Aaron Rodgers · PIT
- Attempts
- 32.5 mean · 34.0 median · 22.0–42.0 80%
- Completions
- 20.6 mean · 21.0 median · 13.0–27.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 218 mean · 215 median · 147–280 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.35 mean · 73% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.66 mean · 47% 1+
PardonMe PA-1 · frozen forecast
PIT at TB
Sunday, October 18 · 12:00 PM CDT
PIT 21.8 — TB 21.5
Nearly even · PIT 48.7%
Projected total 43.3 · Confidence: limited input
PardonMe projects
Nearly even.
PA-1 simulation · forecast of record
Game simulation
Frozen Oct 18, 11:05 AM CDT · 55 min before kickoff · 4,000 simulations
Limited input. PIT: no verified-complete official inactive list (INACTIVES_PARTIAL) TB: no verified-complete official inactive list (INACTIVES_PARTIAL) Missing evidence stays unknown, not healthy.
Projected score (mean)PIT 21.8 — TB 21.5Average of the simulated regulation scores
Expected total43.380% of simulations: 27–60
Expected margin · implied spreadPIT by 0.3 · PIT −0.3Spread is the model-implied line from the mean margin, not a sportsbook line
Regulation resultPIT 48.7% · TB 46.7%Tie after 60 minutes: 4.6% · overtime not modelled
Scoring range
SimulatedLow (10th)MedianHigh (90th)Mean
PIT score10.021.034.021.8
TB score10.021.034.021.5
Combined total27.043.060.043.3
TB margin (home − away)-17.00.017.0-0.3
The 10th–90th percentile band holds 80% of the simulated games. It describes this simulation, not a guaranteed outcome.
How this forecast was made →
- Model
- PA-1 · D4 v1.4 (clock_v2, eoh_timing, half_hazard, team_strength, qb_cap) · contract pa1-live-2026-v1.0
- Simulations
- 4,000 regulation games, primary arm A_DJ
- Information cutoff
- Oct 18, 11:00 AM CDT (evidence as of Oct 18, 11:00 AM CDT)
- Frozen
- Oct 18, 11:05:27 AM CDT · on time · before kickoff
- Evidence class
- FROZEN_LIMITED_INPUT · decision grade: no
- Availability evidence
- TB: INACTIVES PARTIAL. PIT: INACTIVES PARTIAL.
- Games of usage history
- TB: 5. PIT: 5.
- Record
f9b07d8aad10e665(ledger entry) · codee2eb0e80
Limitations
- Event templates are the origin-(2026,1) pool; the QB level-2 fit is not point-in-time.
- Shadow arm B (alloc_u, INCONCLUSIVE) is a development candidate and is never the forecast of record.
- Regulation only; overtime is not modelled.
- Historical personnel evidence behind the mechanisms is reconstruction-grade.
- Regulation only: overtime is not modelled, so a regulation tie is shown as a tie, not split between the teams.
- Forecast of record is arm A_DJ; the shadow arm B_DJ and reference arm A_D are not shown.
- The score ranges describe the simulation, not a guarantee; PA-1 has no validated edge over sportsbook lines.
One simulated score distribution produces every number above. It is shown for information, not as a betting recommendation, and has not been validated against sportsbook lines.
Player stat models
Player projections
Existing QB, RB, WR and TE statistical models — separate from the PA-1 game simulation. Each line shows mean · median · 80% range.
