PardonMe NFL

Week 1 Fantasy Intelligence

P10 football outcomes transformed with governed Half-PPR scoring. Rankings are position-specific.

46 ranked RB
Floor/ceiling = 10th/90th percentile

Scoring

Position

#1
Jahmyr GibbsDET vs NE · individualized
Projected18.6
Floor / median / ceiling8.5 / 17.8 / 29.6
Position context99 percentile
Why 20.4 carries and 5.9 targets; 57% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#2
James Cook IIIBUF vs NYJ · individualized
Projected14.8
Floor / median / ceiling6.1 / 14.0 / 24.4
Position context96 percentile
Why 18.9 carries and 2.3 targets; 51% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#3
Chuba HubbardCAR vs NO · individualized
Projected14.4
Floor / median / ceiling5.8 / 13.0 / 25.3
Position context94 percentile
Why 18.2 carries and 4.4 targets; 46% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#4
Bijan RobinsonATL vs KC · individualized
Projected13.5
Floor / median / ceiling3.8 / 13.0 / 23.4
Position context92 percentile
Why 15.6 carries and 4.1 targets; 41% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#5
Derrick HenryBAL vs LAC · individualized
Projected13.0
Floor / median / ceiling4.8 / 12.0 / 22.7
Position context89 percentile
Why 17.6 carries and 1.3 targets; 49% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#6
Christian McCaffreySF vs DAL · individualized
Projected13.0
Floor / median / ceiling4.9 / 12.0 / 22.8
Position context87 percentile
Why 11.9 carries and 4.6 targets; 44% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#7
Javonte WilliamsDAL vs SF · individualized
Projected12.8
Floor / median / ceiling5.5 / 12.0 / 21.8
Position context85 percentile
Why 16.3 carries and 3.1 targets; 48% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#8
Tony PollardTEN vs JAX · individualized
Projected12.6
Floor / median / ceiling5.0 / 11.5 / 21.3
Position context82 percentile
Why 18.0 carries and 2.6 targets; 43% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#9
Jonathan TaylorIND vs MIA · individualized
Projected12.4
Floor / median / ceiling4.7 / 11.5 / 21.2
Position context80 percentile
Why 15.2 carries and 3.6 targets; 44% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#10
Kyren WilliamsLAR vs ARI · individualized
Projected12.4
Floor / median / ceiling5.3 / 11.3 / 21.1
Position context77 percentile
Why 13.1 carries and 4.3 targets; 39% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#11
Ollie Gordon IIMIA vs IND · individualized
Projected12.1
Floor / median / ceiling4.9 / 11.0 / 21.6
Position context75 percentile
Why 17.6 carries and 2.3 targets; 45% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#12
Rhamondre StevensonNE vs DET · individualized
Projected12.1
Floor / median / ceiling4.7 / 10.8 / 21.7
Position context73 percentile
Why 10.5 carries and 3.6 targets; 40% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#13
Braelon AllenNYJ vs BUF · individualized
Projected11.8
Floor / median / ceiling4.6 / 10.7 / 21.4
Position context70 percentile
Why 14.6 carries and 3.2 targets; 38% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#14
De'Von AchaneMIA vs IND · individualized
Projected11.0
Floor / median / ceiling1.3 / 10.7 / 19.9
Position context68 percentile
Why 8.9 carries and 2.5 targets; 33% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#15
Tyler AllgeierARI vs LAR · individualized
Projected10.8
Floor / median / ceiling4.2 / 9.8 / 19.1
Position context65 percentile
Why 15.4 carries and 3.7 targets; 37% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#16
Blake CorumLAR vs ARI · individualized
Projected10.3
Floor / median / ceiling4.4 / 8.9 / 17.9
Position context63 percentile
Why 11.8 carries and 2.0 targets; 37% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#16
Cam SkatteboNYG vs WAS · individualized
Projected10.6
Floor / median / ceiling2.3 / 9.7 / 18.9
Position context66 percentile
Why 13.4 carries and 2.5 targets; 37% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#17
Breece HallNYJ vs BUF · individualized
Projected10.3
Floor / median / ceiling4.3 / 9.3 / 17.6
Position context61 percentile
Why 13.9 carries and 2.0 targets; 35% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#18
Emanuel WilsonSEA vs LV · individualized
Projected9.9
Floor / median / ceiling2.8 / 8.8 / 18.6
Position context58 percentile
Why 13.8 carries and 0.8 targets; 39% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#19
Aaron Jones Sr.MIN vs GB · individualized
Projected9.6
Floor / median / ceiling2.1 / 8.8 / 18.3
Position context56 percentile
Why 11.9 carries and 2.2 targets; 32% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#20
Jeremiyah LoveARI vs LAR · individualized
Projected9.5
Floor / median / ceiling3.4 / 7.9 / 17.9
Position context54 percentile
Why 11.7 carries and 1.9 targets; 36% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#20
Rachaad WhiteWAS vs NYG · individualized
Projected9.8
Floor / median / ceiling4.5 / 8.4 / 16.8
Position context58 percentile
Why 9.5 carries and 3.3 targets; 32% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#21
Ashton JeantyLV vs SEA · individualized
Projected9.4
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 8.4 / 19.1
Position context51 percentile
Why 9.4 carries and 3.6 targets; 31% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#22
Quinshon JudkinsCLE vs HOU · individualized
Projected9.4
Floor / median / ceiling3.8 / 8.2 / 16.6
Position context49 percentile
Why 12.5 carries and 2.3 targets; 33% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#23
Justice HillBAL vs LAC · individualized
Projected9.1
Floor / median / ceiling3.5 / 7.3 / 17.0
Position context46 percentile
Why 4.8 carries and 4.1 targets; 28% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#24
