Jared Goff · DET
- Attempts
- 34.0 mean · 33.0 median · 24.0–43.0 80%
- Completions
- 21.8 mean · 21.0 median · 14.0–30.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 251 mean · 248 median · 157–330 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.55 mean · 77% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.72 mean · 50% 1+
PardonMe Unified
NO at DET
Sunday, September 13 · 12:00 PM CDT
NO 19.4 — DET 23.6
DET edge · DET 60.3%
Projected total 43.1 · Confidence: low
PardonMe projects
DET edge.
Player stat models
Player projections
Existing QB, RB, WR and TE statistical models. Each line shows mean · median · 80% range.
Quarterback ranges
Tyler Shough · NO
- Attempts
- 28.9 mean · 28.0 median · 16.0–40.0 80%
- Completions
- 19.2 mean · 19.0 median · 11.0–28.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 212 mean · 220 median · 115–284 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.13 mean · 66% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.60 mean · 45% 1+
Running back ranges
Jahmyr Gibbs · DET
- Opportunities
- 15.8 mean · 17.0 median · 8.0–21.0 80%
- Carries
- 11.5 mean · 12.0 median · 5.0–16.0 80%
- Targets
- 4.4 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–7.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 54 mean · 50 median · 21–92 80%
- Receptions
- 3.4 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 28 mean · 26 median · 7–52 80%
- Total TD
- 45% 1+
Sione Vaki · DET
- Opportunities
- 7.5 mean · 6.0 median · 0.0–16.0 80%
- Carries
- 6.0 mean · 5.0 median · 0.0–13.0 80%
- Targets
- 1.5 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 26 mean · 21 median · 0–59 80%
- Receptions
- 1.2 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 9 mean · 7 median · 0–23 80%
- Total TD
- 20% 1+
Travis Etienne Jr. · NO
- Opportunities
- 15.4 mean · 17.0 median · 9.0–20.0 80%
- Carries
- 12.7 mean · 13.0 median · 7.0–18.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.7 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 49 mean · 48 median · 23–75 80%
- Receptions
- 2.0 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 17 mean · 16 median · 0–34 80%
- Total TD
- 41% 1+
Alvin Kamara · NO
- Opportunities
- 12.7 mean · 12.0 median · 5.0–23.0 80%
- Carries
- 9.8 mean · 9.0 median · 3.0–18.0 80%
- Targets
- 3.0 mean · 3.0 median · 0.0–6.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 37 mean · 34 median · 13–67 80%
- Receptions
- 2.4 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 17 mean · 15 median · 0–36 80%
- Total TD
- 28% 1+
Receiver and tight end ranges
Sam LaPorta · DET · TE
- Targets
- 5.6 mean · 6.0 median · 3.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.4 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 50 mean · 45 median · 23–80 80%
- Receiving TD
- 26% 1+
Brock Wright · DET · TE
- Targets
- 3.5 mean · 3.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.4 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 21 mean · 18 median · 9–35 80%
- Receiving TD
- 18% 1+
Amon-Ra St. Brown · DET · WR
- Targets
- 9.0 mean · 9.0 median · 1.0–14.0 80%
- Receptions
- 5.7 mean · 6.0 median · 0.0–10.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 69 mean · 73 median · 0–122 80%
- Receiving TD
- 31% 1+
Isaac TeSlaa · DET · WR
- Targets
- 4.5 mean · 3.0 median · 3.0–9.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.7 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 36 mean · 27 median · 13–67 80%
- Receiving TD
- 30% 1+
Jameson Williams · DET · WR
- Targets
- 6.5 mean · 7.0 median · 2.0–10.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.3 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 68 mean · 64 median · 16–112 80%
- Receiving TD
- 32% 1+
Noah Fant · NO · TE
- Targets
- 3.1 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.5 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 22 mean · 18 median · 9–46 80%
- Receiving TD
- 14% 1+
Juwan Johnson · NO · TE
- Targets
- 4.3 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.4 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 41 mean · 37 median · 12–73 80%
- Receiving TD
- 19% 1+
Barion Brown · NO · WR
- Targets
- 4.8 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–9.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.0 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 38 mean · 25 median · 13–76 80%
- Receiving TD
- 20% 1+
Chris Olave · NO · WR
- Targets
- 7.7 mean · 8.0 median · 3.0–12.0 80%
- Receptions
- 5.0 mean · 5.0 median · 2.0–9.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 66 mean · 66 median · 26–118 80%
- Receiving TD
- 36% 1+
Devaughn Vele · NO · WR
- Targets
- 6.1 mean · 6.0 median · 4.0–10.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.1 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 49 mean · 48 median · 24–84 80%
- Receiving TD
- 31% 1+
15 individualized projections · 1 baseline projection. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Players ruled out or suppressed by current injury and availability evidence are not projected. Player ranges are not produced by, and do not sum to, the PA-1 team scores.
