PardonMe Unified
Best historical score model
CHI 22.5 — CAR 20.0
CHI · 56.3% win probability
- Margin
- CHI 2.5
- Total
- 42.6
As of Sep 12, 2026 20:59 UTC
PardonMe Unified
CHI at CAR
Sunday, September 13 · 5:00 PM
CHI 22.5 — CAR 20.0
CHI slight edge · CHI 56.3%
Projected total 42.6 · Confidence: low
PardonMe projects
CHI slight edge.
Model comparison
Full Football
Personnel-aware football model
CHI 19.8 — CAR 19.3
CHI · 51.2% win probability
- Margin
- CHI 0.5
- Total
- 39.2
Confidence: low · Support: 68%
As of Sep 13, 2026 16:41 UTC
P5 V4 baseline
Previous production baseline
CHI 22.1 — CAR 21.4
CHI · 56.0% win probability
- Margin
- CHI 0.7
- Total
- 43.5
As of Sep 11, 2026 12:00 UTC
Full Football personnel & matchup context
These are descriptive football comparisons, not causal explanations or guaranteed effects.
CHI
Expected from current depth; final active status not yet confirmed.
P9I mapped coverage of reported units: 94%. Missing talent remains unknown.
Expected-unit talent unavailable: defensive front. Depth or mapped talent support is incomplete.
QB talent: +0.54 standardized talent
Pass protection: +0.81 standardized talent
Secondary: +0.59 standardized talent
Kicking: 14/16 field goals in 8 prior games
Punting: 47.5 gross yards per punt · 12 inside the 20
Kick returns: 20.8 yards per return · 9 returns
Punt returns: 4.6 yards per return · 25 returns
CAR
Expected from current depth; final active status not yet confirmed.
P9I mapped coverage of reported units: 86%. Missing talent remains unknown.
QB talent: +0.46 standardized talent
Pass protection: +0.64 standardized talent
Pass rush: +0.88 standardized talent
Secondary: +0.42 standardized talent
Kicking: 10/13 field goals in 8 prior games
Punting: 46.7 gross yards per punt · 15 inside the 20
Kick returns: specialist history unavailable
Punt returns: 0.0 yards per return · 1 returns
- Pass efficiency
- -0.198
- Rush efficiency
- -0.134
- Sack environment
- +0.005
- Explosive passing
- +0.013
- Explosive rushing
- +0.001
- Turnover rate
- +0.010
Contrasts are home offense/opponent-allowed level minus away level. Lower sack/turnover rates and starting distance have different meanings from higher efficiency.
Weather context — descriptive, not a trained model input.
Current personnel
Expected lineup & depth
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
CHIWeek 1 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
CARWeek 1 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Overview
Projected points22.520.0
Win probability56.3%43.7%
Depth chartNot confirmed yetNot confirmed yet
Current status79 updates49 updates
Matchup context
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 126 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 36 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
CAR recent scoring form vs CHI prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 15.7; opponent allowed 25.7.
CHI recent scoring form vs CAR prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 25.3; opponent allowed 21.0.
Players
CHI
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
Depth chart not confirmed yet.
CAR
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
Depth chart not confirmed yet.
Projection ranges →
Quarterback ranges
Bryce Young · CAR
- Attempts
- 26.6 mean · 25.0 median · 17.0–40.0 80%
- Completions
- 17.3 mean · 17.0 median · 11.0–25.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 188 mean · 167 median · 103–301 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.26 mean · 69% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.58 mean · 44% 1+
Caleb Williams · CHI
- Attempts
- 32.1 mean · 33.0 median · 24.0–41.0 80%
- Completions
- 19.7 mean · 20.0 median · 14.0–26.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 219 mean · 217 median · 150–322 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.55 mean · 78% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.66 mean · 48% 1+
Running back ranges
Jonathon Brooks · CAR
- Opportunities
- 13.3 mean · 11.0 median · 6.0–23.0 80%
- Carries
- 10.4 mean · 9.0 median · 5.0–18.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.9 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 43 mean · 36 median · 18–76 80%
- Receptions
- 2.3 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 17 mean · 15 median · 0–37 80%
- Total TD
- 32% 1+
Chuba Hubbard · CAR
- Opportunities
- 11.9 mean · 9.0 median · 7.0–20.0 80%
- Carries
- 9.5 mean · 8.0 median · 5.0–16.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.4 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 38 mean · 32 median · 17–68 80%
- Receptions
- 1.9 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 14 mean · 12 median · 0–30 80%
- Total TD
- 29% 1+
Kyle Monangai · CHI
- Opportunities
- 11.3 mean · 10.0 median · 4.0–20.0 80%
- Carries
- 9.6 mean · 9.0 median · 3.0–18.0 80%
- Targets
- 1.7 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 42 mean · 37 median · 14–81 80%
- Receptions
- 1.2 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 10 mean · 8 median · 0–23 80%
- Total TD
- 28% 1+
D'Andre Swift · CHI
- Opportunities
- 15.8 mean · 17.0 median · 9.0–22.0 80%
- Carries
- 13.3 mean · 13.0 median · 7.0–19.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.6 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 65 mean · 63 median · 33–97 80%
- Receptions
- 1.9 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 16 mean · 15 median · 0–34 80%
- Total TD
- 41% 1+
Receiver and tight end ranges
Mitchell Evans · CAR · TE
- Targets
- 3.2 mean · 3.0 median · 2.0–5.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.4 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 22 mean · 19 median · 9–38 80%
- Receiving TD
- 16% 1+
Tommy Tremble · CAR · TE
- Targets
- 2.8 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receptions
- 1.9 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 19 mean · 10 median · 0–41 80%
- Receiving TD
- 13% 1+
Jalen Coker · CAR · WR
- Targets
