Matthew Stafford · LAR
- Attempts
- 33.8 mean · 34.0 median · 25.0–44.0 80%
- Completions
- 21.7 mean · 21.0 median · 15.0–29.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 255 mean · 259 median · 130–368 80%
- Passing TD
- 2.02 mean · 85% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.74 mean · 52% 1+
P5 V4 baseline
SF at LAR
Thursday, September 10 · 7:35 PM CDT
SF 23.3 — LAR 26.0
LAR slight edge · LAR 53.9%
Projected total 49.3 · Confidence: limited evidence
PardonMe projects
LAR slight edge.
Why PardonMe leans LAR →
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct: Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 103 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 28 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
Player stat models
Player projections
Existing QB, RB, WR and TE statistical models. Each line shows mean · median · 80% range.
Quarterback ranges
Brock Purdy · SF
- Attempts
- 34.5 mean · 35.0 median · 28.0–42.0 80%
- Completions
- 22.8 mean · 23.0 median · 17.0–29.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 253 mean · 246 median · 141–333 80%
- Passing TD
- 2.01 mean · 86% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.80 mean · 54% 1+
Running back ranges
Blake Corum · LAR
- Opportunities
- 11.6 mean · 13.0 median · 6.0–16.0 80%
- Carries
- 10.5 mean · 11.0 median · 5.0–15.0 80%
- Targets
- 1.1 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 50 mean · 46 median · 22–84 80%
- Receptions
- 0.9 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–2.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 6 mean · 6 median · 0–15 80%
- Total TD
- 32% 1+
Kyren Williams · LAR
- Opportunities
- 16.4 mean · 15.0 median · 11.0–25.0 80%
- Carries
- 13.9 mean · 13.0 median · 9.0–22.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.5 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 66 mean · 63 median · 38–102 80%
- Receptions
- 1.9 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 14 mean · 14 median · 0–30 80%
- Total TD
- 43% 1+
Jordan James · SF
- Opportunities
- 11.4 mean · 11.0 median · 3.0–21.0 80%
- Carries
- 9.2 mean · 8.0 median · 2.0–17.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.2 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 39 mean · 35 median · 10–75 80%
- Receptions
- 1.7 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 13 mean · 8 median · 0–30 80%
- Total TD
- 29% 1+
Christian McCaffrey · SF
- Opportunities
- 21.2 mean · 22.0 median · 11.0–31.0 80%
- Carries
- 15.9 mean · 16.0 median · 7.0–24.0 80%
- Targets
- 5.3 mean · 5.0 median · 2.0–9.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 66 mean · 64 median · 29–103 80%
- Receptions
- 4.3 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–8.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 34 mean · 32 median · 8–63 80%
- Total TD
- 52% 1+
Receiver and tight end ranges
Davis Allen · LAR · TE
- Targets
- 3.6 mean · 3.0 median · 2.0–6.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.6 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 24 mean · 19 median · 9–46 80%
- Receiving TD
- 16% 1+
Colby Parkinson · LAR · TE
- Targets
- 4.3 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.3 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 33 mean · 30 median · 10–61 80%
- Receiving TD
- 26% 1+
Davante Adams · LAR · WR
- Targets
- 6.3 mean · 7.0 median · 4.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.5 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 45 mean · 51 median · 13–76 80%
- Receiving TD
- 45% 1+
Puka Nacua · LAR · WR
- Targets
- 9.0 mean · 10.0 median · 3.0–12.0 80%
- Receptions
- 6.5 mean · 7.0 median · 2.0–10.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 90 mean · 97 median · 28–138 80%
- Receiving TD
- 43% 1+
Jordan Whittington · LAR · WR
- Targets
- 2.7 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–4.0 80%
- Receptions
- 1.9 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 22 mean · 24 median · 0–48 80%
- Receiving TD
- 10% 1+
George Kittle · SF · TE
- Targets
- 6.7 mean · 6.0 median · 3.0–10.0 80%
- Receptions
- 5.4 mean · 5.0 median · 2.0–9.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 59 mean · 55 median · 22–99 80%
- Receiving TD
- 33% 1+
Jake Tonges · SF · TE
- Targets
- 3.5 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.5 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 23 mean · 18 median · 0–54 80%
- Receiving TD
- 18% 1+
Mike Evans · SF · WR
- Targets
- 7.1 mean · 8.0 median · 1.0–11.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.2 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 54 mean · 51 median · 13–90 80%
- Receiving TD
- 34% 1+
Demarcus Robinson · SF · WR
- Targets
- 3.5 mean · 3.0 median · 2.0–5.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.3 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 28 mean · 24 median · 12–49 80%
- Receiving TD
- 16% 1+
De'Zhaun Stribling · SF · WR
- Targets
- 4.8 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–9.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.0 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 38 mean · 25 median · 13–76 80%
- Receiving TD
- 21% 1+
14 individualized projections · 2 baseline projections. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Players ruled out or suppressed by current injury and availability evidence are not projected. Player ranges are not produced by, and do not sum to, the PA-1 team scores.