Model comparison
PardonMe Unified
Best historical score model
NO 19.4 — DET 23.6
DET · 60.3% win probability
- Margin
- DET 4.2
- Total
- 43.1
As of Sep 12, 2026 20:59 UTC
Full Football
Personnel-aware football model
NO 24.6 — DET 25.9
DET · 53.3% win probability
- Margin
- DET 1.3
- Total
- 50.5
Confidence: low · Support: 62%
As of Sep 13, 2026 16:40 UTC
P5 V4 baseline
Previous production baseline
NO 22.2 — DET 21.5
NO · 56.8% win probability
- Margin
- NO 0.7
- Total
- 43.6
As of Sep 11, 2026 12:00 UTC
Full Football personnel & matchup context
These are descriptive football comparisons, not causal explanations or guaranteed effects.
NO
Expected from current depth; final active status not yet confirmed.
P9I mapped coverage of reported units: 84%. Missing talent remains unknown.
Expected-unit talent unavailable: defensive front. Depth or mapped talent support is incomplete.
QB talent: -0.12 standardized talent
Pass protection: +0.25 standardized talent
Secondary: +0.37 standardized talent
Kicking: 10/12 field goals in 8 prior games
Punting: 50.3 gross yards per punt · 12 inside the 20
Kick returns: specialist history unavailable
Punt returns: specialist history unavailable
DET
Expected from current depth; final active status not yet confirmed.
P9I mapped coverage of reported units: 93%. Missing talent remains unknown.
Expected-unit talent unavailable: defensive front. Depth or mapped talent support is incomplete.
QB talent: +0.37 standardized talent
Pass protection: +0.51 standardized talent
Secondary: +0.10 standardized talent
Kicking: 15/18 field goals in 8 prior games
Punting: 45.8 gross yards per punt · 12 inside the 20
Kick returns: 27.9 yards per return · 26 returns
Punt returns: specialist history unavailable
- Pass efficiency
- -0.787
- Rush efficiency
- +0.034
- Sack environment
- +0.004
- Explosive passing
- +0.018
- Explosive rushing
- -0.002
- Turnover rate
- +0.004
Contrasts are home offense/opponent-allowed level minus away level. Lower sack/turnover rates and starting distance have different meanings from higher efficiency.
Weather context — descriptive, not a trained model input.
Current personnel
Expected lineup & depth
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
NOWeek 1 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
DETWeek 1 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Overview
Projected points19.423.6
Win probability39.7%60.3%
Depth chartNot confirmed yetNot confirmed yet
Current status57 updates24 updates
Matchup context
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 118 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 34 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
NO recent scoring form vs DET prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 26.7; opponent allowed 22.7.
DET recent scoring form vs NO prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 17.7; opponent allowed 17.0.
Players
NO
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
Depth chart not confirmed yet.
DET
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
Depth chart not confirmed yet.
Player projection ranges now appear in Player projections above.
Fantasy
Full-PPR
Full rankings →Game projections
PlayerTeamPosRankMedianFloorUpside
Jared GoffDET · #12 · floor 7.4 · upside 24.5DETQB#1214.87.424.5Tyler ShoughNO · #22 · floor 7.0 · upside 22.2NOQB#2213.77.022.2Jahmyr GibbsDET · #6 · floor 5.8 · upside 25.4DETRB#614.85.825.4Travis Etienne Jr.NO · #20 · floor 4.4 · upside 20.6NORB#2011.04.420.6Alvin KamaraNO · #32 · floor 2.5 · upside 19.0NORB#328.62.519.0Sione VakiDET · #57 · floor 0.0 · upside 14.7DETRB#574.30.014.7Amon-Ra St. BrownDET · #7 · floor 0.0 · upside 26.6DETWR#715.50.026.6Chris OlaveNO · #9 · floor 4.6 · upside 25.9NOWR#913.94.625.9Jameson WilliamsDET · #14 · floor 2.6 · upside 24.2DETWR#1413.02.624.2Devaughn VeleNO · #34 · floor 4.4 · upside 19.2NOWR#3410.44.419.2Isaac TeSlaaDET · #55 · floor 2.3 · upside 16.4DETWR#557.02.316.4Barion BrownNO · #64 · floor 2.3 · upside 18.1NOWR#646.82.318.1Sam LaPortaDET · #5 · floor 4.3 · upside 18.8DETTE#510.74.318.8Juwan JohnsonNO · #20 · floor 2.2 · upside 17.1NOTE#206.72.217.1Brock WrightDET · #44 · floor 1.9 · upside 11.6DETTE#443.81.911.6Noah FantNO · #48 · floor 1.9 · upside 11.7NOTE#483.81.911.7PardonMe vs the Odds
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
MarketPardonMeBookDifference
Game totalbetmgm · 49.543.1betmgm · 49.5PardonMe is 6.4 lower
Moneylinebovada · 74.5%60.3%bovada · 74.5%PardonMe is 14.1 percentage points lower
Spreaddraftkings · 7.0-4.2draftkings · 7.0PardonMe is 2.8 higher
Player props
Player / marketPardonMeBookDifference
More
Advanced player detail →
Jared Goff DET · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- 100% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 34.0 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 16.8 · 80% 6.1–27.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Sack / pass-rush: Mixed evidence · Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: DET passing-offense advantage · Interception: DET passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: DET passing-offense advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: DET converted 41/64 trips · NO allowed 25/47 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jahmyr Gibbs DET · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 71% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 16.0 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 14.1 · 80% 6.2–22.0
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: Mixed evidence · Broader team passing environment: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: DET converted 41/64 trips · NO allowed 25/47 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Sione Vaki DET · RB
- Current role
- RB3
- Prior usage
- 0% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 6.9 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 4.7 · 80% 0.0–12.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: Mixed evidence · Broader team passing environment: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: DET converted 41/64 trips · NO allowed 25/47 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 95% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 9.5 targets
- Full-PPR