- 5.3 mean · 5.0 median · 3.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.9 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 45 mean · 47 median · 23–70 80%
- Receiving TD
- 25% 1+
Xavier Legette · CAR · WR
- Targets
- 4.0 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.5 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 29 mean · 23 median · 0–69 80%
- Receiving TD
- 17% 1+
Tetairoa McMillan · CAR · WR
- Targets
- 6.3 mean · 6.0 median · 2.0–10.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.7 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 53 mean · 42 median · 14–99 80%
- Receiving TD
- 35% 1+
Cole Kmet · CHI · TE
- Targets
- 3.8 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–6.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.7 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 27 mean · 30 median · 10–40 80%
- Receiving TD
- 17% 1+
Colston Loveland · CHI · TE
- Targets
- 5.7 mean · 5.0 median · 4.0–10.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.1 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 50 mean · 48 median · 24–85 80%
- Receiving TD
- 28% 1+
Luther Burden III · CHI · WR
- Targets
- 6.5 mean · 6.0 median · 4.0–10.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.8 mean · 5.0 median · 2.0–8.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 62 mean · 65 median · 26–104 80%
- Receiving TD
- 23% 1+
Rome Odunze · CHI · WR
- Targets
- 7.1 mean · 7.0 median · 3.0–10.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.7 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 54 mean · 58 median · 15–87 80%
- Receiving TD
- 33% 1+
Jahdae Walker · CHI · WR
- Targets
- 3.9 mean · 3.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.5 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 33 mean · 27 median · 13–53 80%
- Receiving TD
- 22% 1+
15 individualized projections · 1 baseline projection. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Fantasy
Full-PPR
Full rankings →Game projections
PlayerTeamPosRankMedianFloorUpside
Caleb WilliamsCHI · #13 · floor 8.0 · upside 23.5CHIQB#1314.88.023.5Bryce YoungCAR · #26 · floor 5.4 · upside 22.6CARQB#2612.25.422.6D'Andre SwiftCHI · #15 · floor 5.6 · upside 22.0CHIRB#1512.45.622.0Jonathon BrooksCAR · #24 · floor 3.6 · upside 20.4CARRB#249.23.620.4Chuba HubbardCAR · #39 · floor 3.1 · upside 17.5CARRB#397.93.117.5Kyle MonangaiCHI · #50 · floor 2.0 · upside 17.6CHIRB#506.82.017.6Luther Burden IIICHI · #17 · floor 4.6 · upside 20.7CHIWR#1711.54.620.7Tetairoa McMillanCAR · #26 · floor 2.4 · upside 21.7CARWR#269.62.421.7Rome OdunzeCHI · #29 · floor 2.5 · upside 20.7CHIWR#2910.92.520.7Jalen CokerCAR · #42 · floor 4.3 · upside 17.3CARWR#428.74.317.3Jahdae WalkerCHI · #76 · floor 2.3 · upside 14.0CHIWR#766.02.314.0Xavier LegetteCAR · #87 · floor 2.2 · upside 15.1CARWR#874.32.215.1Colston LovelandCHI · #6 · floor 4.4 · upside 20.8CHITE#68.84.420.8Cole KmetCHI · #31 · floor 2.0 · upside 12.0CHITE#316.02.012.0Mitchell EvansCAR · #45 · floor 1.9 · upside 11.7CARTE#453.91.911.7Tommy TrembleCAR · #51 · floor 0.0 · upside 12.0CARTE#512.00.012.0PardonMe vs the Odds
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
MarketPardonMeBookDifference
Moneylinedraftkings · 40.7%43.7%draftkings · 40.7%PardonMe is 3.1 percentage points higher
Spreaddraftkings · -3.02.5draftkings · -3.0PardonMe is 0.5 lower
Game totaldraftkings · 46.542.6draftkings · 46.5PardonMe is 3.9 lower
Player props
Player / marketPardonMeBookDifference
More
Advanced player detail →
Bryce Young CAR · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- 100% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Preseason Play Status
- Projected workload
- 26.6 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 17.1 · 80% 6.4–27.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Sack / pass-rush: CAR pass-protection advantage · Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: CAR passing-offense advantage · Interception: CHI pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: 71 attempts · 40 completions · Prior red-zone rushing: 9 attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: CAR converted 24/45 trips · CHI allowed 32/57 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Chuba Hubbard CAR · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 61% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 11.4 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 9.3 · 80% 1.4–17.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: Mixed evidence · Broader team passing environment: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: 18 attempts · 7 inside 10 · 1 inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: 6 targets · 4 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: CAR converted 24/45 trips · CHI allowed 32/57 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jonathon Brooks CAR · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- 4% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 13.0 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 9.7 · 80% 1.8–17.6
- Projection basis
- Baseline projection — 2025 production unavailable · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: Mixed evidence · Broader team passing environment: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: CAR converted 24/45 trips · CHI allowed 32/57 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jalen Coker CAR · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 88% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 5.1 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.7 · 80% 1.0–16.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: CAR passing-offense advantage · Interception: CHI pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: CAR pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 3 targets · 2 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: CAR converted 24/45 trips · CHI allowed 32/57 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Xavier Legette CAR · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 40% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 4.3 targets
