Bryce Young · CAR
No confirmed projection range yet from current role/status.
Medium uncertainty
P5 V4 baseline
CAR at GB
Thursday, October 29 · 7:15 PM CDT
CAR 20.1 — GB 24.5
GB edge · GB 58.9%
Projected total 44.7 · Confidence: limited evidence
PardonMe projects
GB edge.
Why PardonMe leans GB →
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct: Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 144 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 48 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
PA-1 simulation unavailable
P5 V4 baseline is shown separately. No PA-1 result has been filled in.
Player stat models
Player projections
Existing QB, RB, WR and TE statistical models — separate from the PA-1 game simulation. Each line shows mean · median · 80% range.
Quarterback ranges
Jordan Love · GB
No confirmed projection range yet from current role/status.
Medium uncertaintyRunning back ranges
Jonathon Brooks · CAR
- Opportunities
- 7.9 mean · 6.0 median · 2.0–18.0 80%
- Carries
- 6.0 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–14.0 80%
- Targets
- 1.9 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 29 mean · 22 median · 10–60 80%
- Receptions
- 1.5 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 14 mean · 8 median · 0–36 80%
- Total TD
- 24% 1+
Chuba Hubbard · CAR
- Opportunities
- 20.8 mean · 19.0 median · 13.0–30.0 80%
- Carries
- 16.9 mean · 15.0 median · 10.0–26.0 80%
- Targets
- 3.9 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–7.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 72 mean · 64 median · 40–114 80%
- Receptions
- 3.1 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–6.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 23 mean · 21 median · 7–44 80%
- Total TD
- 48% 1+
Josh Jacobs · GB
No confirmed projection range yet from current role/status.
HighMarShawn Lloyd · GB
- Opportunities
- 10.1 mean · 8.0 median · 6.0–16.0 80%
- Carries
- 7.9 mean · 7.0 median · 4.0–13.0 80%
- Targets
- 2.2 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Rushing yards
- 31 mean · 27 median · 15–51 80%
- Receptions
- 1.7 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 13 mean · 12 median · 0–28 80%
- Total TD
- 30% 1+
Receiver and tight end ranges
Mitchell Evans · CAR · TE
- Targets
- 3.1 mean · 3.0 median · 2.0–4.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.2 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 22 mean · 19 median · 8–40 80%
- Receiving TD
- 14% 1+
Tommy Tremble · CAR · TE
- Targets
- 3.7 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–5.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.7 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 28 mean · 30 median · 9–50 80%
- Receiving TD
- 20% 1+
Jalen Coker · CAR · WR
- Targets
- 7.8 mean · 7.0 median · 4.0–11.0 80%
- Receptions
- 5.5 mean · 5.0 median · 3.0–9.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 70 mean · 65 median · 38–116 80%
- Receiving TD
- 37% 1+
Xavier Legette · CAR · WR
- Targets
- 2.2 mean · 2.0 median · 0.0–6.0 80%
- Receptions
- 1.2 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–3.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 17 mean · 12 median · 0–40 80%
- Receiving TD
- 9% 1+
Tetairoa McMillan · CAR · WR
- Targets
- 7.9 mean · 7.0 median · 3.0–11.0 80%
- Receptions
- 5.1 mean · 5.0 median · 2.0–9.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 73 mean · 62 median · 32–120 80%
- Receiving TD
- 35% 1+
Tucker Kraft · GB · TE
- Targets
- 6.3 mean · 6.0 median · 3.0–10.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.0 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 48 mean · 49 median · 13–85 80%
- Receiving TD
- 29% 1+
Jonnu Smith · GB · TE
- Targets
- 2.9 mean · 3.0 median · 1.0–5.0 80%
- Receptions
- 2.1 mean · 2.0 median · 1.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 19 mean · 16 median · 7–35 80%
- Receiving TD
- 15% 1+
Matthew Golden · GB · WR
- Targets
- 7.9 mean · 8.0 median · 2.0–14.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.2 mean · 4.0 median · 1.0–8.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 61 mean · 60 median · 17–119 80%
- Receiving TD
- 30% 1+
J. Michael Sturdivant · GB · WR
- Targets
- 1.7 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–5.0 80%
- Receptions
- 1.3 mean · 1.0 median · 0.0–4.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 17 mean · 11 median · 0–46 80%
- Receiving TD
- 10% 1+
Christian Watson · GB · WR
- Targets
- 7.2 mean · 8.0 median · 3.0–11.0 80%
- Receptions
- 4.3 mean · 4.0 median · 2.0–7.0 80%
- Receiving yards
- 72 mean · 69 median · 35–119 80%
- Receiving TD
- 45% 1+
13 individualized projections. Projected role and prior usage remain separate.
