⚾ Daily Matchup Lab
Pitcher arsenal vs expected lineup matchup edges for today's MLB slate.
Tue, Jul 21, 2026Matchups
13 games
Slight Texas Rangers AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Chicago White Sox starter Noah Schultz (6.06 ERA) — Texas Rangers starter Kumar Rocker (4.08 ERA) — Overall: Slight Texas Rangers Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Overall edge indicator — left = Chicago White Sox · right = Texas Rangers · home pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup:
Confirmed
Home Lineup:
Confirmed
Pitcher Context
How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Below Average
6.06ERA
1.42WHIP
8.10K/9
4.30BB/9
1.20HR/9
65.3IP
4.93FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 8.03 · WHIP 1.703 · 12.3 IP
Average
4.08ERA
1.33WHIP
8.20K/9
3.30BB/9
1.20HR/9
108.0IP
4.22FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 2.50 · WHIP 1.167 · 18.0 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context
Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.
ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
- We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
- Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
- For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Chicago White Sox Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Kumar Rocker
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Antonacci | 0.372 251pa ★ | 0.268 67pa | 0.211 45pa ▼ | 0.465 17pa Tiny Sample | 0.392 14pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Munetaka Murakami | 0.420 195pa | 0.246 98pa ▼ | 0.462 35pa | 0.483 30pa ★ | 0.077 9pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Miguel Vargas | 0.355 352pa | 0.324 116pa | 0.385 42pa ★ | 0.284 39pa ▼ | 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Braden Montgomery | 0.373 108pa | 0.399 25pa ★ | 0.224 43pa ▼ | 0.353 18pa Tiny Sample | 0.165 16pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Andrew Benintendi | 0.346 193pa | 0.321 87pa | 0.202 51pa ▼ | 0.372 29pa ★ | 0.177 24pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Junior Perez | 0.185 29pa ★ ▼ | 0.277 13pa Tiny Sample | 0.290 7pa Tiny Sample | 0.680 4pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 6 | Tristan Peters | 0.336 227pa | 0.395 59pa ★ | 0.236 41pa | 0.214 33pa ▼ | 0.332 17pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Chase Meidroth | 0.353 309pa ★ | 0.310 108pa | 0.307 62pa | 0.218 32pa ▼ | 0.576 15pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Luisangel Acuña | 0.308 127pa ★ | 0.274 57pa | 0.144 33pa ▼ | 0.345 11pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 9 | Drew Romo | 0.311 89pa ★ | 0.170 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.171 37pa ▼ | 0.083 17pa Tiny Sample | 0.080 11pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Texas Rangers Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Noah Schultz
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Wynns | 0.291 65pa ★ ▼ | 0.183 23pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 16pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 1 | Wyatt Langford | 0.329 196pa ▼ | 0.430 72pa | 0.446 30pa ★ | 0.462 14pa Tiny Sample | 0.474 8pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Justin Foscue | 0.326 73pa ★ | 0.306 48pa ▼ | 0.321 17pa Tiny Sample | 0.454 14pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 3 | Nicky Lopez | 0.336 124pa ★ | 0.254 49pa | 0.104 34pa ▼ | 0.361 18pa Tiny Sample | 0.352 10pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Josh Jung | 0.357 231pa | 0.293 97pa ▼ | 0.446 42pa ★ | 0.371 31pa | 0.501 6pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Brandon Nimmo | 0.378 303pa ★ | 0.346 88pa | 0.238 64pa ▼ | 0.321 42pa | 0.420 12pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Evan Carter | 0.333 211pa | 0.329 55pa ★ | 0.199 62pa | 0.134 25pa ▼ | 0.126 7pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Jake Burger | 0.325 254pa | 0.336 144pa | 0.288 47pa ▼ | 0.412 31pa ★ | 0.169 12pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Ezequiel Duran | 0.341 233pa | 0.406 115pa ★ | 0.367 46pa | 0.259 43pa ▼ | 0.139 9pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Cam Cauley | 0.348 45pa ★ ▼ | 0.347 20pa Tiny Sample | 0.223 11pa Tiny Sample | 0.293 6pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 8 | Elias Díaz | 0.343 78pa ★ | 0.216 36pa ▼ | 0.312 23pa Tiny Sample | 0.558 12pa Tiny Sample | 0.176 5pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Alejandro Osuna | 0.309 124pa | 0.232 45pa ▼ | 0.348 48pa ★ | 0.384 16pa Tiny Sample | 0.264 10pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Chicago White Sox Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Chase Meidroth #7 Strong recent formBatting 0.939 OPS (last 14d, +0.199 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 2.Andrew Benintendi #5Batting 0.938 OPS (last 14d, +0.198 vs avg)
- 3.Munetaka Murakami #2Batting 0.781 OPS (last 14d, +0.041 vs avg)
Top Texas Rangers Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Brandon Nimmo #4 Strong recent formBatting 0.999 OPS (last 14d, +0.259 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 2.Ezequiel Duran #6 Strong recent formBatting 0.916 OPS (last 14d, +0.176 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
- 3.Elias Díaz #8Batting 0.721 OPS (last 14d); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes
Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.
Noah Schultz
(Chicago White Sox)
- High ERA (6.06) — run-prevention risk
- Control concerns (4.3 BB/9)
- ERA above FIP (4.93) — may regress downward (good sign)
Kumar Rocker
(Texas Rangers)
- No significant outliers in available metrics
⚠ Data Notes
- Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
- Recent form data for 20 of 22 hitters
Slight Detroit Tigers AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Detroit Tigers starter Framber Valdez (4.17 ERA) — Chicago Cubs starter David Peterson (5.35 ERA) — Overall: Slight Detroit Tigers Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Overall edge indicator — left = Detroit Tigers · right = Chicago Cubs · away pitching edge · away lineup edge
Away Lineup:
Confirmed
Home Lineup:
Confirmed
Pitcher Context
How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Average
4.17ERA
1.37WHIP
7.30K/9
3.20BB/9
0.90HR/9
127.3IP
4.10FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 4.58 · WHIP 1.627 · 19.7 IP
Below Average
5.35ERA
1.50WHIP
7.50K/9
3.70BB/9
0.90HR/9
106.0IP
4.14FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 1.52 · WHIP 1.014 · 23.7 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context
Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.
ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
- We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
- Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
- For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Detroit Tigers Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
David Peterson
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gleyber Torres | 0.367 184pa ★ | 0.306 61pa ▼ | 0.231 18pa Tiny Sample | 0.272 16pa Tiny Sample | 0.563 5pa Tiny Sample |
| 1 | Zach McKinstry | 0.315 203pa ★ | 0.301 64pa | 0.220 28pa | 0.190 37pa ▼ | 0.046 19pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Colt Keith | 0.321 211pa | 0.312 52pa ▼ | 0.328 66pa ★ | 0.477 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.168 22pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Kevin McGonigle | 0.427 342pa ★ | 0.218 89pa ▼ | 0.256 80pa | 0.344 32pa | 0.324 19pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Hao-Yu Lee | 0.315 117pa ★ | 0.311 49pa ▼ | 0.244 22pa Tiny Sample | 0.215 14pa Tiny Sample | 0.582 5pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Dillon Dingler | 0.387 288pa | 0.467 93pa ★ | 0.274 60pa | 0.190 39pa ▼ | 0.198 16pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | James Outman | 0.289 104pa | 0.392 37pa ★ | 0.098 36pa ▼ | 0.251 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.096 13pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Riley Greene | 0.375 301pa | 0.391 93pa ★ | 0.244 78pa | 0.319 29pa | 0.256 33pa ▼ |
| 6 | Spencer Torkelson | 0.352 295pa ★ | 0.327 117pa | 0.238 49pa | 0.167 28pa ▼ | 0.068 13pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Matt Vierling | 0.265 188pa ▼ | 0.284 87pa ★ | 0.264 33pa | 0.218 21pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Ben Malgeri | 0.370 35pa ★ ▼ | 0.539 9pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 9pa Tiny Sample | 0.523 3pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 9 | Jake Rogers | 0.307 99pa ★ | 0.177 31pa ▼ | 0.157 10pa Tiny Sample | 0.324 7pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Chicago Cubs Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Framber Valdez
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Dean | 0.339 15pa Tiny Sample | 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample | — | — | — |
| 1 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0.402 276pa | 0.405 115pa | 0.316 63pa | 0.269 52pa ▼ | 0.593 30pa ★ |
| 2 | Seiya Suzuki | 0.398 242pa ★ | 0.305 125pa | 0.331 29pa | 0.286 36pa ▼ | 0.352 5pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Alex Bregman | 0.352 322pa ★ | 0.321 130pa | 0.307 43pa | 0.258 40pa ▼ | 0.378 6pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Carson Kelly | 0.367 204pa ★ | 0.330 96pa ▼ | 0.377 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.052 17pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 4pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Michael Busch | 0.349 325pa ★ | 0.323 110pa | 0.196 76pa ▼ | 0.353 37pa | 0.314 15pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Nico Hoerner | 0.299 346pa | 0.419 114pa ★ | 0.151 49pa ▼ | 0.304 32pa | 0.379 10pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Ian Happ | 0.345 272pa | 0.371 83pa ★ | 0.194 93pa ▼ | 0.323 50pa | 0.329 25pa |
| 8 | Dansby Swanson | 0.369 265pa ★ | 0.249 115pa | 0.233 50pa | 0.084 36pa ▼ | 0.099 7pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Pedro Ramírez | 0.347 80pa ★ ▼ | 0.299 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.455 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.110 8pa Tiny Sample | 0.404 9pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Michael Conforto | 0.428 132pa ★ | 0.383 35pa | 0.157 44pa ▼ | 0.184 16pa Tiny Sample | 0.113 11pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Kevin Alcántara | 0.320 30pa ★ ▼ | 0.251 14pa Tiny Sample | 0.389 10pa Tiny Sample | 0.454 6pa Tiny Sample | — |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Detroit Tigers Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Kevin McGonigle #2 Strong recent formBatting 1.047 OPS (last 14d, +0.307 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 2.Colt Keith #2Batting 1.190 OPS (last 14d, +0.450 vs avg)
- 3.Ben Malgeri #8 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 1.393 OPS (last 14d, +0.653 vs avg)
Top Chicago Cubs Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Alex Bregman #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.047 OPS (last 14d, +0.307 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 2.Pete Crow-Armstrong #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.980 OPS (last 14d, +0.240 vs avg)
- 3.Nico Hoerner #6 Strong recent formBatting 0.940 OPS (last 14d, +0.200 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
Pitcher Notes
Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.
