Dak Prescott · DAL
- Attempts
- 33.6 mean · 35.0 median · 24.0–43.0 80%
- Completions
- 21.8 mean · 22.0 median · 15.0–29.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 257 mean · 260 median · 156–344 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.53 mean · 77% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.72 mean · 51% 1+
PardonMe Unified
DAL at NYG
Sunday, September 13 · 7:20 PM CDT
DAL 23.0 — NYG 22.8
Nearly even · DAL 50.3%
Projected total 45.8 · Confidence: low
PardonMe projects
Nearly even.
Player stat models
Player projections
Existing QB, RB, WR and TE statistical models. Each line shows mean · median · 80% range.
Quarterback ranges
Jaxson Dart · NYG
- Attempts
- 27.6 mean · 28.0 median · 18.0–36.0 80%
- Completions
- 18.0 mean · 18.0 median · 10.0–25.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 191 mean · 193 median · 109–269 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.12 mean · 65% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.57 mean · 43% 1+
Running back ranges
Javonte Williams · DAL
- Opportunities
- 15.5 mean · 16.0 median · 10.0–21.0 80%
- Carries
- 13.1 mean · 13.0 median · 7.0–18.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.4 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 59 mean · 58 median · 31–90 80%
- Receptions
- 1.7 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 11 mean · 10 median · 0–22 80%
- Total TD
- 40% 1+
Devin Singletary · NYG
- Opportunities
- 11.7 mean · 11.0 median · 7.0–17.0 80%
- Carries
- 9.9 mean · 9.0 median · 5.0–15.0 80%
- Targets
- 1.8 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 40 mean · 36 median · 20–63 80%
- Receptions
- 1.5 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 10 mean · 7 median · 0–22 80%
- Total TD
- 31% 1+
Cam Skattebo · NYG
- Opportunities
- 16.9 mean · 18.0 median · 5.0–27.0 80%
- Carries
- 13.2 mean · 14.0 median · 5.0–20.0 80%
- Targets
- 3.8 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–7.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 56 mean · 57 median · 19–89 80%
- Receptions
- 2.9 mean · 3.0 median · 0.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 23 mean · 21 median · 0–45 80%
- Total TD
- 44% 1+
Receiver and tight end ranges
Jake Ferguson · DAL · TE
- Targets
- 4.4 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.3 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 28 mean · 25 median · 8–51 80%
- Receiving TD
- 23% 1+
Brevyn Spann-Ford · DAL · TE
- Targets
- 2.0 mean · 1.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receptions
- 1.4 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 14 mean · 10 median · 0–31 80%
- Receiving TD
- 10% 1+
Ryan Flournoy · DAL · WR
- Targets
- 5.5 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–10.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.8 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–8.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 45 mean · 36 median · 12–97 80%
- Receiving TD
- 26% 1+
CeeDee Lamb · DAL · WR
- Targets
- 8.1 mean · 9.0 median · 2.0–11.0 80%
- Receptions
- 5.3 mean · 6.0 median · 1.0–8.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 74 mean · 84 median · 14–112 80%
- Receiving TD
- 27% 1+
George Pickens · DAL · WR
- Targets
- 7.8 mean · 9.0 median · 3.0–11.0 80%
- Receptions
- 5.4 mean · 5.0 median · 2.0–9.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 81 mean · 75 median · 30–135 80%
- Receiving TD
- 29% 1+
Theo Johnson · NYG · TE
- Targets
- 5.1 mean · 5.0 median · 2.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.2 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 38 mean · 36 median · 12–59 80%
- Receiving TD
- 26% 1+
Isaiah Likely · NYG · TE
- Targets
- 3.5 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.5 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 28 mean · 22 median · 11–56 80%
- Receiving TD
- 15% 1+
Darnell Mooney · NYG · WR
- Targets
- 4.7 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.4 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 33 mean · 28 median · 14–56 80%
- Receiving TD
- 16% 1+
Malik Nabers · NYG · WR
- Targets
- 8.3 mean · 9.0 median · 2.0–13.0 80%
- Receptions
- 5.0 mean · 5.0 median · 1.0–9.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 64 mean · 64 median · 13–115 80%
- Receiving TD
- 33% 1+
Darius Slayton · NYG · WR
No confirmed projection range yet from current role/status.
High15 individualized projections · 1 baseline projection. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Players ruled out or suppressed by current injury and availability evidence are not projected. Player ranges are not produced by, and do not sum to, the PA-1 team scores.
