR/9
128.7IP
3.66FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 2.62 · WHIP 1.250 · 24.0 IP
Gage Jump
Athletics · LHP · 14 GS
Average
4.46ERA
1.46WHIP
10.40K/9
4.10BB/9
0.90HR/9
72.7IP
3.58FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 6.20 · WHIP 1.820 · 20.3 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Washington Nationals Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Gage Jump )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 James Wood 0.436 287pa ★ 0.383 143pa 0.328 68pa 0.152 60pa ▼ 0.286 15pa Tiny Sample
2 Curtis Mead 0.377 193pa ★ 0.276 86pa ▼ 0.317 38pa 0.527 23pa Tiny Sample 0.512 8pa Tiny Sample
3 Andrés Chaparro 0.402 81pa ★ 0.229 30pa ▼ 0.272 28pa 0.285 10pa Tiny Sample —
4 José Tena 0.393 140pa ★ 0.217 49pa ▼ 0.220 48pa 0.177 23pa Tiny Sample 0.236 9pa Tiny Sample
4 CJ Abrams 0.429 249pa ★ 0.275 142pa ▼ 0.352 62pa 0.395 71pa 0.402 14pa Tiny Sample
5 Dylan Crews 0.295 191pa ★ 0.246 65pa 0.237 32pa ▼ 0.414 9pa Tiny Sample 0.103 7pa Tiny Sample
6 Harry Ford 0.396 36pa ★ ▼ 0.518 9pa Tiny Sample 0.587 3pa Tiny Sample 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample —
7 Daylen Lile 0.333 256pa 0.284 113pa 0.233 84pa ▼ 0.398 49pa ★ 0.357 24pa Tiny Sample
8 Jacob Young 0.344 216pa ★ 0.187 91pa ▼ 0.284 34pa 0.315 21pa Tiny Sample 0.508 8pa Tiny Sample
9 Nasim Nuñez 0.294 243pa 0.342 70pa ★ 0.211 71pa 0.130 31pa ▼ 0.135 13pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Athletics Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Cade Cavalli )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Carlos Cortes 0.362 150pa ★ 0.301 49pa 0.257 36pa ▼ 0.233 22pa Tiny Sample 0.246 19pa Tiny Sample
2 Alika Williams 0.392 89pa ★ 0.042 38pa ▼ 0.297 22pa Tiny Sample 0.452 9pa Tiny Sample 0.637 5pa Tiny Sample
2 Jacob Wilson 0.342 225pa ★ 0.231 77pa ▼ 0.234 50pa 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample 0.139 9pa Tiny Sample
3 Colby Thomas 0.310 76pa ★ 0.239 44pa 0.176 28pa ▼ 0.359 13pa Tiny Sample 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample
3 Tyler Soderstrom 0.373 296pa 0.334 82pa ▼ 0.380 47pa 0.402 30pa ★ 0.174 18pa Tiny Sample
4 Shea Langeliers 0.375 234pa 0.386 131pa 0.234 43pa ▼ 0.501 35pa ★ 0.544 13pa Tiny Sample
5 Joshua Kuroda-Grauer 0.365 37pa ▼ 0.580 25pa ★ 0.430 7pa Tiny Sample 0.147 6pa Tiny Sample 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample
6 Lawrence Butler 0.269 208pa 0.340 61pa ★ 0.307 42pa 0.222 27pa ▼ 0.222 25pa
7 Donovan Walton 0.422 87pa ★ 0.279 30pa ▼ 0.335 21pa Tiny Sample 0.384 16pa Tiny Sample 0.080 11pa Tiny Sample
8 Henry Bolte 0.356 189pa ★ 0.262 69pa ▼ 0.303 27pa 0.472 15pa Tiny Sample 0.215 9pa Tiny Sample
9 Tommy White 0.279 70pa ▼ 0.453 31pa ★ 0.235 15pa Tiny Sample 0.430 7pa Tiny Sample —
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Washington Nationals Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Jacob Young #8Batting 1.051 OPS (last 14d, +0.311 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Daylen Lile #7Batting 0.856 OPS (last 14d, +0.116 vs avg)
  • 3.Andrés Chaparro #3Batting 0.875 OPS (last 14d, +0.135 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Top Athletics Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Henry Bolte #8 Strong recent formBatting 0.914 OPS (last 14d, +0.174 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Lawrence Butler #6Batting 0.843 OPS (last 14d, +0.103 vs avg)
  • 3.Jacob Wilson #2Batting 0.641 OPS (last 14d); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals)
  • Above-average K rate (9.9 K/9)
Gage Jump (Athletics)
  • Elite strikeout rate (10.4 K/9)
  • Above-average K rate (10.4 K/9)
  • Control concerns (4.1 BB/9)
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 18 of 21 hitters
St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks
9:40 PM ET · Chase Field
Michael McGreevy vs Merrill Kelly
St. Louis Cardinals has the edge
Slight St. Louis Cardinals AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
St. Louis Cardinals starter Michael McGreevy (3.59 ERA) — Arizona Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly (4.88 ERA) — Overall: Slight St. Louis Cardinals Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
Overall edge indicator — left = St. Louis Cardinals · right = Arizona Diamondbacks · away pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Michael McGreevy
St. Louis Cardinals · RHP · 22 GS
Average
3.59ERA
1.20WHIP
6.10K/9
2.30BB/9
1.20HR/9
126.0IP
4.32FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 9.49 · WHIP 2.027 · 12.3 IP
Merrill Kelly
Arizona Diamondbacks · RHP · 21 GS
Below Average
4.88ERA
1.47WHIP
6.00K/9
3.80BB/9
1.70HR/9
120.0IP
5.63FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 3.38 · WHIP 1.359 · 21.3 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Merrill Kelly )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 JJ Wetherholt 0.355 325pa ★ 0.260 99pa 0.239 55pa ▼ 0.352 33pa 0.321 18pa Tiny Sample
2 Iván Herrera 0.345 283pa 0.342 128pa ★ 0.283 55pa ▼ 0.312 47pa 0.400 13pa Tiny Sample
3 Alec Burleson 0.367 246pa 0.297 113pa ▼ 0.373 83pa 0.394 57pa ★ 0.322 26pa
4 Jordan Walker 0.344 284pa 0.302 136pa 0.381 53pa ★ 0.272 36pa ▼ 0.669 10pa Tiny Sample
