#1
Brock BowersLV vs SEA · individualized
Projected10.1
Floor / median / ceiling2.9 / 8.8 / 18.4
Position context99 percentile
Why 8.3 targets and 5.9 receptions; 39% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
PardonMe NFL
Week 1 Fantasy Intelligence
P10 football outcomes transformed with governed Standard scoring. Rankings are position-specific.
47 ranked TE
Floor/ceiling = 10th/90th percentile
Scoring
Position
#2
George KittleSF vs DAL · individualized
Projected10.0
Floor / median / ceiling4.2 / 9.0 / 16.3
Position context97 percentile
Why 7.4 targets and 5.9 receptions; 36% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#3
Trey McBrideARI vs LAR · individualized
Projected7.2
Floor / median / ceiling2.0 / 6.1 / 13.1
Position context94 percentile
Why 7.6 targets and 5.8 receptions; 31% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#4
Hunter HenryNE vs DET · individualized
Projected6.8
Floor / median / ceiling3.3 / 5.5 / 12.6
Position context92 percentile
Why 5.0 targets and 4.4 receptions; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#5
Harold Fannin Jr.CLE vs HOU · individualized
Projected6.7
Floor / median / ceiling1.3 / 4.7 / 15.1
Position context90 percentile
Why 6.2 targets and 4.1 receptions; 28% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#6
Travis KelceKC vs ATL · individualized
Projected6.6
Floor / median / ceiling1.6 / 5.2 / 12.4
Position context87 percentile
Why 5.8 targets and 4.1 receptions; 24% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#7
Tucker KraftGB vs MIN · individualized
Projected6.6
Floor / median / ceiling1.2 / 5.6 / 12.7
Position context85 percentile
Why 6.3 targets and 4.0 receptions; 29% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#8
Greg DulcichMIA vs IND · individualized
Projected6.5
Floor / median / ceiling2.7 / 5.1 / 12.2
Position context83 percentile
Why 5.1 targets and 4.2 receptions; 21% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#9
Juwan JohnsonNO vs CAR · individualized
Projected5.8
Floor / median / ceiling1.1 / 4.6 / 11.7
Position context80 percentile
Why 4.7 targets and 3.6 receptions; 24% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#9
Isaiah LikelyNYG vs WAS · individualized
Projected6.4
Floor / median / ceiling1.2 / 4.5 / 14.3
Position context83 percentile
Why 6.0 targets and 4.1 receptions; 28% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#10
Brenton StrangeJAX vs TEN · individualized
Projected5.7
Floor / median / ceiling1.2 / 4.7 / 11.8
Position context78 percentile
Why 5.0 targets and 3.6 receptions; 23% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#11
Dalton KincaidBUF vs NYJ · individualized
Projected5.7
Floor / median / ceiling1.4 / 4.1 / 11.4
Position context76 percentile
Why 3.9 targets and 3.2 receptions; 20% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#12
Sam LaPortaDET vs NE · individualized
Projected5.6
Floor / median / ceiling1.2 / 4.6 / 11.7
Position context73 percentile
Why 5.0 targets and 3.5 receptions; 23% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#13
Tyler WarrenIND vs MIA · individualized
Projected5.6
Floor / median / ceiling1.8 / 4.3 / 11.0
Position context71 percentile
Why 7.1 targets and 4.6 receptions; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#14
Michael MayerLV vs SEA · individualized
Projected5.5
Floor / median / ceiling1.1 / 4.2 / 11.2
Position context69 percentile
Why 5.2 targets and 4.1 receptions; 20% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#15
Eli RaridonNE vs DET · individualized
Projected5.1
Floor / median / ceiling1.4 / 4.0 / 11.1
Position context66 percentile
Why 4.2 targets and 2.8 receptions; 21% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#16
AJ BarnerSEA vs LV · individualized
Projected5.1
Floor / median / ceiling1.1 / 4.1 / 10.1
Position context64 percentile
Why 5.3 targets and 3.4 receptions; 24% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#17
Dalton SchultzHOU vs CLE · individualized
Projected5.0
Floor / median / ceiling1.1 / 3.2 / 11.3
Position context62 percentile
Why 4.1 targets and 3.4 receptions; 19% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#18
Pat FreiermuthPIT vs CIN · individualized
Projected4.8
Floor / median / ceiling1.1 / 4.3 / 10.3
Position context59 percentile
Why 4.2 targets and 3.0 receptions; 22% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#19
Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL vs KC · individualized
Projected4.8
Floor / median / ceiling1.1 / 3.7 / 10.7
Position context57 percentile
Why 4.8 targets and 3.3 receptions; 24% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#20
Elijah HigginsARI vs LAR · individualized
Projected4.4
Floor / median / ceiling1.8 / 2.9 / 8.9
Position context55 percentile
Why 4.2 targets and 3.3 receptions; 19% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#21
Mason TaylorNYJ vs BUF · individualized
Projected4.2
Floor / median / ceiling1.1 / 2.8 / 9.6
Position context52 percentile
Why 4.5 targets and 3.2 receptions; 21% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#22
David NjokuLAC vs BAL · individualized
Projected4.0
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 2.8 / 9.7
Position context50 percentile
Why 3.3 targets and 2.6 receptions; 21% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#23
Darnell WashingtonPIT vs CIN · individualized
Projected4.0
Floor / median / ceiling1.2 / 2.4 / 9.5
Position context48 percentile
Why 3.3 targets and 2.4 receptions; 17% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#24
Charlie KolarLAC vs BAL · individualized
Projected3.9
Floor / median / ceiling1.1 / 2.4 / 8.4
Position context45 percentile
Why 3.6 targets and 2.4 receptions; 17% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#24
Chig OkonkwoWAS vs NYG · individualized
Projected4.1
Floor / median / ceiling1.1 / 3.1 / 9.1
Position context52 percentile
Why 4.4 targets and 3.0 receptions; 18% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#25
