2026 season · Graph Predictions v1

PardonMe College Football Analytics

Every opponent leaves a clue. Follow the connections between teams to see who our model favors, by how much, and what the numbers are built on.

Explore this week’s predictions →

Verified slate 2026-11-07 – 2026-11-08 · Updated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Schedule verification is over 24 hours old. Kickoffs or game status may have changed.

This week’s games

Full slate & forecast history →

51 upcoming games on the latest verified slate. All kickoff times are Central.

Graph-only baseline

Texas Longhorns at Missouri Tigers

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 11:00 AM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC

Texas Longhorns45.1%

Missouri Tigers54.9%

Model favorite: Missouri Tigers by 2.4

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +2.36 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

BYU Cougars at Utah Utes

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 11:00 AM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC

BYU Cougars34.5%

Utah Utes65.5%

Model favorite: Utah Utes by 7.7

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +7.67 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Iowa State Cyclones at Baylor Bears

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 11:00 AM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC

Iowa State Cyclones30.7%

Baylor Bears69.3%

Model favorite: Baylor Bears by 9.8

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +9.75 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Clemson Tigers at Syracuse Orange

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 11:00 AM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC

Clemson Tigers45.6%

Syracuse Orange54.4%

Model favorite: Syracuse Orange by 2.1

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +2.12 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Florida State Seminoles at Boston College Eagles

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 11:00 AM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC

Florida State Seminoles53.7%

Boston College Eagles46.3%

Model favorite: Florida State Seminoles by 1.8

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: -1.78 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

North Carolina Tar Heels at UConn Huskies

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 11:00 AM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC

North Carolina Tar Heels46.2%

UConn Huskies53.8%

Model favorite: UConn Huskies by 1.8

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +1.84 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

UCLA Bruins at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 11:00 AM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC

UCLA Bruins61.6%

Minnesota Golden Gophers38.4%

Model favorite: UCLA Bruins by 5.7

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: -5.66 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Tulane Green Wave

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 11:00 AM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC

Tulsa Golden Hurricane51.1%

Tulane Green Wave48.9%

Model favorite: Tulsa Golden Hurricane by 0.5

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: -0.55 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Duke Blue Devils at NC State Wolfpack

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 11:30 AM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 5:30 PM UTC

Duke Blue Devils58.4%

NC State Wolfpack41.6%

Model favorite: Duke Blue Devils by 4.1

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: -4.05 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Maryland Terrapins at Purdue Boilermakers

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 11:30 AM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 5:30 PM UTC

Maryland Terrapins36.7%

Purdue Boilermakers63.3%

Model favorite: Purdue Boilermakers by 6.5

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +6.52 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Arkansas Razorbacks at Auburn Tigers

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 11:45 AM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 5:45 PM UTC

Arkansas Razorbacks35.3%

Auburn Tigers64.7%

Model favorite: Auburn Tigers by 7.3

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +7.26 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas State Wildcats

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 12:00 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC

Oklahoma State Cowboys54.6%

Kansas State Wildcats45.4%

Model favorite: Oklahoma State Cowboys by 2.2

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: -2.20 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Old Dominion Monarchs at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 12:00 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC

Old Dominion Monarchs28.4%

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers71.6%

Model favorite: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers by 11.1

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +11.12 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Georgia State Panthers at App State Mountaineers

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 1:30 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC

Georgia State Panthers47.6%

App State Mountaineers52.4%

Model favorite: App State Mountaineers by 1.1

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +1.13 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Texas A&M Aggies at South Carolina Gamecocks

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 2:00 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC

Texas A&M Aggies42.6%

South Carolina Gamecocks57.4%

Model favorite: South Carolina Gamecocks by 3.6

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +3.58 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

UL Monroe Warhawks at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 2:00 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC

UL Monroe Warhawks25.2%

Arkansas State Red Wolves74.8%

Model favorite: Arkansas State Red Wolves by 13.1

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +13.07 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Delaware Blue Hens at Kennesaw State Owls

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 2:00 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC

Delaware Blue Hens48.7%

Kennesaw State Owls51.3%

Model favorite: Kennesaw State Owls by 0.6

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +0.62 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 2:30 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC

Alabama Crimson Tide39.9%

LSU Tigers60.1%

Model favorite: LSU Tigers by 4.9

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +4.91 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Cincinnati Bearcats at Houston Cougars

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 2:30 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC

Cincinnati Bearcats31.2%

Houston Cougars68.8%

Model favorite: Houston Cougars by 9.5

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +9.49 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Forecast unavailable

Merrimack Warriors at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 2:30 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC

No forecast in this published run: OUTSIDE RETAINED FBS COHORT.