Model comparison
PardonMe Unified
Best historical score model
Unified unavailable — P5 baseline shown.
Full Football
Personnel-aware football model
Full Football unavailable.
P5 V4 baseline
Previous production baseline
SF 23.3 — LAR 26.0
LAR · 53.9% win probability
- Margin
- LAR 2.7
- Total
- 49.3
As of Sep 11, 2026 12:00 UTC
Current personnel
Expected lineup & depth
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
SFWeek 1 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
LARWeek 1 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Overview
Projected points23.326.0
Win probability46.1%53.9%
Depth chartNot confirmed yetNot confirmed yet
Current status68 updates58 updates
Matchup context
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 103 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 28 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
LAR recent scoring form vs SF prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 32.7; opponent allowed 26.0.
SF recent scoring form vs LAR prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 31.0; opponent allowed 28.3.
Players
SF
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
Depth chart not confirmed yet.
LAR
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
Depth chart not confirmed yet.
Player projection ranges now appear in Player projections above.
Fantasy
Full-PPR
Full rankings →Game projections
PlayerTeamPosRankMedianFloorUpside
Brock PurdySF · #2 · floor 9.5 · upside 28.3SFQB#217.99.528.3Matthew StaffordLAR · #4 · floor 7.9 · upside 27.2LARQB#416.47.927.2Christian McCaffreySF · #1 · floor 7.2 · upside 31.4SFRB#118.47.231.4Kyren WilliamsLAR · #14 · floor 6.4 · upside 22.3LARRB#1412.16.422.3Jordan JamesSF · #40 · floor 1.7 · upside 18.6SFRB#407.71.718.6Blake CorumLAR · #45 · floor 2.8 · upside 16.4LARRB#457.52.816.4Puka NacuaLAR · #2 · floor 7.1 · upside 31.0LARWR#219.07.131.0Mike EvansSF · #20 · floor 2.3 · upside 22.0SFWR#2011.42.322.0Davante AdamsLAR · #28 · floor 4.5 · upside 20.4LARWR#2811.34.520.4De'Zhaun StriblingSF · #60 · floor 2.3 · upside 18.1SFWR#606.82.318.1Demarcus RobinsonSF · #89 · floor 2.2 · upside 12.0SFWR#894.42.212.0Jordan WhittingtonLAR · #91 · floor 0.0 · upside 10.4LARWR#914.40.010.4George KittleSF · #2 · floor 6.3 · upside 22.8SFTE#212.66.322.8Colby ParkinsonLAR · #22 · floor 2.0 · upside 16.1LARTE#228.12.016.1Davis AllenLAR · #39 · floor 1.9 · upside 11.8LARTE#395.81.911.8Jake TongesSF · #41 · floor 0.0 · upside 15.2SFTE#413.80.015.2PardonMe vs the Odds
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
MarketPardonMeBookDifference
Moneylinedraftkings · 63.7%53.9%draftkings · 63.7%PardonMe is 9.7 percentage points lower
Game totaldraftkings · 48.550.1draftkings · 48.5PardonMe is 1.6 higher
Spreadbetmgm · 4.0-2.7betmgm · 4.0PardonMe is 1.3 higher
Player props
Player / marketPardonMeBookDifference
More
Advanced player detail →
Matthew Stafford LAR · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- 100% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 34.2 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 19.5 · 80% 8.8–30.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Sack / pass-rush: LAR pass-protection advantage · Completion: LAR passing-offense advantage · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: LAR passing-offense advantage · Interception: LAR passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: 112 attempts · 69 completions · Prior red-zone rushing: 3 attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: LAR converted 48/75 trips · SF allowed 29/50 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Kyren Williams LAR · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 51% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 16.4 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 13.6 · 80% 5.7–21.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: LAR rushing-offense advantage · Broader team passing environment: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: 53 attempts · 30 inside 10 · 18 inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: 10 targets · 8 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: LAR converted 48/75 trips · SF allowed 29/50 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Blake Corum LAR · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- 38% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 11.1 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 8.9 · 80% 1.0–16.8
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: LAR rushing-offense advantage · Broader team passing environment: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: 27 attempts · 16 inside 10 · 13 inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: 1 targets · 0 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: LAR converted 48/75 trips · SF allowed 29/50 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Davante Adams LAR · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 61% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 6.6 targets
- Full-PPR
- 12.7 · 80% 5.0–20.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: LAR passing-offense advantage · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: LAR passing-offense advantage · Interception: LAR passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: LAR pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 32 targets · 13 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: LAR converted 48/75 trips · SF allowed 29/50 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Puka Nacua LAR · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 79% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 8.9 targets
- Full-PPR
- 16.9 · 80% 9.2–24.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: LAR passing-offense advantage · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: LAR passing-offense advantage · Interception: LAR passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: LAR pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 17 targets · 14 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: LAR converted 48/75 trips · SF allowed 29/50 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jordan Whittington LAR · WR