Framber Valdez
(Detroit Tigers)
- No significant outliers in available metrics
David Peterson
(Chicago Cubs)
- ERA above FIP (4.14) — may regress downward (good sign)
⚠ Data Notes
- Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Slight Miami Marlins AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Miami Marlins starter Tyler Phillips (3.47 ERA) — Houston Astros starter Tatsuya Imai (5.55 ERA) — Overall: Slight Miami Marlins Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Overall edge indicator — left = Miami Marlins · right = Houston Astros · away pitching edge · home lineup edge
Away Lineup:
Confirmed
Home Lineup:
Confirmed
Pitcher Context
How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Average
3.47ERA
1.36WHIP
6.80K/9
3.80BB/9
1.20HR/9
93.3IP
4.67FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 3.44 · WHIP 1.255 · 18.3 IP
Below Average
5.55ERA
1.46WHIP
11.20K/9
5.80BB/9
1.30HR/9
61.7IP
4.69FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 2.79 · WHIP 1.241 · 9.7 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context
Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.
ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
- We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
- Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
- For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Miami Marlins Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Tatsuya Imai
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Otto Lopez | 0.414 252pa ★ | 0.320 140pa | 0.209 62pa ▼ | 0.230 43pa | 0.317 20pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Kyle Stowers | 0.309 203pa ▼ | 0.315 83pa | 0.341 57pa | 0.535 34pa ★ | 0.318 24pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Heriberto Hernández | 0.331 186pa | 0.357 94pa ★ | 0.308 34pa ▼ | 0.317 22pa Tiny Sample | 0.099 7pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Xavier Edwards | 0.381 296pa ★ | 0.273 99pa | 0.280 78pa | 0.175 32pa ▼ | 0.205 19pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Liam Hicks | 0.350 259pa | 0.303 80pa ▼ | 0.350 57pa | 0.466 28pa ★ | 0.272 19pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Griffin Conine | 0.421 94pa ★ | 0.270 44pa ▼ | 0.335 36pa | 0.338 18pa Tiny Sample | 0.086 8pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Leo Jiménez | 0.305 104pa ★ | 0.093 36pa ▼ | 0.261 28pa | 0.235 6pa Tiny Sample | 0.709 3pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Esteury Ruiz | 0.385 99pa ★ | 0.353 48pa | 0.280 27pa ▼ | 0.201 7pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 4pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Jakob Marsee | 0.292 297pa | 0.216 80pa ▼ | 0.326 43pa | 0.343 25pa ★ | 0.333 18pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Javier Sanoja | 0.313 179pa | 0.274 86pa ▼ | 0.323 36pa ★ | 0.264 18pa Tiny Sample | 0.613 4pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Joe Mack | 0.356 128pa ★ | 0.254 51pa | 0.181 36pa ▼ | 0.143 21pa Tiny Sample | 0.196 9pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Houston Astros Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Tyler Phillips
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremy Peña | 0.391 164pa | 0.395 90pa ★ | 0.152 21pa Tiny Sample | 0.225 27pa ▼ | 0.596 9pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Yordan Alvarez | 0.459 285pa | 0.364 96pa | 0.328 74pa ▼ | 0.506 51pa ★ | 0.439 24pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Isaac Paredes | 0.373 296pa ★ | 0.271 101pa | 0.310 52pa | 0.195 44pa ▼ | 0.402 16pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Jose Altuve | 0.332 248pa ★ | 0.269 130pa | 0.165 34pa ▼ | 0.265 20pa Tiny Sample | 0.147 12pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Nick Allen | 0.274 98pa ★ | 0.231 27pa ▼ | 0.307 11pa Tiny Sample | 0.178 7pa Tiny Sample | 0.587 3pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | LaMonte Wade Jr. | 0.372 70pa ★ ▼ | 0.408 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.356 17pa Tiny Sample | 0.115 6pa Tiny Sample | 0.416 3pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Cam Smith | 0.327 284pa ★ | 0.261 103pa | 0.224 40pa ▼ | 0.331 23pa Tiny Sample | 0.339 18pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Christian Walker | 0.325 285pa | 0.387 129pa ★ | 0.279 41pa | 0.183 44pa ▼ | 0.375 15pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Taylor Trammell | 0.374 121pa ★ | 0.253 47pa ▼ | 0.270 28pa | 0.523 14pa Tiny Sample | 0.139 9pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Lucas Spence | 0.248 22pa Tiny Sample | 0.274 17pa Tiny Sample | 0.098 9pa Tiny Sample | 0.201 7pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 9 | Christian Vázquez | 0.300 162pa ★ | 0.189 49pa ▼ | 0.194 10pa Tiny Sample | 0.121 14pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Miami Marlins Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Kyle Stowers #2 Strong recent formBatting 1.004 OPS (last 14d, +0.264 vs avg)
- 2.Jakob Marsee #7Batting 0.993 OPS (last 14d, +0.253 vs avg)
- 3.Liam Hicks #5Batting 0.864 OPS (last 14d, +0.124 vs avg)
Top Houston Astros Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Yordan Alvarez #2 Strong recent formBatting 1.108 OPS (last 14d, +0.368 vs avg)
- 2.Christian Walker #6 Strong recent formBatting 0.988 OPS (last 14d, +0.248 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
- 3.Cam Smith #5Batting 1.076 OPS (last 14d, +0.336 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes
Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.
Tyler Phillips
(Miami Marlins)
- FIP (4.67) above ERA — may regress upward
Tatsuya Imai
(Houston Astros)
- High ERA (5.55) — run-prevention risk
- Elite strikeout rate (11.2 K/9)
- Above-average K rate (11.2 K/9)
- Control concerns (5.8 BB/9)
⚠ Data Notes
- Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Slight Washington Nationals AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Washington Nationals starter Carson Palmquist (7.71 ERA) — Colorado Rockies starter Michael Lorenzen (6.94 ERA) — Overall: Slight Washington Nationals Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Overall edge indicator — left = Washington Nationals · right = Colorado Rockies · away pitching edge · home lineup edge
Away Lineup:
Confirmed
Home Lineup:
Confirmed
Pitcher Context
How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Small Sample
7.71ERA
1.78WHIP
8.30K/9
4.40BB/9
0.60HR/9
16.3IP
4.13FIP
⚠ Just 16.3 IP — the stats are real, but partially discounted until there's more evidence.
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 9.45 · WHIP 2.250 · 6.7 IP
Below Average
6.94ERA
1.85WHIP
6.60K/9
3.70BB/9
1.40HR/9
102.7IP
5.09FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 13.50 · WHIP 2.531 · 10.7 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context
Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.
ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
- We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
- Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
- For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Washington Nationals Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Michael Lorenzen
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Wood | 0.436 287pa ★ | 0.383 143pa | 0.328 68pa | 0.152 60pa ▼ | 0.286 15pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Luis García Jr. | 0.370 191pa | 0.375 89pa ★ | 0.298 75pa | 0.366 47pa | 0.116 26pa ▼ |
| 3 | Andrés Chaparro | 0.391 80pa ★ | 0.229 30pa ▼ | 0.282 27pa | 0.285 10pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 3 | José Tena | 0.396 137pa ★ | 0.217 49pa ▼ | 0.220 48pa | 0.177 23pa Tiny Sample | 0.236 9pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Jorbit Vivas | 0.334 152pa | 0.276 50pa | 0.157 28pa ▼ | 0.362 25pa ★ | 0.135 13pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | CJ Abrams | 0.432 247pa ★ | 0.274 139pa ▼ | 0.352 62pa | 0.395 71pa | 0.402 14pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Curtis Mead | 0.377 193pa ★ | 0.276 86pa ▼ | 0.317 38pa | 0.527 23pa Tiny Sample | 0.512 8pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Daylen Lile | 0.332 252pa | 0.284 113pa | 0.233 84pa ▼ | 0.398 49pa ★ | 0.357 24pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Keibert Ruiz | 0.360 159pa ★ | 0.218 62pa ▼ | 0.341 43pa | 0.238 20pa Tiny Sample | 0.369 12pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Nasim Nuñez | 0.296 242pa | 0.344 67pa ★ | 0.211 71pa | 0.130 31pa ▼ | 0.135 13pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Jacob Young | 0.349 213pa ★ | 0.189 90pa ▼ | 0.284 34pa | 0.315 21pa Tiny Sample | 0.508 8pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Colorado Rockies Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Carson Palmquist
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jake McCarthy | 0.411 260pa ★ | 0.288 80pa | 0.218 51pa ▼ | 0.243 35pa | 0.814 13pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Cole Carrigg | 0.385 121pa ▼ | 0.465 31pa ★ | 0.418 40pa | 0.244 13pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Hunter Goodman | 0.388 247pa ★ | 0.349 131pa | 0.307 45pa | 0.308 46pa ▼ | 0.131 12pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Willi Castro | 0.378 219pa | 0.260 63pa ▼ | 0.263 73pa | 0.392 47pa ★ | 0.112 14pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | TJ Rumfield | 0.384 274pa ★ | 0.334 117pa | 0.313 54pa ▼ | 0.310 42pa | 0.282 19pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Kyle Karros | 0.416 246pa ★ | 0.264 104pa | 0.257 39pa | 0.257 26pa ▼ | 0.594 7pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Mickey Moniak | 0.390 159pa ★ | 0.357 77pa | 0.241 51pa ▼ | 0.357 27pa | 0.301 14pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Troy Johnston | 0.338 190pa | 0.331 79pa | 0.264 72pa ▼ | 0.438 42pa ★ | 0.423 18pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Ezequiel Tovar | 0.266 227pa | 0.247 111pa ▼ | 0.317 37pa ★ | 0.268 32pa | 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Washington Nationals Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Luis García Jr. #2 Strong recent formBatting 1.008 OPS (last 14d, +0.268 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
- 2.Jacob Young #9Batting 1.083 OPS (last 14d, +0.343 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 3.Daylen Lile #6Batting 0.856 OPS (last 14d, +0.116 vs avg)
Top Colorado Rockies Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Willi Castro #4Batting 1.267 OPS (last 14d, +0.527 vs avg)
- 2.Mickey Moniak #7Batting 1.003 OPS (last 14d, +0.263 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 3.Cole Carrigg #2Batting 0.850 OPS (last 14d, +0.110 vs avg)
Pitcher Notes
Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.
Carson Palmquist
(Washington Nationals)
- High ERA (7.71) — run-prevention risk
- Excellent HR suppression (0.6 HR/9)
- Control concerns (4.4 BB/9)
- ERA above FIP (4.13) — may regress downward (good sign)
Michael Lorenzen
(Colorado Rockies)
- High ERA (6.94) — run-prevention risk
- ERA above FIP (5.09) — may regress downward (good sign)
⚠ Data Notes
- Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
- Starter sample is small; pitcher edge is partially discounted.
Slight Los Angeles Angels AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
St. Louis Cardinals starter Matthew Liberatore (4.97 ERA) — Los Angeles Angels starter Walbert Ureña (2.54 ERA) — Overall: Slight Los Angeles Angels Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Overall edge indicator — left = St. Louis Cardinals · right = Los Angeles Angels · home pitching edge · away lineup edge
Away Lineup:
Confirmed
Home Lineup:
Confirmed
Pitcher Context
How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Below Average
4.97ERA
1.49WHIP
8.70K/9
3.40BB/9
1.60HR/9
113.7IP
4.77FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 4.80 · WHIP 1.533 · 15.0 IP
Average
2.54ERA
1.25WHIP
8.50K/9
4.80BB/9
0.60HR/9
96.7IP
3.94FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 1.00 · WHIP 0.944 · 18.0 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context
Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.
ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
- We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
- Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
- For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Walbert Ureña
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Wetherholt | 0.349 322pa ★ | 0.263 98pa | 0.231 54pa ▼ | 0.352 33pa | 0.321 18pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Iván Herrera | 0.342 280pa ★ | 0.334 126pa | 0.283 55pa ▼ | 0.312 47pa | 0.400 13pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Alec Burleson | 0.359 244pa | 0.302 111pa ▼ | 0.378 82pa | 0.394 57pa ★ | 0.322 26pa |
| 4 | Jordan Walker | 0.341 281pa | 0.304 135pa | 0.381 53pa ★ | 0.272 36pa ▼ | 0.669 10pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Lars Nootbaar | 0.335 106pa ★ | 0.301 34pa | 0.174 36pa ▼ | 0.359 13pa Tiny Sample | 0.278 14pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Masyn Winn | 0.295 257pa ★ | 0.282 122pa | 0.293 41pa | 0.258 37pa ▼ | 0.098 16pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | José Fermín | 0.294 175pa ★ | 0.240 53pa | 0.142 31pa ▼ | 0.282 21pa Tiny Sample | 0.147 6pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Nathan Church | 0.316 167pa ★ | 0.225 84pa ▼ | 0.292 66pa | 0.303 33pa | 0.235 15pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Blaze Jordan | 0.288 93pa ★ | 0.271 46pa ▼ | 0.123 20pa Tiny Sample | 0.435 11pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 4pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Bryan Torres | 0.351 67pa ★ ▼ | 0.112 14pa Tiny Sample | 0.243 16pa Tiny Sample | 0.303 11pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 9 | Nelson Velázquez | 0.408 79pa ★ ▼ | 0.224 21pa Tiny Sample | 0.396 12pa Tiny Sample | 0.390 9pa Tiny Sample | — |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Los Angeles Angels Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Matthew Liberatore
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zach Neto | 0.373 275pa ★ | 0.293 134pa | 0.234 70pa | 0.165 49pa ▼ | 0.168 17pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Mike Trout | 0.388 314pa ★ | 0.296 70pa | 0.335 43pa | 0.170 28pa ▼ | 0.219 12pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Nolan Schanuel | 0.331 260pa | 0.330 84pa ★ | 0.293 44pa | 0.273 33pa ▼ | 0.207 17pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Jorge Soler | 0.368 214pa ★ | 0.298 103pa | 0.216 40pa | 0.208 36pa ▼ | 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Vaughn Grissom | 0.319 167pa | 0.399 70pa ★ | 0.200 36pa ▼ | 0.280 36pa | 0.120 6pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Jo Adell | 0.318 289pa | 0.277 128pa | 0.188 54pa ▼ | 0.563 36pa ★ | 0.111 13pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Oswald Peraza | 0.336 180pa ★ | 0.263 83pa | 0.286 42pa | 0.153 33pa ▼ | 0.316 5pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Jose Siri | 0.377 86pa ★ | 0.204 31pa ▼ | 0.353 14pa Tiny Sample | 0.255 23pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 9 | Logan O'Hoppe | 0.270 164pa | 0.221 74pa | 0.176 36pa ▼ | 0.452 25pa ★ | — |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top St. Louis Cardinals Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Alec Burleson #3 Strong recent formBatting 0.954 OPS (last 14d, +0.214 vs avg)
- 2.Nathan Church #7Batting 0.791 OPS (last 14d, +0.051 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 3.Blaze Jordan #8Batting 0.777 OPS (last 14d, +0.037 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Top Los Angeles Angels Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Vaughn Grissom #5Batting 0.772 OPS (last 14d, +0.032 vs avg)
- 2.Jose Siri #8 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 0.787 OPS (last 14d, +0.047 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 3.Logan O'Hoppe #9 No recent at-bats — not countedBatting 0.000 OPS (last 14d)
Pitcher Notes
Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.
