Right now
Season2024 regular season
Carries9
Rush yards22
Rush TD0
Opportunities12
Targets3
Receptions3
PardonMe this weekvs NO · Sun Nov 15 · 6:00 PM
Carries10.4
Rush yards43
Targets2.9
Receptions2.3
TD chance32%
Full-PPR7.0
Individualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence · Full-PPR range 0.0–14.9
Today
Matchupvs NO · Reserve Unknown
Role and prior workload30% offense · backward-looking, not a starter or share inference
Projected opportunities9.9
ProjectionIndividualized projection — backed by 2025 production · Insufficient Evidence · 80% Full-PPR 0.0–14.9
Matchup explanation
Team run environment does not infer carry share, target share, starter status, snap share, blocking assignment or replacement effect. Pressure, individual coverage and replacement effects remain unavailable.
- Current Role
- State
- available
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Depth Rank
- 2
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Evidence Label
- current_2026_official_preseason_depth
- Roster Membership
- active
- Formal Roster Status
- active
- Source Manifest Hash
- f171bed91ce9eaadad635e18e2a8cd94addce0977c71baa5294f8ee72b9c2461
- Prior Observed Role
- State
- available
- Game Id
- 2026_02_CAR_ATL
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Depth Rank
- —
- Defense Pct
- 0
- Offense Pct
- 0.3
- Season Type
- REG
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 2
- Derived Role
- rotational
- Starter State
- not_supported
- Evidence Label
- same_season_prior_week_observed_role
- Special Teams Pct
- 0
- Source Manifest Hash
- 600b04ecf152c210748aaa59b4fdf7857b2f7cd73e5d0bbdac0451a2bd2ddba9
- Role Continuity Games
- 5
- Context
- State
- unknown
- Game Id
- 10660
- Position
- RB
- Role
- State
- supported_current_official_depth
- Label
- RB2
- Depth Rank
- 2
- Boundary
- Official depth is role context; it does not establish starter status, snap share or workload share.
- Availability
- State
- reserve_unknown
- Headline
- —
- Boundary
- Unknown, not-yet-available and reserve-unknown are not healthy, active, available or reduced-usage conclusions.
- Prior Role
- State
- available
- Offense Pct
- 0.3
- Derived Role
- rotational
- Evidence Label
- same_season_prior_week_observed_role
- Boundary
- Backward-looking observed workload does not establish current workload or starter status.
- Projection
- Basis
- evidence_backed_individualized_projection
- Boundary
- P9 matchup environments explain context only and do not change the accepted P5 player projection.
- Unit
- —
- Passing
- —
- Scoring Opportunity
- Player
- State
- unknown
- Reason
- No supported prior scoring-opportunity evidence
- Team Matchup
- State
- unknown
- Reason
- No supported prior team scoring-opportunity evidence
- Boundary
- Prior 2025 scoring-opportunity evidence is explanation only and does not change P5 or calculate touchdown probability.
- Individual Coverage
- unknown_team_environment_is_not_individual_coverage_evidence
- Replacement Effect
- unknown_not_inferred_from_depth_or_availability
- Primary Context
- 0
- run
- Broader Context
- 0
- passing
- Individual Blocking Assignment
- unknown_team_run_environment_is_not_individual_assignment_evidence
- Boundary
- Team run environment does not infer carry share, target share, starter status, snap share, blocking assignment or replacement effect.
Current touchdown outlook
25.6% anytime TD. Correlation is explanation only.