- Current role
- WR2
- Prior usage
- 5% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 2.8 targets
- Full-PPR
- 5.1 · 80% 0.0–12.8
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: LAR passing-offense advantage · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: LAR passing-offense advantage · Interception: LAR passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: LAR pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 1 targets · 1 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: LAR converted 48/75 trips · SF allowed 29/50 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Davis Allen LAR · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 62% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 3.6 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.6 · 80% 0.4–12.8
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: LAR passing-offense advantage · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: LAR passing-offense advantage · Interception: LAR passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: LAR pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 7 targets · 5 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: LAR converted 48/75 trips · SF allowed 29/50 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Colby Parkinson LAR · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 77% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 4.7 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.8 · 80% 2.6–15.0
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: LAR passing-offense advantage · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: LAR passing-offense advantage · Interception: LAR passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: LAR pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 22 targets · 15 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: LAR converted 48/75 trips · SF allowed 29/50 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Brock Purdy SF · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- 85% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 34.3 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 21.8 · 80% 11.1–32.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Sack / pass-rush: Mixed evidence · Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: LAR pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: SF passing-offense advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: SF converted 43/62 trips · LAR allowed 24/48 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Christian McCaffrey SF · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 52% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 21.4 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 17.7 · 80% 9.8–25.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: Mixed evidence · Broader team passing environment: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: SF converted 43/62 trips · LAR allowed 24/48 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jordan James SF · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- 23% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 11.2 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 9.3 · 80% 1.4–17.2
- Projection basis
- Baseline projection — 2025 production unavailable · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: Mixed evidence · Broader team passing environment: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: SF converted 43/62 trips · LAR allowed 24/48 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Mike Evans SF · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 75% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 6.9 targets
- Full-PPR
- 12.0 · 80% 4.3–19.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: LAR pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: SF passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: SF converted 43/62 trips · LAR allowed 24/48 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Demarcus Robinson SF · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 40% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 3.4 targets
- Full-PPR
- 5.9 · 80% 0.0–13.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: LAR pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: SF passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: SF converted 43/62 trips · LAR allowed 24/48 · End-zone targets: Unknown
De'Zhaun Stribling SF · WR
- Current role
- WR2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 5.0 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.8 · 80% 1.2–16.5
- Projection basis
- Baseline projection — 2025 production unavailable · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: LAR pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: SF passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: SF converted 43/62 trips · LAR allowed 24/48 · End-zone targets: Unknown
George Kittle SF · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 22% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Active Pup
- Projected workload
- 6.5 targets
- Full-PPR
- 11.6 · 80% 5.4–17.8
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: LAR pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: SF passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: SF converted 43/62 trips · LAR allowed 24/48 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jake Tonges SF · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- 48% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 3.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 5.9 · 80% 0.0–12.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: LAR pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: SF passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: SF converted 43/62 trips · LAR allowed 24/48 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Team matchups
Prior-season team context for pass pressure, sacks, and run environment.
Directional team environment
supported_prior_season_team_aggregateLAR offense vs SF defense
Pass pressureUnknownRetained nflverse player statistics include QB hits but not total pressure events; QB hits are not relabeled as pressures.
