PardonMe NFL

Week 1 Fantasy Intelligence

P10 football outcomes transformed with governed Full-PPR scoring. Rankings are position-specific.

60 ranked RB
Floor/ceiling = 10th/90th percentile

Scoring

Position

#1
Christian McCaffreySF vs LAR · individualized
Projected19.0
Floor / median / ceiling7.2 / 18.4 / 31.4
Position context99 percentile
Why 15.9 carries and 5.3 targets; 52% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#2
Bijan RobinsonATL vs PIT · individualized
Projected18.3
Floor / median / ceiling7.7 / 17.5 / 29.8
Position context98 percentile
Why 15.6 carries and 5.2 targets; 46% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#3
Jonathan TaylorIND vs BAL · individualized
Projected16.6
Floor / median / ceiling7.0 / 15.4 / 27.9
Position context96 percentile
Why 17.2 carries and 3.0 targets; 50% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#4
Derrick HenryBAL vs IND · individualized
Projected16.5
Floor / median / ceiling6.5 / 15.5 / 27.5
Position context94 percentile
Why 19.0 carries and 1.7 targets; 52% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#5
De'Von AchaneMIA vs LV · individualized
Projected15.9
Floor / median / ceiling5.2 / 15.4 / 26.2
Position context93 percentile
Why 13.1 carries and 4.0 targets; 42% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#6
Jahmyr GibbsDET vs NO · individualized
Projected15.3
Floor / median / ceiling5.8 / 14.8 / 25.4
Position context91 percentile
Why 11.5 carries and 4.4 targets; 45% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#7
Chase BrownCIN vs TB · individualized
Projected14.9
Floor / median / ceiling5.9 / 14.1 / 24.8
Position context89 percentile
Why 11.8 carries and 4.3 targets; 43% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#8
James Cook IIIBUF vs HOU · individualized
Projected14.8
Floor / median / ceiling6.7 / 13.8 / 24.8
Position context88 percentile
Why 16.6 carries and 2.2 targets; 44% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#9
Omarion HamptonLAC vs ARI · individualized
Projected14.7
Floor / median / ceiling6.7 / 13.8 / 24.0
Position context86 percentile
Why 13.8 carries and 3.8 targets; 42% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#10
Saquon BarkleyPHI vs WAS · individualized
Projected14.7
Floor / median / ceiling6.3 / 13.9 / 23.9
Position context84 percentile
Why 16.5 carries and 3.0 targets; 43% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#11
Cam SkatteboNYG vs DAL · individualized
Projected14.5
Floor / median / ceiling4.1 / 13.9 / 24.9
Position context83 percentile
Why 13.2 carries and 3.8 targets; 44% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#12
Ashton JeantyLV vs MIA · individualized
Projected13.7
Floor / median / ceiling4.4 / 12.8 / 24.0
Position context81 percentile
Why 13.6 carries and 4.1 targets; 40% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#13
RJ HarveyDEN vs KC · individualized
Projected13.5
Floor / median / ceiling4.6 / 12.2 / 24.4
Position context79 percentile
Why 11.5 carries and 4.0 targets; 45% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#14
Kyren WilliamsLAR vs SF · individualized
Projected13.3
Floor / median / ceiling6.4 / 12.1 / 22.3
Position context78 percentile
Why 13.9 carries and 2.5 targets; 43% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#15
D'Andre SwiftCHI vs CAR · individualized
Projected13.2
Floor / median / ceiling5.6 / 12.4 / 22.0
Position context76 percentile
Why 13.3 carries and 2.6 targets; 41% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#16
Jaylen WarrenPIT vs ATL · individualized
Projected12.6
Floor / median / ceiling5.9 / 11.7 / 20.6
Position context74 percentile
Why 12.7 carries and 2.6 targets; 40% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#17
Tony PollardTEN vs NYJ · individualized
Projected12.4
Floor / median / ceiling6.0 / 11.4 / 20.6
Position context73 percentile
Why 13.7 carries and 2.7 targets; 36% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#18
Breece HallNYJ vs TEN · individualized
Projected12.4
Floor / median / ceiling5.5 / 11.6 / 20.5
Position context71 percentile
Why 14.0 carries and 2.4 targets; 37% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#19
Aaron Jones Sr.MIN vs GB · individualized
Projected12.1
Floor / median / ceiling4.8 / 11.0 / 21.1
Position context69 percentile
Why 11.9 carries and 3.5 targets; 35% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#20
Travis Etienne Jr.NO vs DET · individualized
Projected11.9
Floor / median / ceiling4.4 / 11.0 / 20.6
Position context68 percentile
