Lamar Jackson · BAL
- Attempts
- 29.4 mean · 29.0 median · 15.0–41.0 80%
- Completions
- 19.0 mean · 19.0 median · 10.0–28.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 241 mean · 240 median · 133–355 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.62 mean · 77% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.65 mean · 47% 1+
Sunday, October 18 · 12:00 PM CDT
BAL 21.6 — CLE 18.0
BAL slight edge · BAL 59.3%
Projected total 39.6 · Confidence: limited input
Frozen Oct 18, 11:03 AM CDT · 57 min before kickoff · 4,000 simulations
Limited input. BAL: no verified-complete official inactive list (DESIGNATIONS_ONLY) CLE: no verified-complete official inactive list (INACTIVES_PARTIAL) Missing evidence stays unknown, not healthy.
The 10th–90th percentile band holds 80% of the simulated games. It describes this simulation, not a guaranteed outcome.
a15fafe801d9ce05 (ledger entry) · code e2eb0e80One simulated score distribution produces every number above. It is shown for information, not as a betting recommendation, and has not been validated against sportsbook lines.
Existing QB, RB, WR and TE statistical models — separate from the PA-1 game simulation. Each line shows mean · median · 80% range.
16 individualized projections. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Players ruled out or suppressed by current injury and availability evidence are not projected. Player ranges are not produced by, and do not sum to, the PA-1 team scores.
The PA-1 simulation above is the forecast of record. These earlier models are kept for comparison and are not combined with it.
Best historical score model
Unified unavailable — P5 baseline shown.
Personnel-aware football model
Full Football unavailable.
Previous production baseline
BAL 22.7 — CLE 22.1
BAL · 56.2% win probability
As of Oct 13, 2026 11:28 UTC
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Official depth is not confirmed.
TE: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
QB official #1 — Lamar Jackson · Did not participate
QB official #2 — Tyler Huntley · Current status: Transaction Effective
QB official #3 — Joe Fagnano · Availability unknown
RB official #1 — Derrick Henry · Availability unknown
RB official #2 — Justice Hill · Availability unknown
RB official #3 — Rasheen Ali · Availability unknown
TE official #2 — Nick Vannett · Full
TE official #1 — Mark Andrews · Full
TE official #2 — Josh Cuevas · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Zay Flowers · Limited
WR official #2 — Devontez Walker · Availability unknown
WR official #3 — Elijah Sarratt · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Rashod Bateman · Did not participate
WR official #2 — LaJohntay Wester · Availability unknown
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Official depth is not confirmed.
QB official #1 — Deshaun Watson · Availability unknown
QB official #2 — Shedeur Sanders · Availability unknown
QB official #3 — Taylen Green · Inactive for Week 4
RB official #1 — Quinshon Judkins · Did not participate
RB official #2 — Raheim Sanders · Availability unknown
RB official #4 — Jaleel McLaughlin · Current status: Transaction Effective
TE official #1 — Harold Fannin Jr. · Availability unknown
TE official #2 — Blake Whiteheart · Current status: Transaction Effective
TE official #3 — Carsen Ryan · Limited
WR official #1 — Jerry Jeudy · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Tylan Wallace · Limited
WR official #1 — Denzel Boston · Limited
WR official #2 — Malachi Corley · Current status: Transaction Effective
WR official #2 — Isaiah Bond · Availability unknown
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 105 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 5 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
2025 final-three scoring average 29.3; opponent allowed 19.7.
2025 final-three scoring average 20.0; opponent allowed 24.0.
Player projection ranges now appear in Player projections above.
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
These comparisons use the legacy model, not the PA-1 simulation above. PA-1 has not been validated against sportsbook lines, so no edge is claimed.
Current game market comparisons are not available yet.
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
Game environment Unknown.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
67 current depth players
53 with prior usage context
4 prior high-snap players
74 current depth players
52 with prior usage context
1 prior high-snap players
Feature cc5ead37c72dafc593d21c9a5b01d4d96ed64e3b53df44a57b302b82b6092a6a
Prediction a15fafe801d9ce057ea848faac79a99adc3e3a43ab62ae3a58ce0f2832354dae
Week 2756af9cfd0e102960aa259fd190a7120e93eb926ddc2f3089a38a0c2010be78
As of 2026-10-18 16:03:30.000000
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id)nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id)nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr')nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id)nfl_unit_matchups_serving and nfl_passing_matchups_serving