Drake Maye · NE
- Attempts
- 27.6 mean · 29.0 median · 17.0–41.0 80%
- Completions
- 18.5 mean · 18.0 median · 11.0–27.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 217 mean · 202 median · 145–341 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.56 mean · 77% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.64 mean · 47% 1+
PardonMe PA-1 · frozen forecast
NYJ at NE
Sunday, October 18 · 12:00 PM CDT
NYJ 14.9 — NE 27.4
NE clear edge · NE 82.1%
Projected total 42.4 · Confidence: limited input
PardonMe projects
NE clear edge.
PA-1 simulation · forecast of record
Game simulation
Frozen Oct 18, 11:04 AM CDT · 56 min before kickoff · 4,000 simulations
Limited input. NE: no verified-complete official inactive list (INACTIVES_PARTIAL) NYJ: no verified-complete official inactive list (INACTIVES_PARTIAL) Missing evidence stays unknown, not healthy.
Projected score (mean)NYJ 14.9 — NE 27.4Average of the simulated regulation scores
Expected total42.480% of simulations: 26–59
Expected margin · implied spreadNE by 12.5 · NE −12.5Spread is the model-implied line from the mean margin, not a sportsbook line
Regulation resultNYJ 15.5% · NE 82.1%Tie after 60 minutes: 2.5% · overtime not modelled
Scoring range
SimulatedLow (10th)MedianHigh (90th)Mean
NYJ score6.014.027.014.9
NE score14.027.041.027.4
Combined total26.041.059.042.4
NE margin (home − away)-4.013.029.012.5
The 10th–90th percentile band holds 80% of the simulated games. It describes this simulation, not a guaranteed outcome.
How this forecast was made →
- Model
- PA-1 · D4 v1.4 (clock_v2, eoh_timing, half_hazard, team_strength, qb_cap) · contract pa1-live-2026-v1.0
- Simulations
- 4,000 regulation games, primary arm A_DJ
- Information cutoff
- Oct 18, 11:00 AM CDT (evidence as of Oct 18, 11:00 AM CDT)
- Frozen
- Oct 18, 11:04:14 AM CDT · on time · before kickoff
- Evidence class
- FROZEN_LIMITED_INPUT · decision grade: no
- Availability evidence
- NE: INACTIVES PARTIAL. NYJ: INACTIVES PARTIAL.
- Games of usage history
- NE: 5. NYJ: 5.
- Record
c78e25c4e5efdc51(ledger entry) · codee2eb0e80
Limitations
- Event templates are the origin-(2026,1) pool; the QB level-2 fit is not point-in-time.
- Shadow arm B (alloc_u, INCONCLUSIVE) is a development candidate and is never the forecast of record.
- Regulation only; overtime is not modelled.
- Historical personnel evidence behind the mechanisms is reconstruction-grade.
- Regulation only: overtime is not modelled, so a regulation tie is shown as a tie, not split between the teams.
- Forecast of record is arm A_DJ; the shadow arm B_DJ and reference arm A_D are not shown.
- The score ranges describe the simulation, not a guarantee; PA-1 has no validated edge over sportsbook lines.
One simulated score distribution produces every number above. It is shown for information, not as a betting recommendation, and has not been validated against sportsbook lines.
Player stat models
Player projections
Existing QB, RB, WR and TE statistical models — separate from the PA-1 game simulation. Each line shows mean · median · 80% range.
