Bo Nix · DEN
- Attempts
- 29.8 mean · 29.0 median · 20.0–41.0 80%
- Completions
- 19.3 mean · 19.0 median · 12.0–27.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 196 mean · 178 median · 111–310 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.09 mean · 65% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.64 mean · 47% 1+
PardonMe PA-1 · frozen forecast
SEA at DEN
Thursday, October 15 · 7:15 PM CDT
SEA 21.1 — DEN 16.5
SEA edge · SEA 62.1%
Projected total 37.5 · Confidence: limited input
PardonMe projects
SEA edge.
PA-1 simulation · forecast of record
Game simulation
Frozen Oct 15, 6:18 PM CDT · 57 min before kickoff · 4,000 simulations
Limited input. DEN: no verified-complete official inactive list (INACTIVES_PARTIAL) SEA: no verified-complete official inactive list (INACTIVES_PARTIAL) Missing evidence stays unknown, not healthy.
Projected score (mean)SEA 21.1 — DEN 16.5Average of the simulated regulation scores
Expected total37.580% of simulations: 23–54
Expected margin · implied spreadSEA by 4.6 · SEA −4.6Spread is the model-implied line from the mean margin, not a sportsbook line
Regulation resultSEA 62.1% · DEN 33.6%Tie after 60 minutes: 4.3% · overtime not modelled
Scoring range
SimulatedLow (10th)MedianHigh (90th)Mean
SEA score10.020.033.021.1
DEN score6.016.028.016.5
Combined total23.037.054.037.5
DEN margin (home − away)-21.0-4.011.0-4.6
The 10th–90th percentile band holds 80% of the simulated games. It describes this simulation, not a guaranteed outcome.
How this forecast was made →
- Model
- PA-1 · D4 v1.4 (clock_v2, eoh_timing, half_hazard, team_strength, qb_cap) · contract pa1-live-2026-v1.0
- Simulations
- 4,000 regulation games, primary arm A_DJ
- Information cutoff
- Oct 15, 6:15 PM CDT (evidence as of Oct 15, 6:15 PM CDT)
- Frozen
- Oct 15, 6:18:00 PM CDT · on time · before kickoff
- Evidence class
- FROZEN_LIMITED_INPUT · decision grade: no
- Availability evidence
- DEN: INACTIVES PARTIAL. SEA: INACTIVES PARTIAL.
- Games of usage history
- DEN: 5. SEA: 5.
- Record
29aca31c249f52bd(ledger entry) · codee2eb0e80
Limitations
- Event templates are the origin-(2026,1) pool; the QB level-2 fit is not point-in-time.
- Shadow arm B (alloc_u, INCONCLUSIVE) is a development candidate and is never the forecast of record.
- Regulation only; overtime is not modelled.
- Historical personnel evidence behind the mechanisms is reconstruction-grade.
- Regulation only: overtime is not modelled, so a regulation tie is shown as a tie, not split between the teams.
- Forecast of record is arm A_DJ; the shadow arm B_DJ and reference arm A_D are not shown.
- The score ranges describe the simulation, not a guarantee; PA-1 has no validated edge over sportsbook lines.
One simulated score distribution produces every number above. It is shown for information, not as a betting recommendation, and has not been validated against sportsbook lines.
Player stat models
Player projections
Existing QB, RB, WR and TE statistical models — separate from the PA-1 game simulation. Each line shows mean · median · 80% range.
