PardonMe NFL

Week 1 Fantasy Intelligence

P10 football outcomes transformed with governed Half-PPR scoring. Rankings are position-specific.

47 ranked TE
Floor/ceiling = 10th/90th percentile

Scoring

Position

#1
Brock BowersLV vs SEA · individualized
Projected13.1
Floor / median / ceiling4.4 / 12.3 / 22.2
Position context99 percentile
Why 8.3 targets and 5.9 receptions; 39% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#2
George KittleSF vs DAL · individualized
Projected12.9
Floor / median / ceiling5.7 / 12.5 / 20.3
Position context97 percentile
Why 7.4 targets and 5.9 receptions; 36% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#3
Trey McBrideARI vs LAR · individualized
Projected10.1
Floor / median / ceiling3.0 / 9.6 / 17.5
Position context94 percentile
Why 7.6 targets and 5.8 receptions; 31% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#4
Hunter HenryNE vs DET · individualized
Projected9.0
Floor / median / ceiling4.4 / 8.0 / 15.6
Position context92 percentile
Why 5.0 targets and 4.4 receptions; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#5
Harold Fannin Jr.CLE vs HOU · individualized
Projected8.7
Floor / median / ceiling1.8 / 6.7 / 18.7
Position context90 percentile
Why 6.2 targets and 4.1 receptions; 28% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#6
Travis KelceKC vs ATL · individualized
Projected8.7
Floor / median / ceiling2.5 / 7.6 / 15.6
Position context87 percentile
Why 5.8 targets and 4.1 receptions; 24% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#7
Greg DulcichMIA vs IND · individualized
Projected8.6
Floor / median / ceiling3.7 / 7.2 / 14.7
Position context85 percentile
Why 5.1 targets and 4.2 receptions; 21% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#8
Tucker KraftGB vs MIN · individualized
Projected8.6
Floor / median / ceiling2.2 / 8.1 / 15.7
Position context83 percentile
Why 6.3 targets and 4.0 receptions; 29% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#9
Tyler WarrenIND vs MIA · individualized
Projected7.9
Floor / median / ceiling2.9 / 6.8 / 14.0
Position context80 percentile
Why 7.1 targets and 4.6 receptions; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#9
Isaiah LikelyNYG vs WAS · individualized
Projected8.4
Floor / median / ceiling1.7 / 6.9 / 17.5
Position context83 percentile
Why 6.0 targets and 4.1 receptions; 28% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#10
Juwan JohnsonNO vs CAR · individualized
Projected7.6
Floor / median / ceiling1.6 / 6.6 / 14.4
Position context78 percentile
Why 4.7 targets and 3.6 receptions; 24% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#11
Michael MayerLV vs SEA · individualized
Projected7.6
Floor / median / ceiling1.6 / 6.2 / 15.3
Position context76 percentile
Why 5.2 targets and 4.1 receptions; 20% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#12
Brenton StrangeJAX vs TEN · individualized
Projected7.5
Floor / median / ceiling1.7 / 6.7 / 14.3
Position context73 percentile
Why 5.0 targets and 3.6 receptions; 23% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#13
Sam LaPortaDET vs NE · individualized
Projected7.4
Floor / median / ceiling1.7 / 6.6 / 15.4
Position context71 percentile
Why 5.0 targets and 3.5 receptions; 23% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#14
Dalton KincaidBUF vs NYJ · individualized
Projected7.2
Floor / median / ceiling1.9 / 5.6 / 14.7
Position context69 percentile
Why 3.9 targets and 3.2 receptions; 20% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#15
AJ BarnerSEA vs LV · individualized
Projected6.7
Floor / median / ceiling1.6 / 6.1 / 12.6
Position context66 percentile
Why 5.3 targets and 3.4 receptions; 24% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#16
Dalton SchultzHOU vs CLE · individualized
Projected6.7
Floor / median / ceiling1.6 / 4.7 / 15.2
Position context64 percentile
Why 4.1 targets and 3.4 receptions; 19% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#17
Eli RaridonNE vs DET · individualized
Projected6.5
Floor / median / ceiling1.9 / 5.5 / 13.1
Position context62 percentile
Why 4.2 targets and 2.8 receptions; 21% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#18
Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL vs KC · individualized
Projected6.5
Floor / median / ceiling1.6 / 5.7 / 13.2
Position context59 percentile
Why 4.8 targets and 3.3 receptions; 24% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#19
Pat FreiermuthPIT vs CIN · individualized
Projected6.3
Floor / median / ceiling1.6 / 5.8 / 12.3
Position context57 percentile
Why 4.2 targets and 3.0 receptions; 22% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#20
Elijah HigginsARI vs LAR · individualized
Projected6.1
Floor / median / ceiling2.8 / 4.4 / 11.8
Position context55 percentile
Why 4.2 targets and 3.3 receptions; 19% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#21
Mason TaylorNYJ vs BUF · individualized
Projected5.8
Floor / median / ceiling1.6 / 4.3 / 11.6
Position context52 percentile
Why 4.5 targets and 3.2 receptions; 21% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#22
Mark AndrewsBAL vs LAC · individualized
Projected5.5
Floor / median / ceiling1.5 / 4.2 / 10.2
Position context50 percentile
Why 4.3 targets and 3.2 receptions; 18% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#23
David NjokuLAC vs BAL · individualized
Projected5.4
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 4.3 / 11.7
Position context48 percentile
Why 3.3 targets and 2.6 receptions; 21% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#24
Darnell WashingtonPIT vs CIN · individualized
Projected5.2
Floor / median / ceiling1.7 / 3.4 / 11.1
Position context45 percentile
Why 3.3 targets and 2.4 receptions; 17% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#24
Chig OkonkwoWAS vs NYG · individualized
Projected5.6
Floor / median / ceiling1.6 / 4.6 / 11.1
Position context52 percentile
Why 4.4 targets and 3.0 receptions; 18% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#25
