Drake Maye · NE
- Attempts
- 31.7 mean · 32.0 median · 22.0–45.0 80%
- Completions
- 21.1 mean · 21.0 median · 13.0–29.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 253 mean · 268 median · 162–339 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.65 mean · 79% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.68 mean · 49% 1+
P5 V4 baseline
NE at SEA
Wednesday, September 9 · 7:20 PM CDT
NE 24.6 — SEA 23.5
Nearly even · NE 57.5%
Projected total 48.0 · Confidence: limited evidence
PardonMe projects
Nearly even.
Why PardonMe leans NE →
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct: Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 115 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 33 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
Player stat models
Player projections
Existing QB, RB, WR and TE statistical models. Each line shows mean · median · 80% range.
Quarterback ranges
Sam Darnold · SEA
- Attempts
- 29.4 mean · 28.0 median · 23.0–42.0 80%
- Completions
- 19.1 mean · 18.0 median · 13.0–26.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 210 mean · 225 median · 118–270 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.14 mean · 67% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.67 mean · 49% 1+
Running back ranges
TreVeyon Henderson · NE
- Opportunities
- 12.9 mean · 13.0 median · 5.0–20.0 80%
- Carries
- 10.7 mean · 11.0 median · 4.0–17.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.2 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 52 mean · 48 median · 18–91 80%
- Receptions
- 1.7 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 12 mean · 8 median · 0–27 80%
- Total TD
- 36% 1+
Rhamondre Stevenson · NE
- Opportunities
- 11.4 mean · 10.0 median · 6.0–19.0 80%
- Carries
- 9.1 mean · 8.0 median · 5.0–15.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.3 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 43 mean · 36 median · 18–74 80%
- Receptions
- 1.9 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 15 mean · 13 median · 0–31 80%
- Total TD
- 35% 1+
George Holani · SEA
- Opportunities
- 7.7 mean · 7.0 median · 2.0–17.0 80%
- Carries
- 6.4 mean · 6.0 median · 1.0–14.0 80%
- Targets
- 1.3 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 26 mean · 22 median · 4–58 80%
- Receptions
- 1.1 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 8 mean · 7 median · 0–22 80%
- Total TD
- 21% 1+
Jadarian Price · SEA
- Opportunities
- 11.3 mean · 11.0 median · 3.0–21.0 80%
- Carries
- 9.1 mean · 8.0 median · 2.0–17.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.2 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 39 mean · 34 median · 10–74 80%
- Receptions
- 1.7 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 13 mean · 8 median · 0–30 80%
- Total TD
- 29% 1+
Receiver and tight end ranges
Hunter Henry · NE · TE
- Targets
- 4.7 mean · 5.0 median · 1.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.4 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 40 mean · 35 median · 12–70 80%
- Receiving TD
- 23% 1+
Eli Raridon · NE · TE
- Targets
- 3.6 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.6 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 26 mean · 21 median · 0–62 80%
- Receiving TD
- 17% 1+
A.J. Brown · NE · WR
- Targets
- 8.0 mean · 9.0 median · 2.0–12.0 80%
- Receptions
- 5.1 mean · 5.0 median · 1.0–9.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 67 mean · 65 median · 13–117 80%
- Receiving TD
- 35% 1+
Romeo Doubs · NE · WR
- Targets
- 5.4 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–9.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.4 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 44 mean · 39 median · 13–77 80%
- Receiving TD
- 21% 1+
DeMario Douglas · NE · WR
- Targets
- 4.0 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.9 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 45 mean · 47 median · 16–78 80%
- Receiving TD
- 20% 1+
AJ Barner · SEA · TE
- Targets
- 4.8 mean · 4.0 median · 3.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.6 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 35 mean · 30 median · 10–59 80%
- Receiving TD
- 23% 1+
Eric Saubert · SEA · TE
- Targets
- 2.0 mean · 1.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receptions
- 1.4 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 13 mean · 9 median · 0–28 80%
- Receiving TD
- 10% 1+
Cooper Kupp · SEA · WR
- Targets
- 5.2 mean · 5.0 median · 3.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.3 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 44 mean · 40 median · 13–80 80%
- Receiving TD
- 21% 1+
Rashid Shaheed · SEA · WR
- Targets
- 4.7 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–9.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.8 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 33 mean · 23 median · 0–69 80%
- Receiving TD
- 13% 1+
Jaxon Smith-Njigba · SEA · WR
- Targets
- 10.3 mean · 11.0 median · 5.0–14.0 80%
- Receptions
- 7.1 mean · 7.0 median · 3.0–11.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 104 mean · 102 median · 44–160 80%
- Receiving TD
- 45% 1+
14 individualized projections · 2 baseline projections. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Players ruled out or suppressed by current injury and availability evidence are not projected. Player ranges are not produced by, and do not sum to, the PA-1 team scores.