Quarterback ranges
Sam Darnold · SEA
- Attempts
- 30.6 mean · 29.0 median · 21.0–43.0 80%
- Completions
- 19.5 mean · 19.0 median · 13.0–27.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 220 mean · 214 median · 139–320 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.48 mean · 75% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.72 mean · 51% 1+
Running back ranges
J.K. Dobbins · DEN
- Opportunities
- 13.6 mean · 14.0 median · 6.0–19.0 80%
- Carries
- 12.5 mean · 13.0 median · 6.0–18.0 80%
- Targets
- 1.1 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 49 mean · 49 median · 20–75 80%
- Receptions
- 0.9 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–2.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 6 mean · 6 median · 0–14 80%
- Total TD
- 28% 1+
RJ Harvey · DEN
- Opportunities
- 9.8 mean · 10.0 median · 2.0–17.0 80%
- Carries
- 6.3 mean · 6.0 median · 1.0–12.0 80%
- Targets
- 3.4 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–7.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 30 mean · 29 median · 8–55 80%
- Receptions
- 2.8 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 21 mean · 20 median · 0–44 80%
- Total TD
- 30% 1+
Jadarian Price · SEA
- Opportunities
- 9.0 mean · 8.0 median · 3.0–17.0 80%
- Carries
- 7.3 mean · 7.0 median · 2.0–14.0 80%
- Targets
- 1.7 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 34 mean · 31 median · 11–62 80%
- Receptions
- 1.4 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 10 mean · 7 median · 0–25 80%
- Total TD
- 25% 1+
Emanuel Wilson · SEA
- Opportunities
- 17.3 mean · 16.0 median · 9.0–27.0 80%
- Carries
- 15.3 mean · 14.0 median · 8.0–24.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.0 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 54 mean · 49 median · 24–93 80%
- Receptions
- 1.6 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 12 mean · 8 median · 0–26 80%
- Total TD
- 38% 1+
Receiver and tight end ranges
Evan Engram · DEN · TE
- Targets
- 3.6 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.6 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 30 mean · 23 median · 11–54 80%
- Receiving TD
- 17% 1+
Adam Trautman · DEN · TE
- Targets
- 2.1 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–4.0 80%
- Receptions
- 1.6 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 16 mean · 18 median · 0–28 80%
- Receiving TD
- 12% 1+
Pat Bryant · DEN · WR
- Targets
- 3.7 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.6 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 35 mean · 37 median · 0–64 80%
- Receiving TD
- 17% 1+
Courtland Sutton · DEN · WR
- Targets
- 4.9 mean · 5.0 median · 1.0–9.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.7 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 33 mean · 26 median · 0–64 80%
- Receiving TD
- 21% 1+
Jaylen Waddle · DEN · WR
- Targets
- 6.8 mean · 7.0 median · 3.0–10.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.2 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 54 mean · 53 median · 16–92 80%
- Receiving TD
- 28% 1+
AJ Barner · SEA · TE
- Targets
- 4.6 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.8 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 29 mean · 22 median · 11–52 80%
- Receiving TD
- 19% 1+
Eric Saubert · SEA · TE
- Targets
- 1.6 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receptions
- 1.1 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 9 mean · 5 median · 0–23 80%
- Receiving TD
- 10% 1+
Montorie Foster Jr. · SEA · WR
- Targets
- 3.7 mean · 3.0 median · 0.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.7 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 37 mean · 38 median · 0–76 80%
- Receiving TD
- 21% 1+
Cooper Kupp · SEA · WR
- Targets
- 5.0 mean · 5.0 median · 3.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.1 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 36 mean · 34 median · 11–58 80%
- Receiving TD
- 20% 1+
Jaxon Smith-Njigba · SEA · WR
- Targets
- 10.2 mean · 11.0 median · 5.0–14.0 80%
- Receptions
- 7.5 mean · 8.0 median · 4.0–11.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 108 mean · 107 median · 49–164 80%
- Receiving TD
- 58% 1+
16 individualized projections. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Players ruled out or suppressed by current injury and availability evidence are not projected. Player ranges are not produced by, and do not sum to, the PA-1 team scores.
Other PardonMe models (comparison)
The PA-1 simulation above is the forecast of record. These earlier models are kept for comparison and are not combined with it.
PardonMe Unified
Best historical score model
Unified unavailable — P5 baseline shown.
Full Football
Personnel-aware football model
Full Football unavailable.
P5 V4 baseline
Previous production baseline
SEA 22.8 — DEN 23.5
DEN · 47.9% win probability
- Margin
- DEN 0.7
- Total
- 46.3
As of Oct 13, 2026 11:28 UTC
Current personnel
Expected lineup & depth
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
SEAWeek 6 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Official depth order is ambiguous.