Quarterback ranges
Geno Smith · NYJ
- Attempts
- 31.7 mean · 31.0 median · 22.0–43.0 80%
- Completions
- 20.2 mean · 20.0 median · 12.0–29.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 222 mean · 214 median · 130–334 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.42 mean · 74% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.66 mean · 48% 1+
Running back ranges
TreVeyon Henderson · NE
- Opportunities
- 10.5 mean · 11.0 median · 2.0–19.0 80%
- Carries
- 9.2 mean · 10.0 median · 2.0–16.0 80%
- Targets
- 1.3 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 51 mean · 49 median · 14–91 80%
- Receptions
- 1.1 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 9 mean · 7 median · 0–22 80%
- Total TD
- 36% 1+
Rhamondre Stevenson · NE
- Opportunities
- 13.2 mean · 12.0 median · 8.0–22.0 80%
- Carries
- 9.7 mean · 9.0 median · 5.0–16.0 80%
- Targets
- 3.5 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 47 mean · 39 median · 19–81 80%
- Receptions
- 2.3 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 19 mean · 16 median · 0–39 80%
- Total TD
- 35% 1+
Braelon Allen · NYJ
- Opportunities
- 14.1 mean · 11.0 median · 9.0–25.0 80%
- Carries
- 11.3 mean · 9.0 median · 6.0–20.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.8 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 37 mean · 28 median · 16–69 80%
- Receptions
- 1.7 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 12 mean · 7 median · 0–28 80%
- Total TD
- 28% 1+
Breece Hall · NYJ
- Opportunities
- 17.2 mean · 18.0 median · 11.0–22.0 80%
- Carries
- 14.9 mean · 15.0 median · 9.0–20.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.2 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 58 mean · 56 median · 32–86 80%
- Receptions
- 1.9 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 17 mean · 16 median · 0–33 80%
- Total TD
- 40% 1+
Receiver and tight end ranges
Hunter Henry · NE · TE
- Targets
- 4.7 mean · 5.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.6 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 44 mean · 37 median · 12–73 80%
- Receiving TD
- 23% 1+
Eli Raridon · NE · TE
- Targets
- 2.6 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.1 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 24 mean · 11 median · 0–56 80%
- Receiving TD
- 13% 1+
Romeo Doubs · NE · WR
- Targets
- 6.7 mean · 6.0 median · 5.0–11.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.0 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 58 mean · 57 median · 28–101 80%
- Receiving TD
- 32% 1+
DeMario Douglas · NE · WR
- Targets
- 4.1 mean · 3.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.8 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 36 mean · 37 median · 12–63 80%
- Receiving TD
- 20% 1+
Mack Hollins · NE · WR
- Targets
- 5.2 mean · 5.0 median · 1.0–9.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.8 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 50 mean · 51 median · 13–89 80%
- Receiving TD
- 16% 1+
Jeremy Ruckert · NYJ · TE
- Targets
- 2.0 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receptions
- 1.6 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 13 mean · 14 median · 0–30 80%
- Receiving TD
- 12% 1+
Mason Taylor · NYJ · TE
- Targets
- 3.0 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–6.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.1 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 19 mean · 18 median · 0–44 80%
- Receiving TD
- 13% 1+
Malik McClain · NYJ · WR
- Targets
- 3.7 mean · 3.0 median · 0.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.7 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 37 mean · 25 median · 0–76 80%
- Receiving TD
- 20% 1+
Adonai Mitchell · NYJ · WR
- Targets
- 5.3 mean · 5.0 median · 0.0–11.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.7 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 34 mean · 28 median · 0–79 80%
- Receiving TD
- 19% 1+
Garrett Wilson · NYJ · WR
- Targets
- 8.2 mean · 8.0 median · 3.0–13.0 80%
- Receptions
- 5.7 mean · 6.0 median · 2.0–9.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 67 mean · 64 median · 29–111 80%
- Receiving TD
- 41% 1+
16 individualized projections. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Players ruled out or suppressed by current injury and availability evidence are not projected. Player ranges are not produced by, and do not sum to, the PA-1 team scores.
Other PardonMe models (comparison)
The PA-1 simulation above is the forecast of record. These earlier models are kept for comparison and are not combined with it.
PardonMe Unified
Best historical score model
Unified unavailable — P5 baseline shown.
Full Football
Personnel-aware football model
Full Football unavailable.
