#1
Derrick HenryBAL vs IND · individualized
Projected15.2
Floor / median / ceiling6.0 / 14.2 / 25.7
Position context99 percentile
Why 19.0 carries and 1.7 targets; 52% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
PardonMe NFL
Week 1 Fantasy Intelligence
P10 football outcomes transformed with governed Standard scoring. Rankings are position-specific.
60 ranked RB
Floor/ceiling = 10th/90th percentile
Scoring
Position
#2
Christian McCaffreySF vs LAR · individualized
Projected14.7
Floor / median / ceiling5.3 / 13.8 / 25.2
Position context98 percentile
Why 15.9 carries and 5.3 targets; 52% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#3
Jonathan TaylorIND vs BAL · individualized
Projected14.3
Floor / median / ceiling5.9 / 13.0 / 24.5
Position context96 percentile
Why 17.2 carries and 3.0 targets; 50% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#4
Bijan RobinsonATL vs PIT · individualized
Projected14.2
Floor / median / ceiling5.7 / 13.3 / 24.0
Position context94 percentile
Why 15.6 carries and 5.2 targets; 46% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#5
James Cook IIIBUF vs HOU · individualized
Projected13.1
Floor / median / ceiling6.0 / 12.2 / 22.2
Position context93 percentile
Why 16.6 carries and 2.2 targets; 44% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#6
De'Von AchaneMIA vs LV · individualized
Projected12.7
Floor / median / ceiling3.7 / 11.9 / 21.7
Position context91 percentile
Why 13.1 carries and 4.0 targets; 42% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#7
Saquon BarkleyPHI vs WAS · individualized
Projected12.5
Floor / median / ceiling5.1 / 11.5 / 21.0
Position context89 percentile
Why 16.5 carries and 3.0 targets; 43% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#8
Jahmyr GibbsDET vs NO · individualized
Projected11.9
Floor / median / ceiling4.1 / 11.2 / 20.7
Position context88 percentile
Why 11.5 carries and 4.4 targets; 45% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#9
Cam SkatteboNYG vs DAL · individualized
Projected11.6
Floor / median / ceiling2.9 / 10.6 / 20.7
Position context86 percentile
Why 13.2 carries and 3.8 targets; 44% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#10
Omarion HamptonLAC vs ARI · individualized
Projected11.6
Floor / median / ceiling4.8 / 10.3 / 19.8
Position context84 percentile
Why 13.8 carries and 3.8 targets; 42% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#11
Chase BrownCIN vs TB · individualized
Projected11.5
Floor / median / ceiling4.4 / 10.6 / 20.0
Position context83 percentile
Why 11.8 carries and 4.3 targets; 43% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#12
Kyren WilliamsLAR vs SF · individualized
Projected11.5
Floor / median / ceiling5.5 / 9.9 / 19.9
Position context81 percentile
Why 13.9 carries and 2.5 targets; 43% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#13
D'Andre SwiftCHI vs CAR · individualized
Projected11.3
Floor / median / ceiling4.7 / 10.3 / 19.3
Position context79 percentile
Why 13.3 carries and 2.6 targets; 41% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#14
Ashton JeantyLV vs MIA · individualized
Projected10.6
Floor / median / ceiling3.0 / 9.5 / 19.4
Position context78 percentile
Why 13.6 carries and 4.1 targets; 40% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#15
Breece HallNYJ vs TEN · individualized
Projected10.5
Floor / median / ceiling4.7 / 9.2 / 18.1
Position context76 percentile
Why 14.0 carries and 2.4 targets; 37% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#16
Jaylen WarrenPIT vs ATL · individualized
Projected10.5
Floor / median / ceiling4.8 / 9.2 / 17.9
Position context74 percentile
Why 12.7 carries and 2.6 targets; 40% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#17
RJ HarveyDEN vs KC · individualized
Projected10.4
Floor / median / ceiling3.4 / 9.2 / 19.7
Position context73 percentile
Why 11.5 carries and 4.0 targets; 45% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#18
Tony PollardTEN vs NYJ · individualized
Projected10.3
Floor / median / ceiling4.9 / 8.9 / 17.6
Position context71 percentile
Why 13.7 carries and 2.7 targets; 36% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#19
Javonte WilliamsDAL vs NYG · individualized
Projected10.2
Floor / median / ceiling4.2 / 9.0 / 17.8
Position context69 percentile
Why 13.1 carries and 2.4 targets; 40% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#20
Travis Etienne Jr.NO vs DET · individualized
Projected9.9
Floor / median / ceiling3.7 / 8.6 / 18.0
Position context68 percentile
Why 12.7 carries and 2.7 targets; 41% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#21
Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS vs PHI · individualized
