Cyrus Allen

Full · stale · reported 2026-10-25 23:24:58

Injury wording unavailable · prior factual role Rotational · prior-game snap share 17%

Player Id

1368

Team Id

48

Season Year

2026

Week Number

7

Game Id

10622

Headline

Full

Canonical Status

unknown

Practice Participation

full

Game Designation

unknown

Inactive Status

unknown

Reserve Status

unknown

Roster Status

unknown

Injury Wording

—

Illness Flag

—

Report At

2026-10-25 23:24:58

Observed At

2026-10-25 23:24:58

Source Owner

KC

Source Url

https://www.chiefs.com/team/injury-report

Freshness State

stale

Conflict State

none

Unknown State

0

Evidence Completeness

partial

Prior Role

rotational

Prior Snap Share

0.170000

Trailing Snap Share

0.130000

Evidence Json

{"observation_ids": [480254]}

Source Manifest Hash

03e768cd6f1792346c09e77947edc35bcfe55920db16401a12188a1532da76e6

Derivation Version

nfl_availability_episode_v4

Source Published At

2026-11-03 11:21:10

Last Published At

2026-11-03 11:21:10

Source: KC

Receiving distribution

fallback_distribution. Suppressed or unavailable values are not projected as zero.

Game Id

10622

Player Id

1368

Team Id

48

Opponent Team Id

61

Position Code

WR

Model Version

nfl_p10c_wrte_signals_v1

Parameter Version

nfl_p10c_wrte_signals_params_v1

Evidence Tier

position_current_era_fallback

Confidence

Insufficient Evidence

Distribution Json

{"state": "fallback_distribution", "targets": {"mean": 1.81445, "median": 1.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 0.0, "upper": 6.0}}, "receptions": {"mean": 1.18785, "median": 0.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 0.0, "upper": 4.0}}, "receiving_tds": {"mean": 0.1168, "median": 0.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 0.0, "upper": 1.0}, "probabilities": {"0": 0.8958, "1": 0.09325, "1+": 0.1042, "2+": 0.01095}}, "receiving_yards": {"mean": 16.11425, "median": 0.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 0.0, "upper": 48.0}}}

Evidence Json

{"routes": {"state": "unsupported", "reason": "routes are not retained in the governed historical weekly evidence"}, "p9i_context": [{"pca1_index": null, "matchup_code": "qb_vs_secondary", "model_effect": "explanation_only", "equal_z_index": null}, {"pca1_index": null, "matchup_code": "receiving_vs_secondary", "model_effect": "explanation_only", "equal_z_index": null}], "current_truth": {"role": {"state": "unknown", "depth_rank": null, "source_hash": null, "team_match_state": "missing_current_team_role"}, "availability": {"state": "unknown", "reason": "current_availability_unknown_projection_retained", "values": {"roster_status": "unknown", "reserve_status": "unknown", "inactive_status": "unknown", "canonical_status": "unknown", "game_designation": "unknown"}, "conflict_state": "none", "freshness_state": "current", "game_scope_state": "current_game", "team_match_state": "matched", "serve_distribution": true, "population_content_hash": "675197518d38f0c3f0b7596f873e4973c8b1eda92436d224ef4f525055eff84a"}, "availability_source_manifest_hash": "6ff25ab832911262c71db4d0d6e124b3737b35f70f00b547dc5c17a85287a4c5"}, "individualized": false, "unknown_inputs": ["routes", "individual CB assignments", "validated causal P9/P9I receiving coefficient"], "fallback_reason": "insufficient_player_history", "football_signals": {"p5_effect": "none", "model_keys": ["receiving_WR_receiving_tds_1plus", "receiving_WR_receiving_yards", "receiving_WR_receptions", "role_WR_targets"], "feature_hash": "9ec69f02db9e6b8a202d6ae25bfd16f9dc28991ae4943a904dd66ddc9f307a5c", "added_signals": ["receiving", "role"], "madden_effect": "none; context only"}, "p5_target_center": {"value": 2.587817938952, "contract": "accepted P5 target center; read-only", "workload_target": "targets"}, "projection_basis": "evidence_backed_individualized_projection", "madden_model_effect": "none; explanation-only", "meaningful_definition": ">=1 target and >=3% of team WR/TE targets", "player_meaningful_games": 3}