Matthew Liberatore
(St. Louis Cardinals)
- No significant outliers in available metrics
Walbert Ureña
(Los Angeles Angels)
- Elite ERA (2.54) — strong run prevention
- Excellent HR suppression (0.6 HR/9)
- Control concerns (4.8 BB/9)
- FIP (3.94) above ERA — may regress upward
⚠ Data Notes
- Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Slight Cincinnati Reds AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Cincinnati Reds starter Chase Burns (2.35 ERA) — Seattle Mariners starter Luis Castillo (5.30 ERA) — Overall: Slight Cincinnati Reds Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Overall edge indicator — left = Cincinnati Reds · right = Seattle Mariners · away pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup:
Confirmed
Home Lineup:
Confirmed
Pitcher Context
How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Above Average
2.35ERA
1.10WHIP
10.40K/9
3.30BB/9
0.90HR/9
124.0IP
3.34FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 1.12 · WHIP 1.000 · 16.0 IP
Below Average
5.30ERA
1.41WHIP
7.90K/9
2.90BB/9
1.50HR/9
103.7IP
4.63FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 7.31 · WHIP 1.625 · 16.0 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context
Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.
ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
- We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
- Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
- For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Cincinnati Reds Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Luis Castillo
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elly De La Cruz | 0.382 263pa | 0.351 74pa | 0.424 70pa ★ | 0.222 52pa ▼ | 0.244 18pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Sal Stewart | 0.407 297pa ★ | 0.285 149pa | 0.342 42pa | 0.237 43pa ▼ | 0.403 15pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Dane Myers | 0.359 139pa ★ | 0.294 60pa ▼ | 0.293 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.384 12pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 4pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | JJ Bleday | 0.378 203pa | 0.395 75pa ★ | 0.298 68pa | 0.365 27pa | 0.169 26pa ▼ |
| 4 | Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.264 140pa ★ | 0.125 44pa ▼ | 0.196 8pa Tiny Sample | 0.133 16pa Tiny Sample | 0.147 6pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Eugenio Suárez | 0.322 204pa ★ | 0.243 89pa ▼ | 0.227 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.299 29pa | 0.334 9pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Nathaniel Lowe | 0.358 220pa | 0.387 36pa | 0.314 38pa ▼ | 0.395 25pa ★ | 0.378 11pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Noelvi Marte | 0.278 129pa ★ | 0.226 68pa ▼ | 0.416 21pa Tiny Sample | 0.378 16pa Tiny Sample | 0.249 5pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Jose Trevino | 0.433 72pa ★ | 0.180 35pa ▼ | 0.098 10pa Tiny Sample | 0.088 11pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 8 | TJ Friedl | 0.291 178pa ★ | 0.282 34pa | 0.065 35pa ▼ | 0.242 21pa Tiny Sample | 0.307 9pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Edwin Arroyo | 0.266 74pa | 0.227 18pa Tiny Sample | 0.278 26pa ★ | 0.223 27pa ▼ | 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Seattle Mariners Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Chase Burns
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cole Young | 0.345 324pa | 0.342 101pa ★ | 0.279 54pa ▼ | 0.287 31pa | 0.273 20pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Randy Arozarena | 0.381 268pa ★ | 0.344 125pa | 0.359 54pa | 0.349 36pa ▼ | 0.100 16pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Dominic Canzone | 0.395 183pa | 0.294 62pa | 0.188 63pa ▼ | 0.459 30pa ★ | 0.315 21pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Cal Raleigh | 0.258 208pa | 0.303 64pa ★ | 0.288 45pa | 0.215 40pa ▼ | 0.275 21pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Josh Naylor | 0.351 283pa ★ | 0.270 89pa | 0.227 54pa | 0.243 35pa | 0.155 28pa ▼ |
| 6 | Luke Raley | 0.392 175pa ★ | 0.263 59pa | 0.252 55pa | 0.248 26pa ▼ | 0.000 15pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Julio Rodríguez | 0.332 271pa | 0.294 118pa | 0.463 45pa ★ | 0.273 30pa ▼ | 0.165 16pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Victor Robles | 0.288 90pa ★ | 0.229 36pa ▼ | 0.137 22pa Tiny Sample | 0.293 12pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 8 | Colt Emerson | 0.308 147pa ★ | 0.222 53pa | 0.279 29pa | 0.198 25pa ▼ | 0.264 10pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Weston Wilson | 0.346 70pa ★ | 0.218 26pa | 0.099 25pa ▼ | 0.500 8pa Tiny Sample | — |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Cincinnati Reds Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Nathaniel Lowe #5 Strong recent formBatting 0.968 OPS (last 14d, +0.228 vs avg)
- 2.Sal Stewart #2 Strong recent formBatting 0.950 OPS (last 14d, +0.210 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 3.Elly De La Cruz #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.937 OPS (last 14d, +0.197 vs avg)
Top Seattle Mariners Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Julio Rodríguez #6 Strong recent formBatting 0.920 OPS (last 14d, +0.180 vs avg)
- 2.Cole Young #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.893 OPS (last 14d, +0.153 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
- 3.Randy Arozarena #2Batting 0.816 OPS (last 14d, +0.076 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes
Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.
Chase Burns
(Cincinnati Reds)
- Elite ERA (2.35) — strong run prevention
- Elite strikeout rate (10.4 K/9)
- Above-average K rate (10.4 K/9)
Luis Castillo
(Seattle Mariners)
- No significant outliers in available metrics
⚠ Data Notes
- Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Slight Arizona Diamondbacks AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Athletics starter Jack Perkins (7.04 ERA) — Arizona Diamondbacks starter Kohl Drake (5.40 ERA) — Overall: Slight Arizona Diamondbacks Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Overall edge indicator — left = Athletics · right = Arizona Diamondbacks · home pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup:
Confirmed
Home Lineup:
Confirmed
Pitcher Context
How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Below Average
7.04ERA
1.45WHIP
10.80K/9
3.60BB/9
1.80HR/9
76.7IP
4.82FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 7.58 · WHIP 1.474 · 19.0 IP
Small Sample
5.40ERA
1.56WHIP
7.00K/9
3.20BB/9
1.60HR/9
16.7IP
5.55FIP
⚠ Just 16.7 IP — the stats are real, but partially discounted until there's more evidence.
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 5.40 · WHIP 1.560 · 16.7 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context
Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.
ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
- We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
- Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
- For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Athletics Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Kohl Drake
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacob Wilson | 0.341 223pa ★ | 0.234 76pa ▼ | 0.239 49pa | 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample | 0.139 9pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Tyler Soderstrom | 0.376 294pa | 0.338 81pa ▼ | 0.352 46pa | 0.402 30pa ★ | 0.174 18pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Shea Langeliers | 0.375 234pa | 0.386 131pa | 0.234 43pa ▼ | 0.501 35pa ★ | 0.544 13pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Jonah Heim | 0.308 159pa | 0.208 50pa ▼ | 0.333 45pa ★ | 0.322 19pa Tiny Sample | 0.309 16pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Tommy White | 0.292 67pa ▼ | 0.468 30pa ★ | 0.235 15pa Tiny Sample | 0.430 7pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 6 | Jeff McNeil | 0.300 227pa ★ | 0.249 67pa | 0.257 50pa | 0.466 14pa Tiny Sample | 0.155 25pa ▼ |
| 6 | Max Muncy | 0.454 122pa ★ | 0.188 63pa | 0.195 28pa ▼ | 0.285 17pa Tiny Sample | 0.080 9pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Carlos Cortes | 0.362 150pa ★ | 0.289 48pa | 0.264 35pa ▼ | 0.233 22pa Tiny Sample | 0.246 19pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Henry Bolte | 0.352 185pa ★ | 0.266 68pa ▼ | 0.303 27pa | 0.472 15pa Tiny Sample | 0.215 9pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Lawrence Butler | 0.275 204pa | 0.340 61pa ★ | 0.307 42pa | 0.222 27pa ▼ | 0.222 25pa |
| 9 | Donovan Walton | 0.422 87pa ★ | 0.279 30pa ▼ | 0.335 21pa Tiny Sample | 0.384 16pa Tiny Sample | 0.080 11pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Alika Williams | 0.386 88pa ★ | 0.042 38pa ▼ | 0.297 22pa Tiny Sample | 0.452 9pa Tiny Sample | 0.637 5pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Arizona Diamondbacks Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Jack Perkins
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ketel Marte | 0.348 253pa | 0.271 86pa | 0.208 85pa ▼ | 0.374 48pa ★ | 0.260 31pa |
| 2 | Geraldo Perdomo | 0.361 304pa ★ | 0.295 76pa | 0.310 77pa | 0.247 22pa Tiny Sample | 0.220 28pa ▼ |
| 3 | Corbin Carroll | 0.357 268pa | 0.365 110pa ★ | 0.309 62pa | 0.293 40pa | 0.186 31pa ▼ |
| 4 | Gabriel Moreno | 0.424 225pa ★ | 0.305 91pa | 0.288 42pa ▼ | 0.200 23pa Tiny Sample | 0.350 14pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Max Kepler | 0.324 49pa ★ ▼ | 0.292 22pa Tiny Sample | 0.193 23pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample | 0.262 6pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Nolan Arenado | 0.417 235pa ★ | 0.219 125pa | 0.264 45pa | 0.183 26pa ▼ | 0.227 12pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Tim Tawa | 0.335 134pa ★ | 0.260 52pa ▼ | 0.275 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.304 8pa Tiny Sample | 0.379 10pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Ildemaro Vargas | 0.360 221pa ★ | 0.264 60pa ▼ | 0.275 65pa | 0.308 29pa | 0.176 15pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Jorge Barrosa | 0.324 120pa ★ | 0.275 26pa ▼ | 0.337 19pa Tiny Sample | 0.247 17pa Tiny Sample | 0.304 7pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Athletics Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Lawrence Butler #8Batting 0.826 OPS (last 14d, +0.086 vs avg)
- 2.Henry Bolte #7Batting 0.797 OPS (last 14d, +0.057 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 3.Jonah Heim #4Batting 0.774 OPS (last 14d, +0.034 vs avg)
Top Arizona Diamondbacks Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Geraldo Perdomo #2Batting 0.843 OPS (last 14d, +0.103 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 2.Ildemaro Vargas #8Batting 0.846 OPS (last 14d, +0.106 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 3.Nolan Arenado #6Batting 0.822 OPS (last 14d, +0.082 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes
Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.