Players ruled out or suppressed by current injury and availability evidence are not projected. Player ranges are not produced by, and do not sum to, the PA-1 team scores.
Model comparison
PardonMe Unified
Best historical score model
Unified unavailable — P5 baseline shown.
Full Football
Personnel-aware football model
Full Football unavailable.
P5 V4 baseline
Previous production baseline
CAR 20.1 — GB 24.5
GB · 58.9% win probability
- Margin
- GB 4.4
- Total
- 44.7
As of Oct 28, 2026 04:11 UTC
Current personnel
Expected lineup & depth
Expected order for this game, using official depth and supported availability.
CARWeek 8 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
RB: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
TE: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
WR: Current roster membership is not confirmed.
Official depth & availability evidence
QB official #1 — Bryce Young · Full
QB official #2 — Kenny Pickett · Availability unknown
QB official #3 — Haynes King · Availability unknown
RB official #1 — Chuba Hubbard · Availability unknown
RB official #2 — Trevor Etienne · Questionable
RB official #3 — AJ Dillon · Full
RB official #4 — Anthony Tyus III · Practice squad
TE official #1 — Tommy Tremble · Availability unknown
TE official #2 — Mitchell Evans · Availability unknown
TE official #3 — Darren Waller · Availability unknown
TE official #4 — Ja'Tavion Sanders · Availability unknown
TE official #5 — Feleipe Franks · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Jalen Coker · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — David Moore · Current status: Transaction Effective
WR official #1 — Tetairoa McMillan · Availability unknown
WR official #2 — Brycen Tremayne · Current status: Transaction Effective
WR official #1 — John Metchie III · Availability unknown
GBWeek 8 expected order
No supported expected lineup snapshot is available for this game.
QB: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
RB: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
TE: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
WR: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
WR: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
WR: Availability for this game is not confirmed.
Official depth & availability evidence
QB official #1 — Jordan Love · Availability unknown
QB official #2 — Tyrod Taylor · Current status: Transaction Effective
RB official #1 — Josh Jacobs · Availability unknown
RB official #2 — MarShawn Lloyd · Availability unknown
RB official #3 — Pierre Strong Jr. · Practice squad
TE official #1 — Tucker Kraft · Current status: Returned To Practice
TE official #2 — Jonnu Smith · Current status: Transaction Effective
TE official #3 — Mark Redman · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Matthew Golden · Questionable
WR official #2 — J. Michael Sturdivant · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Savion Williams · Limited
WR official #2 — Coleman Owen · Availability unknown
WR official #1 — Christian Watson · Limited
WR official #2 — Bo Melton · Questionable
PardonMe is still being built. Projections are independent of sportsbook lines, and missing information remains visible.
Overview
Projected points20.124.5
Win probability41.1%58.9%
Depth chartNot confirmed yetNot confirmed yet
Current status61 updates54 updates
Matchup context
Current expectation and observed workload are distinct
Official current depth is available for 2 of 2 clubs; 144 current-depth players have prior observed F2 role evidence and 48 were at least 50% offense/defense snap players in their latest supported observation. None is treated as a current snap-confirmed starter.
CAR recent scoring form vs GB prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 23.3; opponent allowed 13.3.
GB recent scoring form vs CAR prevention
2025 final-three scoring average 23.7; opponent allowed 27.7.
