Jacoby Brissett · ARI
- Attempts
- 29.4 mean · 29.0 median · 20.0–42.0 80%
- Completions
- 18.8 mean · 18.0 median · 12.0–28.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 189 mean · 188 median · 95–259 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.35 mean · 72% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.65 mean · 48% 1+
PardonMe PA-1 · frozen forecast
ARI at LAR
Sunday, October 18 · 3:05 PM CDT
ARI 18.1 — LAR 27.9
LAR clear edge · LAR 76.3%
Projected total 46.0 · Confidence: limited input
PardonMe projects
LAR clear edge.
PA-1 simulation · forecast of record
Game simulation
Frozen Oct 18, 2:07 PM CDT · 57 min before kickoff · 4,000 simulations
Limited input. ARI: no verified-complete official inactive list (INACTIVES_PARTIAL) LA: no verified-complete official inactive list (INACTIVES_PARTIAL) Missing evidence stays unknown, not healthy.
Projected score (mean)ARI 18.1 — LAR 27.9Average of the simulated regulation scores
Expected total46.080% of simulations: 30–63
Expected margin · implied spreadLAR by 9.8 · LAR −9.8Spread is the model-implied line from the mean margin, not a sportsbook line
Regulation resultARI 20.1% · LAR 76.3%Tie after 60 minutes: 3.6% · overtime not modelled
Scoring range
SimulatedLow (10th)MedianHigh (90th)Mean
ARI score7.017.030.018.1
LAR score16.027.040.127.9
Combined total30.045.063.046.0
LAR margin (home − away)-6.010.026.09.8
The 10th–90th percentile band holds 80% of the simulated games. It describes this simulation, not a guaranteed outcome.
How this forecast was made →
- Model
- PA-1 · D4 v1.4 (clock_v2, eoh_timing, half_hazard, team_strength, qb_cap) · contract pa1-live-2026-v1.0
- Simulations
- 4,000 regulation games, primary arm A_DJ
- Information cutoff
- Oct 18, 2:05 PM CDT (evidence as of Oct 18, 2:05 PM CDT)
- Frozen
- Oct 18, 2:07:59 PM CDT · on time · before kickoff
- Evidence class
- FROZEN_LIMITED_INPUT · decision grade: no
- Availability evidence
- LA: INACTIVES PARTIAL. ARI: INACTIVES PARTIAL.
- Games of usage history
- LA: 5. ARI: 5.
- Record
16a243b9dc459f17(ledger entry) · codee2eb0e80
Limitations
- Event templates are the origin-(2026,1) pool; the QB level-2 fit is not point-in-time.
- Shadow arm B (alloc_u, INCONCLUSIVE) is a development candidate and is never the forecast of record.
- Regulation only; overtime is not modelled.
- Historical personnel evidence behind the mechanisms is reconstruction-grade.
- Regulation only: overtime is not modelled, so a regulation tie is shown as a tie, not split between the teams.
- Forecast of record is arm A_DJ; the shadow arm B_DJ and reference arm A_D are not shown.
- The score ranges describe the simulation, not a guarantee; PA-1 has no validated edge over sportsbook lines.
One simulated score distribution produces every number above. It is shown for information, not as a betting recommendation, and has not been validated against sportsbook lines.
Player stat models
Player projections
Existing QB, RB, WR and TE statistical models — separate from the PA-1 game simulation. Each line shows mean · median · 80% range.