5 Lars Nootbaar 0.335 106pa ★ 0.301 34pa 0.174 36pa ▼ 0.359 13pa Tiny Sample 0.278 14pa Tiny Sample
6 Masyn Winn 0.297 259pa 0.282 122pa 0.308 43pa ★ 0.258 37pa ▼ 0.098 16pa Tiny Sample
7 Nathan Church 0.319 168pa ★ 0.225 84pa ▼ 0.292 69pa 0.303 33pa 0.235 15pa Tiny Sample
8 José Fermín 0.290 178pa ★ 0.240 53pa 0.138 32pa ▼ 0.282 21pa Tiny Sample 0.147 6pa Tiny Sample
9 Pedro Pagés 0.261 98pa ★ 0.240 51pa 0.213 29pa ▼ 0.236 15pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
9 Jimmy Crooks 0.240 71pa ★ ▼ 0.591 15pa Tiny Sample 0.199 16pa Tiny Sample 0.057 12pa Tiny Sample 0.220 4pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Arizona Diamondbacks Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Michael McGreevy )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Ketel Marte 0.353 255pa 0.268 87pa 0.208 85pa ▼ 0.374 48pa ★ 0.252 32pa
2 Geraldo Perdomo 0.361 308pa ★ 0.295 76pa 0.310 77pa 0.247 22pa Tiny Sample 0.220 28pa ▼
3 Corbin Carroll 0.353 271pa 0.361 111pa ★ 0.309 62pa 0.293 40pa 0.186 31pa ▼
4 Gabriel Moreno 0.422 229pa ★ 0.305 91pa 0.288 42pa ▼ 0.200 23pa Tiny Sample 0.350 14pa Tiny Sample
5 Max Kepler 0.324 49pa ★ ▼ 0.292 22pa Tiny Sample 0.193 23pa Tiny Sample 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample 0.262 6pa Tiny Sample
6 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.277 115pa ★ 0.185 39pa 0.152 25pa ▼ 0.314 5pa Tiny Sample 0.176 5pa Tiny Sample
7 Nolan Arenado 0.413 237pa ★ 0.221 127pa 0.264 45pa 0.183 26pa ▼ 0.227 12pa Tiny Sample
7 Jorge Barrosa 0.324 120pa ★ 0.275 26pa ▼ 0.337 19pa Tiny Sample 0.247 17pa Tiny Sample 0.304 7pa Tiny Sample
8 Ildemaro Vargas 0.355 224pa ★ 0.274 61pa ▼ 0.275 65pa 0.308 29pa 0.176 15pa Tiny Sample
9 Tim Tawa 0.332 135pa ★ 0.251 54pa ▼ 0.300 25pa 0.304 8pa Tiny Sample 0.379 10pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top St. Louis Cardinals Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Alec Burleson #3 Strong recent formBatting 0.968 OPS (last 14d, +0.228 vs avg)
  • 2.Nathan Church #7Batting 0.742 OPS (last 14d, +0.002 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Iván Herrera #2Batting 0.706 OPS (last 14d); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
Top Arizona Diamondbacks Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Geraldo Perdomo #2 Strong recent formBatting 0.915 OPS (last 14d, +0.175 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Ildemaro Vargas #8Batting 0.872 OPS (last 14d, +0.132 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Nolan Arenado #7Batting 0.810 OPS (last 14d, +0.070 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Michael McGreevy (St. Louis Cardinals)
  • No significant outliers in available metrics
Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks)
  • No significant outliers in available metrics
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 19 of 20 hitters
San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners
10:10 PM ET · T-Mobile Park
Landen Roupp vs Bryce Miller
Seattle Mariners has the edge
Slight Seattle Mariners AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
San Francisco Giants starter Landen Roupp (4.22 ERA) — Seattle Mariners starter Bryce Miller (3.08 ERA) — Overall: Slight Seattle Mariners Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners
Overall edge indicator — left = San Francisco Giants · right = Seattle Mariners · home pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Landen Roupp
San Francisco Giants · RHP · 23 GS
Average
4.22ERA
1.29WHIP
9.00K/9
4.20BB/9
0.70HR/9
123.7IP
3.59FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 5.49 · WHIP 1.424 · 19.7 IP
Bryce Miller
Seattle Mariners · RHP · 13 GS
Average
3.08ERA
0.95WHIP
9.00K/9
1.70BB/9
1.50HR/9
79.0IP
3.90FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 6.32 · WHIP 1.213 · 15.7 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
San Francisco Giants Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Bryce Miller )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Luis Arraez 0.344 340pa 0.318 76pa 0.214 50pa ▼ 0.452 30pa ★ 0.291 13pa Tiny Sample
2 Bryce Eldridge 0.391 207pa ★ 0.275 60pa 0.269 43pa 0.242 26pa ▼ 0.203 10pa Tiny Sample
3 Casey Schmitt 0.322 272pa 0.357 114pa 0.496 37pa ★ 0.215 30pa ▼ 0.120 6pa Tiny Sample
4 Rafael Devers 0.375 315pa 0.233 97pa ▼ 0.234 58pa 0.331 28pa 0.437 26pa ★
5 Heliot Ramos 0.298 198pa 0.320 81pa ★ 0.205 36pa ▼ 0.283 24pa Tiny Sample 0.601 9pa Tiny Sample
6 Jung Hoo Lee 0.339 270pa 0.379 101pa ★ 0.317 34pa 0.291 37pa ▼ 0.463 12pa Tiny Sample
7 Willy Adames 0.345 296pa ★ 0.238 138pa 0.230 37pa 0.197 31pa ▼ 0.239 17pa Tiny Sample
8 Drew Gilbert 0.333 177pa ★ 0.241 52pa ▼ 0.279 36pa 0.271 27pa 0.270 13pa Tiny Sample
9 Drew Cavanaugh 0.354 45pa ★ ▼ 0.238 14pa Tiny Sample 0.172 8pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample —
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Seattle Mariners Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Landen Roupp )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 J.P. Crawford 0.308 246pa 0.196 68pa ▼ 0.472 28pa ★ 0.277 26pa 0.323 12pa Tiny Sample
2 Randy Arozarena 0.380 269pa ★ 0.342 126pa 0.346 56pa ▼ 0.349 36pa 0.100 16pa Tiny Sample