Chase BrownCIN vs PIT · individualized
Projected9.0
Floor / median / ceiling2.7 / 8.2 / 16.4
Position context44 percentile
Why 9.1 carries and 3.4 targets; 30% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#25
Mike Washington Jr.LV vs SEA · individualized
Projected8.8
Floor / median / ceiling1.9 / 7.5 / 17.8
Position context42 percentile
Why 10.1 carries and 2.1 targets; 31% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#26
DJ GiddensIND vs MIA · fallback
Projected8.8
Floor / median / ceiling3.2 / 7.1 / 16.7
Position context39 percentile
Why 10.0 carries and 1.2 targets; 32% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#27
Woody MarksHOU vs CLE · individualized
Projected8.4
Floor / median / ceiling2.1 / 7.5 / 16.2
Position context37 percentile
Why 12.1 carries and 2.4 targets; 30% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#28
Emmett JohnsonKC vs ATL · individualized
Projected8.3
Floor / median / ceiling2.5 / 6.1 / 17.3
Position context35 percentile
Why 6.0 carries and 2.3 targets; 28% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#29
Travis Etienne Jr.NO vs CAR · individualized
Projected8.3
Floor / median / ceiling2.3 / 7.3 / 15.3
Position context32 percentile
Why 8.7 carries and 2.0 targets; 34% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#29
Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS vs NYG · individualized
Projected8.5
Floor / median / ceiling3.1 / 7.1 / 15.8
Position context38 percentile
Why 11.5 carries and 0.9 targets; 35% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#30
Alvin KamaraNO vs CAR · individualized
Projected8.1
Floor / median / ceiling2.4 / 6.5 / 15.9
Position context30 percentile
Why 7.3 carries and 3.3 targets; 28% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#31
David MontgomeryHOU vs CLE · individualized
Projected7.6
Floor / median / ceiling2.5 / 5.6 / 15.5
Position context27 percentile
Why 7.6 carries and 1.3 targets; 31% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#32
Jonathon BrooksCAR vs NO · fallback
Projected7.4
Floor / median / ceiling1.9 / 5.1 / 15.8
Position context25 percentile
Why 6.8 carries and 2.1 targets; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#33
Kaelon BlackSF vs DAL · individualized
Projected7.0
Floor / median / ceiling2.2 / 5.5 / 14.0
Position context23 percentile
Why 8.6 carries and 1.1 targets; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#34
Sione VakiDET vs NE · fallback
Projected6.9
Floor / median / ceiling1.8 / 5.0 / 14.7
Position context20 percentile
Why 6.9 carries and 1.6 targets; 24% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#35
Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX vs TEN · individualized
Projected6.8
Floor / median / ceiling1.8 / 5.3 / 13.7
Position context18 percentile
Why 8.5 carries and 0.9 targets; 29% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#35
Devin SingletaryNYG vs WAS · individualized
Projected7.4
Floor / median / ceiling1.7 / 5.7 / 15.0
Position context25 percentile
Why 7.8 carries and 1.5 targets; 30% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#36
George HolaniSEA vs LV · individualized
Projected6.8
Floor / median / ceiling2.2 / 4.9 / 13.6
Position context15 percentile
Why 4.8 carries and 1.8 targets; 27% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#37
MarShawn LloydGB vs MIN · individualized
Projected6.7
Floor / median / ceiling2.1 / 5.0 / 13.2
Position context13 percentile
Why 6.1 carries and 1.8 targets; 28% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#38
Ty JohnsonBUF vs NYJ · individualized
Projected6.0
Floor / median / ceiling1.5 / 3.9 / 13.4
Position context11 percentile
Why 3.4 carries and 2.1 targets; 21% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#39
Tyjae SpearsTEN vs JAX · individualized
Projected5.7
Floor / median / ceiling1.2 / 4.1 / 12.2
Position context8 percentile
Why 2.4 carries and 2.9 targets; 18% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#40
Demond ClaiborneMIN vs GB · fallback
Projected5.7
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 4.2 / 14.0
Position context6 percentile
Why 4.8 carries and 1.2 targets; 21% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#41
Jaydn OttKC vs ATL · fallback
Projected4.6
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 2.7 / 12.2
Position context4 percentile
Why 3.8 carries and 0.9 targets; 17% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#42
Eli HeidenreichPIT vs CIN · fallback
Projected4.5
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 2.6 / 12.3
Position context1 percentile
Why 3.5 carries and 0.9 targets; 17% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
—
Samaje PerineCIN vs PIT · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
Raheim SandersCLE vs HOU · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
Josh JacobsGB vs MIN · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: supported current game unavailable. Matchup Lab
—
Ameer AbdullahJAX vs TEN · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
Emari DemercadoDAL vs SF · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
Omarion HamptonLAC vs BAL · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
TreVeyon HendersonNE vs DET · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: supported current game unavailable. Matchup Lab
—
Jaylen WarrenPIT vs CIN · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab

Fumbles lost and two-point conversions are explicit Unsupported in the forward layer. Scores use modeled components rather than silently treating those categories as zero. Historical F1 context informs comparison only; it does not determine ranks.