- Full-PPR
- 7.5 · 80% 0.0–15.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: CAR passing-offense advantage · Interception: CHI pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: CAR pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 12 targets · 5 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: CAR converted 24/45 trips · CHI allowed 32/57 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Tetairoa McMillan CAR · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 90% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 6.5 targets
- Full-PPR
- 11.8 · 80% 4.2–19.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: CAR passing-offense advantage · Interception: CHI pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: CAR pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 15 targets · 10 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: CAR converted 24/45 trips · CHI allowed 32/57 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Tommy Tremble CAR · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 81% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 3.1 targets
- Full-PPR
- 5.3 · 80% 0.0–11.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: CAR passing-offense advantage · Interception: CHI pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: CAR pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 5 targets · 4 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: CAR converted 24/45 trips · CHI allowed 32/57 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Mitchell Evans CAR · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- 46% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 3.1 targets
- Full-PPR
- 5.8 · 80% 0.0–12.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: CAR passing-offense advantage · Interception: CHI pass-defense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: CAR pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 4 targets · 2 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: CAR converted 24/45 trips · CHI allowed 32/57 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Caleb Williams CHI · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- 100% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 32.2 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 18.6 · 80% 8.0–29.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Sack / pass-rush: CHI pass-protection advantage · Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: CHI passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: CHI converted 32/54 trips · CAR allowed 32/58 · End-zone targets: Unknown
D'Andre Swift CHI · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 62% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 16.0 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 12.8 · 80% 4.9–20.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: CHI rushing-offense advantage · Broader team passing environment: CHI passing-offense advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: CHI converted 32/54 trips · CAR allowed 32/58 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Kyle Monangai CHI · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- 37% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 11.7 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 9.4 · 80% 1.5–17.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: CHI rushing-offense advantage · Broader team passing environment: CHI passing-offense advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: CHI converted 32/54 trips · CAR allowed 32/58 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Luther Burden III CHI · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 53% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 6.3 targets
- Full-PPR
- 11.1 · 80% 3.4–18.8
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: CHI passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: CHI pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: CHI converted 32/54 trips · CAR allowed 32/58 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Rome Odunze CHI · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 77% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 6.9 targets
- Full-PPR
- 12.1 · 80% 4.4–19.8
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: CHI passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: CHI pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: CHI converted 32/54 trips · CAR allowed 32/58 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jahdae Walker CHI · WR
- Current role
- WR2
- Prior usage
- 36% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 3.4 targets
- Full-PPR
- 5.5 · 80% 0.0–13.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: CHI passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: CHI pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: CHI converted 32/54 trips · CAR allowed 32/58 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Cole Kmet CHI · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 77% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 3.9 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.6 · 80% 0.4–12.8
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: CHI passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: CHI pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: CHI converted 32/54 trips · CAR allowed 32/58 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Colston Loveland CHI · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 65% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 5.8 targets
- Full-PPR
- 10.2 · 80% 4.0–16.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: CHI passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: CHI pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: CHI converted 32/54 trips · CAR allowed 32/58 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Team matchups
Prior-season team context for pass pressure, sacks, and run environment.