Quarterback ranges
Baker Mayfield · TB
- Attempts
- 28.7 mean · 29.0 median · 19.0–41.0 80%
- Completions
- 18.0 mean · 18.0 median · 11.0–25.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 196 mean · 190 median · 107–304 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.17 mean · 68% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.65 mean · 47% 1+
Running back ranges
Eli Heidenreich · PIT
- Opportunities
- 3.8 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–11.0 80%
- Carries
- 3.0 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–9.0 80%
- Targets
- 0.8 mean · 0.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 19 mean · 12 median · 0–52 80%
- Receptions
- 0.7 mean · 0.0 median · 0.0–2.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 6 mean · 0 median · 0–21 80%
- Total TD
- 16% 1+
Jaylen Warren · PIT
- Opportunities
- 17.8 mean · 17.0 median · 12.0–24.0 80%
- Carries
- 14.1 mean · 14.0 median · 9.0–19.0 80%
- Targets
- 3.7 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 57 mean · 54 median · 29–89 80%
- Receptions
- 2.5 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 21 mean · 19 median · 7–41 80%
- Total TD
- 38% 1+
Bucky Irving · TB
- Opportunities
- 15.9 mean · 17.0 median · 9.0–22.0 80%
- Carries
- 13.4 mean · 14.0 median · 8.0–19.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.5 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 53 mean · 52 median · 26–79 80%
- Receptions
- 2.0 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 16 mean · 15 median · 0–32 80%
- Total TD
- 36% 1+
Receiver and tight end ranges
Pat Freiermuth · PIT · TE
- Targets
- 5.4 mean · 6.0 median · 3.0–7.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.9 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 41 mean · 43 median · 22–64 80%
- Receiving TD
- 27% 1+
Darnell Washington · PIT · TE
- Targets
- 3.2 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.3 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 28 mean · 24 median · 12–48 80%
- Receiving TD
- 14% 1+
DK Metcalf · PIT · WR
- Targets
- 6.4 mean · 7.0 median · 2.0–10.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.5 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 43 mean · 38 median · 12–75 80%
- Receiving TD
- 20% 1+
Michael Pittman Jr. · PIT · WR
- Targets
- 4.5 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–11.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.8 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 28 mean · 20 median · 0–70 80%
- Receiving TD
- 14% 1+
Roman Wilson · PIT · WR
No confirmed projection range yet from current role/status.
MediumPayne Durham · TB · TE
- Targets
- 1.6 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Receptions
- 1.1 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 12 mean · 9 median · 0–31 80%
- Receiving TD
- 11% 1+
Cade Otton · TB · TE
- Targets
- 5.3 mean · 5.0 median · 2.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.6 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 35 mean · 32 median · 12–60 80%
- Receiving TD
- 20% 1+
Emeka Egbuka · TB · WR
- Targets
- 6.4 mean · 7.0 median · 3.0–9.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.6 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 40 mean · 37 median · 15–70 80%
- Receiving TD
- 20% 1+
Chris Godwin Jr. · TB · WR
- Targets
- 6.2 mean · 6.0 median · 3.0–9.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.4 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 49 mean · 45 median · 23–78 80%
- Receiving TD
- 21% 1+
Ted Hurst III · TB · WR
- Targets
- 4.8 mean · 4.0 median · 3.0–8.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.9 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 42 mean · 41 median · 13–84 80%
- Receiving TD
- 24% 1+
14 individualized projections. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Players ruled out or suppressed by current injury and availability evidence are not projected. Player ranges are not produced by, and do not sum to, the PA-1 team scores.
Other PardonMe models (comparison)
The PA-1 simulation above is the forecast of record. These earlier models are kept for comparison and are not combined with it.
PardonMe Unified
Best historical score model
Unified unavailable — P5 baseline shown.
Full Football
Personnel-aware football model
Full Football unavailable.
P5 V4 baseline
Previous production baseline
PIT 22.7 — TB 21.7
PIT · 57.3% win probability
- Margin
- PIT 1.0
- Total
- 44.4
As of Oct 13, 2026 11:28 UTC
Current personnel
Expected lineup & depth
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
PITWeek 6 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Official depth order is ambiguous.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
Official depth & availability evidence
QB official #1 — Aaron Rodgers · Current status: Transaction Effective
QB official #2 — Mason Rudolph · Availability unknown
QB official #3 — Will Howard · Inactive for Week 4
QB official #4 — Drew Allar · Inactive for Week 4
RB official #1 — Jaylen Warren · Availability unknown
RB official #2 — Rico Dowdle · Full
RB official #3 — Eli Heidenreich · Inactive for Week 4
RB official #4 — Travis Homer · Released
TE official #1 — Pat Freiermuth · Availability unknown
TE official #1 — Darnell Washington · Current status: Transaction Effective
TE official #2 — Robert Tonyan · Current status: Transaction Effective
WR official #1 — Roman Wilson · Did not participate
WR official #2 — Kaden Wetjen · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — DK Metcalf · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Ben Skowronek · Did not participate
WR official #1 — Germie Bernard · Availability unknown
TBWeek 6 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
Official depth & availability evidence
QB official #1 — Baker Mayfield · Did not participate
QB official #2 — Jalon Daniels · Current status: Transaction Effective
RB official #1 — Bucky Irving · Limited
RB official #2 — Kenny Gainwell · Availability unknown
RB official #3 — Sean Tucker · Limited
TE official #1 — Cade Otton · Current status: Transaction Effective
TE official #2 — Payne Durham · Availability unknown
TE official #3 — Ko Kieft · Did not participate
TE official #4 — Bauer Sharp · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Emeka Egbuka · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Tez Johnson · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Ted Hurst III · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Chris Godwin Jr. · Full
WR official #2 — Kameron Johnson · Availability unknown
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Overview
Projected points21.821.5
Win probability (regulation)48.7%46.7%
Depth chartNot confirmed yetNot confirmed yet
Current status74 updates75 updates
Matchup context
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 134 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 23 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
PIT recent scoring form vs TB prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 29.3; opponent allowed 18.7.