Model comparison
PardonMe Unified
Best historical score model
Unified unavailable — P5 baseline shown.
Full Football
Personnel-aware football model
Full Football unavailable.
P5 V4 baseline
Previous production baseline
NE 24.6 — SEA 23.5
NE · 57.5% win probability
- Margin
- NE 1.1
- Total
- 48.0
As of Sep 11, 2026 12:00 UTC
Current personnel
Expected lineup & depth
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
NEWeek 1 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
SEAWeek 1 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Overview
Projected points24.623.5
Win probability57.5%42.5%
Depth chartNot confirmed yetNot confirmed yet
Current status74 updates46 updates
Matchup context
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 115 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 33 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
NE recent scoring form vs SEA prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 36.0; opponent allowed 16.7.
SEA recent scoring form vs NE prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 26.0; opponent allowed 14.7.
Players
NE
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
Depth chart not confirmed yet.
SEA
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
Depth chart not confirmed yet.
Player projection ranges now appear in Player projections above.
Fantasy
Full-PPR
Full rankings →Game projections
PlayerTeamPosRankMedianFloorUpside
Drake MayeNE · #3 · floor 9.6 · upside 26.9NEQB#317.09.626.9Sam DarnoldSEA · #32 · floor 5.6 · upside 19.8SEAQB#3211.75.619.8TreVeyon HendersonNE · #23 · floor 3.1 · upside 20.0NERB#239.83.120.0Rhamondre StevensonNE · #29 · floor 3.6 · upside 19.0NERB#298.93.619.0Jadarian PriceSEA · #41 · floor 1.7 · upside 18.6SEARB#417.71.718.6George HolaniSEA · #58 · floor 0.7 · upside 14.0SEARB#584.20.714.0Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · #1 · floor 9.8 · upside 33.0SEAWR#120.79.833.0A.J. BrownNE · #11 · floor 4.6 · upside 25.3NEWR#1113.84.625.3Romeo DoubsNE · #48 · floor 2.3 · upside 17.5NEWR#488.32.317.5Cooper KuppSEA · #49 · floor 2.3 · upside 17.6SEAWR#497.02.317.6DeMario DouglasNE · #52 · floor 2.6 · upside 16.2NEWR#527.72.616.2Rashid ShaheedSEA · #80 · floor 0.0 · upside 16.8SEAWR#804.30.016.8Hunter HenryNE · #15 · floor 2.2 · upside 16.9NETE#158.72.216.9AJ BarnerSEA · #19 · floor 4.0 · upside 15.9SEATE#197.94.015.9Eli RaridonNE · #35 · floor 2.0 · upside 14.2NETE#354.12.014.2Eric SaubertSEA · #59 · floor 0.0 · upside 7.9SEATE#591.90.07.9PardonMe vs the Odds
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
MarketPardonMeBookDifference
Moneylinedraftkings · 60.0%42.5%draftkings · 60.0%PardonMe is 17.5 percentage points lower
Game totaldraftkings · 44.548.0draftkings · 44.5PardonMe is 3.5 higher
Spreadfanduel · 3.51.1fanduel · 3.5PardonMe is 4.6 higher
Player props
Player / marketPardonMeBookDifference
More
Advanced player detail →
Drake Maye NE · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- 100% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 31.3 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 20.4 · 80% 9.7–31.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Sack / pass-rush: SEA pass-rush advantage · Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: 82 attempts · 47 completions · Prior red-zone rushing: 17 attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: NE converted 36/59 trips · SEA allowed 26/52 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Rhamondre Stevenson NE · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 63% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 11.6 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 10.6 · 80% 2.8–18.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: Mixed evidence · Broader team passing environment: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: 26 attempts · 16 inside 10 · 11 inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: 5 targets · 5 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NE converted 36/59 trips · SEA allowed 26/52 · End-zone targets: Unknown
TreVeyon Henderson NE · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- 39% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 12.6 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 10.4 · 80% 2.5–18.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: Mixed evidence · Broader team passing environment: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NE converted 36/59 trips · SEA allowed 26/52 · End-zone targets: Unknown
A.J. Brown NE · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 100% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 7.8 targets
- Full-PPR
- 13.5 · 80% 5.9–21.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: SEA pass-rush advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 13 targets · 9 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NE converted 36/59 trips · SEA allowed 26/52 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Romeo Doubs NE · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 73% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 5.3 targets
- Full-PPR
- 10.4 · 80% 2.7–18.0
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: SEA pass-rush advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 17 targets · 10 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NE converted 36/59 trips · SEA allowed 26/52 · End-zone targets: Unknown
DeMario Douglas NE · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 41% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 3.7 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.7 · 80% 0.0–14.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: SEA pass-rush advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NE converted 36/59 trips · SEA allowed 26/52 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Hunter Henry NE · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 72% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 5.0 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.9 · 80% 2.7–15.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: SEA pass-rush advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 22 targets · 14 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NE converted 36/59 trips · SEA allowed 26/52 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Eli Raridon NE · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 3.4 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.3 · 80% 0.1–12.5