Quarterback ranges
Matthew Stafford · LAR
- Attempts
- 30.4 mean · 30.0 median · 18.0–47.0 80%
- Completions
- 20.0 mean · 19.0 median · 11.0–31.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 225 mean · 222 median · 115–344 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.49 mean · 74% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.69 mean · 49% 1+
Running back ranges
Tyler Allgeier · ARI
- Opportunities
- 9.2 mean · 8.0 median · 3.0–17.0 80%
- Carries
- 7.1 mean · 6.0 median · 2.0–14.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.1 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 31 mean · 27 median · 11–55 80%
- Receptions
- 1.6 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 11 mean · 7 median · 0–24 80%
- Total TD
- 26% 1+
Jeremiyah Love · ARI
- Opportunities
- 15.3 mean · 14.0 median · 8.0–26.0 80%
- Carries
- 12.9 mean · 12.0 median · 7.0–21.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.3 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 47 mean · 43 median · 22–80 80%
- Receptions
- 1.9 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 13 mean · 12 median · 0–28 80%
- Total TD
- 34% 1+
Blake Corum · LAR
- Opportunities
- 8.9 mean · 8.0 median · 4.0–14.0 80%
- Carries
- 7.7 mean · 7.0 median · 3.0–13.0 80%
- Targets
- 1.2 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 43 mean · 38 median · 19–74 80%
- Receptions
- 1.0 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–2.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 8 mean · 7 median · 0–21 80%
- Total TD
- 29% 1+
Kyren Williams · LAR
- Opportunities
- 20.4 mean · 19.0 median · 15.0–31.0 80%
- Carries
- 15.8 mean · 15.0 median · 10.0–24.0 80%
- Targets
- 4.6 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–8.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 68 mean · 63 median · 38–106 80%
- Receptions
- 3.3 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 24 mean · 22 median · 7–44 80%
- Total TD
- 45% 1+
Receiver and tight end ranges
Elijah Higgins · ARI · TE
- Targets
- 2.9 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.2 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 23 mean · 20 median · 8–49 80%
- Receiving TD
- 14% 1+
Trey McBride · ARI · TE
- Targets
- 9.0 mean · 9.0 median · 4.0–12.0 80%
- Receptions
- 6.8 mean · 7.0 median · 3.0–10.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 60 mean · 63 median · 28–89 80%
- Receiving TD
- 36% 1+
Kendrick Bourne · ARI · WR
- Targets
- 5.2 mean · 5.0 median · 2.0–10.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.7 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 45 mean · 35 median · 23–83 80%
- Receiving TD
- 17% 1+
Marvin Harrison Jr. · ARI · WR
- Targets
- 3.8 mean · 3.0 median · 0.0–9.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.0 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 30 mean · 29 median · 0–74 80%
- Receiving TD
- 16% 1+
Michael Wilson · ARI · WR
- Targets
- 8.5 mean · 7.0 median · 2.0–15.0 80%
- Receptions
- 5.1 mean · 5.0 median · 1.0–10.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 64 mean · 53 median · 16–116 80%
- Receiving TD
- 38% 1+
Davis Allen · LAR · TE
- Targets
- 2.3 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–4.0 80%
- Receptions
- 1.5 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 14 mean · 9 median · 0–36 80%
- Receiving TD
- 12% 1+
Colby Parkinson · LAR · TE
- Targets
- 2.3 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Receptions
- 1.5 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 14 mean · 16 median · 0–37 80%
- Receiving TD
- 14% 1+
Davante Adams · LAR · WR
- Targets
- 7.6 mean · 8.0 median · 5.0–10.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.5 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 62 mean · 56 median · 27–98 80%
- Receiving TD
- 50% 1+
CJ Daniels · LAR · WR
- Targets
- 4.8 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–10.0 80%
- Receptions
- 3.0 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 39 mean · 25 median · 13–76 80%
- Receiving TD
- 20% 1+
Puka Nacua · LAR · WR
- Targets
- 7.8 mean · 8.0 median · 3.0–13.0 80%
- Receptions
- 5.6 mean · 5.0 median · 1.0–10.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 74 mean · 70 median · 17–138 80%
- Receiving TD
- 35% 1+
15 individualized projections · 1 baseline projection. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Players ruled out or suppressed by current injury and availability evidence are not projected. Player ranges are not produced by, and do not sum to, the PA-1 team scores.
Other PardonMe models (comparison)
The PA-1 simulation above is the forecast of record. These earlier models are kept for comparison and are not combined with it.
PardonMe Unified
Best historical score model
Unified unavailable — P5 baseline shown.
Full Football
Personnel-aware football model
Full Football unavailable.
P5 V4 baseline
Previous production baseline
ARI 20.3 — LAR 26.1
LAR · 62.2% win probability
- Margin
- LAR 5.8
- Total
- 46.4
As of Oct 13, 2026 11:28 UTC
Current personnel
Expected lineup & depth
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
ARIWeek 6 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
Official depth & availability evidence
QB official #1 — Jacoby Brissett · Availability unknown
QB official #2 — Gardner Minshew II · Availability unknown
QB official #3 — Carson Beck · Availability unknown
RB official #1 — Tyler Allgeier · Availability unknown
RB official #2 — Jeremiyah Love · Did not participate
RB official #3 — Bam Knight · Availability unknown
TE official #1 — Trey McBride · Availability unknown
TE official #2 — Elijah Higgins · Availability unknown
TE official #3 — Teagan Quitoriano · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Michael Wilson · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Simi Fehoko · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Jalen Brooks · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Reggie Virgil · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Kendrick Bourne · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Devin Duvernay · Limited
LARWeek 6 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Official depth order is ambiguous.