Model comparison
PardonMe Unified
Best historical score model
DAL 23.0 — NYG 22.8
DAL · 50.3% win probability
- Margin
- DAL 0.1
- Total
- 45.8
As of Sep 12, 2026 20:59 UTC
Full Football
Personnel-aware football model
DAL 21.3 — NYG 23.0
NYG · 54.3% win probability
- Margin
- NYG 1.7
- Total
- 44.2
Confidence: low · Support: 67%
As of Sep 14, 2026 00:00 UTC
P5 V4 baseline
Previous production baseline
DAL 19.5 — NYG 25.1
NYG · 63.3% win probability
- Margin
- NYG 5.6
- Total
- 44.6
As of Sep 11, 2026 12:00 UTC
Full Football personnel & matchup context
These are descriptive football comparisons, not causal explanations or guaranteed effects.
DAL
Expected from current depth; final active status not yet confirmed.
P9I mapped coverage of reported units: 98%. Missing talent remains unknown.
QB talent: +1.02 standardized talent
Pass protection: +0.07 standardized talent
Pass rush: +0.57 standardized talent
Secondary: +0.49 standardized talent
Kicking: 19/24 field goals in 8 prior games
Punting: 52.7 gross yards per punt · 3 inside the 20
Kick returns: 26.6 yards per return · 41 returns
Punt returns: 1.7 yards per return · 15 returns
NYG
Expected from current depth; final active status not yet confirmed.
P9I mapped coverage of reported units: 94%. Missing talent remains unknown.
Expected-unit talent unavailable: linebackers. Depth or mapped talent support is incomplete.
QB talent: +0.31 standardized talent
Pass protection: +0.70 standardized talent
Pass rush: +0.40 standardized talent
Secondary: +0.43 standardized talent
Kicking: specialist history unavailable
Punting: 48.9 gross yards per punt · 9 inside the 20
Kick returns: specialist history unavailable
Punt returns: 5.6 yards per return · 23 returns
- Pass efficiency
- -0.011
- Rush efficiency
- -0.410
- Sack environment
- +0.005
- Drive scoring
- +0.170
- Red-zone TD rate
- +0.009
- Explosive passing
- +0.008
- Explosive rushing
- +0.003
- Starting distance to goal
- -1.993
- Turnover rate
- -0.008
Contrasts are home offense/opponent-allowed level minus away level. Lower sack/turnover rates and starting distance have different meanings from higher efficiency.
Weather context — descriptive, not a trained model input.
Current personnel
Expected lineup & depth
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
DALWeek 1 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
NYGWeek 1 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Overview
Projected points23.022.8
Win probability50.3%49.7%
Depth chartNot confirmed yetNot confirmed yet
Current status28 updates59 updates
Matchup context
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 131 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 40 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
DAL recent scoring form vs NYG prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 21.3; opponent allowed 14.3.
NYG recent scoring form vs DAL prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 27.0; opponent allowed 30.3.
Players
DAL
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
Depth chart not confirmed yet.
NYG
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
Depth chart not confirmed yet.
Player projection ranges now appear in Player projections above.
Fantasy
Full-PPR
Full rankings →Game projections
PlayerTeamPosRankMedianFloorUpside
Dak PrescottDAL · #6 · floor 8.2 · upside 24.9DALQB#615.68.224.9Jaxson DartNYG · #14 · floor 7.4 · upside 23.6NYGQB#1414.77.423.6Cam SkatteboNYG · #11 · floor 4.1 · upside 24.9NYGRB#1113.94.124.9Javonte WilliamsDAL · #21 · floor 4.9 · upside 20.2DALRB#2111.14.920.2Devin SingletaryNYG · #44 · floor 3.3 · upside 16.2NYGRB#447.43.316.2George PickensDAL · #5 · floor 5.0 · upside 26.0DALWR#515.05.026.0CeeDee LambDAL · #10 · floor 2.4 · upside 24.0DALWR#1014.42.424.0Malik NabersNYG · #12 · floor 2.3 · upside 24.2NYGWR#1213.62.324.2Ryan FlournoyDAL · #41 · floor 2.2 · upside 21.5DALWR#418.22.221.5Darnell MooneyNYG · #81 · floor 2.4 · upside 13.2NYGWR#814.82.413.2Darius SlaytonNYG · Rank unavailable · floor — · upside —NYGWR————Theo JohnsonNYG · #18 · floor 2.2 · upside 15.3NYGTE#188.82.215.3Jake FergusonDAL · #26 · floor 1.8 · upside 15.2DALTE#267.41.815.2Isaiah LikelyNYG · #33 · floor 2.1 · upside 12.4NYGTE#336.42.112.4Brevyn Spann-FordDAL · #60 · floor 0.0 · upside 8.2DALTE#602.00.08.2PardonMe vs the Odds
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
MarketPardonMeBookDifference
Moneylinebetrivers · 41.4%49.7%betrivers · 41.4%PardonMe is 8.3 percentage points higher
Spreaddraftkings · -3.00.1draftkings · -3.0PardonMe is 2.9 lower
Game totaldraftkings · 48.545.8draftkings · 48.5PardonMe is 2.7 lower
Player props
Player / marketPardonMeBookDifference
More
Advanced player detail →
Dak Prescott DAL · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- 51% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 33.5 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 17.3 · 80% 6.6–28.0
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Sack / pass-rush: DAL pass-protection advantage · Completion: DAL passing-offense advantage · YPA: DAL passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: DAL passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: DAL passing-offense advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: DAL converted 37/64 trips · NYG allowed 36/57 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Javonte Williams DAL · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 27% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 15.4 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 11.7 · 80% 3.9–19.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: DAL rushing-offense advantage · Broader team passing environment: DAL passing-offense advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: DAL converted 37/64 trips · NYG allowed 36/57 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Emari Demercado DAL · RB
- Current role
- RB3
- Prior usage
- 22% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 8.7 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 6.7 · 80% 0.0–14.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: DAL rushing-offense advantage · Broader team passing environment: DAL passing-offense advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: DAL converted 37/64 trips · NYG allowed 36/57 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Ryan Flournoy DAL · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 87% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 5.3 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.8 · 80% 1.1–16.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: DAL passing-offense advantage · YPA: DAL passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: DAL passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: DAL passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: DAL pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: DAL converted 37/64 trips · NYG allowed 36/57 · End-zone targets: Unknown
