Tyler Shough · NO
- Attempts
- 33.8 mean · 32.0 median · 23.0–47.0 80%
- Completions
- 22.1 mean · 21.0 median · 14.0–32.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 236 mean · 243 median · 111–314 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.45 mean · 74% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.73 mean · 51% 1+
PardonMe PA-1 · frozen forecast
NO at NYG
Sunday, October 18 · 12:00 PM CDT
NO 20.4 — NYG 23.2
NYG slight edge · NYG 56.1%
Projected total 43.7 · Confidence: limited input
PardonMe projects
NYG slight edge.
PA-1 simulation · forecast of record
Game simulation
Frozen Oct 18, 11:04 AM CDT · 55 min before kickoff · 4,000 simulations
Limited input. NO: no verified-complete official inactive list (INACTIVES_PARTIAL) NYG: no verified-complete official inactive list (INACTIVES_PARTIAL) Missing evidence stays unknown, not healthy.
Projected score (mean)NO 20.4 — NYG 23.2Average of the simulated regulation scores
Expected total43.780% of simulations: 27–61
Expected margin · implied spreadNYG by 2.8 · NYG −2.8Spread is the model-implied line from the mean margin, not a sportsbook line
Regulation resultNO 39.5% · NYG 56.1%Tie after 60 minutes: 4.4% · overtime not modelled
Scoring range
SimulatedLow (10th)MedianHigh (90th)Mean
NO score9.020.033.020.4
NYG score10.023.036.023.2
Combined total27.043.061.043.7
NYG margin (home − away)-14.03.020.02.8
The 10th–90th percentile band holds 80% of the simulated games. It describes this simulation, not a guaranteed outcome.
How this forecast was made →
- Model
- PA-1 · D4 v1.4 (clock_v2, eoh_timing, half_hazard, team_strength, qb_cap) · contract pa1-live-2026-v1.0
- Simulations
- 4,000 regulation games, primary arm A_DJ
- Information cutoff
- Oct 18, 11:00 AM CDT (evidence as of Oct 18, 11:00 AM CDT)
- Frozen
- Oct 18, 11:04:37 AM CDT · on time · before kickoff
- Evidence class
- FROZEN_LIMITED_INPUT · decision grade: no
- Availability evidence
- NO: INACTIVES PARTIAL. NYG: INACTIVES PARTIAL.
- Games of usage history
- NO: 5. NYG: 5.
- Record
9dcc8d6843dd9109(ledger entry) · codee2eb0e80
Limitations
- Event templates are the origin-(2026,1) pool; the QB level-2 fit is not point-in-time.
- Shadow arm B (alloc_u, INCONCLUSIVE) is a development candidate and is never the forecast of record.
- Regulation only; overtime is not modelled.
- Historical personnel evidence behind the mechanisms is reconstruction-grade.
- Regulation only: overtime is not modelled, so a regulation tie is shown as a tie, not split between the teams.
- Forecast of record is arm A_DJ; the shadow arm B_DJ and reference arm A_D are not shown.
- The score ranges describe the simulation, not a guarantee; PA-1 has no validated edge over sportsbook lines.
One simulated score distribution produces every number above. It is shown for information, not as a betting recommendation, and has not been validated against sportsbook lines.
Player stat models
Player projections
Existing QB, RB, WR and TE statistical models — separate from the PA-1 game simulation. Each line shows mean · median · 80% range.