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 10
- Game Id
- 10660
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Id
- 37
- Opponent Team Id
- 55
- Position Code
- RB
- Model Version
- nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1
- Support State
- supported_anytime
- Projection State
- fallback
- Anytime Probability
- 0.2559000000
- Exactly One Probability
- 0.2106000000
- Two Plus Probability
- 0.0453000000
- Probability Json
- {"p_0": 0.7441, "p_1": 0.2106, "p_2_plus": 0.0453, "p_anytime": 0.2559, "multi_td_support": "supported"}
- Lineage Json
- {"p5_week_hash": "a2254ba8c0a3d262499ea5e2bb07d419b91aa632dd74faa1ca8d39f91285e627", "draw_contract": "P10 marginal summary only; cross-player draw indices are never aligned", "evidence_version": "nflverse_weekly_td_joint_2012_2025_v1", "p10_content_hash": "b6bd34775a72de1fb921ef48fc3f30aeda7b497dbcbe60bd74db75559ba3eaed", "p10_model_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1", "selection_version": "nfl_p12_2023_selection_v1", "availability_state": "unknown", "joint_model_version": "nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1", "market_is_model_input": false}
- Content Hash
- 80df505d6dbd14631794172024ff50192cf460bf9a6f3dbd01400b7503c6d5c4
- Observed At
- 2026-11-15 10:45:02
- Generated At
- 2026-11-15 11:50:15
- Published At
- 2026-11-15 11:50:15
- Probability
- P 0
- 0.7441
- P 1
- 0.2106
- P 2 Plus
- 0.0453
- P Anytime
- 0.2559
- Multi Td Support
- supported
- Lineage
- P5 Week Hash
- a2254ba8c0a3d262499ea5e2bb07d419b91aa632dd74faa1ca8d39f91285e627
- Draw Contract
- P10 marginal summary only; cross-player draw indices are never aligned
- Evidence Version
- nflverse_weekly_td_joint_2012_2025_v1
- P10 Content Hash
- b6bd34775a72de1fb921ef48fc3f30aeda7b497dbcbe60bd74db75559ba3eaed
- P10 Model Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1
- Selection Version
- nfl_p12_2023_selection_v1
- Availability State
- unknown
- Joint Model Version
- nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1
- Market Is Model Input
Touchdown Connections
Jonathon Brooks + Chuba Hubbard · Supported Empirical Dependence
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 9
- Game Id
- 10646
- Player A Id
- 369
- Player B Id
- 388
- Event A Kind
- scorer_td
- Event B Kind
- scorer_td
- Relationship Class
- same_team_rb_rb
- Model Version
- nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1
- Support State
- supported_empirical_dependence
- Projection State
- fallback
- Player A Probability
- 0.2567500000
- Player B Probability
- 0.4569000000
- Both Probability
- 0.1014802327
- Either Probability
- 0.6121697673
- Exactly One Probability
- 0.5106895345
- Neither Probability
- 0.3878302327
- Conditional A Given B
- 0.2221060029
- Conditional B Given A
- 0.3952492025
- Naive Probability
- 0.1173090750
- Absolute Difference
- -0.0158288423
- Relative Difference
- -0.1349328027
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Probability Json
- {"p_a": 0.25675, "p_b": 0.4569, "both": 0.1014802327305288, "a_only": 0.15526976726947117, "b_only": 0.35541976726947117, "either": 0.6121697672694711, "neither": 0.3878302327305289, "simulation": {"seed": 1076623853, "draw_count": 20000, "simulated_both": 0.1006, "absolute_error_from_analytic": 0.0008802327305287988}, "exactly_one": 0.5106895345389424, "naive_independence": 0.11730907499999998, "absolute_difference": -0.01582884226947119, "relative_difference": -0.13493280267934252, "dependence_direction": "negative", "conditional_a_given_b": 0.2221060029120788, "conditional_b_given_a": 0.3952492024558083}
- Explanation Json
- {"short": "Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.", "football_structure": "Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.", "dependence_direction": "negative"}
- Lineage Json
- {"p10_a": {"content_hash": "80aed76da31aeabe7b95d6b5d4a26a206f781eb6fffebc419a773718421d62e4", "model_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1"}, "p10_b": {"content_hash": "760b8118f003f49d9c779c7c5b8807641a76926097352fc490ae3d5daf68f58c", "model_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1"}, "odds_ratio": 0.7131725768321513, "pair_order": "ascending canonical player_id", "p5_week_hash": "89129c803a1505f4bc48cd95c5b75004ff620bd31d54f2ba685dd7ac1784a94a", "evidence_version": "nflverse_weekly_td_joint_2012_2025_v1", "selection_version": "nfl_p12_2023_selection_v1", "selected_candidate": "class_or_shrink_0", "joint_model_version": "nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1", "market_is_model_input": false, "cross_player_p10_draw_alignment": "prohibited"}
- Content Hash
- 460fcec7336f63703bb75b764b5d41fae6b6f29bb897101b0f1b01c012257a6e
- Observed At
- 2026-10-30 12:15:05
- Generated At
- 2026-11-08 11:49:26
- Published At
- 2026-11-08 11:49:26
- Player A Name
- Jonathon Brooks
- Player B Name
- Chuba Hubbard
- Probability
- P A
- 0.25675
- P B
- 0.4569
- Both
- 0.10148023273053
- A Only
- 0.15526976726947
- B Only
- 0.35541976726947
- Either
- 0.61216976726947
- Neither
- 0.38783023273053
- Simulation
- Seed
- 1076623853
- Draw Count
- 20000
- Simulated Both
- 0.1006
- Absolute Error From Analytic
- 0.0008802327305288
- Exactly One
- 0.51068953453894
- Naive Independence
- 0.117309075
- Absolute Difference
- -0.015828842269471
- Relative Difference
- -0.13493280267934
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Conditional A Given B
- 0.22210600291208
- Conditional B Given A
- 0.39524920245581
- Explanation
- Short
- Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.
