P5 V4 baseline

NE at SEA

Thursday, September 10 · 12:20 AM

NE 24.6 SEA 23.5

Nearly even · NE 57.5%

Projected total 48.0 · Confidence: limited evidence

PardonMe projects Nearly even.
Why PardonMe leans NE →

Current expectation and observed workload are distinct: Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 115 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 33 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.

Model comparison

PardonMe Unified

Best historical score model

Unified unavailable — P5 baseline shown.

Full Football

Personnel-aware football model

Full Football unavailable.

P5 V4 baseline

Previous production baseline

NE 24.6 SEA 23.5

NE · 57.5% win probability

Margin
NE 1.1
Total
48.0

As of Sep 11, 2026 12:00 UTC

Current personnel

Expected lineup & depth

Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.

NEWeek 1 expected order

No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.

SEAWeek 1 expected order

No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.

PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.

Overview

Game comparisonNESEA
Projected points24.623.5
Win probability57.5%42.5%
Depth chartNot confirmed yetNot confirmed yet
Current status56 updates42 updates

Matchup context

Current expectation and observed workload are distinct

Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 115 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 33 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.

NE recent scoring form vs SEA prevention

2025 final-three scoring average 36.0; opponent allowed 16.7.

SEA recent scoring form vs NE prevention

2025 final-three scoring average 26.0; opponent allowed 14.7.