Projected9.6
Floor / median / ceiling4.1 / 8.2 / 17.1
Position context66 percentile
Why 13.7 carries and 1.3 targets; 39% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#22
Aaron Jones Sr.MIN vs GB · individualized
Projected9.5
Floor / median / ceiling3.6 / 8.2 / 17.1
Position context64 percentile
Why 11.9 carries and 3.5 targets; 35% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#23
Bucky IrvingTB vs CIN · individualized
Projected9.5
Floor / median / ceiling3.5 / 8.2 / 17.0
Position context63 percentile
Why 12.8 carries and 2.7 targets; 35% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#24
J.K. DobbinsDEN vs KC · individualized
Projected9.4
Floor / median / ceiling4.4 / 8.1 / 15.8
Position context61 percentile
Why 13.0 carries and 1.6 targets; 34% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#25
TreVeyon HendersonNE vs SEA · individualized
Projected9.1
Floor / median / ceiling2.6 / 8.0 / 17.4
Position context59 percentile
Why 10.7 carries and 2.2 targets; 36% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#26
Quinshon JudkinsCLE vs JAX · individualized
Projected8.7
Floor / median / ceiling3.0 / 7.6 / 16.0
Position context58 percentile
Why 12.9 carries and 2.2 targets; 35% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#27
Emmett JohnsonKC vs DEN · fallback
Projected8.6
Floor / median / ceiling2.3 / 7.2 / 16.8
Position context56 percentile
Why 10.7 carries and 2.6 targets; 33% chance of 1+ relevant TD; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability role uncertain. Matchup Lab
#28
Mike Washington Jr.LV vs MIA · fallback
Projected8.6
Floor / median / ceiling2.4 / 7.3 / 16.8
Position context54 percentile
Why 10.7 carries and 2.6 targets; 32% chance of 1+ relevant TD; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#29
Jonathon BrooksCAR vs CHI · fallback
Projected8.5
Floor / median / ceiling2.9 / 6.9 / 16.5
Position context53 percentile
Why 10.4 carries and 2.9 targets; 32% chance of 1+ relevant TD; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#30
Rhamondre StevensonNE vs SEA · individualized
Projected8.4
Floor / median / ceiling2.9 / 6.8 / 16.2
Position context51 percentile
Why 9.1 carries and 2.3 targets; 35% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#31
Woody MarksHOU vs BUF · individualized
Projected8.4
Floor / median / ceiling2.9 / 7.0 / 15.2
Position context49 percentile
Why 12.5 carries and 2.3 targets; 32% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#32
Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX vs CLE · individualized
Projected8.0
Floor / median / ceiling2.6 / 6.5 / 15.2
Position context48 percentile
Why 10.9 carries and 1.0 targets; 34% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#33
MarShawn LloydGB vs MIN · fallback
Projected8.0
Floor / median / ceiling2.5 / 6.4 / 15.9
Position context46 percentile
Why 10.4 carries and 2.4 targets; 32% chance of 1+ relevant TD; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#34
Eli HeidenreichPIT vs ATL · fallback
Projected8.0
Floor / median / ceiling1.9 / 6.6 / 16.1
Position context44 percentile
Why 9.9 carries and 2.4 targets; 31% chance of 1+ relevant TD; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability role uncertain. Matchup Lab
#35
Nicholas SingletonTEN vs NYJ · fallback
Projected8.0
Floor / median / ceiling1.9 / 6.5 / 16.0
Position context43 percentile
Why 9.9 carries and 2.4 targets; 31% chance of 1+ relevant TD; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#36
Blake CorumLAR vs SF · individualized
Projected7.9
Floor / median / ceiling2.7 / 6.3 / 15.0
Position context41 percentile
Why 10.5 carries and 1.1 targets; 32% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#37
Jeremiyah LoveARI vs LAC · fallback
Projected7.9
Floor / median / ceiling1.9 / 6.4 / 16.1
Position context39 percentile
Why 9.9 carries and 2.4 targets; 30% chance of 1+ relevant TD; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#38
Kimani VidalLAC vs ARI · individualized
Projected7.9
Floor / median / ceiling1.4 / 6.5 / 16.4
Position context38 percentile
Why 11.0 carries and 1.8 targets; 30% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#39
Tyler AllgeierARI vs LAC · individualized
Projected7.6
Floor / median / ceiling2.5 / 6.0 / 14.3
Position context36 percentile
Why 10.6 carries and 1.5 targets; 36% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#40
Jordan MasonMIN vs GB · individualized
Projected7.6
Floor / median / ceiling2.4 / 6.1 / 14.6
Position context34 percentile
Why 10.3 carries and 1.3 targets; 30% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#41
Alvin KamaraNO vs DET · individualized
Projected7.5