TB recent scoring form vs PIT prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 18.0; opponent allowed 25.3.
Players
PIT
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
QBAaron RodgersCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction Effective16.4QBMason RudolphNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableQBWill HowardInactive for Week 4UnknownInactive for Week 4Projection unavailableQBDrew AllarInactive for Week 4UnknownInactive for Week 4Projection unavailableRBJaylen WarrenNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update12.6RBRico DowdleFullUnknownFullProjection unavailableRBEli HeidenreichInactive for Week 4UnknownInactive for Week 44.3RBTravis HomerReleasedUnknownReleasedProjection unavailableTEPat FreiermuthNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update10.5TEDarnell WashingtonCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction Effective6.4TERobert TonyanCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveProjection unavailableWRRoman WilsonDid not participateUnknownDid not participateProjection unavailableWRKaden WetjenNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRDK MetcalfNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update10.7WRBen SkowronekDid not participateUnknownDid not participateProjection unavailableWRGermie BernardNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableTB
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
QBBaker MayfieldDid not participateUnknownDid not participate15.8QBJalon DanielsCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveProjection unavailableRBBucky IrvingLimitedUnknownLimited11.6RBKenny GainwellNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableRBSean TuckerLimitedUnknownLimitedProjection unavailableTECade OttonCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction Effective8.6TEPayne DurhamNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update3.3TEKo KieftDid not participateUnknownDid not participateProjection unavailableTEBauer SharpNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWREmeka EgbukaNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update9.9WRTez JohnsonNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRTed Hurst IIINo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update8.3WRChris Godwin Jr.FullUnknownFull9.8WRKameron JohnsonNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailablePlayer projection ranges now appear in Player projections above.
Fantasy
Full-PPR
Full rankings →Game projections
PlayerTeamPosRankMedianFloorUpside
Baker MayfieldTB · #19 · floor 6.9 · upside 21.9TBQB#1913.26.921.9Aaron RodgersPIT · #22 · floor 6.5 · upside 21.4PITQB#2213.06.521.4Jaylen WarrenPIT · #9 · floor 5.8 · upside 21.9PITRB#912.35.821.9Bucky IrvingTB · #16 · floor 4.7 · upside 19.8TBRB#1610.74.719.8Eli HeidenreichPIT · #50 · floor 0.0 · upside 12.3PITRB#502.00.012.3Chris Godwin Jr.TB · #29 · floor 4.3 · upside 18.7TBWR#2910.54.318.7Roman WilsonPIT · #37 · floor 2.3 · upside 17.7PITWR#379.22.317.7DK MetcalfPIT · #40 · floor 2.2 · upside 17.2PITWR#409.02.217.2Emeka EgbukaTB · #42 · floor 2.5 · upside 15.9TBWR#428.82.515.9Ted Hurst IIITB · #44 · floor 2.3 · upside 16.8TBWR#447.12.316.8Michael Pittman Jr.PIT · #70 · floor 0.0 · upside 15.9PITWR#704.00.015.9Pat FreiermuthPIT · #11 · floor 4.3 · upside 16.4PITTE#119.24.316.4Cade OttonTB · #15 · floor 2.3 · upside 15.1TBTE#158.12.315.1Darnell WashingtonPIT · #24 · floor 2.2 · upside 11.0PITTE#244.42.211.0Payne DurhamTB · #48 · floor 0.0 · upside 9.2TBTE#481.90.09.2PardonMe vs the Odds
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
These comparisons use the legacy model, not the PA-1 simulation above. PA-1 has not been validated against sportsbook lines, so no edge is claimed.