Jack Perkins
(Athletics)
- High ERA (7.04) — run-prevention risk
- Elite strikeout rate (10.8 K/9)
- Above-average K rate (10.8 K/9)
- ERA above FIP (4.82) — may regress downward (good sign)
Kohl Drake
(Arizona Diamondbacks)
- No significant outliers in available metrics
⚠ Data Notes
- Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
- Starter sample is small; pitcher edge is partially discounted.
- Recent form data for 20 of 21 hitters
Slight Philadelphia Phillies AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Los Angeles Dodgers starter Justin Wrobleski (3.31 ERA) — Philadelphia Phillies starter Zack Wheeler (2.69 ERA) — Overall: Slight Philadelphia Phillies Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Overall edge indicator — left = Los Angeles Dodgers · right = Philadelphia Phillies · home pitching edge · away lineup edge
Away Lineup:
Confirmed
Home Lineup:
Confirmed
Pitcher Context
How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Average
3.31ERA
1.07WHIP
7.00K/9
1.90BB/9
1.20HR/9
117.0IP
4.09FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 7.02 · WHIP 1.380 · 16.7 IP
Above Average
2.69ERA
0.98WHIP
10.80K/9
2.30BB/9
1.10HR/9
110.3IP
3.22FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 5.71 · WHIP 1.442 · 17.3 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context
Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.
ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
- We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
- Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
- For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Zack Wheeler
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shohei Ohtani | 0.421 247pa ★ | 0.396 101pa | 0.395 65pa | 0.217 54pa ▼ | 0.378 17pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Andy Pages | 0.325 328pa ▼ | 0.360 129pa | 0.333 40pa | 0.396 33pa ★ | 0.278 12pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Freddie Freeman | 0.407 311pa | 0.279 98pa | 0.247 59pa ▼ | 0.451 46pa ★ | 0.423 14pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Max Muncy | 0.410 213pa ★ | 0.366 80pa | 0.300 76pa | 0.293 50pa ▼ | 0.302 23pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Mookie Betts | 0.322 238pa ★ | 0.313 66pa | 0.303 38pa ▼ | 0.123 20pa Tiny Sample | 0.277 7pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Kyle Tucker | 0.354 266pa ★ | 0.286 78pa | 0.255 82pa ▼ | 0.340 35pa | 0.288 17pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Tommy Edman | 0.327 86pa ★ | 0.423 23pa Tiny Sample | 0.242 27pa ▼ | 0.174 9pa Tiny Sample | 0.832 8pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Alex Call | 0.336 122pa ▼ | 0.367 41pa ★ | 0.240 11pa Tiny Sample | 0.490 5pa Tiny Sample | 0.440 4pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Miguel Rojas | 0.377 135pa ★ | 0.305 47pa ▼ | 0.158 20pa Tiny Sample | 0.285 10pa Tiny Sample | 0.176 5pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Eliezer Alfonzo | 0.266 40pa ★ ▼ | 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample | 0.147 6pa Tiny Sample | 0.440 4pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Dalton Rushing | 0.359 148pa | 0.402 49pa | 0.282 44pa ▼ | 0.426 33pa ★ | 0.176 10pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Philadelphia Phillies Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Justin Wrobleski
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trea Turner | 0.324 304pa | 0.240 138pa ▼ | 0.236 47pa | 0.344 49pa ★ | 0.243 16pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Kyle Schwarber | 0.446 254pa ★ | 0.260 135pa ▼ | 0.379 50pa | 0.280 54pa | 0.390 20pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Bryce Harper | 0.414 243pa ★ | 0.380 117pa | 0.310 56pa | 0.309 59pa | 0.186 35pa ▼ |
| 4 | Alec Bohm | 0.311 320pa | 0.182 112pa ▼ | 0.475 32pa ★ | 0.196 22pa Tiny Sample | 0.321 16pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Justin Crawford | 0.306 216pa | 0.303 67pa ★ | 0.229 46pa ▼ | 0.301 38pa | 0.136 18pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Edmundo Sosa | 0.282 117pa | 0.194 54pa ▼ | 0.291 30pa ★ | 0.177 14pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | J.T. Realmuto | 0.306 230pa | 0.297 65pa ★ | 0.168 25pa ▼ | 0.299 20pa Tiny Sample | 0.221 12pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Brandon Marsh | 0.357 257pa | 0.242 112pa | 0.203 48pa | 0.404 43pa ★ | 0.183 26pa ▼ |
| 8 | Derek Hill | 0.300 112pa ▼ | 0.435 51pa ★ | 0.310 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.316 12pa Tiny Sample | 0.176 5pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Bryson Stott | 0.358 256pa | 0.368 82pa ★ | 0.330 57pa | 0.228 53pa | 0.133 26pa ▼ |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Los Angeles Dodgers Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Shohei Ohtani #1 Strong recent formBatting 1.459 OPS (last 14d, +0.719 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 2.Dalton Rushing #9 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 1.000 OPS (last 14d, +0.260 vs avg)
- 3.Andy Pages #2Batting 0.837 OPS (last 14d, +0.097 vs avg)
Top Philadelphia Phillies Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Bryce Harper #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.116 OPS (last 14d, +0.376 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 2.Bryson Stott #9 Strong recent formBatting 1.068 OPS (last 14d, +0.328 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
- 3.Justin Crawford #4Batting 0.819 OPS (last 14d, +0.079 vs avg)
Pitcher Notes
Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.
Justin Wrobleski
(Los Angeles Dodgers)
- Sharp control (1.9 BB/9)
Zack Wheeler
(Philadelphia Phillies)
- Elite ERA (2.69) — strong run prevention
- Elite strikeout rate (10.8 K/9)
- Above-average K rate (10.8 K/9)
⚠ Data Notes
- Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Slight Cleveland Guardians AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Minnesota Twins starter Kendry Rojas (3.34 ERA) — Cleveland Guardians starter Parker Messick (2.57 ERA) — Overall: Slight Cleveland Guardians Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Overall edge indicator — left = Minnesota Twins · right = Cleveland Guardians · home pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup:
Confirmed
Home Lineup:
Confirmed
Pitcher Context
How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Building Sample
3.34ERA
1.52WHIP
10.30K/9
6.70BB/9
0.60HR/9
29.7IP
4.06FIP
⚠ 29.7 IP — a growing sample. Getting more reliable, not fully trusted yet.
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 4.35 · WHIP 1.355 · 10.3 IP
Above Average
2.57ERA
1.04WHIP
9.00K/9
2.50BB/9
0.90HR/9
136.7IP
3.25FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 1.82 · WHIP 0.892 · 24.7 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context
Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.
ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
- We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
- Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
- For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Minnesota Twins Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Parker Messick
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Larnach | 0.384 218pa ★ | 0.305 67pa | 0.131 47pa ▼ | 0.360 39pa | 0.371 21pa Tiny Sample |
| 1 | Austin Martin | 0.352 238pa ★ | 0.240 69pa | 0.197 33pa ▼ | 0.313 17pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 2 | Byron Buxton | 0.413 212pa ★ | 0.355 87pa | 0.270 46pa ▼ | 0.314 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.235 6pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Ryan Jeffers | 0.426 146pa ★ | 0.300 68pa ▼ | 0.343 26pa | 0.405 15pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 7pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Josh Bell | 0.350 270pa ★ | 0.323 67pa | 0.286 96pa ▼ | 0.314 49pa | 0.112 19pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Royce Lewis | 0.325 214pa ★ | 0.303 102pa | 0.183 40pa ▼ | 0.303 20pa Tiny Sample | 0.077 9pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Victor Caratini | 0.294 221pa | 0.372 47pa ★ | 0.180 50pa ▼ | 0.261 21pa Tiny Sample | 0.176 10pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Kody Clemens | 0.287 266pa ▼ | 0.354 79pa | 0.348 50pa | 0.373 37pa ★ | 0.373 18pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Luke Keaschall | 0.374 275pa ★ | 0.325 117pa | 0.183 45pa ▼ | 0.205 25pa | 0.416 8pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Ryan Kreidler | 0.376 131pa ★ | 0.215 56pa | 0.160 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.148 25pa ▼ | — |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Cleveland Guardians Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Kendry Rojas
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Kwan | 0.349 311pa ★ | 0.231 81pa ▼ | 0.277 52pa | 0.429 20pa Tiny Sample | 0.231 19pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Brayan Rocchio | 0.357 269pa ★ | 0.344 78pa | 0.231 91pa | 0.217 26pa ▼ | 0.113 22pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Chase DeLauter | 0.406 251pa | 0.407 94pa ★ | 0.199 52pa ▼ | 0.237 36pa | 0.277 26pa |
| 4 | Rhys Hoskins | 0.345 210pa ★ | 0.318 76pa | 0.207 33pa ▼ | 0.311 21pa Tiny Sample | 0.352 8pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Kyle Manzardo | 0.355 219pa ★ | 0.270 89pa | 0.130 46pa ▼ | 0.324 27pa | 0.146 20pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | David Fry | 0.348 126pa ★ | 0.195 33pa ▼ | 0.191 22pa Tiny Sample | 0.184 16pa Tiny Sample | 0.230 3pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Kahlil Watson | 0.296 60pa ★ | 0.258 28pa ▼ | 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample | 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 6 | Travis Bazzana | 0.361 230pa ★ | 0.255 88pa ▼ | 0.322 32pa | 0.371 19pa Tiny Sample | 0.203 13pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Gabriel Arias | 0.294 89pa ▼ | 0.310 47pa ★ | 0.238 14pa Tiny Sample | 0.519 16pa Tiny Sample | 0.126 7pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Austin Hedges | 0.361 132pa ★ | 0.188 43pa ▼ | 0.278 15pa Tiny Sample | 0.157 10pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 9 | Petey Halpin | 0.299 83pa ★ | 0.172 33pa ▼ | 0.098 19pa Tiny Sample | 0.560 9pa Tiny Sample | 0.508 4pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Minnesota Twins Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Royce Lewis #5Batting 1.220 OPS (last 14d, +0.480 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 2.Josh Bell #4Batting 0.980 OPS (last 14d, +0.240 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 3.Luke Keaschall #8Batting 0.902 OPS (last 14d, +0.162 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Top Cleveland Guardians Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Kyle Manzardo #4Batting 1.200 OPS (last 14d, +0.460 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 2.Steven Kwan #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.965 OPS (last 14d, +0.225 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 3.Rhys Hoskins #4 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 0.857 OPS (last 14d, +0.117 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes
Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.
Kendry Rojas
(Minnesota Twins)
- Elite strikeout rate (10.3 K/9)
- Above-average K rate (10.3 K/9)
- Excellent HR suppression (0.6 HR/9)
- Control concerns (6.7 BB/9)
Parker Messick
(Cleveland Guardians)
- Elite ERA (2.57) — strong run prevention
- Above-average K rate (9.0 K/9)
⚠ Data Notes
- Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
- Recent form data for 20 of 21 hitters
Slight Tampa Bay Rays AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
Tampa Bay Rays starter Drew Rasmussen (2.75 ERA) — Toronto Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman (4.29 ERA) — Overall: Slight Tampa Bay Rays Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Overall edge indicator — left = Tampa Bay Rays · right = Toronto Blue Jays · away pitching edge · away lineup edge
Away Lineup:
Confirmed
Home Lineup:
Confirmed
Pitcher Context
How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Above Average
2.75ERA
0.91WHIP
9.40K/9
1.60BB/9
0.90HR/9
124.3IP
2.99FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 0.72 · WHIP 0.760 · 25.0 IP
Average
4.29ERA
1.26WHIP
8.80K/9
2.50BB/9
1.10HR/9
134.3IP
3.60FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 4.09 · WHIP 1.455 · 22.0 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context
Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.
ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
- We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
- Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
- For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Kevin Gausman
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yandy Díaz | 0.317 305pa | 0.480 110pa ★ | 0.308 47pa | 0.312 46pa ▼ | 0.400 15pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Jonathan Aranda | 0.367 311pa | 0.363 93pa | 0.253 56pa ▼ | 0.384 34pa ★ | 0.246 23pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Junior Caminero | 0.461 264pa ★ | 0.304 144pa | 0.304 54pa | 0.256 41pa ▼ | 0.481 19pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Cedric Mullins | 0.291 260pa | 0.252 71pa ▼ | 0.299 33pa ★ | 0.301 34pa | 0.243 12pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Jonny DeLuca | 0.342 151pa ★ | 0.278 69pa ▼ | 0.161 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.264 14pa Tiny Sample | 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Chandler Simpson | 0.322 300pa | 0.355 73pa ★ | 0.183 48pa ▼ | 0.219 29pa | 0.210 20pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Ben Williamson | 0.350 185pa ★ | 0.223 72pa | 0.215 29pa ▼ | 0.324 18pa Tiny Sample | 0.430 7pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Taylor Walls | 0.312 226pa ★ | 0.211 42pa | 0.171 40pa | 0.144 29pa ▼ | 0.215 9pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Nick Fortes | 0.332 185pa ★ | 0.173 60pa ▼ | 0.309 28pa | 0.495 14pa Tiny Sample | 0.293 6pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Toronto Blue Jays Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Drew Rasmussen
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nathan Lukes | 0.300 201pa ▼ | 0.361 49pa | 0.361 35pa | 0.377 30pa ★ | 0.390 19pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.364 259pa ★ | 0.216 111pa ▼ | 0.330 52pa | 0.262 37pa | 0.138 14pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Ernie Clement | 0.332 264pa ★ | 0.325 115pa | 0.241 55pa | 0.164 42pa ▼ | 0.293 9pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | George Springer | 0.340 231pa ★ | 0.294 123pa | 0.274 40pa ▼ | 0.505 14pa Tiny Sample | 0.204 12pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Luis Urías | 0.313 32pa ★ ▼ | 0.401 16pa Tiny Sample | 0.370 10pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 5 | Daulton Varsho | 0.321 242pa ★ | 0.287 87pa | 0.309 43pa | 0.248 41pa ▼ | 0.413 15pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Kazuma Okamoto | 0.355 278pa ★ | 0.298 120pa | 0.183 37pa ▼ | 0.208 40pa | 0.514 7pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Brandon Valenzuela | 0.299 135pa | 0.458 29pa ★ | 0.280 36pa ▼ | 0.288 25pa | 0.203 10pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Andrés Giménez | 0.325 209pa | 0.217 86pa ▼ | 0.258 40pa | 0.310 40pa ★ | 0.235 15pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Jonatan Clase | 0.383 21pa Tiny Sample | 0.655 11pa Tiny Sample | 0.177 12pa Tiny Sample | — | — |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top Tampa Bay Rays Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Junior Caminero #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.119 OPS (last 14d, +0.379 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 2.Jonathan Aranda #2Batting 0.812 OPS (last 14d, +0.072 vs avg)
- 3.Jonny DeLuca #5Batting 0.727 OPS (last 14d); strong vs Fastball
Top Toronto Blue Jays Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Luis Urías #4Batting 1.025 OPS (last 14d, +0.285 vs avg)
- 2.Brandon Valenzuela #7 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 0.728 OPS (last 14d)
- 3.George Springer #4Batting 0.730 OPS (last 14d); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes
Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.