Mark AndrewsBAL vs LAC · individualized
Projected3.9
Floor / median / ceiling1.0 / 2.7 / 8.7
Position context43 percentile
Why 4.3 targets and 3.2 receptions; 18% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#26
Foster MoreauHOU vs CLE · individualized
Projected3.8
Floor / median / ceiling0.8 / 2.6 / 8.6
Position context41 percentile
Why 3.0 targets and 2.5 receptions; 20% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#27
Colby ParkinsonLAR vs ARI · individualized
Projected3.7
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 2.8 / 9.6
Position context38 percentile
Why 3.7 targets and 2.6 receptions; 20% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#28
Brevyn Spann-FordDAL vs SF · individualized
Projected3.5
Floor / median / ceiling1.0 / 1.9 / 7.9
Position context36 percentile
Why 3.6 targets and 2.5 receptions; 16% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#29
Davis AllenLAR vs ARI · individualized
Projected3.3
Floor / median / ceiling0.8 / 1.8 / 8.6
Position context34 percentile
Why 3.5 targets and 2.4 receptions; 18% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#30
Mitchell EvansCAR vs NO · individualized
Projected3.3
Floor / median / ceiling0.9 / 2.8 / 7.9
Position context31 percentile
Why 3.1 targets and 2.3 receptions; 15% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#31
Tommy TrembleCAR vs NO · individualized
Projected3.3
Floor / median / ceiling0.8 / 2.6 / 8.6
Position context29 percentile
Why 3.5 targets and 2.3 receptions; 18% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#32
Josh CuevasBAL vs LAC · individualized
Projected3.2
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 2.3 / 8.3
Position context27 percentile
Why 2.2 targets and 1.7 receptions; 14% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#33
Jeremy RuckertNYJ vs BUF · individualized
Projected3.1
Floor / median / ceiling0.6 / 2.1 / 8.1
Position context24 percentile
Why 2.8 targets and 2.3 receptions; 17% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#34
Jonnu SmithGB vs MIN · individualized
Projected2.9
Floor / median / ceiling0.7 / 1.6 / 7.6
Position context22 percentile
Why 2.9 targets and 2.1 receptions; 15% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#35
Jake FergusonDAL vs SF · individualized
Projected2.9
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 1.5 / 8.2
Position context20 percentile
Why 2.9 targets and 2.0 receptions; 19% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#36
Drew SampleCIN vs PIT · individualized
Projected2.8
Floor / median / ceiling0.7 / 2.2 / 7.5
Position context17 percentile
Why 3.2 targets and 2.4 receptions; 15% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#36
Theo JohnsonNYG vs WAS · individualized
Projected3.1
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 2.4 / 8.4
Position context28 percentile
Why 2.5 targets and 1.7 receptions; 14% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#37
Nate BoerkircherJAX vs TEN · individualized
Projected2.7
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 1.3 / 7.3
Position context15 percentile
Why 2.1 targets and 1.5 receptions; 12% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#38
Dawson KnoxBUF vs NYJ · individualized
Projected2.6
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 1.6 / 7.6
Position context13 percentile
Why 2.8 targets and 2.0 receptions; 15% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#39
Gunnar HelmTEN vs JAX · individualized
Projected2.4
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 1.0 / 7.0
Position context10 percentile
Why 2.6 targets and 1.9 receptions; 12% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#40
Noah FantNO vs CAR · individualized
Projected2.3
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 0.8 / 6.8
Position context8 percentile
Why 2.4 targets and 1.6 receptions; 14% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#41
Charlie WoernerATL vs KC · individualized
Projected2.2
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 1.6 / 6.7
Position context6 percentile
Why 2.4 targets and 1.6 receptions; 13% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#42
Blake WhiteheartCLE vs HOU · individualized
Projected1.9
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 0.9 / 6.0
Position context3 percentile
Why 1.8 targets and 1.1 receptions; 12% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#43
Will KacmarekMIA vs IND · individualized
Projected1.5
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 0.8 / 5.6
Position context1 percentile
Why 1.6 targets and 0.9 receptions; 9% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
#48
John BatesWAS vs NYG · individualized
Projected1.6
Floor / median / ceiling0.0 / 0.7 / 6.0
Position context3 percentile
Why 1.4 targets and 1.0 receptions; 10% chance of 1+ relevant TD; availability unknown. Matchup Lab
—
Mike GesickiCIN vs PIT · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
Brock WrightDET vs NE · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
Mo Alie-CoxIND vs MIA · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: supported current game unavailable. Matchup Lab
—
Noah GrayKC vs ATL · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
T.J. HockensonMIN vs GB · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: supported current game unavailable. Matchup Lab
—
Josh OliverMIN vs GB · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
Brayden WillisSF vs DAL · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
Eric SaubertSEA vs LV · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
—
Daniel BellingerTEN vs JAX · suppressed
SuppressedNot projected as zero
Why Fantasy projection suppressed: unresolved game day evidence conflict. Matchup Lab
Fumbles lost and two-point conversions are explicit Unsupported in the forward layer. Scores use modeled components rather than silently treating those categories as zero. Historical F1 context informs comparison only; it does not determine ranks.