Why 12.7 carries and 2.7 targets; 41% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#21
Javonte WilliamsDAL vs NYG · individualized
Projected11.9
Floor / median / ceiling4.9 / 11.1 / 20.2
Position context66 percentile
Why 13.1 carries and 2.4 targets; 40% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#22
Bucky IrvingTB vs CIN · individualized
Projected11.7
Floor / median / ceiling4.3 / 10.8 / 20.4
Position context64 percentile
Why 12.8 carries and 2.7 targets; 35% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#23
TreVeyon HendersonNE vs SEA · individualized
Projected10.8
Floor / median / ceiling3.1 / 9.8 / 20.0
Position context63 percentile
Why 10.7 carries and 2.2 targets; 36% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#24
Jonathon BrooksCAR vs CHI · fallback
Projected10.8
Floor / median / ceiling3.6 / 9.2 / 20.4
Position context61 percentile
Why 10.4 carries and 2.9 targets; 32% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#25
J.K. DobbinsDEN vs KC · individualized
Projected10.7
Floor / median / ceiling4.9 / 9.6 / 17.8
Position context59 percentile
Why 13.0 carries and 1.6 targets; 34% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#26
Emmett JohnsonKC vs DEN · fallback
Projected10.6
Floor / median / ceiling2.9 / 9.2 / 20.4
Position context58 percentile
Why 10.7 carries and 2.6 targets; 33% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability role uncertain. Matchup Lab
#27
Mike Washington Jr.LV vs MIA · fallback
Projected10.6
Floor / median / ceiling3.0 / 9.3 / 20.2
Position context56 percentile
Why 10.7 carries and 2.6 targets; 32% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#28
Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS vs PHI · individualized
Projected10.6
Floor / median / ceiling4.5 / 9.4 / 18.4
Position context54 percentile
Why 13.7 carries and 1.3 targets; 39% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#29
Rhamondre StevensonNE vs SEA · individualized
Projected10.3
Floor / median / ceiling3.6 / 8.9 / 19.0
Position context53 percentile
Why 9.1 carries and 2.3 targets; 35% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#30
Quinshon JudkinsCLE vs JAX · individualized
Projected10.3
Floor / median / ceiling3.5 / 9.3 / 18.7
Position context51 percentile
Why 12.9 carries and 2.2 targets; 35% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#31
Woody MarksHOU vs BUF · individualized
Projected10.1
Floor / median / ceiling3.5 / 8.9 / 18.0
Position context49 percentile
Why 12.5 carries and 2.3 targets; 32% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#32
Alvin KamaraNO vs DET · individualized
Projected9.9
Floor / median / ceiling2.5 / 8.6 / 19.0
Position context48 percentile
Why 9.8 carries and 3.0 targets; 28% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#33
MarShawn LloydGB vs MIN · fallback
Projected9.9
Floor / median / ceiling3.0 / 8.3 / 19.3
Position context46 percentile
Why 10.4 carries and 2.4 targets; 32% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#34
Eli HeidenreichPIT vs ATL · fallback
Projected9.9
Floor / median / ceiling2.4 / 8.5 / 19.4
Position context44 percentile
Why 9.9 carries and 2.4 targets; 31% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability role uncertain. Matchup Lab
#35
Justice HillBAL vs IND · individualized
Projected9.9
Floor / median / ceiling3.6 / 8.0 / 18.1
Position context43 percentile
Why 5.1 carries and 3.6 targets; 27% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#36
Nicholas SingletonTEN vs NYJ · fallback
Projected9.8
Floor / median / ceiling2.4 / 8.4 / 19.3
Position context41 percentile
Why 9.9 carries and 2.4 targets; 31% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#37
Jeremiyah LoveARI vs LAC · fallback
Projected9.8
Floor / median / ceiling2.4 / 8.4 / 19.3
Position context39 percentile
Why 9.9 carries and 2.4 targets; 30% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#38
Kimani VidalLAC vs ARI · individualized
Projected9.3
Floor / median / ceiling1.6 / 7.8 / 19.0
Position context38 percentile
Why 11.0 carries and 1.8 targets; 30% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#39
Chuba HubbardCAR vs CHI · individualized
Projected9.2
Floor / median / ceiling3.1 / 7.9 / 17.5
Position context36 percentile
Why 9.5 carries and 2.4 targets; 29% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#40
Jordan JamesSF vs LAR · fallback
Projected9.2
Floor / median / ceiling1.7 / 7.7 / 18.6
Position context34 percentile
Why 9.2 carries and 2.2 targets; 29% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability role uncertain. Matchup Lab
#41
Jadarian PriceSEA vs NE · fallback