P5 V4 baseline
Previous production baseline
NYJ 18.8 — NE 25.2
NE · 64.0% win probability
- Margin
- NE 6.4
- Total
- 44.1
As of Oct 13, 2026 11:28 UTC
Current personnel
Expected lineup & depth
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
NYJWeek 6 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
Official depth & availability evidence
QB official #1 — Geno Smith · Availability unknown
QB official #2 — Cade Klubnik · Current status: Transaction Effective
RB official #1 — Breece Hall · Did not participate
RB official #2 — Braelon Allen · Availability unknown
RB official #3 — Isaiah Davis · Availability unknown
RB official #4 — Kene Nwangwu · Full
TE official #1 — Mason Taylor · Full
TE official #2 — Kenyon Sadiq · Limited
TE official #1 — Jeremy Ruckert · Limited
TE official #2 — Jelani Woods · Current status: Transaction Effective
WR official #1 — Adonai Mitchell · Did not participate
WR official #2 — Isaiah Williams · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Garrett Wilson · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Malik McClain · Waived
NEWeek 6 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
Official depth & availability evidence
QB official #1 — Drake Maye · Full
QB official #2 — Tommy DeVito · Availability unknown
QB official #3 — Behren Morton · Availability unknown
RB official #1 — Rhamondre Stevenson · Questionable
RB official #2 — TreVeyon Henderson · Limited
RB official #3 — Corey Kiner · Availability unknown
TE official #1 — Hunter Henry · Availability unknown
TE official #2 — Eli Raridon · Limited
TE official #3 — Tanner Arkin · Availability unknown
TE official #4 — Cameron Latu · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — DeMario Douglas · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Kyle Williams · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Efton Chism III · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Kyle Williams · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Romeo Doubs · Availability unknown
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Overview
Projected points14.927.4
Win probability (regulation)15.5%82.1%
Depth chartNot confirmed yetNot confirmed yet
Current status73 updates74 updates
Matchup context
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 147 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 4 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
NYJ recent scoring form vs NE prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 17.7; opponent allowed 26.0.
NE recent scoring form vs NYJ prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 26.7; opponent allowed 22.0.
Players
NYJ
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
QBGeno SmithNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update15.7QBCade KlubnikCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveProjection unavailableRBBreece HallDid not participateUnknownDid not participate12.8RBBraelon AllenNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update8.4RBIsaiah DavisNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableRBKene NwangwuFullUnknownFullProjection unavailableTEMason TaylorFullUnknownFull4.5TEKenyon SadiqLimitedUnknownLimitedProjection unavailableTEJeremy RuckertLimitedUnknownLimited3.8TEJelani WoodsCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveProjection unavailableWRAdonai MitchellDid not participateUnknownDid not participate8.0WRIsaiah WilliamsNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRGarrett WilsonNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update13.4WRMalik McClainWaivedUnknownWaived8.5NE
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
QBDrake MayeFullUnknownFull17.9QBTommy DeVitoNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableQBBehren MortonNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableRBRhamondre StevensonQuestionableUnknownQuestionable10.8RBTreVeyon HendersonLimitedUnknownLimited9.3RBCorey KinerNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableTEHunter HenryNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update7.4TEEli RaridonLimitedUnknownLimited4.9TETanner ArkinNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableTECameron LatuNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRDeMario DouglasNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update7.1WRKyle WilliamsNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWREfton Chism IIINo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRRomeo DoubsNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update11.7Player projection ranges now appear in Player projections above.
Fantasy
Full-PPR
Full rankings →Game projections
PlayerTeamPosRankMedianFloorUpside
Drake MayeNE · #6 · floor 8.9 · upside 26.1NEQB#616.08.926.1Geno SmithNYJ · #20 · floor 6.1 · upside 22.4NYJQB#2013.26.122.4Breece HallNYJ · #13 · floor 5.4 · upside 20.6NYJRB#1311.65.420.6Rhamondre StevensonNE · #17 · floor 4.1 · upside 20.9NERB#1710.24.120.9TreVeyon HendersonNE · #23 · floor 1.8 · upside 19.0NERB#239.01.819.0Braelon AllenNYJ · #30 · floor 2.7 · upside 17.6NYJRB#306.42.717.6Garrett WilsonNYJ · #11 · floor 5.9 · upside 25.6NYJWR#1114.65.925.6Romeo DoubsNE · #20 · floor 4.8 · upside 20.7NEWR#2010.84.820.7Mack HollinsNE · #35 · floor 2.3 · upside 18.2NEWR#359.12.318.2Malik McClainNYJ · #59 · floor 0.0 · upside 18.1NYJWR#596.00.018.1DeMario DouglasNE · #60 · floor 2.2 · upside 15.0NEWR#606.72.215.0Adonai MitchellNYJ · #62 · floor 0.0 · upside 16.2NYJWR#627.10.016.2Hunter HenryNE · #12 · floor 2.2 · upside 17.1NETE#128.92.217.1Eli RaridonNE · #33 · floor 0.0 · upside 12.3NETE#334.20.012.3Mason TaylorNYJ · #36 · floor 0.0 · upside 12.2NYJTE#363.80.012.2Jeremy RuckertNYJ · #43 · floor 0.0 · upside 8.8NYJTE#432.50.08.8PardonMe vs the Odds
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
These comparisons use the legacy model, not the PA-1 simulation above. PA-1 has not been validated against sportsbook lines, so no edge is claimed.