CeeDee Lamb DAL · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 45% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 8.0 targets
- Full-PPR
- 13.8 · 80% 6.1–21.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: DAL passing-offense advantage · YPA: DAL passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: DAL passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: DAL passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: DAL pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: DAL converted 37/64 trips · NYG allowed 36/57 · End-zone targets: Unknown
George Pickens DAL · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 45% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 7.4 targets
- Full-PPR
- 13.4 · 80% 5.8–21.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: DAL passing-offense advantage · YPA: DAL passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: DAL passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: DAL passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: DAL pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: DAL converted 37/64 trips · NYG allowed 36/57 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jake Ferguson DAL · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 60% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 4.3 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.9 · 80% 0.7–13.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: DAL passing-offense advantage · YPA: DAL passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: DAL passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: DAL passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: DAL pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: DAL converted 37/64 trips · NYG allowed 36/57 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- 31% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 2.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 3.4 · 80% 0.0–9.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: DAL passing-offense advantage · YPA: DAL passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: DAL passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: DAL passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: DAL pass-protection advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: DAL converted 37/64 trips · NYG allowed 36/57 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jaxson Dart NYG · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- 100% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 27.7 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 19.9 · 80% 9.3–30.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Sack / pass-rush: Mixed evidence · Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: NYG passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: NYG passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: NYG passing-offense advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: NYG converted 29/59 trips · DAL allowed 44/66 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Cam Skattebo NYG · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 21% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 17.3 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 14.7 · 80% 6.8–22.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: Mixed evidence · Broader team passing environment: NYG passing-offense advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NYG converted 29/59 trips · DAL allowed 44/66 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Devin Singletary NYG · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- 32% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 11.3 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 9.6 · 80% 1.7–17.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Run environment: Mixed evidence · Broader team passing environment: NYG passing-offense advantage
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NYG converted 29/59 trips · DAL allowed 44/66 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Darnell Mooney NYG · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 83% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 4.3 targets
- Full-PPR
- 7.9 · 80% 0.2–15.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: NYG passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: NYG passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: NYG passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NYG converted 29/59 trips · DAL allowed 44/66 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Malik Nabers NYG · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 33% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 8.1 targets
- Full-PPR
- 14.9 · 80% 7.2–22.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: NYG passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: NYG passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: NYG passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NYG converted 29/59 trips · DAL allowed 44/66 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Malachi Fields NYG · WR
- Current role
- WR2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 5.1 targets
- Full-PPR
- 9.3 · 80% 1.6–17.0
- Projection basis
- Baseline projection — 2025 production unavailable · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: NYG passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: NYG passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: NYG passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NYG converted 29/59 trips · DAL allowed 44/66 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Isaiah Likely NYG · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 49% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 3.5 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.6 · 80% 0.4–12.9
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: NYG passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: NYG passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: NYG passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NYG converted 29/59 trips · DAL allowed 44/66 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Theo Johnson NYG · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- 96% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 5.3 targets
- Full-PPR
- 9.3 · 80% 3.1–15.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Completion: Mixed evidence · YPA: NYG passing-offense advantage · Pass TD: Mixed evidence · Interception: NYG passing-offense advantage · 20+ pass: NYG passing-offense advantage · Broader sack context: Mixed evidence
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: NYG converted 29/59 trips · DAL allowed 44/66 · End-zone targets: Unknown
Team matchups
Prior-season team context for pass pressure, sacks, and run environment.
