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Northern Illinois at San José State

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 3:00 PM CST · Nov 7, 2026 · 9:00 PM UTC

Venue: unavailable · Conference details unavailable.

Schedule verification is over 24 hours old. Kickoffs or game status may have changed.

Graph-only baseline

Northern Illinois at San José State

Kickoff Nov 7, 2026 · 3:00 PM CST
Nov 7, 2026 · 9:00 PM UTC

Northern Illinois26.0%
San José State74.0%

Model favorite: San José State by 12.5

Last model update Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST

Timing & forecast details

Predicted home margin: +12.52 points
Forecast generated Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
Team scores: unavailable · Betting edge: unavailable
Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained

Observed schedule status: SCHEDULED
Schedule observed Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST
Provider schedule source

Matchup breakdown

Why the model leans this way

San José State by 12.5 is the graph’s projected result. Expected home winning margin: +12.52 points. Positive favors San José State; negative favors Northern Illinois.

The model compares team strengths fitted to the network of prior opponents and scoring margins. A home-field term applies unless the game is at a neutral site. The margin maps to the displayed win probability using the unchanged baseline model.

Coverage: 622 eligible training games across the opponent network, with result history through 2026-11-01 UTC. This is network-wide coverage, not either team’s individual sample size.

Exact source publication time unavailable; observation time retained
Baseline model cfb_graph_v1.

These are model estimates, not invented final scores or betting edges. An individual opponent contribution breakdown is unavailable in this baseline.

Quarterbacks & availability

Informational only

Verified personnel is not available through the website’s serving interface yet. QB1/QB2/QB3, confirmed starters and injury statuses remain unknown here.

Unknown does not mean available. No player or injury adjustment changes these graph probabilities.

Forecast history

Original generation and actual first publication are recorded separately. Late first-publications are historical model runs, not timely public pregame picks.

  • Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST · San José State by 12.5 · Home win 74.0%
    First published Nov 3, 2026 · 9:41 PM CST
    Verified current schedule; unchanged graph v1. No numerical forecast movement. 56 newly captured final scores entered training; 0 are retained but embargoed.
Model version, freshness & sources

Model cfb_graph_v1 · Graph-only. Personnel is informational.

Information cutoff Nov 3, 2026 · 7:49 PM CST
Publication schedule checked Nov 3, 2026 · 7:32 PM CST

Run f6af02bf004ef90bf391c933afec54ccd120af3bd90a8c66427084dca134e46c
Graph source de23e2e5d516ed1222953d3d604a8cd9b80092af346ccb9f4bd1bbffc1d9d5b1
Original schedule cd24c899ce1e4dc02e6050b10b1de79170e288a74c778036c408940961ee511a

Complete ESPN core event listing and per-event status; cross-checked with overlapping FBS scoreboard feed. Both-FBS eligibility checked against retained provider divisions.