Jadarian Price

Unknown · stale · reported 2026-11-03 00:19:58

Injury wording unavailable · prior factual role Unknown · prior-game snap share 0%

Player Id

2591

Team Id

61

Season Year

2026

Week Number

8

Game Id

10637

Headline

No current official observation entered

Canonical Status

unknown

Practice Participation

unknown

Game Designation

unknown

Inactive Status

unknown

Reserve Status

unknown

Roster Status

unknown

Injury Wording

—

Illness Flag

—

Report At

2026-11-03 00:19:58

Observed At

2026-11-03 00:19:58

Source Owner

CHI

Source Url

https://www.chicagobears.com/team/injury-report

Freshness State

stale

Conflict State

none

Unknown State

1

Evidence Completeness

unknown

Prior Role

unknown

Prior Snap Share

0.000000

Trailing Snap Share

0.000000

Evidence Json

{"observation_ids": [522666, 522667], "dimension_conflicts": ["practice_participation"]}

Source Manifest Hash

e05117deeebcbb4f05a37c1308cc8a133cde16920ddb106850b51a481865940c

Derivation Version

nfl_availability_episode_v4

Source Published At

2026-11-11 11:21:42

Last Published At

2026-11-11 11:21:42

Source: CHI

Backfield distribution

fallback_distribution. Suppressed or unavailable values are not projected as zero.

Game Id

10517

Player Id

2591

Team Id

61

Opponent Team Id

54

Position Code

RB

Model Version

nfl_p10b_rb_empirical_v3

Evidence Tier

position_current_era_fallback

Confidence

Insufficient Evidence

Distribution Json

{"state": "fallback_distribution", "carries": {"mean": 9.09515, "median": 8.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 2.0, "upper": 17.0}}, "targets": {"mean": 2.20365, "median": 2.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 0.0, "upper": 5.0}}, "total_tds": {"mean": 0.361, "median": 0.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 0.0, "upper": 1.0}, "probabilities": {"0": 0.7123, "1": 0.2272, "1+": 0.2877, "2+": 0.0605}}, "receptions": {"mean": 1.73875, "median": 1.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 0.0, "upper": 4.0}}, "rushing_tds": {"mean": 0.2908, "median": 0.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 0.0, "upper": 1.0}, "probabilities": {"0": 0.7588, "1": 0.1991, "1+": 0.2412, "2+": 0.0421}}, "opportunities": {"mean": 11.2988, "median": 11.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 3.0, "upper": 21.0}}, "receiving_tds": {"mean": 0.0702, "median": 0.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 0.0, "upper": 0.0}, "probabilities": {"0": 0.93345, "1": 0.06325, "1+": 0.06655, "2+": 0.0033}}, "rushing_yards": {"mean": 38.9053, "median": 34.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 10.0, "upper": 74.0}}, "receiving_yards": {"mean": 12.9597, "median": 8.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 0.0, "upper": 30.0}}}

Evidence Json

{"current_truth": {"role": {"state": "supported", "depth_rank": 2, "source_hash": "7d75ca5342f948ac2264ddab84932456522147ba88b6d59c8beb256db1935ee4", "team_match_state": "matched"}, "availability": {"state": "unknown", "reason": "current_availability_unknown_projection_retained", "values": {"roster_status": "unknown", "reserve_status": "unknown", "inactive_status": "unknown", "canonical_status": "transaction_effective", "game_designation": "unknown"}, "conflict_state": "none", "freshness_state": "current", "game_scope_state": "old_or_unknown", "team_match_state": "matched", "serve_distribution": true}, "availability_source_manifest_hash": "d70d58554c8a43327f9479a8b43c2211d3257612959db182ec8328f533089f28"}, "individualized": false, "unknown_inputs": ["routes (not retained)", "historical snap share joined to nflverse player identity", "validated causal P9 run-defense coefficient", "multi-season red-zone/inside-10/inside-5 player opportunity", "true end-zone targets"], "fallback_reason": "insufficient_player_history", "player_rb_games": 0, "projection_basis": "model_imputed_baseline", "p9_run_environment": [{"run": {"edge": "defense", "state": "supported", "defense": {"opponent_carries": 411.0, "opponent_rush_yards": 1729.0, "league_rank_low_is_best": 13, "yards_per_carry_allowed": 4.206812652068127}, "offense": {"carries": 507.0, "rush_yards": 2096.0, "yards_per_carry": 4.134122287968442, "league_rank_high_is_best": 25}, "denominator": "Retained player carries; rushing yards divided by carries", "league_medians": {"offense_yards_per_carry": 4.319816463259086, "defense_yards_per_carry_allowed": 4.29079863438525}}, "defense": "NE", "offense": "SEA", "model_effect": "explanatory only; no validated causal coefficient"}], "meaningful_definition": ">=5 carries+targets and >=15% of team RB opportunities", "p5_opportunity_center": {"value": 11.579906786524, "contract": "accepted P5 external carries+targets center; read-only", "workload_target": "opportunities"}, "p9_scoring_opportunity_context": {"season": 2025, "model_effect": "none; retained one-season context is not used as an unvalidated multiplier", "inside_5_carries": 0, "red_zone_carries": 0, "red_zone_targets": 0, "inside_10_carries": 0, "true_end_zone_targets": "Unknown"}}