Official depth & availability evidence
QB official #1 — Sam Darnold · Availability unknown
QB official #2 — Drew Lock · Limited
QB official #3 — Jalen Milroe · Availability unknown
RB official #1 — Emanuel Wilson · Current status: Transaction Effective
RB official #2 — George Holani · Full
RB official #3 — Velus Jones Jr. · Availability unknown
RB official #4 — Player 2854 · Availability unknown
TE official #1 — AJ Barner · Availability unknown
TE official #2 — Eric Saubert · Availability unknown
TE official #3 — Elijah Arroyo · Availability unknown
TE official #4 — Nick Kallerup · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Full
WR official #2 — Tory Horton · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Cooper Kupp · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Rashid Shaheed · Full
WR official #2 — Montorie Foster Jr. · Practice squad
DENWeek 6 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
Official depth & availability evidence
QB official #1 — Bo Nix · Current status: Transaction Effective
QB official #2 — Jarrett Stidham · Availability unknown
QB official #3 — Sam Ehlinger · Current status: Transaction Effective
RB official #1 — J.K. Dobbins · Full
RB official #2 — RJ Harvey · Availability unknown
RB official #3 — Tyler Badie · Full
TE official #1 — Evan Engram · Availability unknown
TE official #2 — Adam Trautman · Full
TE official #3 — Nate Adkins · Availability unknown
TE official #4 — Dallen Bentley · Current status: Transaction Effective
WR official #1 — Marvin Mims Jr. · Full
WR official #2 — Troy Franklin · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Jaylen Waddle · Full
WR official #1 — Courtland Sutton · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Pat Bryant · Availability unknown
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Overview
Projected points21.116.5
Win probability (regulation)62.1%33.6%
Depth chartNot confirmed yetNot confirmed yet
Current status46 updates67 updates
Matchup context
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 116 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 2 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
SEA recent scoring form vs DEN prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 30.0; opponent allowed 22.3.
DEN recent scoring form vs SEA prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 22.3; opponent allowed 29.3.
Players
SEA
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
QBSam DarnoldNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update15.6QBDrew LockLimitedUnknownLimitedProjection unavailableQBJalen MilroeNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableRBEmanuel WilsonCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction Effective12.0RBGeorge HolaniFullUnknownFullProjection unavailableRBVelus Jones Jr.No confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableRBPlayer 2854No confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableTEAJ BarnerNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update8.0TEEric SaubertNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update4.1TEElijah ArroyoNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableTENick KallerupNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRJaxon Smith-NjigbaFullUnknownFull18.9WRTory HortonNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRCooper KuppNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update7.4WRRashid ShaheedFullUnknownFullProjection unavailableWRMontorie Foster Jr.Practice squadUnknownPractice squad8.8DEN
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
QBBo NixCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction Effective18.0QBJarrett StidhamNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableQBSam EhlingerCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveProjection unavailableRBJ.K. DobbinsFullUnknownFull9.1RBRJ HarveyNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update12.0RBTyler BadieFullUnknownFullProjection unavailableTEEvan EngramNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update6.4TEAdam TrautmanFullUnknownFull5.2TENate AdkinsNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableTEDallen BentleyCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveProjection unavailableWRMarvin Mims Jr.FullUnknownFullProjection unavailableWRTroy FranklinNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRJaylen WaddleFullUnknownFull12.2WRCourtland SuttonNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update7.8WRPat BryantNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update8.7Player projection ranges now appear in Player projections above.
Fantasy
Full-PPR
Full rankings →Game projections
PlayerTeamPosRankMedianFloorUpside
Sam DarnoldSEA · #17 · floor 6.4 · upside 23.0SEAQB#1713.46.423.0Bo NixDEN · #25 · floor 5.6 · upside 21.0DENQB#2512.05.621.0Emanuel WilsonSEA · #18 · floor 3.7 · upside 20.5SEARB#189.93.720.5RJ HarveyDEN · #22 · floor 2.2 · upside 19.6DENRB#229.32.219.6J.K. DobbinsDEN · #31 · floor 2.6 · upside 15.0DENRB#317.52.615.0Jadarian PriceSEA · #36 · floor 1.7 · upside 15.7SEARB#366.31.715.7Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · #1 · floor 10.4 · upside 35.6SEAWR#123.310.435.6Jaylen WaddleDEN · #24 · floor 4.8 · upside 19.9DENWR#2410.94.819.9Cooper KuppSEA · #56 · floor 2.2 · upside 14.6SEAWR#566.42.214.6Montorie Foster Jr.SEA · #58 · floor 0.0 · upside 18.1SEAWR#586.80.018.1Courtland SuttonDEN · #61 · floor 0.0 · upside 15.7DENWR#616.90.015.7Pat BryantDEN · #64 · floor 0.0 · upside 15.0DENWR#646.70.015.0AJ BarnerSEA · #22 · floor 2.1 · upside 14.2SEATE#226.22.114.2Evan EngramDEN · #23 · floor 2.1 · upside 13.4DENTE#236.32.113.4Adam TrautmanDEN · #39 · floor 0.0 · upside 8.8DENTE#393.80.08.8Eric SaubertSEA · #51 · floor 0.0 · upside 7.5SEATE#511.50.07.5PardonMe vs the Odds
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
These comparisons use the legacy model, not the PA-1 simulation above. PA-1 has not been validated against sportsbook lines, so no edge is claimed.