3 Dominic Canzone 0.393 184pa 0.303 63pa 0.196 65pa ▼ 0.459 30pa ★ 0.315 21pa Tiny Sample
4 Cal Raleigh 0.256 210pa 0.298 65pa ★ 0.281 46pa 0.215 40pa ▼ 0.275 21pa Tiny Sample
5 Josh Naylor 0.353 284pa ★ 0.270 89pa 0.228 57pa 0.243 35pa 0.155 28pa ▼
6 Cole Young 0.348 327pa 0.338 102pa ★ 0.279 54pa ▼ 0.287 31pa 0.273 20pa Tiny Sample
7 Luke Raley 0.392 175pa ★ 0.263 59pa 0.252 55pa 0.248 26pa ▼ 0.000 15pa Tiny Sample
8 Victor Robles 0.288 90pa ★ 0.229 36pa ▼ 0.137 22pa Tiny Sample 0.293 12pa Tiny Sample —
9 Colt Emerson 0.302 150pa ★ 0.222 53pa 0.269 30pa 0.198 25pa ▼ 0.264 10pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top San Francisco Giants Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Jung Hoo Lee #6Batting 0.870 OPS (last 14d, +0.130 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
  • 2.Luis Arraez #1Batting 0.762 OPS (last 14d, +0.022 vs avg)
  • 3.Rafael Devers #4Batting 0.743 OPS (last 14d, +0.003 vs avg)
Top Seattle Mariners Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Josh Naylor #5 Strong recent formBatting 0.931 OPS (last 14d, +0.191 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Cole Young #6Batting 0.861 OPS (last 14d, +0.121 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
  • 3.J.P. Crawford #1 No recent at-bats — not countedBatting 0.000 OPS (last 14d)
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Landen Roupp (San Francisco Giants)
  • Above-average K rate (9.0 K/9)
  • Excellent HR suppression (0.7 HR/9)
  • Control concerns (4.2 BB/9)
Bryce Miller (Seattle Mariners)
  • Above-average K rate (9.0 K/9)
  • Sharp control (1.7 BB/9)
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 17 of 18 hitters
Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox
1:35 PM ET · Fenway Park
Griffin Jax vs Jake Bennett
Boston Red Sox has the edge
Slight Boston Red Sox AdvantageMixed Medium Confidence
Tampa Bay Rays starter Griffin Jax (3.63 ERA) — Boston Red Sox starter Jake Bennett (3.17 ERA) — Overall: Slight Boston Red Sox Advantage. Edge source: Mixed.
Log in to track picks
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
Overall edge indicator — left = Tampa Bay Rays · right = Boston Red Sox · home pitching edge · home lineup edge
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Griffin Jax
Tampa Bay Rays · RHP · 18 GS
Average
3.63ERA
1.21WHIP
9.80K/9
2.90BB/9
1.40HR/9
91.7IP
3.97FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 1.62 · WHIP 0.960 · 16.7 IP
Jake Bennett
Boston Red Sox · LHP · 13 GS
Average
3.17ERA
1.04WHIP
6.50K/9
1.90BB/9
0.60HR/9
76.7IP
3.31FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 5.09 · WHIP 1.435 · 23.0 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Jake Bennett )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Yandy Díaz 0.322 309pa 0.480 110pa ★ 0.320 48pa 0.312 46pa ▼ 0.400 15pa Tiny Sample
1 Victor Mesa Jr. 0.308 98pa ▼ 0.394 26pa ★ 0.503 17pa Tiny Sample 0.136 18pa Tiny Sample 0.196 9pa Tiny Sample
2 Jonathan Aranda 0.362 315pa 0.363 93pa 0.253 56pa ▼ 0.398 35pa ★ 0.246 23pa Tiny Sample
3 Junior Caminero 0.455 267pa ★ 0.301 145pa 0.304 54pa 0.256 41pa ▼ 0.481 19pa Tiny Sample
4 Ryan Vilade 0.305 150pa ★ 0.277 36pa ▼ 0.593 23pa Tiny Sample 0.296 20pa Tiny Sample 0.392 4pa Tiny Sample
5 Jonny DeLuca 0.342 151pa ★ 0.278 69pa ▼ 0.161 24pa Tiny Sample 0.264 14pa Tiny Sample 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample
6 Chandler Simpson 0.330 305pa 0.355 73pa ★ 0.183 48pa ▼ 0.219 29pa 0.210 20pa Tiny Sample
7 Ben Williamson 0.350 185pa ★ 0.223 72pa 0.215 29pa ▼ 0.324 18pa Tiny Sample 0.430 7pa Tiny Sample
8 Taylor Walls 0.310 230pa ★ 0.211 42pa 0.171 40pa 0.144 29pa ▼ 0.215 9pa Tiny Sample
9 Nick Fortes 0.332 185pa ★ 0.173 60pa ▼ 0.309 28pa 0.495 14pa Tiny Sample 0.293 6pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Boston Red Sox Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Griffin Jax )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Anthony Seigler 0.369 93pa ★ ▼ 0.306 18pa Tiny Sample 0.169 20pa Tiny Sample 0.113 11pa Tiny Sample 0.266 8pa Tiny Sample
2 Ceddanne Rafaela 0.311 284pa 0.438 110pa ★ 0.326 57pa 0.262 40pa ▼ 0.801 13pa Tiny Sample
3 Wilyer Abreu 0.343 282pa 0.359 90pa 0.283 85pa ▼ 0.366 36pa ★ 0.207 23pa Tiny Sample
4 Caleb Durbin 0.347 306pa ★ 0.274 91pa 0.204 39pa ▼ 0.418 19pa Tiny Sample 0.266 8pa Tiny Sample
5 Masataka Yoshida 0.327 177pa 0.398 31pa ★ 0.354 40pa 0.182 30pa ▼ 0.381 12pa Tiny Sample
6 Romy Gonzalez 0.320 45pa ★ ▼ 0.250 11pa Tiny Sample 0.000 7pa Tiny Sample 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample 0.312 5pa Tiny Sample
7 Jarren Duran 0.315 248pa ★ 0.190 99pa 0.233 67pa 0.238 52pa 0.170 30pa ▼
8 Carlos Narváez 0.243 137pa ★ 0.219 69pa ▼ 0.239 22pa Tiny Sample 0.213 11pa Tiny Sample 0.304 7pa Tiny Sample
9 Tsung-Che Cheng 0.285 33pa ★ ▼ 0.126 7pa Tiny Sample 0.277 7pa Tiny Sample 0.440 4pa Tiny Sample 0.176 5pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Tampa Bay Rays Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Junior Caminero #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.011 OPS (last 14d, +0.271 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Jonathan Aranda #2Batting 0.783 OPS (last 14d, +0.043 vs avg)
  • 3.Jonny DeLuca #5Batting 0.695 OPS (last 14d); strong vs Fastball