Reproducibility Json

{"seed": 105170123, "method": "empirical total opportunities centered on read-only P5; beta-binomial carry/target, catch and TD allocation; conditional empirical yards-per-carry and yards-per-reception", "simulations": 20000, "source_hash": "d3420a1fc87b5871c17ce5e6d7cb4450f6d1c71333ce5ed4ebf58b1daf037b26", "interval_level": 0.8, "frozen_parameters": {"era_seasons": 3, "rush_td_prior_carries": 500, "catch_rate_prior_targets": 50, "opportunity_mixture_games": 4, "receiving_td_prior_targets": 100, "rush_empirical_blend_weight": 0.5, "rush_efficiency_prior_carries": 200, "carry_share_prior_opportunities": 50, "receiving_empirical_blend_weight": 0.25, "receiving_efficiency_prior_receptions": 100}, "parameter_training_cutoff": 2023}

Content Hash

e71c143a15103a8b200d3048621e2d27b2b3a2ba3c45f48372e5a3f7747b6938

Observed At

2026-09-09 19:05:10

Generated At

2026-09-09 19:05:10

Published At

2026-09-10 11:32:33

Team Abbr

SEA

Opponent Abbr

NE

Distribution

State

fallback_distribution

Carries

Mean

9.09515

Median

8

Interval 80

Lower

2

Upper

17

Targets

Mean

2.20365

Median

2

Interval 80

Lower

0

Upper

5

Total Tds

Mean

0.361

Median

0

Interval 80

Lower

0

Upper

1

Probabilities

0

0.7123

1

0.2272

1+

0.2877

2+

0.0605

Receptions

Mean

1.73875

Median

1

Interval 80

Lower

0

Upper

4

Rushing Tds

Mean

0.2908

Median

0

Interval 80

Lower

0

Upper

1

Probabilities

0

0.7588

1

0.1991

1+

0.2412

2+

0.0421

Opportunities

Mean

11.2988

Median

11

Interval 80

Lower

3

Upper

21

Receiving Tds

Mean

0.0702

Median

0

Interval 80

Lower

0

Upper

0

Probabilities

0

0.93345

1

0.06325

1+

0.06655

2+

0.0033

Rushing Yards

Mean

38.9053

Median

34

Interval 80

Lower

10

Upper

74

Receiving Yards

Mean

12.9597

Median

8

Interval 80

Lower

0

Upper

30

Evidence

Current Truth

Role

State

supported

Depth Rank

2

Source Hash

7d75ca5342f948ac2264ddab84932456522147ba88b6d59c8beb256db1935ee4

Team Match State

matched

Availability

State

unknown

Reason

current_availability_unknown_projection_retained

Values

Roster Status

unknown

Reserve Status

unknown

Inactive Status

unknown

Canonical Status

transaction_effective

Game Designation

unknown

Conflict State

none

Freshness State

current

Game Scope State

old_or_unknown

Team Match State

matched

Serve Distribution

1

Availability Source Manifest Hash

d70d58554c8a43327f9479a8b43c2211d3257612959db182ec8328f533089f28

Individualized

Unknown Inputs

0

routes (not retained)

1

historical snap share joined to nflverse player identity

2

validated causal P9 run-defense coefficient

3

multi-season red-zone/inside-10/inside-5 player opportunity

4

true end-zone targets

Fallback Reason

insufficient_player_history

Player Rb Games

0

Projection Basis

model_imputed_baseline

P9 Run Environment

0

Run

Edge

defense

State

supported

Defense

Opponent Carries

411

Opponent Rush Yards

1729

League Rank Low Is Best

13

Yards Per Carry Allowed

4.2068126520681

Offense

Carries

507

Rush Yards

2096

Yards Per Carry

4.1341222879684

League Rank High Is Best

25

Denominator

Retained player carries; rushing yards divided by carries

League Medians

Offense Yards Per Carry

4.3198164632591

Defense Yards Per Carry Allowed

4.2907986343852

Defense

NE

Offense

SEA

Model Effect

explanatory only; no validated causal coefficient

Meaningful Definition

>=5 carries+targets and >=15% of team RB opportunities

P5 Opportunity Center

Value

11.579906786524

Contract

accepted P5 external carries+targets center; read-only

Workload Target

opportunities

P9 Scoring Opportunity Context

Season

2025

Model Effect

none; retained one-season context is not used as an unvalidated multiplier

Inside 5 Carries

0

Red Zone Carries

0

Red Zone Targets

0

Inside 10 Carries

0

True End Zone Targets

Unknown

Reproducibility

Seed

105170123

Method

empirical total opportunities centered on read-only P5; beta-binomial carry/target, catch and TD allocation; conditional empirical yards-per-carry and yards-per-reception

Simulations

20000

Source Hash

d3420a1fc87b5871c17ce5e6d7cb4450f6d1c71333ce5ed4ebf58b1daf037b26

Interval Level

0.8

Frozen Parameters

Era Seasons

3

Rush Td Prior Carries

500

Catch Rate Prior Targets

50

Opportunity Mixture Games

4

Receiving Td Prior Targets

100

Rush Empirical Blend Weight

0.5

Rush Efficiency Prior Carries

200

Carry Share Prior Opportunities

50

Receiving Empirical Blend Weight

0.25

Receiving Efficiency Prior Receptions

100

Parameter Training Cutoff

2023

Unit, passing and scoring context

Unit Matchups

Passing Matchups

Scoring Opportunities

Matchup Context

—

These are explanation-only values. Pressure, individual assignments, coverage and replacement effects remain unavailable unless retained above.

Official depth, provider box scores, governed fantasy serving, EA ratings, PardonMe projections, matchup context and market comparisons retain source lineage. Markets are not model inputs.

Methodology: P5 is read-only workload and fantasy serving. P10 distributions are independent, governed models. P9 context and Madden analysis explain rather than adjust them. Missing, insufficient, conflicting, stale, or unsupported evidence remains unavailable.

Provenance: nflverse season totals, provider game evidence, official availability/depth, EA ratings and dated observations are shown with their retained fields above.