Directional team environment
supported_prior_season_team_aggregateCAR offense vs CHI defense
Pass pressureUnknownRetained nflverse player statistics include QB hits but not total pressure events; QB hits are not relabeled as pressures.
Sack environmentCAR pass-protection advantageCAR allowed 6.4% · CHI generated 6.2%
Run environmentMixed evidenceCAR 4.29 YPC · CHI allowed 5.00
Sample2025 regular season2025 REG nflverse weekly player statistics; full retained team schedule
This context does not change the projection above. Individual assignments and total pressures are still unknown.
Directional team environment
supported_prior_season_team_aggregateCHI offense vs CAR defense
Pass pressureUnknownRetained nflverse player statistics include QB hits but not total pressure events; QB hits are not relabeled as pressures.
Sack environmentCHI pass-protection advantageCHI allowed 4.0% · CAR generated 5.6%
Run environmentCHI rushing-offense advantageCHI 4.86 YPC · CAR allowed 4.38
Sample2025 regular season2025 REG nflverse weekly player statistics; full retained team schedule
This context does not change the projection above. Individual assignments and total pressures are still unknown.
Passing environment
Prior-season team passing context for QB/WR/TE. This is not individual coverage grading.
Directional passing environment
supported_prior_season_team_passing_aggregateCAR pass offense vs CHI pass defense
CompletionMixed evidenceCAR 63.9% · CHI 66.6%
Yards / attemptMixed evidenceCAR 6.42 YPA · CHI 7.63 YPA
Pass TDCAR passing-offense advantageCAR 4.7% · CHI 6.0%
InterceptionCHI pass-defense advantageCAR 2.3% · CHI 4.3%
20+ yard passMixed evidenceCAR 8.3% · CHI 11.4%
EPA, CPOE, success rate, and player-level coverage details are still unknown.
Directional passing environment
supported_prior_season_team_passing_aggregateCHI pass offense vs CAR pass defense
CompletionMixed evidenceCHI 58.2% · CAR 66.3%
Yards / attemptCHI passing-offense advantageCHI 6.95 YPA · CAR 7.21 YPA
Pass TDMixed evidenceCHI 4.9% · CAR 3.9%
InterceptionMixed evidenceCHI 1.2% · CAR 3.0%
20+ yard passMixed evidenceCHI 10.5% · CAR 8.3%
EPA, CPOE, success rate, and player-level coverage details are still unknown.
Touchdown connections
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
CAR offensive TD state2.4 expected9.3% zero · 42.3% 3+
CHI offensive TD state2.5 expected7.8% zero · 46.8% 3+
Weather & venue
VenueBank of America Stadium · Charlotte, NC
Roof typeOpen Air
Playing surfaceArtificial Turf
ForecastSupported6.4 hours before kickoff
Outdoor weather-sensitive environment; supported forecast available.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Madden talent context
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Unit matchup indexes
Quarterback rushing ranges
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
Attempts 4.2 mean · 1.0–9.0 80%Net yards 17 mean · -1–49 80%Rush TD 2% 1+
Attempts 3.6 mean · 1.0–5.0 80%Net yards 17 mean · 1–30 80%Rush TD 1% 1+
Depth and status detail
Current depthBoth teams available
AvailabilityNot yet required
Practice report timingNot yet required
WeatherNot yet available
Completeness notes
- 2025 Cross Season Bridge Confidence Penalty
- 2026 Same Season History Unavailable
- Not yet required
- Current Depth Not Historical Role Input
- Prior Season Role Context Not Authoritative M1 Input
- Weather Forecast Not Yet Available
Team role detail
CAR
91 current depth players
66 with prior usage context
18 prior high-snap players
CHI
86 current depth players
60 with prior usage context
18 prior high-snap players
Sources & methodology
Projection snapshots
Feature 06db6f692d0ebbea5fbc40b9acf41c0a18e4b06e24e7012fd0f9b675a24f3dc2
Prediction c126455fc1d62729eafb667a5558117ebd1906e1976cb910b6dc9200777561cb
Week d7eb1582f253376df43ec1847c18bc025377efa1a89a8431f812f779bd7ff535
As of 2026-09-12 20:59:29.556527
Serving contracts used
- Game projection:
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id) - Player context:
nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id) - Forward fantasy:
nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr') - Market comparisons:
nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id) - Unit and passing context:
nfl_unit_matchups_servingandnfl_passing_matchups_serving
Current support states
- Depth support: Both teams available
- Availability support: Not yet required
- Weather support: Not yet available
- Projection confidence (technical): LOW