Top Boston Red Sox Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Wilyer Abreu #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.109 OPS (last 14d, +0.369 vs avg)
  • 2.Ceddanne Rafaela #2 Strong recent formBatting 1.045 OPS (last 14d, +0.305 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
  • 3.Caleb Durbin #4 Strong recent formBatting 0.972 OPS (last 14d, +0.232 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Griffin Jax (Tampa Bay Rays)
  • Above-average K rate (9.8 K/9)
Jake Bennett (Boston Red Sox)
  • Excellent HR suppression (0.6 HR/9)
  • Sharp control (1.9 BB/9)
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 18 of 19 hitters
Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees
7:05 PM ET · Yankee Stadium
Roki Sasaki vs Gerrit Cole
New York Yankees has the edge
Slight New York Yankees AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Los Angeles Dodgers starter Roki Sasaki (4.54 ERA) — New York Yankees starter Gerrit Cole (3.35 ERA) — Overall: Slight New York Yankees Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees
Overall edge indicator — left = Los Angeles Dodgers · right = New York Yankees · home pitching edge · away lineup edge
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Roki Sasaki
Los Angeles Dodgers · RHP · 19 GS
Average
4.54ERA
1.28WHIP
9.20K/9
3.40BB/9
1.90HR/9
100.0IP
5.13FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 2.45 · WHIP 0.982 · 18.3 IP
Gerrit Cole
New York Yankees · RHP · 14 GS
Average
3.35ERA
1.08WHIP
9.70K/9
1.90BB/9
1.20HR/9
80.7IP
3.44FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 2.10 · WHIP 0.896 · 25.7 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Gerrit Cole )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.417 249pa ★ 0.396 101pa 0.383 67pa 0.217 54pa ▼ 0.378 17pa Tiny Sample
2 Andy Pages 0.328 329pa ▼ 0.360 129pa 0.330 43pa 0.396 33pa ★ 0.278 12pa Tiny Sample
3 Freddie Freeman 0.407 313pa 0.279 98pa 0.243 60pa ▼ 0.441 47pa ★ 0.423 14pa Tiny Sample
4 Mookie Betts 0.319 242pa ★ 0.313 66pa 0.303 38pa ▼ 0.123 20pa Tiny Sample 0.277 7pa Tiny Sample
5 Max Muncy 0.410 213pa ★ 0.361 81pa 0.300 76pa 0.293 50pa ▼ 0.302 23pa Tiny Sample
6 Kyle Tucker 0.355 270pa ★ 0.286 78pa 0.255 82pa ▼ 0.340 35pa 0.288 17pa Tiny Sample
7 Teoscar Hernández 0.364 211pa 0.277 70pa ▼ 0.383 41pa ★ 0.229 23pa Tiny Sample 0.166 16pa Tiny Sample
8 Dalton Rushing 0.359 148pa 0.402 49pa 0.282 44pa ▼ 0.426 33pa ★ 0.176 10pa Tiny Sample
9 Tommy Edman 0.320 88pa ★ 0.423 23pa Tiny Sample 0.225 29pa ▼ 0.174 9pa Tiny Sample 0.832 8pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
New York Yankees Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Roki Sasaki )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Trent Grisham 0.304 275pa ▼ 0.346 67pa ★ 0.324 45pa 0.305 22pa Tiny Sample 0.078 20pa Tiny Sample
2 Ben Rice 0.435 254pa ★ 0.336 125pa 0.328 56pa 0.320 59pa 0.146 30pa ▼
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.329 195pa 0.329 77pa 0.319 40pa ▼ 0.371 28pa ★ 0.147 6pa Tiny Sample
3 Ali Sánchez 0.313 46pa ★ ▼ 0.303 14pa Tiny Sample 0.555 7pa Tiny Sample 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
4 Cody Bellinger 0.340 288pa 0.381 76pa ★ 0.240 49pa ▼ 0.260 29pa 0.274 27pa
5 Jasson Domínguez 0.287 148pa ▼ 0.308 35pa 0.401 42pa ★ 0.347 12pa Tiny Sample 0.146 20pa Tiny Sample
6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.312 242pa 0.356 94pa ★ 0.325 49pa 0.191 57pa ▼ 0.105 15pa Tiny Sample
7 José Caballero 0.304 215pa 0.245 89pa 0.184 35pa ▼ 0.343 28pa ★ 0.523 13pa Tiny Sample
8 Ryan McMahon 0.329 170pa ★ 0.163 70pa ▼ 0.289 32pa 0.215 37pa 0.366 14pa Tiny Sample
9 Amed Rosario 0.272 113pa ▼ 0.335 45pa ★ 0.286 36pa 0.374 20pa Tiny Sample 0.220 4pa Tiny Sample
9 Austin Wells 0.333 158pa ★ 0.144 58pa ▼ 0.188 29pa 0.119 19pa Tiny Sample 0.086 17pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Los Angeles Dodgers Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Shohei Ohtani #1 Strong recent formBatting 1.327 OPS (last 14d, +0.587 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Kyle Tucker #6Batting 0.871 OPS (last 14d, +0.131 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Andy Pages #2Batting 0.864 OPS (last 14d, +0.124 vs avg)
Top New York Yankees Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.José Caballero #7Batting 1.084 OPS (last 14d, +0.344 vs avg)
  • 2.Austin Wells #9Batting 0.801 OPS (last 14d, +0.061 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Ryan McMahon #8Batting 0.778 OPS (last 14d, +0.038 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Roki Sasaki (Los Angeles Dodgers)
  • Above-average K rate (9.2 K/9)
  • Elevated HR/9 (1.9) — HR risk
Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees)
  • Above-average K rate (9.7 K/9)
  • Sharp control (1.9 BB/9)
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 19 of 20 hitters
Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox
7:10 PM ET · Fenway Park
Mason Englert vs Eduardo Rivera
Boston Red Sox has the edge
BalancedLineup-Based Medium Confidence
Tampa Bay Rays starter Mason Englert (4.54 ERA) — Boston Red Sox starter Eduardo Rivera (6.30 ERA) — Matchup appears evenly balanced.