Reproducibility Json

{"seed": 106220132, "method": "empirical targets centered on read-only P5; conditional beta-binomial receptions and TD; nonnegative blended posterior/empirical yards per reception", "source_hash": "4a4c4435d8a9192fdb81f18383713c395d63ecfe37095948f16b7d4b940f3a09", "interval_level": 0.8, "football_signals": {"changes": {"targets": -0.8949087429569441, "receptions": -0.2527829373064718, "receiving_yards": -2.79035723468782, "receiving_tds_1plus": -0.08023549912729146}, "version": "nfl_p10_football_signals_v1", "features": {"wopr3": 0.14030646659155674, "targets3": 1.3333333333333333, "snap_last": 0.15, "air_share3": 0.09615027064621194, "snap_mean3": 0.08333333333333333, "carry_share3": 0.0, "own_carries8": 25.25, "own_rush_ypc8": 5.02970297029703, "target_share3": 0.04866751809280543, "own_sack_rate8": 0.07480314960629922, "air_per_target3": 12.333333333333334, "role_continuity": 1.0, "opponent_carries8": 25.25, "opponent_rush_ypc8": 3.603960396039604, "opportunity_share3": 0.061926683716965046, "opponent_sack_rate8": 0.08366533864541832}, "model_keys": ["receiving_WR_receiving_tds_1plus", "receiving_WR_receiving_yards", "receiving_WR_receptions", "role_WR_targets"], "target_week": 7, "feature_hash": "9ec69f02db9e6b8a202d6ae25bfd16f9dc28991ae4943a904dd66ddc9f307a5c", "artifact_hash": "abe5a601293374a3b9ce2e82747d93685f38da588d2c76877a5ff3e28360ee8b", "target_season": 2026, "missing_policy": "retain baseline for unsupported signal", "baseline_version": "nfl_p10c_wrte_empirical_v1", "strict_prior_week": true, "historical_validation": "2013-2022 fit; 2023 tuning; 2024-2025 final proxy-centered draw holdout"}, "simulation_draws": 20000, "frozen_parameters": {"era_seasons": 2, "td_prior_targets": 100, "catch_prior_targets": 25, "target_mixture_games": 2, "efficiency_empirical_blend": 0.0, "efficiency_prior_receptions": 10}, "parameter_version": "nfl_p10c_wrte_params_v1", "parameter_selection_season": 2023}