Drew Rasmussen
(Tampa Bay Rays)
- Elite ERA (2.75) — strong run prevention
- Above-average K rate (9.4 K/9)
- Sharp control (1.6 BB/9)
- FIP (2.99) confirms elite results
Kevin Gausman
(Toronto Blue Jays)
- No significant outliers in available metrics
⚠ Data Notes
- Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
- Recent form data for 18 of 19 hitters
Slight Atlanta Braves AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
San Diego Padres starter Walker Buehler (5.07 ERA) — Atlanta Braves starter Reynaldo López (3.64 ERA) — Overall: Slight Atlanta Braves Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Overall edge indicator — left = San Diego Padres · right = Atlanta Braves · home pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup:
Confirmed
Home Lineup:
Confirmed
Pitcher Context
How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Below Average
5.07ERA
1.46WHIP
7.90K/9
3.70BB/9
1.20HR/9
108.3IP
4.43FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 3.72 · WHIP 1.552 · 19.3 IP
Average
3.64ERA
1.34WHIP
8.30K/9
3.60BB/9
1.30HR/9
71.7IP
4.38FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 4.50 · WHIP 1.800 · 10.0 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context
Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.
ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
- We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
- Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
- For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
San Diego Padres Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Reynaldo López
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.347 309pa | 0.377 127pa ★ | 0.263 48pa ▼ | 0.307 25pa | 0.000 13pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Jake Cronenworth | 0.338 177pa ★ | 0.172 36pa ▼ | 0.175 36pa | 0.302 28pa | 0.412 13pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Manny Machado | 0.366 282pa ★ | 0.249 119pa | 0.198 54pa | 0.198 32pa ▼ | 0.188 12pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Ty France | 0.335 202pa ▼ | 0.385 82pa | 0.494 43pa ★ | 0.346 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.264 10pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Jackson Merrill | 0.333 274pa ★ | 0.296 94pa | 0.252 74pa | 0.261 49pa | 0.111 30pa ▼ |
| 6 | Luis Campusano | 0.352 101pa ★ | 0.307 35pa ▼ | 0.576 11pa Tiny Sample | 0.313 14pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 7 | Gavin Sheets | 0.370 217pa ★ | 0.309 74pa | 0.234 66pa ▼ | 0.290 36pa | 0.185 19pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Jase Bowen | 0.282 68pa ★ ▼ | 0.323 23pa Tiny Sample | 0.125 17pa Tiny Sample | 0.266 8pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 8 | Xander Bogaerts | 0.344 286pa ★ | 0.243 99pa | 0.198 39pa | 0.155 36pa ▼ | 0.149 13pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Luis Rengifo | 0.303 185pa | 0.320 57pa ★ | 0.234 49pa | 0.217 31pa ▼ | 0.057 12pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Atlanta Braves Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Walker Buehler
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake Baldwin | 0.400 247pa ★ | 0.293 101pa | 0.337 55pa | 0.281 40pa ▼ | 0.297 21pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Ozzie Albies | 0.343 255pa ★ | 0.317 86pa | 0.276 98pa | 0.283 66pa | 0.265 28pa ▼ |
| 3 | Matt Olson | 0.407 328pa ★ | 0.320 115pa | 0.397 50pa | 0.277 50pa ▼ | 0.278 12pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Austin Riley | 0.347 301pa ★ | 0.256 114pa ▼ | 0.256 50pa | 0.287 36pa | 0.250 11pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Michael Harris II | 0.350 222pa | 0.344 134pa | 0.363 62pa ★ | 0.213 46pa ▼ | 0.329 18pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Mauricio Dubón | 0.341 287pa ★ | 0.290 114pa | 0.214 58pa ▼ | 0.427 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.219 15pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Mike Yastrzemski | 0.340 187pa | 0.255 65pa ▼ | 0.321 41pa | 0.364 27pa ★ | 0.110 8pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Joey Bart | 0.286 72pa | 0.287 44pa ★ | 0.275 26pa ▼ | 0.272 9pa Tiny Sample | 0.126 7pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Brewer Hicklen | 0.261 21pa Tiny Sample | 0.521 11pa Tiny Sample | 0.532 4pa Tiny Sample | — | 0.230 3pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Jim Jarvis | 0.297 63pa ★ ▼ | 0.156 16pa Tiny Sample | 0.370 20pa Tiny Sample | 0.249 5pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 4pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top San Diego Padres Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Fernando Tatis Jr. #1 Strong recent formBatting 0.975 OPS (last 14d, +0.235 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
- 2.Luis Campusano #6Batting 0.981 OPS (last 14d, +0.241 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 3.Jackson Merrill #5Batting 0.847 OPS (last 14d, +0.107 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Top Atlanta Braves Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Matt Olson #3 Strong recent formBatting 1.203 OPS (last 14d, +0.463 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 2.Mike Yastrzemski #7 Limited recent PA — not over-weightedBatting 0.985 OPS (last 14d, +0.245 vs avg)
- 3.Austin Riley #4Batting 0.869 OPS (last 14d, +0.129 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes
Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.
Walker Buehler
(San Diego Padres)
- No significant outliers in available metrics
Reynaldo López
(Atlanta Braves)
- No significant outliers in available metrics
⚠ Data Notes
- Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
- Recent form data for 19 of 20 hitters
Slight New York Mets AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
New York Mets starter Zac Thornton (2.52 ERA) — Milwaukee Brewers starter Brandon Sproat (5.27 ERA) — Overall: Slight New York Mets Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Overall edge indicator — left = New York Mets · right = Milwaukee Brewers · away pitching edge · away lineup edge
Away Lineup:
Confirmed
Home Lineup:
Confirmed
Pitcher Context
How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Building Sample
2.52ERA
1.07WHIP
6.20K/9
2.80BB/9
0.70HR/9
39.3IP
3.76FIP
⚠ 39.3 IP — a growing sample. Getting more reliable, not fully trusted yet.
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 2.45 · WHIP 1.182 · 22.0 IP
Below Average
5.27ERA
1.42WHIP
9.40K/9
4.50BB/9
1.60HR/9
95.7IP
5.16FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 5.93 · WHIP 1.756 · 13.7 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context
Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.
ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
- We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
- Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
- For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
New York Mets Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Brandon Sproat
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.J. Ewing | 0.381 187pa ★ | 0.291 69pa | 0.240 42pa ▼ | 0.191 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.215 14pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Juan Soto | 0.407 200pa | 0.426 80pa ★ | 0.375 41pa ▼ | 0.372 32pa | 0.306 17pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Bo Bichette | 0.307 279pa | 0.316 137pa ★ | 0.309 62pa | 0.270 51pa ▼ | 0.165 15pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Francisco Lindor | 0.299 163pa ▼ | 0.329 44pa | 0.324 43pa ★ | 0.473 17pa Tiny Sample | 0.197 16pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Carson Benge | 0.374 283pa ★ | 0.267 90pa | 0.266 54pa | 0.312 47pa | 0.237 25pa ▼ |
| 6 | Luis Robert Jr. | 0.265 110pa ▼ | 0.346 42pa ★ | 0.157 10pa Tiny Sample | 0.282 10pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Jared Young | 0.332 137pa ★ | 0.223 43pa ▼ | 0.336 22pa Tiny Sample | 0.279 25pa | 0.467 10pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Marcus Semien | 0.339 240pa ★ | 0.134 123pa ▼ | 0.340 31pa | 0.249 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.235 12pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Luis Torrens | 0.323 127pa ★ | 0.194 59pa ▼ | 0.231 21pa Tiny Sample | 0.358 20pa Tiny Sample | 0.110 8pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Milwaukee Brewers Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Zac Thornton
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackson Chourio | 0.365 221pa ★ | 0.246 99pa ▼ | 0.334 34pa | 0.520 23pa Tiny Sample | 0.126 7pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Brice Turang | 0.395 277pa ★ | 0.306 101pa | 0.299 56pa | 0.371 47pa | 0.212 29pa ▼ |
| 3 | William Contreras | 0.370 287pa ★ | 0.231 113pa ▼ | 0.325 33pa | 0.257 31pa | 0.176 10pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Andrew Vaughn | 0.471 149pa ★ | 0.260 63pa ▼ | 0.463 27pa | 0.102 19pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 5pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Garrett Mitchell | 0.336 246pa ★ | 0.321 92pa | 0.254 45pa ▼ | 0.333 39pa | 0.053 13pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Gary Sánchez | 0.402 126pa ★ | 0.284 46pa ▼ | 0.319 31pa | 0.413 16pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 6pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Luis Lara | 0.352 55pa ★ ▼ | 0.235 23pa Tiny Sample | 0.364 11pa Tiny Sample | 0.080 9pa Tiny Sample | 0.395 4pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Cooper Pratt | 0.338 109pa ▼ | 0.445 45pa ★ | 0.120 22pa Tiny Sample | 0.328 9pa Tiny Sample | 0.224 7pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Jake Bauers | 0.414 247pa | 0.403 95pa | 0.495 45pa ★ | 0.308 46pa ▼ | 0.236 14pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Joey Ortiz | 0.323 186pa ★ | 0.258 81pa ▼ | 0.315 18pa Tiny Sample | 0.271 14pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 7pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top New York Mets Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Carson Benge #5 Strong recent formBatting 1.041 OPS (last 14d, +0.301 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 2.Francisco Lindor #4 Strong recent formBatting 0.953 OPS (last 14d, +0.213 vs avg)
- 3.Luis Torrens #9Batting 1.067 OPS (last 14d, +0.327 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Top Milwaukee Brewers Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Jake Bauers #9Batting 1.081 OPS (last 14d, +0.341 vs avg)
- 2.Jackson Chourio #1Batting 0.847 OPS (last 14d, +0.107 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
- 3.Gary Sánchez #6 Hot, but small sampleBatting 1.000 OPS (last 14d, +0.260 vs avg); strong vs Fastball
Pitcher Notes
Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.