Log in to track picks
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
Overall edge indicator — left = Tampa Bay Rays · right = Boston Red Sox · even pitching · home lineup edge
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Mason Englert
Tampa Bay Rays · RHP · 3 GS
Building Sample
4.54ERA
1.43WHIP
8.10K/9
2.00BB/9
2.30HR/9
35.7IP
5.39FIP
⚠ 35.7 IP — a growing sample. Getting more reliable, not fully trusted yet.
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Eduardo Rivera
Boston Red Sox · LHP · 3 GS
Small Sample
6.30ERA
1.40WHIP
9.00K/9
5.40BB/9
0.90HR/9
10.0IP
4.25FIP
⚠ Just 10.0 IP — the stats are real, but partially discounted until there's more evidence.
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 54.00 · WHIP 7.500 · 0.7 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Eduardo Rivera )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Yandy Díaz 0.322 309pa 0.480 110pa ★ 0.320 48pa 0.312 46pa ▼ 0.400 15pa Tiny Sample
2 Jonathan Aranda 0.362 315pa 0.363 93pa 0.253 56pa ▼ 0.398 35pa ★ 0.246 23pa Tiny Sample
3 Junior Caminero 0.455 267pa ★ 0.301 145pa 0.304 54pa 0.256 41pa ▼ 0.481 19pa Tiny Sample
4 Ryan Vilade 0.305 150pa ★ 0.277 36pa ▼ 0.593 23pa Tiny Sample 0.296 20pa Tiny Sample 0.392 4pa Tiny Sample
5 Cedric Mullins 0.293 263pa 0.248 72pa ▼ 0.299 33pa ★ 0.313 35pa 0.243 12pa Tiny Sample
6 Jonny DeLuca 0.342 151pa ★ 0.278 69pa ▼ 0.161 24pa Tiny Sample 0.264 14pa Tiny Sample 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample
7 Ben Williamson 0.350 185pa ★ 0.223 72pa 0.215 29pa ▼ 0.324 18pa Tiny Sample 0.430 7pa Tiny Sample
8 Nick Fortes 0.332 185pa ★ 0.173 60pa ▼ 0.309 28pa 0.495 14pa Tiny Sample 0.293 6pa Tiny Sample
8 Hunter Feduccia 0.290 115pa ★ 0.198 24pa Tiny Sample 0.253 25pa ▼ 0.084 23pa Tiny Sample 0.490 10pa Tiny Sample
9 Taylor Walls 0.310 230pa ★ 0.211 42pa 0.171 40pa 0.144 29pa ▼ 0.215 9pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Boston Red Sox Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Mason Englert )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Anthony Seigler 0.369 93pa ★ ▼ 0.306 18pa Tiny Sample 0.169 20pa Tiny Sample 0.113 11pa Tiny Sample 0.266 8pa Tiny Sample
2 Ceddanne Rafaela 0.311 284pa 0.438 110pa ★ 0.326 57pa 0.262 40pa ▼ 0.801 13pa Tiny Sample
3 Wilyer Abreu 0.343 282pa 0.359 90pa 0.283 85pa ▼ 0.366 36pa ★ 0.207 23pa Tiny Sample
4 Willson Contreras 0.427 269pa 0.326 94pa 0.422 56pa ★ 0.295 29pa ▼ 0.390 11pa Tiny Sample
5 Jahmai Jones 0.329 74pa ★ 0.222 27pa 0.202 28pa ▼ 0.425 10pa Tiny Sample —
5 Masataka Yoshida 0.327 177pa 0.398 31pa ★ 0.354 40pa 0.182 30pa ▼ 0.381 12pa Tiny Sample
6 Caleb Durbin 0.347 306pa ★ 0.274 91pa 0.204 39pa ▼ 0.418 19pa Tiny Sample 0.266 8pa Tiny Sample
7 Jarren Duran 0.315 248pa ★ 0.190 99pa 0.233 67pa 0.238 52pa 0.170 30pa ▼
8 Connor Wong 0.307 131pa ★ 0.252 46pa ▼ 0.247 20pa Tiny Sample 0.393 12pa Tiny Sample 0.172 4pa Tiny Sample
9 Tsung-Che Cheng 0.285 33pa ★ ▼ 0.126 7pa Tiny Sample 0.277 7pa Tiny Sample 0.440 4pa Tiny Sample 0.176 5pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Tampa Bay Rays Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

Top Boston Red Sox Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Wilyer Abreu #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.109 OPS (last 14d, +0.369 vs avg)
  • 2.Jahmai Jones #5 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 1.538 OPS (last 14d, +0.798 vs avg)
  • 3.Ceddanne Rafaela #2 Strong recent formBatting 1.045 OPS (last 14d, +0.305 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Mason Englert (Tampa Bay Rays)
  • Elevated HR/9 (2.3) — HR risk
Eduardo Rivera (Boston Red Sox)
  • High ERA (6.30) — run-prevention risk
  • Above-average K rate (9.0 K/9)
  • Control concerns (5.4 BB/9)
  • ERA above FIP (4.25) — may regress downward (good sign)
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Starter sample is small; pitcher edge is partially discounted.