- Projection basis
- Baseline projection — 2025 production unavailable · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: SEA pass-rush advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NE converted 36/59 trips · SEA allowed 26/52 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Sam Darnold SEA · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- 100% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 29.0 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 16.8 · 80% 6.1–27.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Sack / pass-rush: SEA pass-protection advantage · Completion: SEA passing-offense advantage · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: SEA passing-offense advantage · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: 71 attempts · 39 completions · Prior red-zone rushing: 2 attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: SEA converted 32/57 trips · NE allowed 27/43 · End-zone targets: Unknown
George Holani SEA · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 33% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 8.1 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 6.2 · 80% 0.0–14.0
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: NE run-defense advantage · Broader team passing environment: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: 5 attempts · 1 inside 10 · 0 inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: 0 targets · 0 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: SEA converted 32/57 trips · NE allowed 27/43 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jadarian Price SEA · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 11.6 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 9.3 · 80% 1.4–17.2
- Projection basis
- Baseline projection — 2025 production unavailable · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: NE run-defense advantage · Broader team passing environment: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: SEA converted 32/57 trips · NE allowed 27/43 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Cooper Kupp SEA · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 78% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 5.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 9.2 · 80% 1.5–16.9
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: SEA passing-offense advantage · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: SEA passing-offense advantage · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: SEA pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 12 targets · 7 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: SEA converted 32/57 trips · NE allowed 27/43 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Rashid Shaheed SEA · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 57% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 4.6 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.8 · 80% 1.1–16.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: SEA passing-offense advantage · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: SEA passing-offense advantage · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: SEA pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: SEA converted 32/57 trips · NE allowed 27/43 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 69% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 10.0 targets
- Full-PPR
- 19.1 · 80% 11.4–26.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: SEA passing-offense advantage · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: SEA passing-offense advantage · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: SEA pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 17 targets · 10 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: SEA converted 32/57 trips · NE allowed 27/43 · End-zone targets: Unknown
AJ Barner SEA · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 90% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 5.0 targets
- Full-PPR
- 9.2 · 80% 3.0–15.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: SEA passing-offense advantage · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: SEA passing-offense advantage · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: SEA pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 13 targets · 10 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: SEA converted 32/57 trips · NE allowed 27/43 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Eric Saubert SEA · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- 44% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 2.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 3.9 · 80% 0.0–10.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: SEA passing-offense advantage · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: SEA passing-offense advantage · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: SEA pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 3 targets · 2 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: SEA converted 32/57 trips · NE allowed 27/43 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Team matchups
Prior-season team context for pass pressure, sacks, and run environment.
Directional team environment
supported_prior_season_team_aggregateNE offense vs SEA defense
Pass pressureUnknownRetained nflverse player statistics include QB hits but not total pressure events; QB hits are not relabeled as pressures.