- Football Structure
- Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Lineage
- P10 A
- Content Hash
- 80aed76da31aeabe7b95d6b5d4a26a206f781eb6fffebc419a773718421d62e4
- Model Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1
- P10 B
- Content Hash
- 760b8118f003f49d9c779c7c5b8807641a76926097352fc490ae3d5daf68f58c
- Model Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1
- Odds Ratio
- 0.71317257683215
- Pair Order
- ascending canonical player_id
- P5 Week Hash
- 89129c803a1505f4bc48cd95c5b75004ff620bd31d54f2ba685dd7ac1784a94a
- Evidence Version
- nflverse_weekly_td_joint_2012_2025_v1
- Selection Version
- nfl_p12_2023_selection_v1
- Selected Candidate
- class_or_shrink_0
- Joint Model Version
- nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1
- Market Is Model Input
- Cross Player P10 Draw Alignment
- prohibited
Jonathon Brooks + Chuba Hubbard · Supported Empirical Dependence
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 10
- Game Id
- 10660
- Player A Id
- 369
- Player B Id
- 388
- Event A Kind
- scorer_td
- Event B Kind
- scorer_td
- Relationship Class
- same_team_rb_rb
- Model Version
- nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1
- Support State
- supported_empirical_dependence
- Projection State
- fallback
- Player A Probability
- 0.2559000000
- Player B Probability
- 0.4591500000
- Both Probability
- 0.1016846520
- Either Probability
- 0.6133653480
- Exactly One Probability
- 0.5116806959
- Neither Probability
- 0.3866346520
- Conditional A Given B
- 0.2214628161
- Conditional B Given A
- 0.3973608911
- Naive Probability
- 0.1174964850
- Absolute Difference
- -0.0158118330
- Relative Difference
- -0.1345728169
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Probability Json
- {"p_a": 0.2559, "p_b": 0.45915, "both": 0.10168465203400166, "a_only": 0.15421534796599834, "b_only": 0.3574653479659983, "either": 0.6133653479659984, "neither": 0.38663465203400166, "simulation": {"seed": 1078023853, "draw_count": 20000, "simulated_both": 0.0988, "absolute_error_from_analytic": 0.002884652034001664}, "exactly_one": 0.5116806959319966, "naive_independence": 0.117496485, "absolute_difference": -0.01581183296599835, "relative_difference": -0.13457281693148818, "dependence_direction": "negative", "conditional_a_given_b": 0.2214628161472322, "conditional_b_given_a": 0.3973608911059072}
- Explanation Json
- {"short": "Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.", "football_structure": "Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.", "dependence_direction": "negative"}
- Lineage Json
- {"p10_a": {"content_hash": "b6bd34775a72de1fb921ef48fc3f30aeda7b497dbcbe60bd74db75559ba3eaed", "model_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1"}, "p10_b": {"content_hash": "db4172e2c4b0bae51f6e43aeb81c648f99f80948d5fd092049bc76b263275283", "model_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1"}, "odds_ratio": 0.7131725768321513, "pair_order": "ascending canonical player_id", "p5_week_hash": "47eb41ad84521bcfade5202803fcdab72fc1e00652bcbd03c86e79508a6afd60", "evidence_version": "nflverse_weekly_td_joint_2012_2025_v1", "selection_version": "nfl_p12_2023_selection_v1", "selected_candidate": "class_or_shrink_0", "joint_model_version": "nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1", "market_is_model_input": false, "cross_player_p10_draw_alignment": "prohibited"}
- Content Hash
- a84592316d499ffe6981bc550de89fd98b231e2968b4d91b74ae67827ce2fd3d
- Observed At
- 2026-11-15 10:45:02
- Generated At
- 2026-11-15 11:50:15
- Published At
- 2026-11-15 11:50:15
- Player A Name
- Jonathon Brooks
- Player B Name
- Chuba Hubbard
- Probability
- P A
- 0.2559
- P B
- 0.45915
- Both
- 0.101684652034
- A Only
- 0.154215347966
- B Only
- 0.357465347966
- Either
- 0.613365347966
- Neither
- 0.386634652034
- Simulation
- Seed
- 1078023853
- Draw Count
- 20000
- Simulated Both
- 0.0988
- Absolute Error From Analytic
- 0.0028846520340017
- Exactly One
- 0.511680695932
- Naive Independence
- 0.117496485
- Absolute Difference
- -0.015811832965998
- Relative Difference
- -0.13457281693149
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Conditional A Given B
- 0.22146281614723
- Conditional B Given A
- 0.39736089110591
- Explanation
- Short
- Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.