Quarterback ranges
Jameis Winston · NYG
- Attempts
- 28.5 mean · 26.0 median · 18.0–40.0 80%
- Completions
- 17.2 mean · 16.0 median · 10.0–26.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 189 mean · 186 median · 91–297 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.18 mean · 67% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.68 mean · 49% 1+
Running back ranges
Alvin Kamara · NO
- Opportunities
- 8.8 mean · 9.0 median · 1.0–18.0 80%
- Carries
- 6.4 mean · 6.0 median · 1.0–13.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.5 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 28 mean · 26 median · 7–54 80%
- Receptions
- 2.1 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 14 mean · 12 median · 0–31 80%
- Total TD
- 23% 1+
Kendre Miller · NO
- Opportunities
- 9.6 mean · 9.0 median · 5.0–15.0 80%
- Carries
- 8.3 mean · 8.0 median · 4.0–13.0 80%
- Targets
- 1.2 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 34 mean · 30 median · 17–53 80%
- Receptions
- 1.0 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 8 mean · 7 median · 0–22 80%
- Total TD
- 27% 1+
Devin Singletary · NYG
- Opportunities
- 9.9 mean · 9.0 median · 5.0–15.0 80%
- Carries
- 8.1 mean · 7.0 median · 4.0–13.0 80%
- Targets
- 1.8 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 39 mean · 36 median · 20–62 80%
- Receptions
- 1.5 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 12 mean · 9 median · 0–26 80%
- Total TD
- 33% 1+
Cam Skattebo · NYG
- Opportunities
- 16.6 mean · 17.0 median · 6.0–24.0 80%
- Carries
- 13.4 mean · 14.0 median · 5.0–20.0 80%
- Targets
- 3.2 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 52 mean · 52 median · 16–79 80%
- Receptions
- 2.3 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 18 mean · 15 median · 0–36 80%
- Total TD
- 39% 1+
Receiver and tight end ranges
Noah Fant · NO · TE
- Targets
- 4.2 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.9 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 27 mean · 27 median · 8–56 80%
- Receiving TD
- 22% 1+
Juwan Johnson · NO · TE
- Targets
- 5.8 mean · 5.0 median · 4.0–9.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.6 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 51 mean · 44 median · 23–78 80%
- Receiving TD
- 25% 1+
Kevin Austin Jr. · NO · WR
- Targets
- 3.8 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.6 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 34 mean · 25 median · 12–61 80%
- Receiving TD
- 18% 1+
Chris Olave · NO · WR
- Targets
- 9.8 mean · 10.0 median · 5.0–14.0 80%
- Receptions
- 6.6 mean · 7.0 median · 3.0–10.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 89 mean · 85 median · 43–139 80%
- Receiving TD
- 42% 1+
Devaughn Vele · NO · WR
- Targets
- 6.4 mean · 7.0 median · 3.0–9.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.9 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 44 mean · 46 median · 12–69 80%
- Receiving TD
- 24% 1+
Theo Johnson · NYG · TE
- Targets
- 2.9 mean · 3.0 median · 0.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 1.8 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 22 mean · 24 median · 0–50 80%
- Receiving TD
- 14% 1+
Isaiah Likely · NYG · TE
- Targets
- 8.2 mean · 7.0 median · 4.0–14.0 80%
- Receptions
- 5.8 mean · 5.0 median · 3.0–10.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 58 mean · 53 median · 25–102 80%
- Receiving TD
- 35% 1+
Malachi Fields · NYG · WR
- Targets
- 4.9 mean · 4.0 median · 3.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.8 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 38 mean · 39 median · 12–67 80%
- Receiving TD
- 20% 1+
Darnell Mooney · NYG · WR
- Targets
- 4.1 mean · 3.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.1 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 28 mean · 26 median · 0–52 80%
- Receiving TD
- 15% 1+
Malik Nabers · NYG · WR
- Targets
- 6.9 mean · 6.0 median · 1.0–12.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.3 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–9.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 57 mean · 44 median · 16–111 80%
- Receiving TD
- 32% 1+
16 individualized projections. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Players ruled out or suppressed by current injury and availability evidence are not projected. Player ranges are not produced by, and do not sum to, the PA-1 team scores.
Other PardonMe models (comparison)
The PA-1 simulation above is the forecast of record. These earlier models are kept for comparison and are not combined with it.
PardonMe Unified
Best historical score model
Unified unavailable — P5 baseline shown.
Full Football
Personnel-aware football model
Full Football unavailable.
