PardonMe Unified
Best historical score model
GB 19.6 — MIN 20.4
MIN · 52.0% win probability
- Margin
- MIN 0.8
- Total
- 40.1
As of Sep 12, 2026 20:59 UTC
PardonMe Unified
GB at MIN
Sunday, September 13 · 8:25 PM
GB 19.6 — MIN 20.4
Nearly even · MIN 52.0%
Projected total 40.1 · Confidence: low
PardonMe projects
Nearly even.
Model comparison
Full Football
Personnel-aware football model
GB 17.9 — MIN 28.2
MIN · 73.8% win probability
- Margin
- MIN 10.4
- Total
- 46.1
Confidence: low · Support: 63%
As of Sep 13, 2026 20:05 UTC
P5 V4 baseline
Previous production baseline
GB 17.6 — MIN 23.4
MIN · 62.4% win probability
- Margin
- MIN 5.7
- Total
- 41.0
As of Sep 11, 2026 12:00 UTC
Full Football personnel & matchup context
These are descriptive football comparisons, not causal explanations or guaranteed effects.
GB
Missing offensive-line slots: C.
Expected from current depth; final active status not yet confirmed.
P9I mapped coverage of reported units: 92%. Missing talent remains unknown.
QB talent: +0.69 standardized talent
Pass protection: -0.51 standardized talent
Pass rush: +0.36 standardized talent
Secondary: +0.83 standardized talent
Kicking: specialist history unavailable
Punting: 51.4 gross yards per punt · 13 inside the 20
Kick returns: 29.2 yards per return · 18 returns
Punt returns: 10.9 yards per return · 13 returns
MIN
Expected from current depth; final active status not yet confirmed.
P9I mapped coverage of reported units: 82%. Missing talent remains unknown.
Expected-unit talent unavailable: defensive front. Depth or mapped talent support is incomplete.
QB talent: +0.76 standardized talent
Pass protection: +0.84 standardized talent
Secondary: +1.05 standardized talent
Kicking: 17/17 field goals in 8 prior games
Punting: specialist history unavailable
Kick returns: 25.5 yards per return · 29 returns
Punt returns: 5.5 yards per return · 22 returns
- Pass efficiency
- -0.073
- Rush efficiency
- +0.406
- Sack environment
- -0.004
- Drive scoring
- +0.252
- Red-zone TD rate
- +0.165
- Explosive passing
- -0.005
- Explosive rushing
- -0.012
- Starting distance to goal
- -1.582
- Turnover rate
- +0.004
Contrasts are home offense/opponent-allowed level minus away level. Lower sack/turnover rates and starting distance have different meanings from higher efficiency.
Weather context — descriptive, not a trained model input.
Current personnel
Expected lineup & depth
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
GBWeek 1 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
MINWeek 1 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Overview
Projected points19.620.4
Win probability48.0%52.0%
Depth chartNot confirmed yetNot confirmed yet
Current status29 updates60 updates
Matchup context
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 103 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 38 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
MIN recent scoring form vs GB prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 18.3; opponent allowed 26.3.
GB recent scoring form vs MIN prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 14.3; opponent allowed 8.7.
Players
GB
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
Depth chart not confirmed yet.
MIN
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
Depth chart not confirmed yet.
Projection ranges →
Quarterback ranges
Jordan Love · GB
- Attempts
- 32.9 mean · 33.0 median · 23.0–43.0 80%
- Completions
- 21.0 mean · 21.0 median · 13.0–29.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 233 mean · 244 median · 136–310 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.47 mean · 75% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.72 mean · 50% 1+
Kyler Murray · MIN
- Attempts
- 28.1 mean · 27.0 median · 20.0–39.0 80%
- Completions
- 18.6 mean · 18.0 median · 12.0–26.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 187 mean · 176 median · 129–288 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.24 mean · 69% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.61 mean · 46% 1+
Running back ranges
Chris Brooks · GB
- Opportunities
- 8.2 mean · 7.0 median · 3.0–16.0 80%
- Carries
- 6.9 mean · 6.0 median · 3.0–13.0 80%
- Targets
- 1.3 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 34 mean · 27 median · 12–66 80%
- Receptions
- 1.1 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 7 mean · 7 median · 0–18 80%
- Total TD
- 21% 1+
MarShawn Lloyd · GB
- Opportunities
- 12.8 mean · 11.0 median · 6.0–23.0 80%
- Carries
- 10.4 mean · 9.0 median · 5.0–19.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.4 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 42 mean · 35 median · 17–77 80%
- Receptions
- 1.9 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 14 mean · 11 median · 0–30 80%
- Total TD
- 32% 1+
Aaron Jones Sr. · MIN
- Opportunities
- 15.4 mean · 15.0 median · 8.0–23.0 80%
- Carries
- 11.9 mean · 11.0 median · 6.0–19.0 80%
- Targets
- 3.5 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 50 mean · 45 median · 24–82 80%
- Receptions
- 2.6 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 19 mean · 16 median · 6–37 80%
- Total TD
- 35% 1+
Jordan Mason · MIN
- Opportunities
- 11.6 mean · 11.0 median · 5.0–19.0 80%
- Carries
- 10.3 mean · 10.0 median · 5.0–17.0 80%
- Targets
- 1.3 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 46 mean · 41 median · 20–80 80%
- Receptions
- 1.1 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 7 mean · 7 median · 0–18 80%
- Total TD
- 30% 1+
Receiver and tight end ranges
Tucker Kraft · GB · TE
- Targets
- 5.8 mean · 5.0 median · 3.0–10.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.1 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 61 mean · 59 median · 29–103 80%
- Receiving TD
- 29% 1+
Josh Whyle · GB · TE
- Targets
- 2.3 mean · 1.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receptions
- 1.7 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 14 mean · 8 median · 0–34 80%