Directional team environment
supported_prior_season_team_aggregateDAL offense vs NYG defense
Pass pressureUnknownRetained nflverse player statistics include QB hits but not total pressure events; QB hits are not relabeled as pressures.
Sack environmentDAL pass-protection advantageDAL allowed 4.7% · NYG generated 6.5%
Run environmentDAL rushing-offense advantageDAL 4.59 YPC · NYG allowed 5.31
Sample2025 regular season2025 REG nflverse weekly player statistics; full retained team schedule
This context does not change the projection above. Individual assignments and total pressures are still unknown.
Directional team environment
supported_prior_season_team_aggregateNYG offense vs DAL defense
Pass pressureUnknownRetained nflverse player statistics include QB hits but not total pressure events; QB hits are not relabeled as pressures.
Sack environmentMixed evidenceNYG allowed 8.4% · DAL generated 5.8%
Run environmentMixed evidenceNYG 4.30 YPC · DAL allowed 4.72
Sample2025 regular season2025 REG nflverse weekly player statistics; full retained team schedule
This context does not change the projection above. Individual assignments and total pressures are still unknown.
Passing environment
Prior-season team passing context for QB/WR/TE. This is not individual coverage grading.
Directional passing environment
supported_prior_season_team_passing_aggregateDAL pass offense vs NYG pass defense
CompletionDAL passing-offense advantageDAL 67.1% · NYG 65.1%
Yards / attemptDAL passing-offense advantageDAL 7.59 YPA · NYG 7.11 YPA
Pass TDMixed evidenceDAL 5.0% · NYG 4.5%
InterceptionDAL passing-offense advantageDAL 1.9% · NYG 1.6%
20+ yard passDAL passing-offense advantageDAL 9.0% · NYG 8.9%
EPA, CPOE, success rate, and player-level coverage details are still unknown.
Directional passing environment
supported_prior_season_team_passing_aggregateNYG pass offense vs DAL pass defense
CompletionMixed evidenceNYG 61.4% · DAL 68.5%
Yards / attemptNYG passing-offense advantageNYG 7.04 YPA · DAL 8.13 YPA
Pass TDMixed evidenceNYG 4.0% · DAL 6.3%
InterceptionNYG passing-offense advantageNYG 1.9% · DAL 1.1%
20+ yard passNYG passing-offense advantageNYG 9.9% · DAL 10.4%
EPA, CPOE, success rate, and player-level coverage details are still unknown.
Touchdown connections
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
DAL offensive TD state2.7 expected6.6% zero · 51.1% 3+
NYG offensive TD state2.9 expected5.3% zero · 56.4% 3+
Weather & venue
VenueMetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
Roof typeOpen Air
Playing surfaceArtificial Turf
ForecastSupported0.2 hours before kickoff
Outdoor weather-sensitive environment; supported forecast available.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Madden talent context
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Unit matchup indexes
Quarterback rushing ranges
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
Attempts 3.3 mean · 1.0–5.0 80%Net yards 11 mean · -4–34 80%Rush TD 3% 1+
Attempts 6.1 mean · 2.0–9.0 80%Net yards 39 mean · 7–66 80%Rush TD 7% 1+
Depth and status detail
Current depthBoth teams available
AvailabilityNot yet required
Practice report timingNot yet required
WeatherNot yet available
Completeness notes
- 2025 Cross Season Bridge Confidence Penalty
- 2026 Same Season History Unavailable
- Not yet required
- Current Depth Not Historical Role Input
- Prior Season Role Context Not Authoritative M1 Input
- Weather Forecast Not Yet Available
Team role detail
NYG
80 current depth players
63 with prior usage context
20 prior high-snap players
DAL
92 current depth players
68 with prior usage context
20 prior high-snap players
Sources & methodology
Projection snapshots
Feature ad913ee7612b3fab68a6540a1c37a8ab04cbff61766ffc6c2fd4eac81bc5db23
Prediction c126455fc1d62729eafb667a5558117ebd1906e1976cb910b6dc9200777561cb
Week d7eb1582f253376df43ec1847c18bc025377efa1a89a8431f812f779bd7ff535
As of 2026-09-12 20:59:29.556527
Serving contracts used
- Game projection:
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id) - Player context:
nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id) - Forward fantasy:
nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr') - Market comparisons:
nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id) - Unit and passing context:
nfl_unit_matchups_servingandnfl_passing_matchups_serving
Current support states
- Depth support: Both teams available
- Availability support: Not yet required
- Weather support: Not yet available
- Projection confidence (technical): LOW