  • Recent form data for 19 of 20 hitters
Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
7:15 PM ET · Rogers Centre
Anthony Kay vs Spencer Miles
Toronto Blue Jays has the edge
Slight Toronto Blue Jays AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Chicago White Sox starter Anthony Kay (3.96 ERA) — Toronto Blue Jays starter Spencer Miles (3.25 ERA) — Overall: Slight Toronto Blue Jays Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
Overall edge indicator — left = Chicago White Sox · right = Toronto Blue Jays · home pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Anthony Kay
Chicago White Sox · LHP · 22 GS
Average
3.96ERA
1.34WHIP
7.30K/9
3.30BB/9
1.20HR/9
116.0IP
4.87FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 2.78 · WHIP 1.235 · 22.7 IP
Spencer Miles
Toronto Blue Jays · RHP · 4 GS
Average
3.25ERA
1.13WHIP
8.60K/9
2.40BB/9
0.60HR/9
75.0IP
2.90FIP
⚠ 75.0 IP — a growing sample. Getting more reliable, not fully trusted yet.
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 1.69 · WHIP 1.125 · 10.7 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Chicago White Sox Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Spencer Miles )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Sam Antonacci 0.376 254pa ★ 0.264 68pa 0.211 45pa ▼ 0.465 17pa Tiny Sample 0.392 14pa Tiny Sample
2 Munetaka Murakami 0.421 199pa 0.243 99pa ▼ 0.462 35pa 0.483 30pa ★ 0.077 9pa Tiny Sample
3 Miguel Vargas 0.356 355pa 0.324 116pa 0.385 42pa ★ 0.300 41pa ▼ 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
3 Luisangel Acuña 0.303 129pa ★ 0.269 58pa 0.144 33pa ▼ 0.316 12pa Tiny Sample —
4 Colson Montgomery 0.324 317pa 0.243 101pa ▼ 0.337 49pa 0.369 28pa ★ 0.236 21pa Tiny Sample
5 Randal Grichuk 0.311 110pa ▼ 0.379 46pa ★ 0.316 37pa 0.185 11pa Tiny Sample 0.220 4pa Tiny Sample
5 Andrew Benintendi 0.345 194pa 0.321 87pa 0.202 51pa ▼ 0.372 29pa ★ 0.177 24pa Tiny Sample
6 Kyle Teel 0.239 42pa ★ ▼ 0.303 20pa Tiny Sample 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample 0.354 10pa Tiny Sample —
7 Braden Montgomery 0.372 110pa 0.383 26pa ★ 0.224 43pa ▼ 0.334 19pa Tiny Sample 0.165 16pa Tiny Sample
8 Tristan Peters 0.336 227pa 0.395 59pa ★ 0.236 41pa 0.214 33pa ▼ 0.332 17pa Tiny Sample
9 Chase Meidroth 0.353 309pa ★ 0.310 108pa 0.307 62pa 0.218 32pa ▼ 0.576 15pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Toronto Blue Jays Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Anthony Kay )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Ernie Clement 0.332 268pa ★ 0.322 116pa 0.241 55pa 0.164 42pa ▼ 0.293 9pa Tiny Sample
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.366 261pa ★ 0.212 113pa ▼ 0.330 52pa 0.262 37pa 0.129 15pa Tiny Sample
2 Sean Keys 0.312 41pa ★ ▼ 0.099 7pa Tiny Sample 0.176 5pa Tiny Sample 0.086 8pa Tiny Sample —
3 Kazuma Okamoto 0.356 281pa ★ 0.296 121pa 0.178 38pa ▼ 0.208 40pa 0.514 7pa Tiny Sample
4 George Springer 0.340 231pa ★ 0.294 123pa 0.274 40pa ▼ 0.505 14pa Tiny Sample 0.204 12pa Tiny Sample
4 Jonatan Clase 0.383 21pa Tiny Sample 0.655 11pa Tiny Sample 0.177 12pa Tiny Sample — —
5 Alejandro Kirk 0.350 104pa ★ 0.280 57pa ▼ 0.278 14pa Tiny Sample 0.164 13pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
6 Daulton Varsho 0.320 243pa ★ 0.307 88pa 0.302 44pa 0.248 41pa ▼ 0.413 15pa Tiny Sample
7 Brandon Valenzuela 0.299 135pa 0.458 29pa ★ 0.280 36pa ▼ 0.288 25pa 0.203 10pa Tiny Sample
8 Luis Urías 0.313 32pa ★ ▼ 0.401 16pa Tiny Sample 0.370 10pa Tiny Sample 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample —
9 Myles Straw 0.283 167pa ★ 0.103 52pa ▼ 0.205 16pa Tiny Sample 0.567 11pa Tiny Sample 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Chicago White Sox Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

Top Toronto Blue Jays Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Alejandro Kirk #5Batting 0.858 OPS (last 14d, +0.118 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.George Springer #4Batting 0.754 OPS (last 14d, +0.014 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Luis Urías #8 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 0.741 OPS (last 14d, +0.001 vs avg)
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Anthony Kay (Chicago White Sox)
  • No significant outliers in available metrics
Spencer Miles (Toronto Blue Jays)
  • Excellent HR suppression (0.6 HR/9)
  • FIP (2.9) confirms elite results
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 19 of 22 hitters
Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves
7:15 PM ET · Truist Park
Cal Quantrill vs Chris Sale
Atlanta Braves has the edge
Slight Atlanta Braves AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Texas Rangers starter Cal Quantrill (3.56 ERA) — Atlanta Braves starter Chris Sale (2.20 ERA) — Overall: Slight Atlanta Braves Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Texas Rangers
Atlanta Braves
Overall edge indicator — left = Texas Rangers · right = Atlanta Braves · home pitching edge · home lineup edge
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Cal Quantrill