Projected9.1
Floor / median / ceiling1.7 / 7.7 / 18.6
Position context33 percentile
Why 9.1 carries and 2.2 targets; 29% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#42
Dylan SampsonCLE vs JAX · individualized
Projected9.0
Floor / median / ceiling2.3 / 7.3 / 18.0
Position context31 percentile
Why 6.8 carries and 3.2 targets; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#43
Tyler AllgeierARI vs LAC · individualized
Projected8.9
Floor / median / ceiling3.1 / 7.7 / 16.4
Position context29 percentile
Why 10.6 carries and 1.5 targets; 36% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#44
Devin SingletaryNYG vs DAL · individualized
Projected8.8
Floor / median / ceiling3.3 / 7.4 / 16.2
Position context28 percentile
Why 9.9 carries and 1.8 targets; 31% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#45
Blake CorumLAR vs SF · individualized
Projected8.8
Floor / median / ceiling2.8 / 7.5 / 16.4
Position context26 percentile
Why 10.5 carries and 1.1 targets; 32% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#46
Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX vs CLE · individualized
Projected8.8
Floor / median / ceiling2.7 / 7.6 / 16.5
Position context24 percentile
Why 10.9 carries and 1.0 targets; 34% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#47
David MontgomeryHOU vs BUF · individualized
Projected8.7
Floor / median / ceiling2.8 / 7.5 / 16.5
Position context23 percentile
Why 9.0 carries and 1.9 targets; 29% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#48
Jordan MasonMIN vs GB · individualized
Projected8.7
Floor / median / ceiling2.8 / 7.5 / 16.4
Position context21 percentile
Why 10.3 carries and 1.3 targets; 30% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#49
Braelon AllenNYJ vs TEN · individualized
Projected8.6
Floor / median / ceiling3.4 / 7.0 / 16.0
Position context19 percentile
Why 9.3 carries and 2.3 targets; 29% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#50
Kyle MonangaiCHI vs CAR · individualized
Projected8.6
Floor / median / ceiling2.0 / 6.8 / 17.6
Position context18 percentile
Why 9.6 carries and 1.7 targets; 28% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#51
Rachaad WhiteWAS vs PHI · individualized
Projected8.4
Floor / median / ceiling2.0 / 7.4 / 16.0
Position context16 percentile
Why 7.7 carries and 2.4 targets; 25% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#52
Samaje PerineCIN vs TB · individualized
Projected8.1
Floor / median / ceiling2.6 / 6.6 / 15.7
Position context14 percentile
Why 7.5 carries and 2.1 targets; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#53
Jaylen WrightMIA vs LV · individualized
Projected7.5
Floor / median / ceiling1.9 / 5.5 / 15.7
Position context13 percentile
Why 9.4 carries and 1.5 targets; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#54
Tank BigsbyPHI vs WAS · individualized
Projected7.3
Floor / median / ceiling1.7 / 6.1 / 14.5
Position context11 percentile
Why 9.4 carries and 1.1 targets; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#55
Chris BrooksGB vs MIN · individualized
Projected6.6
Floor / median / ceiling1.8 / 4.7 / 14.1
Position context9 percentile
Why 6.9 carries and 1.3 targets; 21% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#56
Ameer AbdullahJAX vs CLE · individualized
Projected6.2
Floor / median / ceiling0.3 / 4.0 / 15.6
Position context8 percentile
Why 3.9 carries and 2.3 targets; 17% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#57
Sione VakiDET vs NO · fallback
Projected6.0
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 4.3 / 14.7
Position context6 percentile
Why 6.0 carries and 1.5 targets; 20% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#58
George HolaniSEA vs NE · fallback
Projected6.0
Floor / median / ceiling0.7 / 4.2 / 14.0
Position context4 percentile
Why 6.4 carries and 1.3 targets; 21% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#59
DJ GiddensIND vs BAL · fallback
Projected5.8
Floor / median / ceiling0.8 / 3.9 / 13.3
Position context3 percentile
Why 6.7 carries and 1.1 targets; 20% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#60
Ray DavisBUF vs HOU · individualized
Projected5.4
Floor / median / ceiling0.5 / 3.2 / 13.6
Position context1 percentile
Why 6.0 carries and 1.0 targets; 19% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab

Fumbles lost and two-point conversions are explicit Unsupported in the forward layer. Scores use modeled components rather than silently treating those categories as zero. Historical F1 context informs comparison only; it does not determine ranks.