Caleb Williams · CHI
- Attempts
- 32.1 mean · 33.0 median · 24.0–41.0 80%
- Completions
- 20.6 mean · 21.0 median · 15.0–27.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 228 mean · 225 median · 158–330 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.53 mean · 77% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.65 mean · 47% 1+
Sunday, October 4 · 12:00 PM CDT
NYJ 18.5 — CHI 25.2
CHI edge · CHI 65.6%
Projected total 43.6 · Confidence: limited evidence
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct: Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 137 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 5 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
Existing QB, RB, WR and TE statistical models. Each line shows mean · median · 80% range.
15 individualized projections · 1 baseline projection. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Players ruled out or suppressed by current injury and availability evidence are not projected. Player ranges are not produced by, and do not sum to, the PA-1 team scores.
Best historical score model
Unified unavailable — P5 baseline shown.
Personnel-aware football model
Full Football unavailable.
Previous production baseline
NYJ 18.5 — CHI 25.2
CHI · 65.6% win probability
As of Sep 30, 2026 23:46 UTC
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
RB: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
TE: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
TE: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
WR: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
WR: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
QB official #1 — Geno Smith · Availability unknown
QB official #2 — Cade Klubnik · Current status: Transaction Effective
RB official #1 — Breece Hall · Did not participate
RB official #2 — Braelon Allen · Availability unknown
RB official #3 — Isaiah Davis · Availability unknown
RB official #4 — Kene Nwangwu · Full
TE official #1 — Mason Taylor · Did not participate
TE official #2 — Kenyon Sadiq · Limited
TE official #1 — Jeremy Ruckert · Limited
TE official #2 — Jelani Woods · Current status: Transaction Effective
WR official #1 — Adonai Mitchell · Did not participate
WR official #2 — Isaiah Williams · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Garrett Wilson · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Malik McClain · Waived
WR official #3 — Jamaal Pritchett · Waived
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
RB: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
TE: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
TE: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
WR: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
WR: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
QB official #1 — Caleb Williams · Did not participate
QB official #2 — Tyson Bagent · Availability unknown
QB official #3 — Case Keenum · Current status: Transaction Effective
RB official #1 — D'Andre Swift · Current status: Transaction Effective
RB official #2 — Kyle Monangai · Availability unknown
RB official #3 — Roschon Johnson · Availability unknown
TE official #1 — Cole Kmet · Availability unknown
TE official #2 — Sam Roush · Current status: Transaction Effective
TE official #1 — Colston Loveland · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Luther Burden III · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Jahdae Walker · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Rome Odunze · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Kalif Raymond · Current status: Transaction Effective
WR official #3 — Zavion Thomas · Current status: Transaction Effective
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 137 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 5 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
2025 final-three scoring average 29.7; opponent allowed 20.3.
2025 final-three scoring average 21.3; opponent allowed 17.7.
Player projection ranges now appear in Player projections above.
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
Current game market comparisons are not available yet.
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
Game environment Unknown.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
89 current depth players
75 with prior usage context
2 prior high-snap players
88 current depth players
62 with prior usage context
3 prior high-snap players
Feature 639e59a956df2bf622d3c8bf8fe6b8a932fb4b4658fd9a4db86fda6a82019156
Prediction 5664ff4d943bfce7afd3937e76674a4ba1b310c8aa456094c300c8384e0d6d67
Week 1e1a796fa385d30ee1f36d9bc7665facb5bef87ad0d2aa89059ef4f6d2896ad6
As of 2026-09-30 23:46:03
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id)nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id)nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr')nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id)nfl_unit_matchups_serving and nfl_passing_matchups_serving