Content Hash

d5bf867a348003f669c54883390f18efbfa0c64c2aced63abcd864d6f5eb25e2

Observed At

2026-10-25 17:49:58

Generated At

2026-10-25 18:32:26

Published At

2026-10-25 18:32:26

Team Abbr

KC

Opponent Abbr

SEA

Distribution

State

fallback_distribution

Targets

Mean

1.81445

Median

1

Interval 80

Lower

0

Upper

6

Receptions

Mean

1.18785

Median

0

Interval 80

Lower

0

Upper

4

Receiving Tds

Mean

0.1168

Median

0

Interval 80

Lower

0

Upper

1

Probabilities

0

0.8958

1

0.09325

1+

0.1042

2+

0.01095

Receiving Yards

Mean

16.11425

Median

0

Interval 80

Lower

0

Upper

48

Evidence

Routes

State

unsupported

Reason

routes are not retained in the governed historical weekly evidence

P9i Context

0

Pca1 Index

—

Matchup Code

qb_vs_secondary

Model Effect

explanation_only

Equal Z Index

—

1

Pca1 Index

—

Matchup Code

receiving_vs_secondary

Model Effect

explanation_only

Equal Z Index

—

Current Truth

Role

State

unknown

Depth Rank

—

Source Hash

—

Team Match State

missing_current_team_role

Availability

State

unknown

Reason

current_availability_unknown_projection_retained

Values

Roster Status

unknown

Reserve Status

unknown

Inactive Status

unknown

Canonical Status

unknown

Game Designation

unknown

Conflict State

none

Freshness State

current

Game Scope State

current_game

Team Match State

matched

Serve Distribution

1

Population Content Hash

675197518d38f0c3f0b7596f873e4973c8b1eda92436d224ef4f525055eff84a

Availability Source Manifest Hash

6ff25ab832911262c71db4d0d6e124b3737b35f70f00b547dc5c17a85287a4c5

Individualized

Unknown Inputs

0

routes

1

individual CB assignments

2

validated causal P9/P9I receiving coefficient

Fallback Reason

insufficient_player_history

Football Signals

P5 Effect

none

Model Keys

0

receiving_WR_receiving_tds_1plus

1

receiving_WR_receiving_yards

2

receiving_WR_receptions

3

role_WR_targets

Feature Hash

9ec69f02db9e6b8a202d6ae25bfd16f9dc28991ae4943a904dd66ddc9f307a5c

Added Signals

0

receiving

1

role

Madden Effect

none; context only

P5 Target Center

Value

2.587817938952

Contract

accepted P5 target center; read-only

Workload Target

targets

Projection Basis

evidence_backed_individualized_projection

Madden Model Effect

none; explanation-only

Meaningful Definition

>=1 target and >=3% of team WR/TE targets

Player Meaningful Games

3

Reproducibility

Seed

106220132

Method

empirical targets centered on read-only P5; conditional beta-binomial receptions and TD; nonnegative blended posterior/empirical yards per reception

Source Hash

4a4c4435d8a9192fdb81f18383713c395d63ecfe37095948f16b7d4b940f3a09

Interval Level

0.8

Football Signals

Changes

Targets

-0.89490874295694

Receptions

-0.25278293730647

Receiving Yards

-2.7903572346878

Receiving Tds 1plus

-0.080235499127291

Version

nfl_p10_football_signals_v1

Features

Wopr3

0.14030646659156

Targets3

1.3333333333333

Snap Last

0.15

Air Share3

0.096150270646212

Snap Mean3

0.083333333333333

Carry Share3

0

Own Carries8

25.25

Own Rush Ypc8

5.029702970297

Target Share3

0.048667518092805

Own Sack Rate8

0.074803149606299

Air Per Target3

12.333333333333

Role Continuity

1

Opponent Carries8

25.25

Opponent Rush Ypc8

3.6039603960396

Opportunity Share3

0.061926683716965

Opponent Sack Rate8

0.083665338645418

Model Keys

0

receiving_WR_receiving_tds_1plus

1

receiving_WR_receiving_yards

2

receiving_WR_receptions

3

role_WR_targets

Target Week

7

Feature Hash

9ec69f02db9e6b8a202d6ae25bfd16f9dc28991ae4943a904dd66ddc9f307a5c

Artifact Hash

abe5a601293374a3b9ce2e82747d93685f38da588d2c76877a5ff3e28360ee8b

Target Season

2026

Missing Policy

retain baseline for unsupported signal

Baseline Version

nfl_p10c_wrte_empirical_v1

Strict Prior Week

1

Historical Validation

2013-2022 fit; 2023 tuning; 2024-2025 final proxy-centered draw holdout

Simulation Draws

20000

Frozen Parameters

Era Seasons

2

Td Prior Targets

100

Catch Prior Targets

25

Target Mixture Games

2

Efficiency Empirical Blend

0

Efficiency Prior Receptions

10

Parameter Version

nfl_p10c_wrte_params_v1

Parameter Selection Season

2023

Unit, passing and scoring context

Unit Matchups

Passing Matchups

Scoring Opportunities

Matchup Context

—

These are explanation-only values. Pressure, individual assignments, coverage and replacement effects remain unavailable unless retained above.

Official depth, provider box scores, governed fantasy serving, EA ratings, PardonMe projections, matchup context and market comparisons retain source lineage. Markets are not model inputs.

Methodology: P5 is read-only workload and fantasy serving. P10 distributions are independent, governed models. P9 context and Madden analysis explain rather than adjust them. Missing, insufficient, conflicting, stale, or unsupported evidence remains unavailable.

Provenance: nflverse season totals, provider game evidence, official availability/depth, EA ratings and dated observations are shown with their retained fields above.