- Receiving TD
- 11% 1+
Matthew Golden · GB · WR
- Targets
- 4.5 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.0 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 38 mean · 38 median · 13–64 80%
- Receiving TD
- 15% 1+
Jayden Reed · GB · WR
- Targets
- 6.1 mean · 6.0 median · 4.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.3 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 51 mean · 48 median · 24–71 80%
- Receiving TD
- 28% 1+
Christian Watson · GB · WR
- Targets
- 5.8 mean · 5.0 median · 2.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.6 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 58 mean · 49 median · 16–98 80%
- Receiving TD
- 33% 1+
T.J. Hockenson · MIN · TE
- Targets
- 4.3 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.4 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 30 mean · 27 median · 9–54 80%
- Receiving TD
- 20% 1+
Josh Oliver · MIN · TE
- Targets
- 3.0 mean · 3.0 median · 2.0–4.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.3 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 23 mean · 21 median · 10–42 80%
- Receiving TD
- 18% 1+
Jordan Addison · MIN · WR
- Targets
- 4.3 mean · 3.0 median · 0.0–10.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.3 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 32 mean · 27 median · 0–81 80%
- Receiving TD
- 16% 1+
Justin Jefferson · MIN · WR
- Targets
- 7.8 mean · 8.0 median · 4.0–11.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.4 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 49 mean · 45 median · 22–78 80%
- Receiving TD
- 21% 1+
Jauan Jennings · MIN · WR
- Targets
- 5.7 mean · 6.0 median · 3.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.7 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 42 mean · 46 median · 23–69 80%
- Receiving TD
- 36% 1+
15 individualized projections · 1 baseline projection. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Fantasy
Full-PPR
Full rankings →Game projections
PlayerTeamPosRankMedianFloorUpside
Kyler MurrayMIN · #15 · floor 8.2 · upside 22.8MINQB#1514.28.222.8Jordan LoveGB · #17 · floor 6.9 · upside 23.8GBQB#1714.56.923.8Aaron Jones Sr.MIN · #19 · floor 4.8 · upside 21.1MINRB#1911.04.821.1MarShawn LloydGB · #33 · floor 3.0 · upside 19.3GBRB#338.33.019.3Jordan MasonMIN · #48 · floor 2.8 · upside 16.4MINRB#487.52.816.4Chris BrooksGB · #55 · floor 1.8 · upside 14.1GBRB#554.71.814.1Christian WatsonGB · #23 · floor 2.6 · upside 21.8GBWR#2310.52.621.8Jayden ReedGB · #30 · floor 4.4 · upside 19.1GBWR#3010.94.419.1Justin JeffersonMIN · #37 · floor 4.2 · upside 18.7MINWR#3710.64.218.7Jauan JenningsMIN · #38 · floor 4.3 · upside 18.9MINWR#3810.34.318.9Matthew GoldenGB · #70 · floor 2.3 · upside 13.6GBWR#706.82.313.6Jordan AddisonMIN · #83 · floor 0.0 · upside 16.5MINWR#834.70.016.5Tucker KraftGB · #4 · floor 4.9 · upside 22.2GBTE#49.94.922.2T.J. HockensonMIN · #25 · floor 1.9 · upside 15.2MINTE#257.61.915.2Josh OliverMIN · #43 · floor 2.0 · upside 10.2MINTE#434.12.010.2Josh WhyleGB · #56 · floor 0.0 · upside 9.7GBTE#561.80.09.7PardonMe vs the Odds
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
MarketPardonMeBookDifference
Moneylinedraftkings · 52.2%52.0%draftkings · 52.2%PardonMe is 0.2 percentage points lower
Spreaddraftkings · 1.5-0.8draftkings · 1.5PardonMe is 0.7 higher
Game totalbetmgm · 46.040.1betmgm · 46.0PardonMe is 5.9 lower
Player props
Player / marketPardonMeBookDifference
More
Advanced player detail →
Jordan Love GB · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- 100% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 33.3 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 16.0 · 80% 5.3–26.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Sack / pass-rush: Mixed evidence · Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: GB passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: 66 attempts · 39 completions · Prior red-zone rushing: 6 attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: GB converted 34/59 trips · MIN allowed 21/47 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Chris Brooks GB · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- 27% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 7.8 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 5.0 · 80% 0.0–12.9
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: MIN run-defense advantage · Broader team passing environment: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: 3 attempts · 1 inside 10 · 0 inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: 3 targets · 1 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: GB converted 34/59 trips · MIN allowed 21/47 · End-zone targets: Unknown
MarShawn Lloyd GB · RB
- Current role
- RB3
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 12.5 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 8.9 · 80% 1.0–16.8
- Projection basis
- Baseline projection — 2025 production unavailable · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: MIN run-defense advantage · Broader team passing environment: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: GB converted 34/59 trips · MIN allowed 21/47 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Matthew Golden GB · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 49% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 4.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.7 · 80% 0.0–14.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: GB passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 2 targets · 1 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: GB converted 34/59 trips · MIN allowed 21/47 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jayden Reed GB · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 68% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 5.9 targets
- Full-PPR