Current game market comparisons are not available yet.
More
Advanced player detail →
Bo Nix DEN · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Transaction Effective
- Projected workload
- 30.1 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 18.0 · 80% 7.4–28.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
J.K. Dobbins DEN · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- 12.6 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 9.1 · 80% 1.2–17.0
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
RJ Harvey DEN · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 11.4 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 12.0 · 80% 4.1–19.9
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Courtland Sutton DEN · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 4.7 targets
- Full-PPR
- 7.8 · 80% 0.1–15.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jaylen Waddle DEN · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- 6.5 targets
- Full-PPR
- 12.2 · 80% 4.6–19.9
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Pat Bryant DEN · WR
- Current role
- WR2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 4.6 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.7 · 80% 1.1–16.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Evan Engram DEN · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 3.6 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.4 · 80% 0.1–12.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Adam Trautman DEN · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- 2.8 targets
- Full-PPR
- 5.2 · 80% 0.0–11.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Sam Darnold SEA · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 30.9 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 15.6 · 80% 5.0–26.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jadarian Price SEA · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Limited
- Projected workload
- 10.1 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 7.7 · 80% 0.0–15.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Emanuel Wilson SEA · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Transaction Effective
- Projected workload
- 15.3 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 12.0 · 80% 4.1–19.9
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Cooper Kupp SEA · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 4.3 targets
- Full-PPR
- 7.4 · 80% 0.0–15.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- 10.1 targets
- Full-PPR
- 18.9 · 80% 11.2–26.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Montorie Foster Jr. SEA · WR
- Current role
- WR2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Practice squad
- Projected workload
- 5.1 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.8 · 80% 1.2–16.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
AJ Barner SEA · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 4.1 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.0 · 80% 1.8–14.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Eric Saubert SEA · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 2.3 targets
- Full-PPR
- 4.1 · 80% 0.0–10.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Touchdown connections
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
DEN offensive TD state2.2 expected11.4% zero · 36.9% 3+
SEA offensive TD state2.3 expected10.3% zero · 39.6% 3+
Weather & venue
VenueVenue unknown
Roof typeUnknown
Playing surfaceUnknown
ForecastUnknownForecast lead time unknown
Game environment Unknown.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Madden talent context
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Unit matchup indexes
Quarterback rushing ranges
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
Attempts 4.9 mean · 2.0–9.0 80%Net yards 17 mean · 2–49 80%Rush TD 4% 1+
Attempts 3.0 mean · 1.0–6.0 80%Net yards 8 mean · 2–23 80%Rush TD 1% 1+
Depth and status detail
Current depthBoth teams available
AvailabilityNot yet required
Practice report timingNot yet required
WeatherNot yet available
Completeness notes
- Not yet required
- Current Depth Not Historical Role Input
- Rolling History Bridge Confidence Penalty
- Weather Forecast Not Yet Available
Team role detail
DEN
59 current depth players
54 with prior usage context
1 prior high-snap players
SEA
79 current depth players
62 with prior usage context
1 prior high-snap players
Sources & methodology
Projection snapshots
Feature c31054162b5a543addbba235b6e7b79c46ff06de4cc3f7322dcb5e501d82eee5
Prediction 29aca31c249f52bda5f2fee30af7dc69b60182596dc7fc82d93a27fb9f0c1473
Week 2756af9cfd0e102960aa259fd190a7120e93eb926ddc2f3089a38a0c2010be78
As of 2026-10-15 23:18:00.000000
Serving contracts used
- Game projection:
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id) - Player context:
nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id) - Forward fantasy:
nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr') - Market comparisons:
nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id) - Unit and passing context:
nfl_unit_matchups_servingandnfl_passing_matchups_serving
Current support states
- Depth support: Both teams available
- Availability support: Not yet required
- Weather support: Not yet available
- Projection confidence (technical): limited input