Sack environmentSEA pass-rush advantageNE allowed 8.7% · SEA generated 7.3%
Run environmentMixed evidenceNE 4.44 YPC · SEA allowed 3.74
Sample2025 regular season2025 REG nflverse weekly player statistics; full retained team schedule
This context does not change the projection above. Individual assignments and total pressures are still unknown.
Directional team environment
supported_prior_season_team_aggregateSEA offense vs NE defense
Pass pressureUnknownRetained nflverse player statistics include QB hits but not total pressure events; QB hits are not relabeled as pressures.
Sack environmentSEA pass-protection advantageSEA allowed 5.3% · NE generated 6.0%
Run environmentNE run-defense advantageSEA 4.13 YPC · NE allowed 4.21
Sample2025 regular season2025 REG nflverse weekly player statistics; full retained team schedule
This context does not change the projection above. Individual assignments and total pressures are still unknown.
Passing environment
Prior-season team passing context for QB/WR/TE. This is not individual coverage grading.
Directional passing environment
supported_prior_season_team_passing_aggregateNE pass offense vs SEA pass defense
CompletionMixed evidenceNE 71.9% · SEA 62.5%
Yards / attemptMixed evidenceNE 8.88 YPA · SEA 6.03 YPA
Pass TDMixed evidenceNE 6.2% · SEA 3.3%
InterceptionMixed evidenceNE 1.6% · SEA 3.0%
20+ yard passMixed evidenceNE 13.7% · SEA 7.3%
EPA, CPOE, success rate, and player-level coverage details are still unknown.
Directional passing environment
supported_prior_season_team_passing_aggregateSEA pass offense vs NE pass defense
CompletionSEA passing-offense advantageSEA 67.6% · NE 66.4%
Yards / attemptMixed evidenceSEA 8.45 YPA · NE 6.66 YPA
Pass TDSEA passing-offense advantageSEA 5.2% · NE 4.7%
InterceptionMixed evidenceSEA 3.1% · NE 1.9%
20+ yard passMixed evidenceSEA 11.9% · NE 8.0%
EPA, CPOE, success rate, and player-level coverage details are still unknown.
Touchdown connections
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
NE offensive TD state2.4 expected8.7% zero · 44.2% 3+
SEA offensive TD state2.4 expected9.1% zero · 42.9% 3+
Weather & venue
VenueLumen Field · Seattle, WA
Roof typeOpen Air
Playing surfaceArtificial Turf
ForecastSupported5.6 hours before kickoff
Outdoor weather-sensitive environment; supported forecast available.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Madden talent context
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Unit matchup indexes
Quarterback rushing ranges
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
Attempts 5.5 mean · 3.0–10.0 80%Net yards 23 mean · 2–43 80%Rush TD 3% 1+
Attempts 2.7 mean · 0.0–6.0 80%Net yards 7 mean · -1–23 80%Rush TD 1% 1+
Depth and status detail
Current depthBoth teams available
AvailabilityNot yet required
Practice report timingNot yet required
WeatherNot yet available
Completeness notes
- 2025 Cross Season Bridge Confidence Penalty
- 2026 Same Season History Unavailable
- Not yet required
- Current Depth Not Historical Role Input
- Prior Season Role Context Not Authoritative M1 Input
- Weather Forecast Not Yet Available
Team role detail
SEA
79 current depth players
52 with prior usage context
15 prior high-snap players
NE
102 current depth players
63 with prior usage context
18 prior high-snap players
Sources & methodology
Projection snapshots
Feature 99c59eb77679d8fc5f52d03726cdee3f17e43fca54ce6ee638c2b0254bd7083a
Prediction cf28ed67f3989adceb20803b9da8b36e7f607f0179f245e04cf68907c96854fa
Week d7eb1582f253376df43ec1847c18bc025377efa1a89a8431f812f779bd7ff535
As of 2026-09-11 12:00:00
Serving contracts used
- Game projection:
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id) - Player context:
nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id) - Forward fantasy:
nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr') - Market comparisons:
nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id) - Unit and passing context:
nfl_unit_matchups_servingandnfl_passing_matchups_serving
Current support states
- Depth support: Both teams available
- Availability support: Not yet required
- Weather support: Not yet available
- Projection confidence (technical): Insufficient Evidence / Insufficient Evidence