- 10.0 · 80% 2.3–17.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: GB passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 4 targets · 4 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: GB converted 34/59 trips · MIN allowed 21/47 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Christian Watson GB · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 80% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 6.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 10.2 · 80% 2.5–17.9
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: GB passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 6 targets · 3 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: GB converted 34/59 trips · MIN allowed 21/47 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Tucker Kraft GB · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 49% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Returned To Practice
- Projected workload
- 5.8 targets
- Full-PPR
- 9.2 · 80% 2.9–15.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: GB passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: GB converted 34/59 trips · MIN allowed 21/47 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Josh Whyle GB · TE
- Current role
- TE3
- Prior usage
- 34% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 2.5 targets
- Full-PPR
- 3.7 · 80% 0.0–10.0
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: Mixed evidence · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: GB passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: Mixed evidence · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: 1 targets · 1 receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: GB converted 34/59 trips · MIN allowed 21/47 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Kyler Murray MIN · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- 96% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 27.8 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 18.1 · 80% 7.4–28.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Sack / pass-rush: Mixed evidence · Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: GB pass-defense advantage · Pass TD: GB pass-defense advantage · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: GB pass-defense advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: MIN converted 30/52 trips · GB allowed 32/53 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Aaron Jones Sr. MIN · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 65% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 15.4 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 11.3 · 80% 3.5–19.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: Mixed evidence · Broader team passing environment: GB pass-defense advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: MIN converted 30/52 trips · GB allowed 32/53 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jordan Mason MIN · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 40% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 11.9 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 8.7 · 80% 0.8–16.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: Mixed evidence · Broader team passing environment: GB pass-defense advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: MIN converted 30/52 trips · GB allowed 32/53 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jordan Addison MIN · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 93% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 4.6 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.7 · 80% 1.0–16.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: GB pass-defense advantage · Pass TD: GB pass-defense advantage · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: GB pass-defense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: MIN converted 30/52 trips · GB allowed 32/53 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Justin Jefferson MIN · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 76% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 7.7 targets
- Full-PPR
- 14.2 · 80% 6.5–21.9
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: GB pass-defense advantage · Pass TD: GB pass-defense advantage · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: GB pass-defense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: MIN converted 30/52 trips · GB allowed 32/53 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jauan Jennings MIN · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 78% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 5.5 targets
- Full-PPR
- 9.3 · 80% 1.7–17.0
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: GB pass-defense advantage · Pass TD: GB pass-defense advantage · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: GB pass-defense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: MIN converted 30/52 trips · GB allowed 32/53 · End-zone targets: Unknown
T.J. Hockenson MIN · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 75% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 4.4 targets
- Full-PPR
- 7.8 · 80% 1.6–14.0
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: GB pass-defense advantage · Pass TD: GB pass-defense advantage · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: GB pass-defense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: MIN converted 30/52 trips · GB allowed 32/53 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Josh Oliver MIN · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- 46% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 3.5 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.1 · 80% 0.0–12.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: GB pass-defense advantage · Pass TD: GB pass-defense advantage · Interception: Mixed evidence · 20+ pass: GB pass-defense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: MIN converted 30/52 trips · GB allowed 32/53 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Team matchups
Prior-season team context for pass pressure, sacks, and run environment.
