PardonMe Unified
Best historical score model
Unified unavailable — P5 baseline shown.
P5 V4 baseline
NYG at LAR
Tuesday, September 22 · 12:15 AM
NYG 23.4 — LAR 22.7
Nearly even · NYG 57.0%
Projected total 46.1 · Confidence: limited evidence
PardonMe projects
Nearly even.
Why PardonMe leans NYG →
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct: Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 128 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 38 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
Model comparison
Full Football
Personnel-aware football model
Full Football unavailable.
P5 V4 baseline
Previous production baseline
NYG 23.4 — LAR 22.7
NYG · 57.0% win probability
- Margin
- NYG 0.7
- Total
- 46.1
As of Sep 17, 2026 23:48 UTC
Current personnel
Expected lineup & depth
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
NYGWeek 2 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
LARWeek 2 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Overview
Projected points23.422.7
Win probability57.0%43.0%
Depth chartNot confirmed yetNot confirmed yet
Current status30 updates36 updates
Matchup context
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 128 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 38 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
NYG recent scoring form vs LAR prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 32.0; opponent allowed 24.7.
LAR recent scoring form vs NYG prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 22.7; opponent allowed 15.7.
Players
NYG
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
Depth chart not confirmed yet.
LAR
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
Depth chart not confirmed yet.
Projection ranges →
Quarterback ranges
Matthew Stafford · LAR
- Attempts
- 33.0 mean · 33.0 median · 24.0–43.0 80%
- Completions
- 21.7 mean · 21.0 median · 15.0–29.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 251 mean · 256 median · 128–361 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.96 mean · 85% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.72 mean · 51% 1+
Jaxson Dart · NYG
- Attempts
- 31.6 mean · 32.0 median · 22.0–40.0 80%
- Completions
- 20.5 mean · 21.0 median · 13.0–27.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 217 mean · 220 median · 129–301 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.31 mean · 71% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.66 mean · 48% 1+
Running back ranges
Blake Corum · LAR
- Opportunities
- 11.0 mean · 11.0 median · 5.0–16.0 80%
- Carries
- 10.2 mean · 10.0 median · 5.0–15.0 80%
- Targets
- 0.9 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–2.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 50 mean · 46 median · 22–85 80%
- Receptions
- 0.7 mean · 0.0 median · 0.0–2.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 5 mean · 0 median · 0–15 80%
- Total TD
- 31% 1+
Kyren Williams · LAR
- Opportunities
- 13.1 mean · 12.0 median · 8.0–22.0 80%
- Carries
- 10.8 mean · 10.0 median · 6.0–19.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.2 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 51 mean · 46 median · 25–87 80%
- Receptions
- 1.4 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 11 mean · 8 median · 0–23 80%
- Total TD
- 34% 1+
Devin Singletary · NYG
- Opportunities
- 9.2 mean · 9.0 median · 4.0–15.0 80%
- Carries
- 7.7 mean · 7.0 median · 3.0–13.0 80%
- Targets
- 1.5 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 36 mean · 33 median · 17–59 80%
- Receptions
- 1.2 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 9 mean · 7 median · 0–22 80%
- Total TD
- 30% 1+
Cam Skattebo · NYG
- Opportunities
- 9.2 mean · 10.0 median · 0.0–18.0 80%
- Carries
- 7.1 mean · 7.0 median · 0.0–14.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.1 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 36 mean · 38 median · 0–67 80%
- Receptions
- 1.7 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 15 mean · 14 median · 0–34 80%
- Total TD
- 31% 1+
Receiver and tight end ranges
Davis Allen · LAR · TE
- Targets
- 3.8 mean · 3.0 median · 2.0–6.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.5 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 22 mean · 18 median · 7–44 80%
- Receiving TD
- 17% 1+
Colby Parkinson · LAR · TE
- Targets
- 3.7 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.6 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 27 mean · 22 median · 2–53 80%
- Receiving TD
- 20% 1+
Davante Adams · LAR · WR
- Targets
- 4.9 mean · 5.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.1 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 39 mean · 39 median · 14–65 80%
- Receiving TD
- 40% 1+
CJ Daniels · LAR · WR
- Targets
- 4.8 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–9.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.0 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 38 mean · 25 median · 13–76 80%
- Receiving TD
- 20% 1+
Puka Nacua · LAR · WR
- Targets
- 5.1 mean · 6.0 median · 0.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.0 mean · 4.0 median · 0.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 54 mean · 58 median · 0–100 80%
- Receiving TD
- 28% 1+
Theo Johnson · NYG · TE
- Targets
- 3.7 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.0 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 24 mean · 25 median · 0–49 80%
- Receiving TD
- 16% 1+
Isaiah Likely · NYG · TE
- Targets
- 3.2 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.5 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 29 mean · 23 median · 11–56 80%
- Receiving TD
- 15% 1+
Malachi Fields · NYG · WR
- Targets
- 5.5 mean · 5.0 median · 2.0–9.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.4 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 42 mean · 38 median · 13–75 80%
- Receiving TD
- 23% 1+
Darnell Mooney · NYG · WR
- Targets
- 5.0 mean · 5.0 median · 2.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.3 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 34 mean · 29 median · 15–58 80%
- Receiving TD
- 18% 1+
Malik Nabers · NYG · WR
- Targets
- 4.8 mean · 5.0 median · 0.0–9.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.4 mean · 3.0 median · 0.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 44 mean · 41 median · 0–79 80%
- Receiving TD
- 25% 1+
15 individualized projections · 1 baseline projection. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Fantasy
Full-PPR
Full rankings →Game projections
PlayerTeamPosRankMedianFloorUpside