Floor / median / ceiling2.0 / 6.0 / 14.9
Position context33 percentile
Why 9.8 carries and 3.0 targets; 28% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#42
Jordan JamesSF vs LAR · fallback
Projected7.4
Floor / median / ceiling1.4 / 5.9 / 15.5
Position context31 percentile
Why 9.2 carries and 2.2 targets; 29% chance of 1+ relevant TD; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability role uncertain. Matchup Lab
#43
Jadarian PriceSEA vs NE · fallback
Projected7.4
Floor / median / ceiling1.4 / 5.9 / 15.3
Position context29 percentile
Why 9.1 carries and 2.2 targets; 29% chance of 1+ relevant TD; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#44
Kyle MonangaiCHI vs CAR · individualized
Projected7.3
Floor / median / ceiling1.9 / 5.4 / 15.3
Position context28 percentile
Why 9.6 carries and 1.7 targets; 28% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#45
Devin SingletaryNYG vs DAL · individualized
Projected7.3
Floor / median / ceiling2.8 / 5.6 / 13.6
Position context26 percentile
Why 9.9 carries and 1.8 targets; 31% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#46
Chuba HubbardCAR vs CHI · individualized
Projected7.3
Floor / median / ceiling2.6 / 5.9 / 14.4
Position context24 percentile
Why 9.5 carries and 2.4 targets; 29% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#47
David MontgomeryHOU vs BUF · individualized
Projected7.2
Floor / median / ceiling2.4 / 5.8 / 13.9
Position context23 percentile
Why 9.0 carries and 1.9 targets; 29% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#48
Justice HillBAL vs IND · individualized
Projected7.0
Floor / median / ceiling2.5 / 4.8 / 13.6
Position context21 percentile
Why 5.1 carries and 3.6 targets; 27% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#49
Braelon AllenNYJ vs TEN · individualized
Projected6.9
Floor / median / ceiling2.9 / 4.8 / 13.3
Position context19 percentile
Why 9.3 carries and 2.3 targets; 29% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#50
Samaje PerineCIN vs TB · individualized
Projected6.5
Floor / median / ceiling2.1 / 4.7 / 12.8
Position context18 percentile
Why 7.5 carries and 2.1 targets; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#51
Tank BigsbyPHI vs WAS · individualized
Projected6.5
Floor / median / ceiling1.6 / 5.1 / 13.1
Position context16 percentile
Why 9.4 carries and 1.1 targets; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#52
Rachaad WhiteWAS vs PHI · individualized
Projected6.4
Floor / median / ceiling1.5 / 5.3 / 12.7
Position context14 percentile
Why 7.7 carries and 2.4 targets; 25% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#53
Jaylen WrightMIA vs LV · individualized
Projected6.4
Floor / median / ceiling1.8 / 4.4 / 13.7
Position context13 percentile
Why 9.4 carries and 1.5 targets; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#54
Dylan SampsonCLE vs JAX · individualized
Projected6.3
Floor / median / ceiling1.6 / 4.6 / 13.4
Position context11 percentile
Why 6.8 carries and 3.2 targets; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#55
Chris BrooksGB vs MIN · individualized
Projected5.6
Floor / median / ceiling1.7 / 3.7 / 12.0
Position context9 percentile
Why 6.9 carries and 1.3 targets; 21% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#56
DJ GiddensIND vs BAL · fallback
Projected4.9
Floor / median / ceiling0.8 / 3.2 / 11.5
Position context8 percentile
Why 6.7 carries and 1.1 targets; 20% chance of 1+ relevant TD; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#57
George HolaniSEA vs NE · fallback
Projected4.9
Floor / median / ceiling0.6 / 3.2 / 11.7
Position context6 percentile
Why 6.4 carries and 1.3 targets; 21% chance of 1+ relevant TD; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#58
Sione VakiDET vs NO · fallback
Projected4.9
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 3.3 / 12.0
Position context4 percentile
Why 6.0 carries and 1.5 targets; 20% chance of 1+ relevant TD; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#59
Ray DavisBUF vs HOU · individualized
Projected4.6
Floor / median / ceiling0.5 / 2.5 / 11.5
Position context3 percentile
Why 6.0 carries and 1.0 targets; 19% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#60
Ameer AbdullahJAX vs CLE · individualized
Projected4.3
Floor / median / ceiling0.3 / 2.5 / 11.0
Position context1 percentile
Why 3.9 carries and 2.3 targets; 17% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
Fumbles lost and two-point conversions are explicit Unsupported in the forward layer. Scores use modeled components rather than silently treating those categories as zero. Historical F1 context informs comparison only; it does not determine ranks.