Directional team environment
supported_prior_season_team_aggregateGB offense vs MIN defense
Pass pressureUnknownRetained nflverse player statistics include QB hits but not total pressure events; QB hits are not relabeled as pressures.
Sack environmentMixed evidenceGB allowed 5.6% · MIN generated 9.9%
Run environmentMIN run-defense advantageGB 4.14 YPC · MIN allowed 3.99
Sample2025 regular season2025 REG nflverse weekly player statistics; full retained team schedule
This context does not change the projection above. Individual assignments and total pressures are still unknown.
Directional team environment
supported_prior_season_team_aggregateMIN offense vs GB defense
Pass pressureUnknownRetained nflverse player statistics include QB hits but not total pressure events; QB hits are not relabeled as pressures.
Sack environmentMixed evidenceMIN allowed 11.0% · GB generated 6.2%
Run environmentMixed evidenceMIN 4.49 YPC · GB allowed 4.20
Sample2025 regular season2025 REG nflverse weekly player statistics; full retained team schedule
This context does not change the projection above. Individual assignments and total pressures are still unknown.
Passing environment
Prior-season team passing context for QB/WR/TE. This is not individual coverage grading.
Directional passing environment
supported_prior_season_team_passing_aggregateGB pass offense vs MIN pass defense
CompletionMixed evidenceGB 67.1% · MIN 62.4%
Yards / attemptMixed evidenceGB 7.86 YPA · MIN 6.76 YPA
Pass TDMixed evidenceGB 5.3% · MIN 3.4%
InterceptionGB passing-offense advantageGB 1.4% · MIN 1.8%
20+ yard passMixed evidenceGB 11.9% · MIN 7.2%
EPA, CPOE, success rate, and player-level coverage details are still unknown.
Directional passing environment
supported_prior_season_team_passing_aggregateMIN pass offense vs GB pass defense
CompletionMixed evidenceMIN 61.6% · GB 65.6%
Yards / attemptGB pass-defense advantageMIN 6.63 YPA · GB 6.40 YPA
Pass TDGB pass-defense advantageMIN 3.7% · GB 4.4%
InterceptionMixed evidenceMIN 4.3% · GB 1.3%
20+ yard passGB pass-defense advantageMIN 8.1% · GB 7.5%
EPA, CPOE, success rate, and player-level coverage details are still unknown.
Touchdown connections
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
GB offensive TD state2.1 expected11.7% zero · 36.3% 3+
MIN offensive TD state2.2 expected11.4% zero · 36.9% 3+
Weather & venue
VenueU.S. Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MN
Roof typeFixed Roof
Playing surfaceArtificial Turf
ForecastNot ApplicableForecast lead time unknown
Indoor controlled environment; exterior weather is not gameplay weather.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Madden talent context
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Unit matchup indexes
Quarterback rushing ranges
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
Attempts 2.7 mean · 1.0–5.0 80%Net yards 11 mean · -1–29 80%Rush TD 1% 1+
Attempts 5.5 mean · 3.0–8.0 80%Net yards 36 mean · 22–63 80%Rush TD 3% 1+
Depth and status detail
Current depthBoth teams available
AvailabilityNot yet required
Practice report timingNot yet required
WeatherNot yet available
Completeness notes
- 2025 Cross Season Bridge Confidence Penalty
- 2026 Same Season History Unavailable
- Not yet required
- Current Depth Not Historical Role Input
- Prior Season Role Context Not Authoritative M1 Input
- Weather Forecast Not Yet Available
Team role detail
MIN
92 current depth players
52 with prior usage context
19 prior high-snap players
GB
71 current depth players
51 with prior usage context
19 prior high-snap players
Sources & methodology
Projection snapshots
Feature 5bd4f30ad889deed9d8621f49125feb620e43c23369e45ed7564896296b4d282
Prediction c126455fc1d62729eafb667a5558117ebd1906e1976cb910b6dc9200777561cb
Week d7eb1582f253376df43ec1847c18bc025377efa1a89a8431f812f779bd7ff535
As of 2026-09-12 20:59:29.556527
Serving contracts used
- Game projection:
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id) - Player context:
nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id) - Forward fantasy:
nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr') - Market comparisons:
nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id) - Unit and passing context:
nfl_unit_matchups_servingandnfl_passing_matchups_serving
Current support states
- Depth support: Both teams available
- Availability support: Not yet required
- Weather support: Not yet available
- Projection confidence (technical): LOW