Zac Thornton
(New York Mets)
- Elite ERA (2.52) — strong run prevention
- Excellent HR suppression (0.7 HR/9)
- FIP (3.76) above ERA — may regress upward
Brandon Sproat
(Milwaukee Brewers)
- Above-average K rate (9.4 K/9)
- Control concerns (4.5 BB/9)
⚠ Data Notes
- Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
- Recent form data for 18 of 19 hitters
Slight San Francisco Giants AdvantagePitcher-Based Medium Confidence
San Francisco Giants starter Tyler Mahle (4.83 ERA) — Kansas City Royals starter Luinder Avila (5.53 ERA) — Overall: Slight San Francisco Giants Advantage. Edge source: Pitcher-Based.
Overall edge indicator — left = San Francisco Giants · right = Kansas City Royals · away pitching edge · even lineups
Away Lineup:
Confirmed
Home Lineup:
Confirmed
Pitcher Context
How good are tonight's starters? Hover any stat for a plain-English explanation.
Average
4.83ERA
1.36WHIP
8.80K/9
3.50BB/9
1.30HR/9
100.7IP
4.23FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 3.18 · WHIP 1.015 · 22.7 IP
Below Average
5.53ERA
1.61WHIP
7.80K/9
5.40BB/9
0.90HR/9
70.0IP
4.59FIP
FIP = what the pitcher truly controlled: Ks, walks, and home runs — ignores whether balls in play fell in for hits.
FIP uses full-season pitcher data.
Recent (21d): ERA 6.75 · WHIP 1.575 · 13.3 IP
Pitch-Family & Type Context
Every hitter has pitch types they crush and types that give them trouble. Green = hits it hard. Red = struggles. ★ = their best pitch type to hit. ▼ = their weakness.
ℹ Pitcher Arsenal Coming
- We know what each hitter does vs every pitch family — we're still loading tonight's pitcher arsenals.
- Once available, we'll match the pitcher's go-to pitches directly against each hitter's strengths and weaknesses.
- For now, the table below shows each hitter's history vs pitch families this season.
San Francisco Giants Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Luinder Avila
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heliot Ramos | 0.304 194pa | 0.320 81pa ★ | 0.205 36pa ▼ | 0.283 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.601 9pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Bryce Eldridge | 0.391 203pa ★ | 0.275 60pa | 0.269 43pa | 0.251 25pa ▼ | 0.203 10pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Casey Schmitt | 0.322 272pa | 0.357 114pa | 0.496 37pa ★ | 0.215 30pa ▼ | 0.120 6pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Rafael Devers | 0.372 313pa | 0.236 96pa ▼ | 0.234 58pa | 0.331 28pa | 0.454 25pa ★ |
| 5 | Willy Adames | 0.345 293pa ★ | 0.234 137pa | 0.230 37pa | 0.197 31pa ▼ | 0.239 17pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Grant McCray | 0.368 50pa ★ ▼ | 0.209 16pa Tiny Sample | 0.293 3pa Tiny Sample | 0.126 7pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 6 | Jung Hoo Lee | 0.341 268pa | 0.383 100pa ★ | 0.317 34pa | 0.291 37pa ▼ | 0.505 11pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Jesus Rodriguez | 0.421 55pa ★ ▼ | 0.315 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.501 6pa Tiny Sample | 0.176 11pa Tiny Sample | — |
| 8 | Drew Gilbert | 0.324 174pa ★ | 0.246 51pa ▼ | 0.279 36pa | 0.271 27pa | 0.270 13pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Christian Koss | 0.262 62pa ★ ▼ | 0.221 23pa Tiny Sample | 0.477 7pa Tiny Sample | 0.126 7pa Tiny Sample | — |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Kansas City Royals Hitters vs Pitch Families
(opp. starter:
Tyler Mahle
)
📖 Reading this table:
green wOBA = hits this pitch hard
·
red wOBA = struggles vs this pitch
·
★ = hitter's best pitch type
·
▼ = weakest pitch type
·
PA = at-bats vs that pitch (higher = more reliable data)
↔ Swipe sideways to see all pitch families
| # | Hitter | Fastball | Slider/Sweep | Changeup | Curve/Slurve | Splitter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carter Jensen | 0.359 241pa ★ | 0.223 123pa | 0.211 46pa ▼ | 0.287 44pa | 0.433 24pa Tiny Sample |
| 2 | Lane Thomas | 0.336 244pa | 0.276 58pa | 0.349 38pa ★ | 0.252 29pa ▼ | 0.000 9pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Isaac Collins | 0.333 276pa | 0.362 45pa ★ | 0.163 52pa ▼ | 0.225 24pa Tiny Sample | 0.224 22pa Tiny Sample |
| 3 | Jac Caglianone | 0.326 209pa ▼ | 0.367 97pa | 0.390 62pa ★ | 0.329 49pa | 0.219 23pa Tiny Sample |
| 4 | Salvador Perez | 0.320 207pa | 0.234 137pa | 0.333 54pa ★ | 0.217 57pa ▼ | 0.175 14pa Tiny Sample |
| 5 | Vinnie Pasquantino | 0.298 223pa | 0.100 56pa ▼ | 0.330 35pa ★ | 0.333 29pa | 0.501 13pa Tiny Sample |
| 6 | Starling Marte | 0.320 92pa ★ | 0.226 36pa ▼ | 0.251 26pa | 0.291 20pa Tiny Sample | 0.000 3pa Tiny Sample |
| 7 | Michael Massey | 0.296 195pa | 0.305 52pa ★ | 0.252 48pa ▼ | 0.610 20pa Tiny Sample | 0.118 18pa Tiny Sample |
| 8 | Nick Loftin | 0.377 194pa ★ | 0.264 71pa | 0.251 28pa ▼ | 0.270 16pa Tiny Sample | 0.088 10pa Tiny Sample |
| 9 | Tyler Tolbert | 0.301 67pa ▼ | 0.401 28pa ★ | 0.381 12pa Tiny Sample | 0.408 7pa Tiny Sample | 0.416 3pa Tiny Sample |
Values shown are hitter wOBA vs pitch family · ★ = hitter's best family · ▼ = hitter's weakest
Top San Francisco Giants Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Jung Hoo Lee #6 Strong recent formBatting 0.931 OPS (last 14d, +0.191 vs avg); strong vs Slider/Sweeper
- 2.Jesus Rodriguez #7 Hot, but small sampleBatting 0.900 OPS (last 14d, +0.160 vs avg)
- 3.Rafael Devers #4Batting 0.758 OPS (last 14d, +0.018 vs avg)
Top Kansas City Royals Advantages
Hottest bats in the lineup over the last two weeks.
- 1.Tyler Tolbert #9Batting 1.084 OPS (last 14d, +0.344 vs avg)
- 2.Jac Caglianone #3Batting 0.854 OPS (last 14d, +0.114 vs avg)
- 3.Salvador Perez #4Batting 0.774 OPS (last 14d, +0.034 vs avg)
Pitcher Notes
Quick green flags or red flags based on each starter's season numbers.
Tyler Mahle
(San Francisco Giants)
- No significant outliers in available metrics
Luinder Avila
(Kansas City Royals)
- High ERA (5.53) — run-prevention risk
- Control concerns (5.4 BB/9)
⚠ Data Notes
- Pitcher pitch-family data unavailable (warehouse ETL gap)
Pitcher quality scores use ERA, WHIP, K/9, BB/9, and HR/9 relative to 2026 MLB averages.
Lineup scores use recent OPS (last 14 days) weighted by batting order.
Confidence reflects available data — not a betting recommendation.