TE: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
Official depth & availability evidence
QB official #1 — Matthew Stafford · Availability unknown
QB official #2 — Stetson Bennett IV · Availability unknown
QB official #3 — Ty Simpson · Availability unknown
RB official #1 — Kyren Williams · Availability unknown
RB official #2 — Blake Corum · Availability unknown
RB official #3 — Dean Connors · Waived
TE official #1 — Davis Allen · Did not participate
TE official #1 — Tyler Higbee · Did not participate
TE official #1 — Colby Parkinson · Limited
TE official #2 — Max Klare · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Davante Adams · Full
WR official #2 — Konata Mumpfield · Full
WR official #3 — CJ Daniels · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Puka Nacua · Limited
WR official #2 — Jordan Whittington · Availability unknown
WR official #3 — Tutu Atwell · Availability unknown
WR official #4 — Alex Bachman · Full
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Overview
Projected points18.127.9
Win probability (regulation)20.1%76.3%
Depth chartNot confirmed yetNot confirmed yet
Current status35 updates58 updates
Matchup context
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 151 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 6 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
LAR recent scoring form vs ARI prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 28.0; opponent allowed 39.0.
ARI recent scoring form vs LAR prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 25.0; opponent allowed 29.0.
Players
ARI
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
QBJacoby BrissettNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update16.0QBGardner Minshew IINo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableQBCarson BeckNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableRBTyler AllgeierNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update8.9RBJeremiyah LoveDid not participateUnknownDid not participate11.3RBBam KnightNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableTETrey McBrideNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update13.9TEElijah HigginsNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update4.7TETeagan QuitorianoNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRMichael WilsonNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update14.2WRSimi FehokoNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRJalen BrooksNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRReggie VirgilNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRKendrick BourneNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update8.9WRDevin DuvernayLimitedUnknownLimitedProjection unavailableLAR
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
QBMatthew StaffordNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update18.9QBStetson Bennett IVNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableQBTy SimpsonNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableRBKyren WilliamsNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update17.3RBBlake CorumNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update8.6RBDean ConnorsWaivedUnknownWaivedProjection unavailableTEDavis AllenDid not participateUnknownDid not participate5.0TETyler HigbeeDid not participateUnknownDid not participateProjection unavailableTEColby ParkinsonLimitedUnknownLimited4.9TEMax KlareNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRDavante AdamsFullUnknownFull14.2WRKonata MumpfieldFullUnknownFullProjection unavailableWRCJ DanielsNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update9.3WRPuka NacuaLimitedUnknownLimited15.8WRJordan WhittingtonNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRTutu AtwellNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRAlex BachmanFullUnknownFullProjection unavailablePlayer projection ranges now appear in Player projections above.
Fantasy
Full-PPR
Full rankings →Game projections
PlayerTeamPosRankMedianFloorUpside
Matthew StaffordLAR · #18 · floor 5.2 · upside 23.8LARQB#1813.15.223.8Jacoby BrissettARI · #24 · floor 5.4 · upside 21.1ARIQB#2412.25.421.1Kyren WilliamsLAR · #2 · floor 7.8 · upside 26.7LARRB#215.07.826.7Jeremiyah LoveARI · #21 · floor 3.7 · upside 19.2ARIRB#219.13.719.2Blake CorumLAR · #32 · floor 2.5 · upside 15.8LARRB#326.82.515.8Tyler AllgeierARI · #38 · floor 2.0 · upside 14.9ARIRB#386.02.014.9Puka NacuaLAR · #9 · floor 3.6 · upside 28.9LARWR#914.43.628.9Davante AdamsLAR · #12 · floor 4.8 · upside 25.1LARWR#1214.34.825.1Michael WilsonARI · #13 · floor 3.6 · upside 26.7ARIWR#1313.13.626.7Kendrick BourneARI · #39 · floor 4.3 · upside 17.6ARIWR#398.74.317.6CJ DanielsLAR · #52 · floor 2.3 · upside 18.1LARWR#526.82.318.1Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI · #74 · floor 0.0 · upside 15.9ARIWR#744.90.015.9Trey McBrideARI · #2 · floor 5.9 · upside 24.5ARITE#215.35.924.5Elijah HigginsARI · #31 · floor 1.8 · upside 12.0ARITE#314.01.812.0Colby ParkinsonLAR · #40 · floor 0.0 · upside 9.7LARTE#402.70.09.7Davis AllenLAR · #42 · floor 0.0 · upside 8.7LARTE#422.70.08.7PardonMe vs the Odds
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
These comparisons use the legacy model, not the PA-1 simulation above. PA-1 has not been validated against sportsbook lines, so no edge is claimed.