Current game market comparisons are not available yet.
More
Advanced player detail →
Aaron Rodgers PIT · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Transaction Effective
- Projected workload
- 32.2 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 16.4 · 80% 5.7–27.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jaylen Warren PIT · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 15.2 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 12.6 · 80% 4.7–20.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Eli Heidenreich PIT · RB
- Current role
- RB3
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Inactive for Week 4
- Projected workload
- 5.3 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 4.3 · 80% 0.0–12.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
DK Metcalf PIT · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 6.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 10.7 · 80% 3.1–18.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Michael Pittman Jr. PIT · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 4.4 targets
- Full-PPR
- 7.3 · 80% 0.0–15.0
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Roman Wilson PIT · WR
- Current role
- Unavailable
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- Unavailable
- Full-PPR
- Unavailable
- Projection basis
- Suppressed by current availability
Pat Freiermuth PIT · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 5.5 targets
- Full-PPR
- 10.5 · 80% 4.3–16.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Darnell Washington PIT · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Transaction Effective
- Projected workload
- 3.7 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.4 · 80% 0.2–12.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Baker Mayfield TB · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Did not participate
- Projected workload
- 28.9 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 15.8 · 80% 5.2–26.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Bucky Irving TB · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 59% offense
- Availability
- Limited
- Projected workload
- 15.6 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 11.6 · 80% 3.7–19.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Emeka Egbuka TB · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 94% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 5.8 targets
- Full-PPR
- 9.9 · 80% 2.2–17.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Chris Godwin Jr. TB · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 89% offense
- Availability
- Did not participate
- Projected workload
- 5.5 targets
- Full-PPR
- 9.8 · 80% 2.1–17.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Ted Hurst III TB · WR
- Current role
- WR2
- Prior usage
- 40% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 4.8 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.3 · 80% 0.6–16.0
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Cade Otton TB · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 95% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Transaction Effective
- Projected workload
- 5.1 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.6 · 80% 2.4–14.8
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Payne Durham TB · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- 8% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 1.8 targets
- Full-PPR
- 3.3 · 80% 0.0–9.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Touchdown connections
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
PIT offensive TD state2.5 expected8.0% zero · 46.1% 3+
TB offensive TD state2.3 expected10.3% zero · 39.6% 3+
Weather & venue
VenueVenue unknown
Roof typeUnknown
Playing surfaceUnknown
ForecastUnknownForecast lead time unknown
Game environment Unknown.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Madden talent context
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Unit matchup indexes
Quarterback rushing ranges
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
Attempts 1.5 mean · 0.0–3.0 80%Net yards 7 mean · -3–20 80%Rush TD 1% 1+
Attempts 3.6 mean · 1.0–6.0 80%Net yards 25 mean · 1–49 80%Rush TD 3% 1+
Depth and status detail
Current depthBoth teams available
AvailabilityNot yet required
Practice report timingNot yet required
WeatherNot yet available
Completeness notes
- Not yet required
- Current Depth Not Historical Role Input
- Rolling History Bridge Confidence Penalty
- Weather Forecast Not Yet Available
Team role detail
TB
91 current depth players
71 with prior usage context
22 prior high-snap players
PIT
82 current depth players
63 with prior usage context
1 prior high-snap players
Sources & methodology
Projection snapshots
Feature b456e6eb310bb0af39d4a2b51b43ab232d2b3d51dd9c80d7bcf6b381fa9cfdbd
Prediction f9b07d8aad10e665f62e82a256e838385436fb280714bb31ae7115d8e3e24fd2
Week 2756af9cfd0e102960aa259fd190a7120e93eb926ddc2f3089a38a0c2010be78
As of 2026-10-18 16:05:27.000000
Serving contracts used
- Game projection:
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id) - Player context:
nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id) - Forward fantasy:
nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr') - Market comparisons:
nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id) - Unit and passing context:
nfl_unit_matchups_servingandnfl_passing_matchups_serving
Current support states
- Depth support: Both teams available
- Availability support: Not yet required
- Weather support: Not yet available
- Projection confidence (technical): limited input