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Illinois Fighting Illini at Maryland Terrapins

Kickoff Oct 31, 2026 · 11:00 AM CDT · Oct 31, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC

Venue: SECU Stadium · College Park, MD · Conference details unavailable.

Schedule verification is over 24 hours old. Kickoffs or game status may have changed.

These forecasts were generated over seven days ago. Review their dates before using them.

Frozen pregame forecast

Illinois Fighting Illini at Maryland Terrapins

Kickoff Oct 31, 2026 · 11:00 AM CDT
Oct 31, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC

Illinois Fighting Illini53.8%
Maryland Terrapins46.2%

Model favorite: Illinois Fighting Illini by 1.8

Last model update Oct 30, 2026 · 2:22 PM CDT

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: -1.80 points
Forecast generated Oct 30, 2026 · 2:22 PM CDT
Information cutoff Oct 30, 2026 · 1:27 PM CDT
First published Oct 31, 2026 · 10:37 AM CDT
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Oct 31, 2026 · 9:43 AM CDT
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Why the model leans this way

Illinois Fighting Illini by 1.8 is the graph’s projected result. Expected home winning margin: -1.80 points. Positive favors Maryland Terrapins; negative favors Illinois Fighting Illini.

The model compares team strengths fitted to the network of prior opponents and scoring margins. A home-field term applies unless the game is at a neutral site. The margin maps to the displayed win probability using the unchanged baseline model.

Coverage: 569 eligible training games across the opponent network, with result history through 2026-10-28 UTC. This is network-wide coverage, not either team’s individual sample size.

Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained
Baseline model cfb_graph_v1.

These are model estimates, not invented final scores or betting edges. An individual opponent contribution breakdown is unavailable in this baseline.

Quarterbacks & availability

Informational only

Verified personnel is not available through the website’s serving interface yet. QB1/QB2/QB3, confirmed starters and injury statuses remain unknown here.

Unknown does not mean available. No player or injury adjustment changes these graph probabilities.

Forecast history

Original generation and actual first publication are recorded separately. Late first-publications are historical model runs, not timely public pregame picks.

  • Oct 30, 2026 · 2:22 PM CDT · Illinois Fighting Illini by 1.8 · Home win 46.2%
    First published Oct 31, 2026 · 10:37 AM CDT
    Verified current schedule; unchanged graph v1. Changed fields listed; no personnel adjustment. 3 newly captured final scores entered training; 3 are retained but embargoed.
  • Oct 30, 2026 · 2:22 PM CDT · Illinois Fighting Illini by 1.8 · Home win 46.2%
    First published Oct 31, 2026 · 10:37 AM CDT
    Verified current schedule; unchanged graph v1. Changed fields listed; no personnel adjustment. 3 newly captured final scores entered training; 3 are retained but embargoed.
  • Oct 30, 2026 · 12:57 PM CDT · Illinois Fighting Illini by 1.8 · Home win 46.3%
    First published Oct 31, 2026 · 10:37 AM CDT
    Verified current schedule; unchanged graph v1. No numerical forecast movement.
Model version, freshness & sources

Model cfb_graph_v1 · Graph-only. Personnel is informational.

Information cutoff Oct 30, 2026 · 1:27 PM CDT
Publication schedule checked Oct 31, 2026 · 9:43 AM CDT

Run 8a1eb1c67eb23ee20b8b8cf095f24018477c6456f48bccfe68c1ca5f7ea87c44
Graph source de23e2e5d516ed1222953d3d604a8cd9b80092af346ccb9f4bd1bbffc1d9d5b1
Original schedule 044d7e0a9fe6921e224772b12f7d7357f59b27ac5726bad30db13566d7e42284
Publication schedule 3aeb38f72ce9826698dea7d06a19e2f1d26184fb7c76da6961297637c4642838

Complete ESPN core event listing and per-event status; cross-checked with overlapping FBS scoreboard feed. Both-FBS eligibility checked against retained provider divisions.