Players
CAR
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
QBBryce YoungFullUnknownFullProjection unavailableQBKenny PickettNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableQBHaynes KingNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableRBChuba HubbardNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update15.3RBTrevor EtienneQuestionableUnknownQuestionableProjection unavailableRBAJ DillonFullUnknownFullProjection unavailableRBAnthony Tyus IIIPractice squadUnknownPractice squadProjection unavailableTETommy TrembleNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update6.1TEMitchell EvansNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update5.2TEDarren WallerNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableTEJa'Tavion SandersNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableTEFeleipe FranksNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRJalen CokerNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update14.5WRDavid MooreCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveProjection unavailableWRTetairoa McMillanNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update14.9WRBrycen TremayneCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveProjection unavailableWRJohn Metchie IIINo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableGB
PosPlayerRoleStatusFantasy
QBJordan LoveNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableQBTyrod TaylorCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveProjection unavailableRBJosh JacobsNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableRBMarShawn LloydNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update8.9RBPierre Strong Jr.Practice squadUnknownPractice squadProjection unavailableTETucker KraftCurrent status: Returned To PracticeUnknownCurrent status: Returned To Practice11.2TEJonnu SmithCurrent status: Transaction EffectiveUnknownCurrent status: Transaction Effective5.4TEMark RedmanNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRMatthew GoldenQuestionableUnknownQuestionable13.9WRJ. Michael SturdivantNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed update4.2WRSavion WilliamsLimitedUnknownLimitedProjection unavailableWRColeman OwenNo confirmed updateUnknownNo confirmed updateProjection unavailableWRChristian WatsonLimitedUnknownLimited13.7WRBo MeltonQuestionableUnknownQuestionableProjection unavailablePlayer projection ranges now appear in Player projections above.
Fantasy
Full-PPR
Full rankings →Game projections
PlayerTeamPosRankMedianFloorUpside
Bryce YoungCAR · Rank unavailable · floor — · upside —CARQB————Jordan LoveGB · Rank unavailable · floor — · upside —GBQB————Chuba HubbardCAR · #2 · floor 7.5 · upside 28.1CARRB#215.27.528.1MarShawn LloydGB · #31 · floor 2.8 · upside 15.7GBRB#316.82.815.7Jonathon BrooksCAR · #34 · floor 1.5 · upside 16.6CARRB#345.11.516.6Josh JacobsGB · Rank unavailable · floor — · upside —GBRB————Jalen CokerCAR · #7 · floor 6.9 · upside 25.8CARWR#713.86.925.8Tetairoa McMillanCAR · #9 · floor 5.2 · upside 26.0CARWR#913.65.226.0Christian WatsonGB · #10 · floor 5.5 · upside 25.6GBWR#1014.25.525.6Matthew GoldenGB · #16 · floor 2.8 · upside 24.5GBWR#1611.12.824.5J. Michael SturdivantGB · #69 · floor 0.0 · upside 10.7GBWR#692.10.010.7Xavier LegetteCAR · #71 · floor 0.0 · upside 9.4CARWR#712.30.09.4Tucker KraftGB · #5 · floor 2.3 · upside 19.3GBTE#510.52.319.3Tommy TrembleCAR · #24 · floor 1.9 · upside 13.0CARTE#246.01.913.0Mitchell EvansCAR · #32 · floor 1.8 · upside 10.0CARTE#324.01.810.0Jonnu SmithGB · #34 · floor 1.7 · upside 9.7GBTE#343.61.79.7PardonMe vs the Odds
PardonMe projections are produced independently of sportsbook lines.
Current game market comparisons are not available yet.