- Football Structure
- Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Lineage
- P10 A
- Content Hash
- b6bd34775a72de1fb921ef48fc3f30aeda7b497dbcbe60bd74db75559ba3eaed
- Model Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1
- P10 B
- Content Hash
- db4172e2c4b0bae51f6e43aeb81c648f99f80948d5fd092049bc76b263275283
- Model Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1
- Odds Ratio
- 0.71317257683215
- Pair Order
- ascending canonical player_id
- P5 Week Hash
- 47eb41ad84521bcfade5202803fcdab72fc1e00652bcbd03c86e79508a6afd60
- Evidence Version
- nflverse_weekly_td_joint_2012_2025_v1
- Selection Version
- nfl_p12_2023_selection_v1
- Selected Candidate
- class_or_shrink_0
- Joint Model Version
- nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1
- Market Is Model Input
- Cross Player P10 Draw Alignment
- prohibited
Jonathon Brooks + Chuba Hubbard · Supported Empirical Dependence
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 8
- Game Id
- 10624
- Player A Id
- 369
- Player B Id
- 388
- Event A Kind
- scorer_td
- Event B Kind
- scorer_td
- Relationship Class
- same_team_rb_rb
- Model Version
- nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1
- Support State
- supported_empirical_dependence
- Projection State
- fallback
- Player A Probability
- 0.2375500000
- Player B Probability
- 0.4788500000
- Both Probability
- 0.0985953930
- Either Probability
- 0.6178046070
- Exactly One Probability
- 0.5192092141
- Neither Probability
- 0.3821953930
- Conditional A Given B
- 0.2059003717
- Conditional B Given A
- 0.4150511175
- Naive Probability
- 0.1137508175
- Absolute Difference
- -0.0151554245
- Relative Difference
- -0.1332335438
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Probability Json
- {"p_a": 0.23755, "p_b": 0.47885, "both": 0.0985953929735599, "a_only": 0.1389546070264401, "b_only": 0.3802546070264401, "either": 0.6178046070264401, "neither": 0.38219539297355987, "simulation": {"seed": 1074423853, "draw_count": 20000, "simulated_both": 0.1006, "absolute_error_from_analytic": 0.0020046070264400917}, "exactly_one": 0.5192092140528802, "naive_independence": 0.1137508175, "absolute_difference": -0.0151554245264401, "relative_difference": -0.13323354380675198, "dependence_direction": "negative", "conditional_a_given_b": 0.2059003716687061, "conditional_b_given_a": 0.4150511175481368}
- Explanation Json
- {"short": "Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.", "football_structure": "Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.", "dependence_direction": "negative"}
- Lineage Json
- {"p10_a": {"content_hash": "a158b69b1e1776ff912390fe67c087b98f4a039335144a70741e8476613bca9b", "model_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1"}, "p10_b": {"content_hash": "459e3763d9e54480ce3b389b23810c164afd583df69056eb5bb2d02f6bbe8008", "model_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1"}, "odds_ratio": 0.7131725768321513, "pair_order": "ascending canonical player_id", "p5_week_hash": "ba36d71b9342ce60b2c69b21dfc6d10b3c7990c4c3604b6211179dcbb8d44545", "evidence_version": "nflverse_weekly_td_joint_2012_2025_v1", "selection_version": "nfl_p12_2023_selection_v1", "selected_candidate": "class_or_shrink_0", "joint_model_version": "nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1", "market_is_model_input": false, "cross_player_p10_draw_alignment": "prohibited"}
- Content Hash
- 548fd3159c6a23ef32f62297b8ac51e4c209ad6a5c980798671aff11748bbd5e
- Observed At
- 2026-10-26 12:15:05
- Generated At
- 2026-10-29 11:59:25
- Published At
- 2026-10-29 11:59:25
- Player A Name
- Jonathon Brooks
- Player B Name
- Chuba Hubbard
- Probability
- P A
- 0.23755
- P B
- 0.47885
- Both
- 0.09859539297356
- A Only
- 0.13895460702644
- B Only
- 0.38025460702644
- Either
- 0.61780460702644
- Neither
- 0.38219539297356
- Simulation
- Seed
- 1074423853
- Draw Count
- 20000
- Simulated Both
- 0.1006
- Absolute Error From Analytic
- 0.0020046070264401
- Exactly One
- 0.51920921405288
- Naive Independence
- 0.1137508175
- Absolute Difference
- -0.01515542452644
- Relative Difference
- -0.13323354380675
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Conditional A Given B
- 0.20590037166871
- Conditional B Given A
- 0.41505111754814
- Explanation
- Short
- Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.