- 17.4 · 80% 9.8–25.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: DET passing-offense advantage · Interception: DET passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: DET passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: DET converted 41/64 trips · NO allowed 25/47 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Isaac TeSlaa DET · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 60% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 4.3 targets
- Full-PPR
- 7.0 · 80% 0.0–14.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: DET passing-offense advantage · Interception: DET passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: DET passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: DET converted 41/64 trips · NO allowed 25/47 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jameson Williams DET · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 95% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 6.3 targets
- Full-PPR
- 10.6 · 80% 2.9–18.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: DET passing-offense advantage · Interception: DET passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: DET passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: DET converted 41/64 trips · NO allowed 25/47 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Sam LaPorta DET · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 76% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 5.5 targets
- Full-PPR
- 9.2 · 80% 3.0–15.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: DET passing-offense advantage · Interception: DET passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: DET passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: DET converted 41/64 trips · NO allowed 25/47 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Brock Wright DET · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- 88% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 3.8 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.2 · 80% 0.0–12.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: DET passing-offense advantage · Interception: DET passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: DET passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: DET converted 41/64 trips · NO allowed 25/47 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Tyler Shough NO · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- 100% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 28.7 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 15.8 · 80% 5.1–26.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Sack / pass-rush: DET pass-rush advantage · Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: DET pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: 27 attempts · 13 completions · Prior red-zone rushing: 10 attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: NO converted 20/46 trips · DET allowed 31/53 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Travis Etienne Jr. NO · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 54% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 15.6 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 12.9 · 80% 5.0–20.8
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: Mixed evidence · Broader team passing environment: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NO converted 20/46 trips · DET allowed 31/53 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Alvin Kamara NO · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 14% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 12.8 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 10.2 · 80% 2.3–18.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: Mixed evidence · Broader team passing environment: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: 15 attempts · 6 inside 10 · 2 inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: 5 targets · 4 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NO converted 20/46 trips · DET allowed 31/53 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Barion Brown NO · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 5.1 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.8 · 80% 1.1–16.4
- Projection basis
- Baseline projection — 2025 production unavailable · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: DET pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: DET pass-rush advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NO converted 20/46 trips · DET allowed 31/53 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Chris Olave NO · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 91% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Returned To Practice
- Projected workload
- 7.9 targets
- Full-PPR
- 14.6 · 80% 6.9–22.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: DET pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: DET pass-rush advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 15 targets · 7 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NO converted 20/46 trips · DET allowed 31/53 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Devaughn Vele NO · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 55% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 5.6 targets
- Full-PPR
- 9.6 · 80% 2.0–17.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: DET pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: DET pass-rush advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NO converted 20/46 trips · DET allowed 31/53 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Juwan Johnson NO · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 75% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 4.7 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.2 · 80% 2.0–14.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: DET pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: DET pass-rush advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 8 targets · 5 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NO converted 20/46 trips · DET allowed 31/53 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Noah Fant NO · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- 22% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 2.8 targets
- Full-PPR
- 4.9 · 80% 0.0–11.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: DET pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: DET pass-rush advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NO converted 20/46 trips · DET allowed 31/53 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Team matchups
Prior-season team context for pass pressure, sacks, and run environment.