Texas Rangers · RHP · 7 GS
Average
3.56ERA
1.19WHIP
5.90K/9
2.60BB/9
1.20HR/9
65.7IP
4.72FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 2.35 · WHIP 0.848 · 15.3 IP
Chris Sale
Atlanta Braves · LHP · 21 GS
Above Average
2.20ERA
1.02WHIP
11.10K/9
2.10BB/9
0.60HR/9
123.0IP
2.47FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 3.00 · WHIP 0.833 · 18.0 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Texas Rangers Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Chris Sale )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Justin Foscue 0.329 75pa ★ 0.306 48pa ▼ 0.303 18pa Tiny Sample 0.454 14pa Tiny Sample —
2 Wyatt Langford 0.328 199pa ▼ 0.430 72pa 0.446 30pa ★ 0.489 15pa Tiny Sample 0.474 8pa Tiny Sample
2 Alejandro Osuna 0.309 124pa 0.232 45pa ▼ 0.348 48pa ★ 0.384 16pa Tiny Sample 0.264 10pa Tiny Sample
3 Brandon Nimmo 0.374 306pa 0.366 89pa ★ 0.238 64pa ▼ 0.321 42pa 0.420 12pa Tiny Sample
3 Evan Carter 0.331 212pa 0.329 55pa ★ 0.199 62pa 0.134 25pa ▼ 0.126 7pa Tiny Sample
4 Josh Jung 0.357 231pa 0.293 97pa ▼ 0.446 42pa ★ 0.371 31pa 0.501 6pa Tiny Sample
5 Jake Burger 0.330 257pa 0.334 145pa 0.288 47pa ▼ 0.412 31pa ★ 0.169 12pa Tiny Sample
6 Ezequiel Duran 0.338 235pa 0.403 116pa ★ 0.359 47pa 0.268 44pa ▼ 0.139 9pa Tiny Sample
7 Cam Cauley 0.359 48pa ★ ▼ 0.347 20pa Tiny Sample 0.223 11pa Tiny Sample 0.293 6pa Tiny Sample 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample
8 Elias Díaz 0.326 82pa ★ 0.216 36pa ▼ 0.312 23pa Tiny Sample 0.558 12pa Tiny Sample 0.176 5pa Tiny Sample
9 Nicky Lopez 0.346 125pa ★ 0.254 49pa 0.104 34pa ▼ 0.361 18pa Tiny Sample 0.352 10pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Atlanta Braves Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Cal Quantrill )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Joey Bart 0.286 72pa 0.287 44pa ★ 0.275 26pa ▼ 0.272 9pa Tiny Sample 0.126 7pa Tiny Sample
1 Drake Baldwin 0.395 250pa ★ 0.293 101pa 0.331 56pa 0.281 40pa ▼ 0.297 21pa Tiny Sample
2 Jorge Mateo 0.337 98pa ★ 0.252 43pa ▼ 0.043 16pa Tiny Sample 0.188 16pa Tiny Sample —
2 Ozzie Albies 0.340 257pa ★ 0.317 86pa 0.273 99pa 0.292 67pa 0.265 28pa ▼
3 Matt Olson 0.410 331pa ★ 0.320 115pa 0.397 50pa 0.272 51pa ▼ 0.278 12pa Tiny Sample
4 Michael Harris II 0.348 226pa 0.344 134pa 0.363 62pa ★ 0.213 46pa ▼ 0.329 18pa Tiny Sample
5 Mauricio Dubón 0.341 287pa ★ 0.290 114pa 0.214 58pa ▼ 0.427 24pa Tiny Sample 0.219 15pa Tiny Sample
6 Dominic Smith 0.345 165pa 0.322 52pa 0.134 40pa ▼ 0.351 34pa ★ 0.225 16pa Tiny Sample
7 Kyle Farmer 0.341 31pa ★ ▼ 0.185 11pa Tiny Sample 0.147 6pa Tiny Sample 0.416 3pa Tiny Sample —
7 Austin Riley 0.344 304pa ★ 0.256 114pa ▼ 0.256 50pa 0.287 36pa 0.250 11pa Tiny Sample
8 Jim Jarvis 0.283 66pa ★ ▼ 0.156 16pa Tiny Sample 0.370 20pa Tiny Sample 0.249 5pa Tiny Sample 0.000 4pa Tiny Sample
9 Brewer Hicklen 0.261 21pa Tiny Sample 0.521 11pa Tiny Sample 0.532 4pa Tiny Sample — 0.230 3pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Texas Rangers Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Brandon Nimmo #3 Strong recent formBatting 0.899 OPS (last 14d, +0.159 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
  • 2.Ezequiel Duran #6Batting 0.811 OPS (last 14d, +0.071 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
  • 3.Elias Díaz #8Batting 0.800 OPS (last 14d, +0.060 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Top Atlanta Braves Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Matt Olson #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.161 OPS (last 14d, +0.421 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 2.Austin Riley #7Batting 0.901 OPS (last 14d, +0.161 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Dominic Smith #6 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 0.968 OPS (last 14d, +0.228 vs avg)
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Cal Quantrill (Texas Rangers)
  • FIP (4.72) above ERA — may regress upward
Chris Sale (Atlanta Braves)
  • Elite ERA (2.20) — strong run prevention
  • Elite strikeout rate (11.1 K/9)
  • Above-average K rate (11.1 K/9)
  • Excellent HR suppression (0.6 HR/9)
  • FIP (2.47) confirms elite results
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 19 of 23 hitters
Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers
7:40 PM ET · American Family Field
Sandy Alcantara vs Logan Henderson
Milwaukee Brewers has the edge
Slight Milwaukee Brewers AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Miami Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara (3.52 ERA) — Milwaukee Brewers starter Logan Henderson (2.70 ERA) — Overall: Slight Milwaukee Brewers Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Log in to track picks
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
Overall edge indicator — left = Miami Marlins · right = Milwaukee Brewers · home pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup: Confirmed
Home Lineup: Confirmed
Pitcher Context

How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.