P5 V4 baseline
Previous production baseline
NO 19.3 — NYG 24.7
NYG · 62.2% win probability
- Margin
- NYG 5.4
- Total
- 44.0
As of Oct 13, 2026 11:28 UTC
Current personnel
Expected lineup & depth
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
NOWeek 6 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
Official depth & availability evidence
QB official #1 — Tyler Shough · Full
QB official #2 — Spencer Rattler · Availability unknown
QB official #3 — Zach Wilson · Availability unknown
RB official #1 — Alvin Kamara · Limited
RB official #2 — Kendre Miller · Availability unknown
RB official #3 — CJ Donaldson · Availability unknown
TE official #1 — Juwan Johnson · Availability unknown
TE official #2 — Noah Fant · Full
TE official #3 — Oscar Delp · Current status: Transaction Effective
TE official #4 — Treyton Welch · Current status: Transaction Effective
WR official #1 — Chris Olave · Did not participate
WR official #2 — Barion Brown · Questionable
WR official #1 — Devaughn Vele · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Bryce Lance · Current status: Transaction Effective
WR official #1 — Barion Brown · Questionable
WR official #2 — Bryce Lance · Current status: Transaction Effective
NYGWeek 6 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
Official depth & availability evidence
QB official #1 — Jameis Winston · Current status: Transaction Effective
QB official #2 — J.J. McCarthy · Availability unknown
QB official #3 — Player 3309 · Availability unknown
RB official #1 — Cam Skattebo · Full
RB official #2 — Tyrone Tracy Jr. · Did not participate
RB official #2 — Devin Singletary · Availability unknown
RB official #2 — Najee Harris · Full
TE official #1 — Isaiah Likely · Full
TE official #2 — Theo Johnson · Limited
TE official #3 — Chris Manhertz · Full
TE official #4 — Thomas Fidone II · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Darnell Mooney · Full
WR official #2 — Charlie Jones · Full
WR official #1 — Malik Nabers · Full
WR official #2 — Malachi Fields · Availability unknown
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Overview
Projected points20.423.2
Win probability (regulation)39.5%56.1%
Depth chartNot confirmed yetNot confirmed yet
Current status57 updates59 updates
Matchup context
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 146 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 13 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
NYG recent scoring form vs NO prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 25.0; opponent allowed 34.3.
NO recent scoring form vs NYG prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 21.3; opponent allowed 19.3.
Players
NO
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
QBTyler ShoughFullUnknownFull19.1QBSpencer RattlerNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableQBZach WilsonNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableRBAlvin KamaraLimitedUnknownLimited8.4RBKendre MillerNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update7.9RBCJ DonaldsonNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableTEJuwan JohnsonNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update9.7TENoah FantFullUnknownFull6.9TEOscar DelpCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveProjection unavailableTETreyton WelchCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveProjection unavailableWRChris OlaveDid not participateUnknownDid not participate16.5WRBarion BrownQuestionableUnknownQuestionableProjection unavailableWRDevaughn VeleNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update10.7WRBryce LanceCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveProjection unavailableNYG
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
QBJameis WinstonCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction Effective15.6QBJ.J. McCarthyNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableQBPlayer 3309No confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableRBCam SkatteboFullUnknownFull11.3RBTyrone Tracy Jr.Did not participateUnknownDid not participateProjection unavailableRBDevin SingletaryNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update10.8RBNajee HarrisFullUnknownFullProjection unavailableTEIsaiah LikelyFullUnknownFull13.5TETheo JohnsonLimitedUnknownLimited5.2TEChris ManhertzFullUnknownFullProjection unavailableTEThomas Fidone IINo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRDarnell MooneyFullUnknownFull6.7WRCharlie JonesFullUnknownFullProjection unavailableWRMalik NabersFullUnknownFull12.6WRMalachi FieldsNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update8.4Player projection ranges now appear in Player projections above.
Fantasy
Full-PPR
Full rankings →Game projections
PlayerTeamPosRankMedianFloorUpside
Tyler ShoughNO · #12 · floor 7.3 · upside 24.5NOQB#1214.77.324.5Jameis WinstonNYG · #27 · floor 4.7 · upside 20.8NYGQB#2711.44.720.8Cam SkatteboNYG · #14 · floor 3.4 · upside 21.2NYGRB#1411.83.421.2Devin SingletaryNYG · #28 · floor 3.3 · upside 16.5NYGRB#287.73.316.5Alvin KamaraNO · #35 · floor 1.1 · upside 16.2NORB#356.81.116.2Kendre MillerNO · #40 · floor 2.5 · upside 13.5NORB#405.52.513.5Chris OlaveNO · #4 · floor 7.3 · upside 30.9NOWR#418.17.330.9Malik NabersNYG · #19 · floor 2.7 · upside 25.1NYGWR#1910.72.725.1Devaughn VeleNO · #34 · floor 2.2 · upside 17.1NOWR#349.22.217.1Malachi FieldsNYG · #55 · floor 2.2 · upside 15.3NYGWR#556.92.215.3Kevin Austin Jr.NO · #65 · floor 2.2 · upside 13.8NOWR#656.62.213.8Darnell MooneyNYG · #76 · floor 0.0 · upside 12.8NYGWR#764.60.012.8Isaiah LikelyNYG · #3 · floor 6.3 · upside 25.3NYGTE#312.46.325.3Juwan JohnsonNO · #5 · floor 4.3 · upside 18.9NOTE#510.54.318.9Noah FantNO · #21 · floor 1.8 · upside 13.8NOTE#215.71.813.8Theo JohnsonNYG · #35 · floor 0.0 · upside 11.3NYGTE#354.40.011.3PardonMe vs the Odds
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
These comparisons use the legacy model, not the PA-1 simulation above. PA-1 has not been validated against sportsbook lines, so no edge is claimed.