Sack environmentLAR pass-protection advantageLAR allowed 3.7% · SF generated 3.3%
Run environmentLAR rushing-offense advantageLAR 4.63 YPC · SF allowed 4.32
Sample2025 regular season2025 REG nflverse weekly player statistics; full retained team schedule
This context does not change the projection above. Individual assignments and total pressures are still unknown.
Directional team environment
supported_prior_season_team_aggregateSF offense vs LAR defense
Pass pressureUnknownRetained nflverse player statistics include QB hits but not total pressure events; QB hits are not relabeled as pressures.
Sack environmentMixed evidenceSF allowed 4.5% · LAR generated 7.4%
Run environmentMixed evidenceSF 3.78 YPC · LAR allowed 4.32
Sample2025 regular season2025 REG nflverse weekly player statistics; full retained team schedule
This context does not change the projection above. Individual assignments and total pressures are still unknown.
Passing environment
Prior-season team passing context for QB/WR/TE. This is not individual coverage grading.
Directional passing environment
supported_prior_season_team_passing_aggregateLAR pass offense vs SF pass defense
CompletionLAR passing-offense advantageLAR 64.9% · SF 68.2%
Yards / attemptMixed evidenceLAR 7.87 YPA · SF 7.04 YPA
Pass TDLAR passing-offense advantageLAR 7.7% · SF 5.0%
InterceptionLAR passing-offense advantageLAR 1.3% · SF 1.0%
20+ yard passMixed evidenceLAR 12.0% · SF 7.7%
EPA, CPOE, success rate, and player-level coverage details are still unknown.
Directional passing environment
supported_prior_season_team_passing_aggregateSF pass offense vs LAR pass defense
CompletionMixed evidenceSF 69.3% · LAR 64.0%
Yards / attemptMixed evidenceSF 7.52 YPA · LAR 6.77 YPA
Pass TDMixed evidenceSF 5.7% · LAR 4.4%
InterceptionLAR pass-defense advantageSF 2.8% · LAR 2.7%
20+ yard passSF passing-offense advantageSF 8.9% · LAR 9.0%
EPA, CPOE, success rate, and player-level coverage details are still unknown.
Touchdown connections
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
LAR offensive TD state3.0 expected4.9% zero · 58.1% 3+
SF offensive TD state2.5 expected8.5% zero · 44.9% 3+
Weather & venue
VenueSoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA
Roof typeFixed Roof
Playing surfaceArtificial Turf
ForecastNot ApplicableForecast lead time unknown
Indoor controlled environment; exterior weather is not gameplay weather.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Madden talent context
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Unit matchup indexes
Quarterback rushing ranges
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
Attempts 1.6 mean · 1.0–3.0 80%Net yards 2 mean · -2–9 80%Rush TD 2% 1+
Attempts 3.5 mean · 1.0–7.0 80%Net yards 16 mean · -7–44 80%Rush TD 5% 1+
Depth and status detail
Current depthBoth teams available
AvailabilityNot yet required
Practice report timingNot yet required
WeatherNot yet available
Completeness notes
- 2025 Cross Season Bridge Confidence Penalty
- 2026 Same Season History Unavailable
- Not yet required
- Current Depth Not Historical Role Input
- Prior Season Role Context Not Authoritative M1 Input
- Weather Forecast Not Yet Available
Team role detail
LAR
93 current depth players
64 with prior usage context
18 prior high-snap players
SF
56 current depth players
39 with prior usage context
10 prior high-snap players
Sources & methodology
Projection snapshots
Feature de0c94906a271ba1bf0aaf6ec346aa400a3b4954272e68f6bea0bdd21c5b20f1
Prediction 9fc2ad0c2be95b3aba4ef2e219b260db60ef85018b6227abb0ab02e90fba3067
Week d7eb1582f253376df43ec1847c18bc025377efa1a89a8431f812f779bd7ff535
As of 2026-09-11 12:00:00
Serving contracts used
- Game projection:
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id) - Player context:
nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id) - Forward fantasy:
nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr') - Market comparisons:
nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id) - Unit and passing context:
nfl_unit_matchups_servingandnfl_passing_matchups_serving
Current support states
- Depth support: Both teams available
- Availability support: Not yet required
- Weather support: Not yet available
- Projection confidence (technical): Insufficient Evidence / Insufficient Evidence