Tyler Shough · NO
- Attempts
- 31.6 mean · 31.0 median · 22.0–45.0 80%
- Completions
- 20.7 mean · 20.0 median · 13.0–31.0 80%
- Passing yards
- 219 mean · 229 median · 107–309 80%
- Passing TD
- 1.52 mean · 76% 1+
- Interceptions
- 0.70 mean · 50% 1+
Sunday, October 25 · 8:30 AM CDT
PIT 22.9 — NO 21.3
PIT slight edge · PIT 52.5%
Projected total 44.2 · Confidence: limited input
Frozen Oct 25, 7:33 AM CDT · 57 min before kickoff · 4,000 simulations
Limited input. NO: no verified-complete official inactive list (INACTIVES_PARTIAL) PIT: no verified-complete official inactive list (INACTIVES_PARTIAL) Missing evidence stays unknown, not healthy.
The 10th–90th percentile band holds 80% of the simulated games. It describes this simulation, not a guaranteed outcome.
60f419d4025ca2fd (ledger entry) · code e2eb0e80One simulated score distribution produces every number above. It is shown for information, not as a betting recommendation, and has not been validated against sportsbook lines.
Existing QB, RB, WR and TE statistical models — separate from the PA-1 game simulation. Each line shows mean · median · 80% range.
No confirmed projection range yet from current role/status.
HighNo confirmed projection range yet from current role/status.
MediumNo confirmed projection range yet from current role/status.
High13 individualized projections. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Players ruled out or suppressed by current injury and availability evidence are not projected. Player ranges are not produced by, and do not sum to, the PA-1 team scores.
The PA-1 simulation above is the forecast of record. These earlier models are kept for comparison and are not combined with it.
Best historical score model
Unified unavailable — P5 baseline shown.
Personnel-aware football model
Full Football unavailable.
Previous production baseline
PIT 23.4 — NO 22.7
PIT · 56.0% win probability
As of Oct 20, 2026 17:31 UTC
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Official depth order is ambiguous.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
QB official #1 — Aaron Rodgers · Current status: Transaction Effective
QB official #2 — Mason Rudolph · Availability unknown
QB official #3 — Will Howard · Inactive for Week 4
QB official #4 — Drew Allar · Inactive for Week 4
RB official #1 — Jaylen Warren · Availability unknown
RB official #2 — Rico Dowdle · Limited
RB official #3 — Eli Heidenreich · Inactive for Week 4
RB official #4 — Travis Homer · Released
RB official #5 — Lew Nichols · Waived
TE official #1 — Pat Freiermuth · Questionable
TE official #1 — Darnell Washington · Current status: Transaction Effective
TE official #2 — Robert Tonyan · Current status: Transaction Effective
WR official #1 — Ben Skowronek · Out
WR official #1 — DK Metcalf · Questionable
WR official #2 — Kaden Wetjen · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Germie Bernard · Availability unknown
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
QB official #1 — Tyler Shough · Full
QB official #2 — Spencer Rattler · Full
QB official #3 — Zach Wilson · Availability unknown
RB official #1 — Alvin Kamara · Limited
RB official #2 — Kendre Miller · Availability unknown
RB official #3 — CJ Donaldson · Availability unknown
TE official #1 — Juwan Johnson · Availability unknown
TE official #2 — Noah Fant · Availability unknown
TE official #3 — Oscar Delp · Current status: Transaction Effective
TE official #4 — Treyton Welch · Current status: Transaction Effective
WR official #1 — Chris Olave · Questionable
WR official #2 — Barion Brown · Questionable
WR official #1 — Devaughn Vele · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Bryce Lance · Current status: Transaction Effective
WR official #1 — Barion Brown · Questionable
WR official #2 — Bryce Lance · Current status: Transaction Effective
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 135 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 47 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
2025 final-three scoring average 28.0; opponent allowed 31.7.
2025 final-three scoring average 23.7; opponent allowed 22.7.
Player projection ranges now appear in Player projections above.
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
These comparisons use the legacy model, not the PA-1 simulation above. PA-1 has not been validated against sportsbook lines, so no edge is claimed.
Current game market comparisons are not available yet.
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
Game environment Unknown.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
89 current depth players
76 with prior usage context
26 prior high-snap players
82 current depth players
59 with prior usage context
21 prior high-snap players
Feature 9930285b16f45657a5970ed298bf75993b149a546b7b8fa9108ee0736aaeb4f8
Prediction 60f419d4025ca2fd9dce6cc55fde92cc1b2b9759a1c9722ce9a10e3205a5195b
Week 999566246de42cafd748847849e9b10c6cef3b02f92521b6a4d4873e86423600
As of 2026-10-25 12:33:00.000000
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id)nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id)nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr')nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id)nfl_unit_matchups_serving and nfl_passing_matchups_serving