Josh Allen · BUF
- Attempts
- 29.4 mean · 29.0 median · 19.0–38.0 80%
- Completions
- 19.1 mean · 19.0 median · 12.0–26.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 225 mean · 221 median · 128–328 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.35 mean · 72% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.65 mean · 48% 1+
Sunday, October 18 · 3:25 PM CDT
BUF 27.1 — LV 20.5
BUF edge · BUF 67.8%
Projected total 47.6 · Confidence: limited input
Frozen Oct 18, 2:28 PM CDT · 57 min before kickoff · 4,000 simulations
Limited input. BUF: no verified-complete official inactive list (INACTIVES_PARTIAL) LV: no verified-complete official inactive list (INACTIVES_PARTIAL) Missing evidence stays unknown, not healthy.
The 10th–90th percentile band holds 80% of the simulated games. It describes this simulation, not a guaranteed outcome.
8ac4460d5a3f801a (ledger entry) · code e2eb0e80One simulated score distribution produces every number above. It is shown for information, not as a betting recommendation, and has not been validated against sportsbook lines.
Existing QB, RB, WR and TE statistical models — separate from the PA-1 game simulation. Each line shows mean · median · 80% range.
15 individualized projections. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Players ruled out or suppressed by current injury and availability evidence are not projected. Player ranges are not produced by, and do not sum to, the PA-1 team scores.
The PA-1 simulation above is the forecast of record. These earlier models are kept for comparison and are not combined with it.
Best historical score model
Unified unavailable — P5 baseline shown.
Personnel-aware football model
Full Football unavailable.
Previous production baseline
BUF 23.8 — LV 23.3
BUF · 55.1% win probability
As of Oct 13, 2026 11:28 UTC
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
QB official #1 — Josh Allen · Availability unknown
QB official #2 — Kyle Allen · Current status: Transaction Effective
RB official #1 — James Cook III · Availability unknown
RB official #2 — Ray Davis · Full
RB official #3 — Ty Johnson · Limited
TE official #1 — Dalton Kincaid · Availability unknown
TE official #2 — Dawson Knox · Availability unknown
TE official #3 — Jackson Hawes · Availability unknown
TE official #4 — Keleki Latu · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Khalil Shakir · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Greg Dortch · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — DJ Moore · Did not participate
WR official #2 — Skyler Bell · Inactive for Week 1
WR official #1 — Keon Coleman · Full
WR official #2 — Joshua Palmer · Inactive for Week 5
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
QB official #1 — Kirk Cousins · Availability unknown
QB official #2 — Fernando Mendoza · Availability unknown
QB official #3 — Aidan O'Connell · Did not participate
RB official #1 — Ashton Jeanty · Full
RB official #2 — Mike Washington Jr. · Availability unknown
RB official #3 — Dylan Laube · Availability unknown
TE official #1 — Brock Bowers · Limited
TE official #2 — Michael Mayer · Current status: Transaction Effective
TE official #3 — Ian Thomas · Current status: Transaction Effective
WR official #1 — Tre Tucker · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Dareke Young · Full
WR official #3 — Cody White · Full
WR official #1 — Jalen Nailor · Did not participate
WR official #2 — Malik Benson · Full
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 131 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 1 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
2025 final-three scoring average 29.0; opponent allowed 34.0.
2025 final-three scoring average 26.3; opponent allowed 26.3.
Player projection ranges now appear in Player projections above.
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
These comparisons use the legacy model, not the PA-1 simulation above. PA-1 has not been validated against sportsbook lines, so no edge is claimed.
Current game market comparisons are not available yet.
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
Indoor controlled environment; exterior weather is not gameplay weather.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
87 current depth players
70 with prior usage context
0 prior high-snap players
64 current depth players
61 with prior usage context
1 prior high-snap players
Feature bdf611ad6bf1e0e05f646e57dba4e14b8dfcbf032a27c226435d8380ef67a4f6
Prediction 8ac4460d5a3f801a6eb370732848b17ae2aca2511f598ba8ac6f2d62387ac06e
Week 2756af9cfd0e102960aa259fd190a7120e93eb926ddc2f3089a38a0c2010be78
As of 2026-10-18 19:28:21.000000
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id)nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id)nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr')nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id)nfl_unit_matchups_serving and nfl_passing_matchups_serving