Directional team environment
supported_prior_season_team_aggregateDET offense vs NO defense
Pass pressureUnknownRetained nflverse player statistics include QB hits but not total pressure events; QB hits are not relabeled as pressures.
Sack environmentMixed evidenceDET allowed 6.3% · NO generated 8.2%
Run environmentMixed evidenceDET 4.62 YPC · NO allowed 3.97
Sample2025 regular season2025 REG nflverse weekly player statistics; full retained team schedule
This context does not change the projection above. Individual assignments and total pressures are still unknown.
Directional team environment
supported_prior_season_team_aggregateNO offense vs DET defense
Pass pressureUnknownRetained nflverse player statistics include QB hits but not total pressure events; QB hits are not relabeled as pressures.
Sack environmentDET pass-rush advantageNO allowed 7.7% · DET generated 7.9%
Run environmentMixed evidenceNO 3.69 YPC · DET allowed 4.37
Sample2025 regular season2025 REG nflverse weekly player statistics; full retained team schedule
This context does not change the projection above. Individual assignments and total pressures are still unknown.
Passing environment
Prior-season team passing context for QB/WR/TE. This is not individual coverage grading.
Directional passing environment
supported_prior_season_team_passing_aggregateDET pass offense vs NO pass defense
CompletionMixed evidenceDET 67.7% · NO 63.5%
Yards / attemptMixed evidenceDET 7.85 YPA · NO 6.79 YPA
Pass TDDET passing-offense advantageDET 6.0% · NO 5.1%
InterceptionDET passing-offense advantageDET 1.4% · NO 2.0%
20+ yard passDET passing-offense advantageDET 11.3% · NO 9.0%
EPA, CPOE, success rate, and player-level coverage details are still unknown.
Directional passing environment
supported_prior_season_team_passing_aggregateNO pass offense vs DET pass defense
CompletionMixed evidenceNO 67.2% · DET 61.6%
Yards / attemptMixed evidenceNO 6.81 YPA · DET 7.26 YPA
Pass TDMixed evidenceNO 3.2% · DET 5.6%
InterceptionDET pass-defense advantageNO 2.0% · DET 2.3%
20+ yard passMixed evidenceNO 5.6% · DET 10.5%
EPA, CPOE, success rate, and player-level coverage details are still unknown.
Touchdown connections
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
DET offensive TD state2.7 expected6.6% zero · 51.1% 3+
NO offensive TD state2.2 expected10.6% zero · 38.9% 3+
Weather & venue
VenueFord Field · Detroit, MI
Roof typeFixed Roof
Playing surfaceArtificial Turf
ForecastNot ApplicableForecast lead time unknown
Indoor controlled environment; exterior weather is not gameplay weather.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Madden talent context
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Unit matchup indexes
Quarterback rushing ranges
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
Attempts 2.0 mean · 1.0–4.0 80%Net yards 6 mean · -3–48 80%Rush TD 2% 1+
Attempts 5.1 mean · 2.0–8.0 80%Net yards 22 mean · -3–55 80%Rush TD 4% 1+
Depth and status detail
Current depthBoth teams available
AvailabilityNot yet required
Practice report timingNot yet required
WeatherNot yet available
Completeness notes
- 2025 Cross Season Bridge Confidence Penalty
- 2026 Same Season History Unavailable
- Not yet required
- Current Depth Not Historical Role Input
- Prior Season Role Context Not Authoritative M1 Input
- Weather Forecast Not Yet Available
Team role detail
DET
81 current depth players
59 with prior usage context
18 prior high-snap players
NO
88 current depth players
59 with prior usage context
16 prior high-snap players
Sources & methodology
Projection snapshots
Feature 3a5aad6976ced10746882ed4ad26557e315116034ace152e03bfd5228ca39dcb
Prediction c126455fc1d62729eafb667a5558117ebd1906e1976cb910b6dc9200777561cb
Week d7eb1582f253376df43ec1847c18bc025377efa1a89a8431f812f779bd7ff535
As of 2026-09-12 20:59:29.556527
Serving contracts used
- Game projection:
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id) - Player context:
nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id) - Forward fantasy:
nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr') - Market comparisons:
nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id) - Unit and passing context:
nfl_unit_matchups_servingandnfl_passing_matchups_serving
Current support states
- Depth support: Both teams available
- Availability support: Not yet required
- Weather support: Not yet available
- Projection confidence (technical): LOW