Sandy Alcantara
Miami Marlins · RHP · 25 GS
Average
3.52ERA
1.17WHIP
7.00K/9
2.30BB/9
0.90HR/9
163.7IP
3.83FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 1.67 · WHIP 0.926 · 27.0 IP
Logan Henderson
Milwaukee Brewers · RHP · 10 GS
Above Average
2.70ERA
0.90WHIP
11.20K/9
1.80BB/9
1.30HR/9
50.0IP
3.15FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 2.16 · WHIP 0.840 · 16.7 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context

Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.

ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
  • We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
  • Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
  • For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Miami Marlins Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Logan Henderson )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Liam Hicks 0.353 263pa 0.300 81pa ▼ 0.350 57pa 0.466 28pa ★ 0.272 19pa Tiny Sample
2 Otto Lopez 0.412 253pa ★ 0.328 142pa 0.206 63pa ▼ 0.225 44pa 0.317 20pa Tiny Sample
3 Xavier Edwards 0.378 300pa ★ 0.273 99pa 0.276 79pa 0.175 32pa ▼ 0.205 19pa Tiny Sample
4 Kyle Stowers 0.307 204pa ▼ 0.321 84pa 0.356 59pa 0.535 34pa ★ 0.318 24pa Tiny Sample
5 Heriberto Hernández 0.331 189pa 0.349 96pa ★ 0.308 34pa ▼ 0.317 22pa Tiny Sample 0.099 7pa Tiny Sample
6 Griffin Conine 0.438 95pa ★ 0.296 47pa ▼ 0.335 36pa 0.356 19pa Tiny Sample 0.086 8pa Tiny Sample
6 Leo Jiménez 0.302 105pa ★ 0.093 36pa ▼ 0.261 28pa 0.235 6pa Tiny Sample 0.709 3pa Tiny Sample
7 Jakob Marsee 0.294 301pa 0.216 80pa ▼ 0.318 44pa 0.343 25pa ★ 0.333 18pa Tiny Sample
8 Joe Mack 0.357 130pa ★ 0.263 52pa 0.181 36pa ▼ 0.143 21pa Tiny Sample 0.196 9pa Tiny Sample
9 Javier Sanoja 0.315 181pa 0.278 88pa ▼ 0.323 36pa ★ 0.264 18pa Tiny Sample 0.613 4pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Milwaukee Brewers Hitters vs Pitch Families (opp. starter: Sandy Alcantara )
📖 Reading this table: green wOBA = hits this pitch hard · red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch · ★ = hitter's best pitch type · ▼ = weakest pitch type · PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
# Hitter Fastball Slider/Sweep Changeup Curve/Slurve Splitter
1 Christian Yelich 0.301 223pa 0.229 100pa ▼ 0.413 32pa ★ 0.239 29pa 1.062 5pa Tiny Sample
2 Jackson Chourio 0.372 222pa 0.246 99pa ▼ 0.322 35pa 0.479 25pa ★ 0.126 7pa Tiny Sample
3 Brice Turang 0.390 280pa ★ 0.316 103pa 0.299 56pa 0.371 47pa 0.212 29pa ▼
4 William Contreras 0.368 289pa ★ 0.227 115pa ▼ 0.315 34pa 0.257 31pa 0.176 10pa Tiny Sample
5 Jake Bauers 0.424 249pa 0.399 96pa 0.504 46pa ★ 0.302 47pa ▼ 0.236 14pa Tiny Sample
6 Garrett Mitchell 0.337 248pa ★ 0.321 92pa 0.254 45pa ▼ 0.333 39pa 0.053 13pa Tiny Sample
7 Cooper Pratt 0.338 109pa ▼ 0.445 45pa ★ 0.120 22pa Tiny Sample 0.328 9pa Tiny Sample 0.224 7pa Tiny Sample
7 Andrew Vaughn 0.471 149pa ★ 0.256 64pa ▼ 0.445 28pa 0.102 19pa Tiny Sample 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample
7 Braden Shewmake 0.347 51pa ★ 0.135 28pa ▼ 0.508 4pa Tiny Sample 0.098 9pa Tiny Sample 0.540 10pa Tiny Sample
8 Sal Frelick 0.279 235pa ★ 0.214 63pa ▼ 0.157 19pa Tiny Sample 0.548 20pa Tiny Sample 0.059 15pa Tiny Sample
8 Luis Lara 0.340 57pa ★ ▼ 0.235 23pa Tiny Sample 0.334 12pa Tiny Sample 0.072 10pa Tiny Sample 0.395 4pa Tiny Sample
9 Joey Ortiz 0.323 186pa ★ 0.258 81pa ▼ 0.315 18pa Tiny Sample 0.271 14pa Tiny Sample 0.000 7pa Tiny Sample
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Miami Marlins Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Kyle Stowers #4 Strong recent formBatting 0.955 OPS (last 14d, +0.215 vs avg)
  • 2.Javier Sanoja #9Batting 0.945 OPS (last 14d, +0.205 vs avg)
  • 3.Liam Hicks #1Batting 0.863 OPS (last 14d, +0.123 vs avg)
Top Milwaukee Brewers Advantages

Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.

  • 1.Jake Bauers #5Batting 1.002 OPS (last 14d, +0.262 vs avg)
  • 2.Brice Turang #3Batting 0.863 OPS (last 14d, +0.123 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
  • 3.Jackson Chourio #2Batting 0.835 OPS (last 14d, +0.095 vs avg)
Pitcher Notes

Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.

Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins)
  • No significant outliers in available metrics
Logan Henderson (Milwaukee Brewers)
  • Elite ERA (2.70) — strong run prevention
  • Elite strikeout rate (11.2 K/9)
  • Above-average K rate (11.2 K/9)
  • Sharp control (1.8 BB/9)
⚠ Data Notes
  • Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
  • Recent form data for 20 of 22 hitters
Pitcher quality scores use ERA, WHIP, K/9, BB/9, and HR/9 relative to 2026 MLB averages. Lineup scores use recent OPS (last 14 days) weighted by batting order. Confidence reflects available data — not a betting recommendation.