Current game market comparisons are not available yet.
More
Advanced player detail →
Drake Maye NE · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- 27.3 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 17.9 · 80% 7.3–28.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Rhamondre Stevenson NE · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Questionable
- Projected workload
- 12.7 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 10.8 · 80% 2.9–18.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
TreVeyon Henderson NE · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 12.5 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 9.3 · 80% 1.4–17.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Romeo Doubs NE · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 6.0 targets
- Full-PPR
- 11.7 · 80% 4.0–19.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
DeMario Douglas NE · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 4.1 targets
- Full-PPR
- 7.1 · 80% 0.0–14.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Mack Hollins NE · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Out
- Projected workload
- 5.9 targets
- Full-PPR
- 11.0 · 80% 3.3–18.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Hunter Henry NE · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 4.3 targets
- Full-PPR
- 7.4 · 80% 1.2–13.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Eli Raridon NE · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Limited
- Projected workload
- 2.6 targets
- Full-PPR
- 4.9 · 80% 0.0–11.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Geno Smith NYJ · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 31.6 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 15.7 · 80% 5.0–26.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Breece Hall NYJ · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Out
- Projected workload
- 16.8 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 12.8 · 80% 4.9–20.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Braelon Allen NYJ · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 11.5 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 8.4 · 80% 0.6–16.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Adonai Mitchell NYJ · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Out
- Projected workload
- 4.6 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.0 · 80% 0.3–15.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Garrett Wilson NYJ · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 7.7 targets
- Full-PPR
- 13.4 · 80% 5.8–21.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Malik McClain NYJ · WR
- Current role
- WR3
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Waived
- Projected workload
- 5.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.5 · 80% 0.9–16.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Limited
- Projected workload
- 2.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 3.8 · 80% 0.0–10.0
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Mason Taylor NYJ · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- 2.7 targets
- Full-PPR
- 4.5 · 80% 0.0–10.8
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Touchdown connections
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
NE offensive TD state3.1 expected4.6% zero · 59.2% 3+
NYJ offensive TD state1.9 expected15.4% zero · 28.8% 3+
Weather & venue
VenueVenue unknown
Roof typeUnknown
Playing surfaceUnknown
ForecastUnknownForecast lead time unknown
Game environment Unknown.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Madden talent context
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Unit matchup indexes
Quarterback rushing ranges
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
Attempts 6.0 mean · 3.0–10.0 80%Net yards 31 mean · 17–54 80%Rush TD 2% 1+
Attempts 2.5 mean · 0.0–6.0 80%Net yards 6 mean · 0–17 80%Rush TD 1% 1+
Depth and status detail
Current depthBoth teams available
AvailabilityNot yet required
Practice report timingNot yet required
WeatherNot yet available
Completeness notes
- Not yet required
- Current Depth Not Historical Role Input
- Rolling History Bridge Confidence Penalty
- Weather Forecast Not Yet Available
Team role detail
NE
103 current depth players
81 with prior usage context
1 prior high-snap players
NYJ
88 current depth players
66 with prior usage context
3 prior high-snap players
Sources & methodology
Projection snapshots
Feature 4cca43a1c5824df7b078672d1d1c50518bd259aec13395b43298de2f04120901
Prediction c78e25c4e5efdc510b0630d7a4dce729856dbae333d23e8bd0ec1082dcdf37a1
Week 2756af9cfd0e102960aa259fd190a7120e93eb926ddc2f3089a38a0c2010be78
As of 2026-10-18 16:04:14.000000
Serving contracts used
- Game projection:
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id) - Player context:
nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id) - Forward fantasy:
nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr') - Market comparisons:
nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id) - Unit and passing context:
nfl_unit_matchups_servingandnfl_passing_matchups_serving
Current support states
- Depth support: Both teams available
- Availability support: Not yet required
- Weather support: Not yet available
- Projection confidence (technical): limited input