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Oregon Ducks at Ohio State Buckeyes

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 2:30 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC

Oregon Ducks33.6%

Ohio State Buckeyes66.4%

Model favorite: Ohio State Buckeyes by 8.2

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +8.20 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Penn State Nittany Lions at Washington Huskies

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 2:30 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC

Penn State Nittany Lions47.9%

Washington Huskies52.1%

Model favorite: Washington Huskies by 1.0

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +1.00 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Charlotte 49ers at UAB Blazers

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 2:30 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC

Charlotte 49ers29.9%

UAB Blazers70.1%

Model favorite: UAB Blazers by 10.2

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +10.22 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Temple Owls at Navy Midshipmen

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 2:30 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC

Temple Owls39.8%

Navy Midshipmen60.2%

Model favorite: Navy Midshipmen by 5.0

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +4.99 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Marshall Thundering Herd at Georgia Southern Eagles

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 2:30 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC

Marshall Thundering Herd32.7%

Georgia Southern Eagles67.3%

Model favorite: Georgia Southern Eagles by 8.7

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +8.69 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Unknown team at Unknown team

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 2:30 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC

Unknown team38.4%

Unknown team61.6%

Model favorite: Unknown team by 5.7

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +5.67 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Unknown team at Kansas Jayhawks

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 2:45 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 8:45 PM UTC

Unknown team44.0%

Kansas Jayhawks56.0%

Model favorite: Kansas Jayhawks by 2.9

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +2.88 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Unknown team at Unknown team

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 3:00 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 9:00 PM UTC

Unknown team26.1%

Unknown team73.9%

Model favorite: Unknown team by 12.5

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +12.49 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Northern Illinois at San José State

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 3:00 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 9:00 PM UTC

Northern Illinois26.0%

San José State74.0%

Model favorite: San José State by 12.5

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +12.52 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Unknown team at Florida International

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 3:00 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 9:00 PM UTC

Unknown team36.5%

Florida International63.5%

Model favorite: Florida International by 6.7

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +6.65 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Unknown team

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 3:00 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 9:00 PM UTC

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs56.6%

Unknown team43.4%

Model favorite: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs by 3.2

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: -3.17 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Unknown team at Mississippi State

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 3:15 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 9:15 PM UTC

Unknown team34.7%

Mississippi State65.3%

Model favorite: Mississippi State by 7.6

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +7.60 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Wisconsin Badgers

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 3:15 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 9:15 PM UTC

Rutgers Scarlet Knights26.7%

Wisconsin Badgers73.3%

Model favorite: Wisconsin Badgers by 12.1

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +12.14 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

South Alabama Jaguars at Unknown team

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 4:00 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC

South Alabama Jaguars34.5%

Unknown team65.5%

Model favorite: Unknown team by 7.7

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +7.71 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Boise State at Colorado State Rams

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 5:00 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC

Boise State68.7%

Colorado State Rams31.3%

Model favorite: Boise State by 9.4

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: -9.41 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Unknown team at Unknown team

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 5:15 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 11:15 PM UTC

Unknown team38.2%

Unknown team61.8%

Model favorite: Unknown team by 5.8

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +5.75 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Unknown team at Unknown team

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Nov 8, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

Unknown team25.1%

Unknown team74.9%

Model favorite: Unknown team by 13.1

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +13.09 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Georgia Bulldogs at Ole Miss Rebels

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Nov 8, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC

Georgia Bulldogs48.5%

Ole Miss Rebels51.5%

Model favorite: Ole Miss Rebels by 0.7

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +0.74 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Colorado Buffaloes at Arizona State Sun Devils

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Nov 8, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC

Colorado Buffaloes40.2%

Arizona State Sun Devils59.8%

Model favorite: Arizona State Sun Devils by 4.8

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +4.78 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Louisville Cardinals at Georgia Tech

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Nov 8, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC

Louisville Cardinals67.4%

Georgia Tech32.6%

Model favorite: Louisville Cardinals by 8.7

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: -8.70 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Miami at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Nov 8, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC

Miami45.9%

Notre Dame Fighting Irish54.1%

Model favorite: Notre Dame Fighting Irish by 2.0

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +2.00 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Unknown team at Michigan Wolverines

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Nov 8, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC

Unknown team36.6%

Michigan Wolverines63.4%

Model favorite: Michigan Wolverines by 6.6

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +6.59 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Iowa Hawkeyes at Northwestern Wildcats

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Nov 8, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC

Iowa Hawkeyes41.3%

Northwestern Wildcats58.7%

Model favorite: Northwestern Wildcats by 4.2

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +4.24 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Air Force Falcons at Army

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Nov 8, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC

Air Force Falcons42.6%

Army57.4%

Model favorite: Army by 3.6

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +3.59 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Oklahoma at Florida Gators

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 6:45 PM CST
Nov 8, 2026 · 12:45 AM UTC

Oklahoma36.4%

Florida Gators63.6%

Model favorite: Florida Gators by 6.7

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +6.70 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Liberty at Unknown team

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Nov 8, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC

Liberty73.6%

Unknown team26.4%

Model favorite: Liberty by 12.3

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: -12.31 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Unknown team at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 8:30 PM CST
Nov 8, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC

Unknown team29.9%

Texas Tech Red Raiders70.1%

Model favorite: Texas Tech Red Raiders by 10.2

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +10.23 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Fresno State at Utah State Aggies

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 8:30 PM CST
Nov 8, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC

Fresno State55.7%

Utah State Aggies44.3%

Model favorite: Fresno State by 2.8

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: -2.77 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Unknown team at UTEP Miners

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 8:30 PM CST
Nov 8, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC

Unknown team57.7%

UTEP Miners42.3%

Model favorite: Unknown team by 3.7

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: -3.72 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Texas State at Oregon State

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 9:30 PM CST
Nov 8, 2026 · 3:30 AM UTC

Texas State36.4%

Oregon State63.6%

Model favorite: Oregon State by 6.7

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +6.71 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Graph-only baseline

Unknown team at UNLV

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 9:30 PM CST
Nov 8, 2026 · 3:30 AM UTC

Unknown team39.7%

UNLV60.3%

Model favorite: UNLV by 5.0

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +5.01 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Connected results. Clear expectations.

How the graph sees a matchup

Beating a strong opponent tells us more than beating a weak one. We connect teams through the opponents they have played and use their historical scoring margins to estimate each team’s strength. Results against shared opponents can help connect two teams that have never met.

The graph fits team strengths to earlier results, limits the influence of blowouts, and accounts for home field. The difference in those strengths produces a predicted margin and win probability. Only results available before the information cutoff enter a forecast.

Play-by-play, depth charts and injuries are not active inputs to Graph Predictions v1. Personnel research remains separate. A 60% favorite can still lose; probabilities describe uncertainty, not a guarantee.

Historical validation

Tested against past games

Chronological retrospective backtest · FBS vs. FBS
Season	Games	Winner accuracy
2024	798	68.9%
2025	808	68.6%
2026 (partial)	444	65.3%

These are historical walk-forward results using earlier games only, with season resets and a result embargo. They are not a live public picking record or evidence of betting profitability.

Evaluation details & provenance

2024: Brier 0.2084 · Log loss 0.6047 · Margin MAE 13.88 points.

2025: Brier 0.2037 · Log loss 0.5945 · Margin MAE 13.83 points.

2026: Brier 0.2207 · Log loss 0.6323 · Margin MAE 14.59 points.

The 2026 cohort is a partial historical snapshot, not a full season. Source results SHA256 d62aca82ebaea85debb9aef347d1c9b696d9204421c50e3227e5edf294df6007.

Model version, freshness & sources

Model cfb_graph_v1 · Graph-only. Personnel is informational.

Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Publication schedule checked Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST

Run f6af02bf004ef90bf391c933afec54ccd120af3bd90a8c66427084dca134e46c
Graph source de23e2e5d516ed1222953d3d604a8cd9b80092af346ccb9f4bd1bbffc1d9d5b1
Original schedule cd24c899ce1e4dc02e6050b10b1de79170e288a74c778036c408940961ee511a

Complete ESPN core event listing and per-event status; cross-checked with overlapping FBS scoreboard feed. Both-FBS eligibility checked against retained provider divisions.

This week’s games

How the graph sees a matchup

Tested against past games

Build Selection