Matthew StaffordLAR · #9 · floor 7.7 · upside 26.7LARQB#916.07.726.7Jaxson DartNYG · #10 · floor 8.7 · upside 25.3NYGQB#1016.28.725.3Kyren WilliamsLAR · #18 · floor 4.1 · upside 18.7LARRB#188.54.118.7Cam SkatteboNYG · #38 · floor 0.0 · upside 18.8NYGRB#388.60.018.8Blake CorumLAR · #48 · floor 2.7 · upside 16.1LARRB#487.22.716.1Devin SingletaryNYG · #55 · floor 2.6 · upside 15.0NYGRB#556.62.615.0Puka NacuaLAR · #5 · floor 0.0 · upside 21.8LARWR#511.10.021.8Davante AdamsLAR · #24 · floor 2.4 · upside 18.2LARWR#249.32.418.2Malik NabersNYG · #39 · floor 0.0 · upside 18.9NYGWR#399.40.018.9Malachi FieldsNYG · #50 · floor 2.3 · upside 17.3NYGWR#508.32.317.3CJ DanielsLAR · #68 · floor 2.3 · upside 18.1LARWR#686.82.318.1Darnell MooneyNYG · #91 · floor 2.5 · upside 13.3NYGWR#914.92.513.3Colby ParkinsonLAR · #19 · floor 2.2 · upside 14.3LARTE#196.22.214.3Isaiah LikelyNYG · #25 · floor 2.1 · upside 12.5NYGTE#255.32.112.5Davis AllenLAR · #36 · floor 1.8 · upside 11.6LARTE#364.61.811.6Theo JohnsonNYG · #47 · floor 0.0 · upside 11.1NYGTE#474.50.011.1PardonMe vs the Odds
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
Current game market comparisons are not available yet.
More
Advanced player detail →
Matthew Stafford LAR · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- 100% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 33.0 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 16.7 · 80% 6.0–27.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Kyren Williams LAR · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 51% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 12.0 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 9.4 · 80% 1.5–17.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Blake Corum LAR · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- 38% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 12.0 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 9.4 · 80% 1.5–17.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Davante Adams LAR · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 61% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 5.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 9.3 · 80% 1.6–17.0
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Puka Nacua LAR · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 79% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 5.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 9.3 · 80% 1.6–17.0
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
CJ Daniels LAR · WR
- Current role
- WR3
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 5.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 9.3 · 80% 1.6–17.0
- Projection basis
- Baseline projection — 2025 production unavailable · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Davis Allen LAR · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 62% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 3.6 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.2 · 80% 0.0–12.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Colby Parkinson LAR · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 77% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 3.6 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.2 · 80% 0.0–12.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jaxson Dart NYG · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- 100% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 31.2 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 16.1 · 80% 5.4–26.8
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Cam Skattebo NYG · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 21% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 11.0 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 9.2 · 80% 1.3–17.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Devin Singletary NYG · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- 32% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 11.0 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 9.2 · 80% 1.3–17.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Darnell Mooney NYG · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 83% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 5.1 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.9 · 80% 1.2–16.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Malik Nabers NYG · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 33% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 5.1 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.9 · 80% 1.2–16.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Malachi Fields NYG · WR
- Current role
- WR2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 5.1 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.9 · 80% 1.2–16.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Isaiah Likely NYG · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 49% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 3.4 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.2 · 80% 0.0–12.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Theo Johnson NYG · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- 96% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 3.4 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.2 · 80% 0.0–12.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Touchdown connections
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
LAR offensive TD state3.1 expected4.6% zero · 59.2% 3+
NYG offensive TD state2.4 expected9.1% zero · 42.9% 3+
Weather & venue
VenueSoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA
Roof typeFixed Roof
Playing surfaceArtificial Turf
ForecastNot ApplicableForecast lead time unknown
Indoor controlled environment; exterior weather is not gameplay weather.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Madden talent context
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Unit matchup indexes
Quarterback rushing ranges
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
Attempts 1.9 mean · 1.0–3.0 80%Net yards 2 mean · -2–9 80%Rush TD 2% 1+
Attempts 5.7 mean · 1.0–10.0 80%Net yards 37 mean · 4–56 80%Rush TD 6% 1+
Depth and status detail
Current depthBoth teams available
AvailabilityNot yet required
Practice report timingNot yet required
WeatherNot yet available
Completeness notes
- Not yet required
- Current Depth Not Historical Role Input
- Rolling History Bridge Confidence Penalty
- Weather Forecast Not Yet Available
Team role detail
LAR
93 current depth players
65 with prior usage context
18 prior high-snap players
NYG
80 current depth players
63 with prior usage context
20 prior high-snap players
Sources & methodology
Projection snapshots
Feature c5de4bd9dcdb17320322c20f3fdd2743b0701ceb3fdeaea4346c4e4f1ab7d3d6
Prediction b29ad9cbc7b68cf2e350ed8c9d72380023171e0751651a394c6eb6224e10fe9b
Week d29eadad3b5c88c27d20fafd4be6fa1d5fbe0b44036b8dc0bd9f724b5849a09a
As of 2026-09-17 23:48:31
Serving contracts used
- Game projection:
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id) - Player context:
nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id) - Forward fantasy:
nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr') - Market comparisons:
nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id) - Unit and passing context:
nfl_unit_matchups_servingandnfl_passing_matchups_serving
Current support states
- Depth support: Both teams available
- Availability support: Not yet required
- Weather support: Not yet available
- Projection confidence (technical): Insufficient Evidence / Insufficient Evidence