Charlie KolarLAC vs BAL · individualized
Projected5.2
Floor / median / ceiling1.6 / 3.4 / 10.9
Position context43 percentile
Why 3.6 targets and 2.4 receptions; 17% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#26
Colby ParkinsonLAR vs ARI · individualized
Projected5.1
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 4.3 / 11.6
Position context41 percentile
Why 3.7 targets and 2.6 receptions; 20% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#27
Foster MoreauHOU vs CLE · individualized
Projected5.0
Floor / median / ceiling1.3 / 4.0 / 10.1
Position context38 percentile
Why 3.0 targets and 2.5 receptions; 20% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#28
Brevyn Spann-FordDAL vs SF · individualized
Projected4.7
Floor / median / ceiling1.5 / 2.9 / 8.9
Position context36 percentile
Why 3.6 targets and 2.5 receptions; 16% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#29
Davis AllenLAR vs ARI · individualized
Projected4.5
Floor / median / ceiling1.3 / 2.8 / 10.1
Position context34 percentile
Why 3.5 targets and 2.4 receptions; 18% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#30
Mitchell EvansCAR vs NO · individualized
Projected4.5
Floor / median / ceiling1.4 / 3.9 / 8.9
Position context31 percentile
Why 3.1 targets and 2.3 receptions; 15% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#31
Tommy TrembleCAR vs NO · individualized
Projected4.4
Floor / median / ceiling1.3 / 4.1 / 10.1
Position context29 percentile
Why 3.5 targets and 2.3 receptions; 18% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#32
Jeremy RuckertNYJ vs BUF · individualized
Projected4.3
Floor / median / ceiling1.1 / 3.1 / 9.2
Position context27 percentile
Why 2.8 targets and 2.3 receptions; 17% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#33
Josh CuevasBAL vs LAC · individualized
Projected4.1
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 2.8 / 9.3
Position context24 percentile
Why 2.2 targets and 1.7 receptions; 14% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#34
Drew SampleCIN vs PIT · individualized
Projected4.0
Floor / median / ceiling1.2 / 3.2 / 8.5
Position context22 percentile
Why 3.2 targets and 2.4 receptions; 15% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#35
Jonnu SmithGB vs MIN · individualized
Projected3.9
Floor / median / ceiling1.2 / 2.6 / 8.6
Position context20 percentile
Why 2.9 targets and 2.1 receptions; 15% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#36
Jake FergusonDAL vs SF · individualized
Projected3.9
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 2.5 / 9.3
Position context17 percentile
Why 2.9 targets and 2.0 receptions; 19% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#37
Dawson KnoxBUF vs NYJ · individualized
Projected3.5
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 2.6 / 8.6
Position context15 percentile
Why 2.8 targets and 2.0 receptions; 15% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#38
Nate BoerkircherJAX vs TEN · individualized
Projected3.5
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 1.8 / 7.8
Position context13 percentile
Why 2.1 targets and 1.5 receptions; 12% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#38
Theo JohnsonNYG vs WAS · individualized
Projected3.9
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 3.4 / 9.4
Position context23 percentile
Why 2.5 targets and 1.7 receptions; 14% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#39
Gunnar HelmTEN vs JAX · individualized
Projected3.4
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 2.0 / 8.7
Position context10 percentile
Why 2.6 targets and 1.9 receptions; 12% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#40
Noah FantNO vs CAR · individualized
Projected3.1
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 1.3 / 8.5
Position context8 percentile
Why 2.4 targets and 1.6 receptions; 14% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#41
Charlie WoernerATL vs KC · individualized
Projected3.0
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 2.5 / 7.4
Position context6 percentile
Why 2.4 targets and 1.6 receptions; 13% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#42
Blake WhiteheartCLE vs HOU · individualized
Projected2.5
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 1.4 / 7.3
Position context3 percentile
Why 1.8 targets and 1.1 receptions; 12% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#43
Will KacmarekMIA vs IND · individualized
Projected2.0
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 1.3 / 6.0
Position context1 percentile
Why 1.6 targets and 0.9 receptions; 9% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#48
John BatesWAS vs NYG · individualized
Projected2.0
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 1.2 / 6.0
Position context3 percentile
Why 1.4 targets and 1.0 receptions; 10% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
—
Mike GesickiCIN vs PIT · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
Brock WrightDET vs NE · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
Mo Alie-CoxIND vs MIA · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: supported current game unavailable. Matchup Lab
—
Noah GrayKC vs ATL · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
T.J. HockensonMIN vs GB · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: supported current game unavailable. Matchup Lab
—
Josh OliverMIN vs GB · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
Brayden WillisSF vs DAL · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
Eric SaubertSEA vs LV · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
Daniel BellingerTEN vs JAX · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab

Fumbles lost and two-point conversions are explicit Unsupported in the forward layer. Scores use modeled components rather than silently treating those categories as zero. Historical F1 context informs comparison only; it does not determine ranks.