More
Advanced player detail →
Bryce Young CAR · QB
- Current role
- Unavailable
- Prior usage
- 77% offense
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- Unavailable
- Full-PPR
- Unavailable
- Projection basis
- Suppressed by current availability
Chuba Hubbard CAR · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 61% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 20.1 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 15.3 · 80% 7.4–23.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jonathon Brooks CAR · RB
- Current role
- RB2
- Prior usage
- 30% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 9.1 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 6.7 · 80% 0.0–14.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jalen Coker CAR · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 66% offense
- Availability
- Full
- Projected workload
- 8.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 14.5 · 80% 6.8–22.2
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Xavier Legette CAR · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 50% offense
- Availability
- Did not participate
- Projected workload
- 2.9 targets
- Full-PPR
- 4.3 · 80% 0.0–12.0
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Tetairoa McMillan CAR · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 68% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 8.2 targets
- Full-PPR
- 14.9 · 80% 7.2–22.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Tommy Tremble CAR · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 48% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 3.7 targets
- Full-PPR
- 6.1 · 80% 0.0–12.3
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Mitchell Evans CAR · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- 50% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 2.7 targets
- Full-PPR
- 5.2 · 80% 0.0–11.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jordan Love GB · QB
- Current role
- Unavailable
- Prior usage
- 100% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- Unavailable
- Full-PPR
- Unavailable
- Projection basis
- Suppressed by current availability
Josh Jacobs GB · RB
- Current role
- Unavailable
- Prior usage
- 52% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- Unavailable
- Full-PPR
- Unavailable
- Projection basis
- Suppressed by current availability
MarShawn Lloyd GB · RB
- Current role
- RB1
- Prior usage
- 36% offense
- Availability
- No confirmed update yet
- Projected workload
- 11.1 opportunities
- Full-PPR
- 8.9 · 80% 1.0–16.8
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone rushing: Unknown attempts · Unknown inside 10 · Unknown inside 5 · Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Matthew Golden GB · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 85% offense
- Availability
- Limited
- Projected workload
- 7.4 targets
- Full-PPR
- 13.9 · 80% 6.2–21.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Christian Watson GB · WR
- Current role
- WR1
- Prior usage
- 81% offense
- Availability
- Limited
- Projected workload
- 7.1 targets
- Full-PPR
- 13.7 · 80% 6.0–21.4
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
J. Michael Sturdivant GB · WR
- Current role
- WR2
- Prior usage
- 6% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Not Yet Available
- Projected workload
- 2.5 targets
- Full-PPR
- 4.2 · 80% 0.0–11.9
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Tucker Kraft GB · TE
- Current role
- TE1
- Prior usage
- 88% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Returned To Practice
- Projected workload
- 5.6 targets
- Full-PPR
- 11.2 · 80% 5.0–17.5
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Jonnu Smith GB · TE
- Current role
- TE2
- Prior usage
- 25% offense
- Availability
- Current status: Transaction Effective
- Projected workload
- 2.9 targets
- Full-PPR
- 5.4 · 80% 0.0–11.6
- Projection basis
- Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence
- Matchup context
- Prior scoring opportunities
- Prior red-zone receiving: Unknown targets · Unknown receptions · Prior team red-zone environment: Unknown · End-zone targets: Unknown
Touchdown connections
These probabilities preserve each player's independent touchdown outlook while adding supported within-game connection context.
CAR offensive TD state2.2 expected10.9% zero · 38.3% 3+
GB offensive TD state2.4 expected8.7% zero · 44.2% 3+
Weather & venue
VenueVenue unknown
Roof typeUnknown
Playing surfaceUnknown
ForecastUnknownForecast lead time unknown
Game environment Unknown.
Static venue facts are not live weather. Missing forecast does not mean neutral weather.
Madden talent context
Position-peer Madden attribute context from expected depth slots; this is separate from real EA OVR identity.
Unit matchup indexes
Quarterback rushing ranges
Net rushing definition includes kneels and legitimate negative net yards.
No confirmed rushing range yet.
No confirmed rushing range yet.
Depth and status detail
Current depthBoth teams available
AvailabilityNot yet required
Practice report timingNot yet required
WeatherNot yet available
Completeness notes
- Not yet required
- Current Depth Not Historical Role Input
- Rolling History Bridge Confidence Penalty
- Weather Forecast Not Yet Available
Team role detail
GB
75 current depth players
65 with prior usage context
23 prior high-snap players
CAR
91 current depth players
79 with prior usage context
25 prior high-snap players
Sources & methodology
Projection snapshots
Feature 35bb38bfc295aeb07e4c8d22ae7946b987a3bf3519a98d962f8043eb74405f16
Prediction df104285f157eb491f06a6da00978571d7a285212fd7d0ca551a1153f44ceaa1
Week ba36d71b9342ce60b2c69b21dfc6d10b3c7990c4c3604b6211179dcbb8d44545
As of 2026-10-28 04:11:17
Serving contracts used
- Game projection:
nfl_matchup_serving(game_id) - Player context:
nfl_matchup_players_serving(game_id) - Forward fantasy:
nfl_game_forward_fantasy(game_id, 'full_ppr') - Market comparisons:
nfl_game_market_comparisons(game_id) - Unit and passing context:
nfl_unit_matchups_servingandnfl_passing_matchups_serving
Current support states
- Depth support: Both teams available
- Availability support: Not yet required
- Weather support: Not yet available
- Projection confidence (technical): Insufficient Evidence / Insufficient Evidence