Current game market comparisons are not available yet.
More
Advanced player detail →
Jacoby Brissett ARI · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 29.4 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 16.0 · 80% 5.3–26.7
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Tyler Allgeier ARI · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 10.2 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 8.9 · 80% 1.1–16.8
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jeremiyah Love ARI · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- 14.2 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 11.3 · 80% 3.4–19.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Kendrick Bourne ARI · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 5.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 8.9 · 80% 1.2–16.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Inactive for Week 5
- Projected workload
- 3.6 targets
- Full-PPR
- 5.8 · 80% 0.0–13.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Michael Wilson ARI · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 8.1 targets
- Full-PPR
- 14.2 · 80% 6.5–21.9
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Trey McBride ARI · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 8.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 13.9 · 80% 7.7–20.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Elijah Higgins ARI · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 2.6 targets
- Full-PPR
- 4.7 · 80% 0.0–10.9
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Matthew Stafford LAR · QB
- Current role
- QB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 30.5 pass attempts
- Full-PPR
- 18.9 · 80% 8.2–29.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone passing: Unknown attempts · Unknown completions · Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Kyren Williams LAR · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 18.6 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 17.3 · 80% 9.4–25.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Blake Corum LAR · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 10.4 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 8.6 · 80% 0.7–16.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Davante Adams LAR · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- 7.5 targets
- Full-PPR
- 14.2 · 80% 6.5–21.9
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Puka Nacua LAR · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Limited
- Projected workload
- 8.0 targets
- Full-PPR
- 15.8 · 80% 8.2–23.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
CJ Daniels LAR · WR
- Current role
- WR3
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 5.0 targets
- Full-PPR
- 9.3 · 80% 1.6–17.0
- Projection basis
- Baseline projection — 2025 production unavailable · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Davis Allen LAR · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 2.5 targets
- Full-PPR
- 5.0 · 80% 0.0–11.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Colby Parkinson LAR · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- Unknown
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- 2.4 targets
- Full-PPR
- 4.9 · 80% 0.0–11.1
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Touchdown connections
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
ARI offensive TD state2.2 expected10.9% zero · 38.3% 3+
LAR offensive TD state3.2 expected4.0% zero · 62.4% 3+
Weather & venue
VenueSoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA
Roof typeFixed Roof
Playing surfaceArtificial Turf
ForecastNot ApplicableForecast lead time unknown
Indoor controlled environment; exterior weather is not gameplay weather.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Madden talent context
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Unit matchup indexes
Quarterback rushing ranges
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
Attempts 2.6 mean · 0.0–6.0 80%Net yards 11 mean · 0–19 80%Rush TD 2% 1+
Attempts 1.7 mean · 0.0–4.0 80%Net yards 4 mean · -1–13 80%Rush TD 1% 1+
Depth and status detail
Current depthBoth teams available
AvailabilityNot yet required
Practice report timingNot yet required
WeatherNot yet available
Completeness notes
- Not yet required
- Current Depth Not Historical Role Input
- Rolling History Bridge Confidence Penalty
- Weather Forecast Not Yet Available
Team role detail
LAR
93 current depth players
72 with prior usage context
1 prior high-snap players
ARI
100 current depth players
79 with prior usage context
5 prior high-snap players
Sources & methodology
Projection snapshots
Feature 49219a35fb771a20e9f371deaec0d6ffe102b539976dee6f6adc0ab0cc149f56
Prediction 16a243b9dc459f1763c6375cdc89f526d78ec52c7b105033597518c4e831c9b7
Week 2756af9cfd0e102960aa259fd190a7120e93eb926ddc2f3089a38a0c2010be78
As of 2026-10-18 19:07:59.000000
Serving contracts used
- Game projection:
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id) - Player context:
nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id) - Forward fantasy:
nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr') - Market comparisons:
nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id) - Unit and passing context:
nfl_unit_matchups_servingandnfl_passing_matchups_serving
Current support states
- Depth support: Both teams available
- Availability support: Not yet required
- Weather support: Not yet available
- Projection confidence (technical): limited input