Current game market comparisons are not available yet.
More
Advanced player detail →
Tyler Shough NO · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- 33.6 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 19.1 · 80% 8.4–29.8
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Alvin Kamara NO · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Questionable
- Projected workload
- 10.4 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 8.4 · 80% 0.5–16.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Kendre Miller NO · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 10.3 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 7.9 · 80% 0.0–15.8
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Chris Olave NO · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- 9.3 targets
- Full-PPR
- 16.5 · 80% 8.8–24.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Devaughn Vele NO · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 6.4 targets
- Full-PPR
- 10.7 · 80% 3.0–18.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Kevin Austin Jr. NO · WR
- Current role
- WR2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Transaction Effective
- Projected workload
- 5.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.7 · 80% 1.0–16.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Juwan Johnson NO · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 5.8 targets
- Full-PPR
- 9.7 · 80% 3.4–15.9
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Noah Fant NO · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- 4.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.9 · 80% 0.6–13.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jameis Winston NYG · QB
- Current role
- QB2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Transaction Effective
- Projected workload
- 28.7 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 15.6 · 80% 5.0–26.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Cam Skattebo NYG · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- 15.2 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 11.3 · 80% 3.4–19.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Devin Singletary NYG · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 12.2 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 10.8 · 80% 2.9–18.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Darnell Mooney NYG · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 3.8 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.7 · 80% 0.0–14.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Malik Nabers NYG · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- 6.5 targets
- Full-PPR
- 12.6 · 80% 4.9–20.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Malachi Fields NYG · WR
- Current role
- WR2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 4.5 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.4 · 80% 0.7–16.0
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Isaiah Likely NYG · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- 8.0 targets
- Full-PPR
- 13.5 · 80% 7.2–19.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Theo Johnson NYG · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 2.9 targets
- Full-PPR
- 5.2 · 80% 0.0–11.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Touchdown connections
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
NO offensive TD state2.2 expected10.9% zero · 38.3% 3+
NYG offensive TD state2.4 expected8.9% zero · 43.6% 3+
Weather & venue
VenueMetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
Roof typeOpen Air
Playing surfaceArtificial Turf
ForecastUnknownForecast lead time unknown
Outdoor weather-sensitive environment; weather evidence Unknown.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Madden talent context
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Unit matchup indexes
Quarterback rushing ranges
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
Attempts 3.1 mean · 0.0–9.0 80%Net yards 15 mean · 0–36 80%Rush TD 4% 1+
Attempts 2.7 mean · 0.0–5.0 80%Net yards 11 mean · -2–28 80%Rush TD 2% 1+
Depth and status detail
Current depthBoth teams available
AvailabilityNot yet required
Practice report timingNot yet required
WeatherNot yet available
Completeness notes
- Not yet required
- Current Depth Not Historical Role Input
- Rolling History Bridge Confidence Penalty
- Weather Forecast Not Yet Available
Team role detail
NYG
80 current depth players
73 with prior usage context
8 prior high-snap players
NO
89 current depth players
73 with prior usage context
5 prior high-snap players
Sources & methodology
Projection snapshots
Feature 1a5eee0528c1ef7b57bf8d87af194002e3ab082afb9eeafaa781789684bb9d5e
Prediction 9dcc8d6843dd910920495bd93f99f069f714ba1b15ba8a3fdf9e7ec42881ee38
Week 2756af9cfd0e102960aa259fd190a7120e93eb926ddc2f3089a38a0c2010be78
As of 2026-10-18 16:04:37.000000
Serving contracts used
- Game projection:
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id) - Player context:
nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id) - Forward fantasy:
nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr') - Market comparisons:
nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id) - Unit and passing context:
nfl_unit_matchups_servingandnfl_passing_matchups_serving
Current support states
- Depth support: Both teams available
- Availability support: Not yet required
- Weather support: Not yet available
- Projection confidence (technical): limited input