- Football Structure
- Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Lineage
- P10 A
- Content Hash
- a158b69b1e1776ff912390fe67c087b98f4a039335144a70741e8476613bca9b
- Model Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1
- P10 B
- Content Hash
- 459e3763d9e54480ce3b389b23810c164afd583df69056eb5bb2d02f6bbe8008
- Model Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1
- Odds Ratio
- 0.71317257683215
- Pair Order
- ascending canonical player_id
- P5 Week Hash
- ba36d71b9342ce60b2c69b21dfc6d10b3c7990c4c3604b6211179dcbb8d44545
- Evidence Version
- nflverse_weekly_td_joint_2012_2025_v1
- Selection Version
- nfl_p12_2023_selection_v1
- Selected Candidate
- class_or_shrink_0
- Joint Model Version
- nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1
- Market Is Model Input
- Cross Player P10 Draw Alignment
- prohibited
Jonathon Brooks + Chuba Hubbard · Supported Empirical Dependence
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 1
- Game Id
- 10524
- Player A Id
- 369
- Player B Id
- 388
- Event A Kind
- scorer_td
- Event B Kind
- scorer_td
- Relationship Class
- same_team_rb_rb
- Model Version
- nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1
- Support State
- supported_empirical_dependence
- Projection State
- fallback
- Player A Probability
- 0.3242500000
- Player B Probability
- 0.2851000000
- Both Probability
- 0.0777884168
- Either Probability
- 0.5315615832
- Exactly One Probability
- 0.4537731663
- Neither Probability
- 0.4684384168
- Conditional A Given B
- 0.2728460780
- Conditional B Given A
- 0.2399025962
- Naive Probability
- 0.0924436750
- Absolute Difference
- -0.0146552582
- Relative Difference
- -0.1585317564
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Probability Json
- {"p_a": 0.32425, "p_b": 0.2851, "both": 0.07778841683369184, "a_only": 0.24646158316630817, "b_only": 0.20731158316630816, "either": 0.5315615831663082, "neither": 0.4684384168336918, "simulation": {"seed": 1064423853, "draw_count": 20000, "simulated_both": 0.0772, "absolute_error_from_analytic": 0.0005884168336918322}, "exactly_one": 0.45377316633261633, "naive_independence": 0.092443675, "absolute_difference": -0.014655258166308166, "relative_difference": -0.15853175640527234, "dependence_direction": "negative", "conditional_a_given_b": 0.2728460779855904, "conditional_b_given_a": 0.23990259624885688}
- Explanation Json
- {"short": "Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.", "football_structure": "Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.", "dependence_direction": "negative"}
- Lineage Json
- {"p10_a": {"content_hash": "71fc520471af39095e01f7fe2881c6ae709bb548f93c45fea8609615e76b59ba", "model_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_empirical_v3"}, "p10_b": {"content_hash": "ff7415d76daa62f0697406fa2d683100c37bd9f4e515341ff415eaa7e7a04609", "model_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_empirical_v3"}, "odds_ratio": 0.7131725768321513, "pair_order": "ascending canonical player_id", "p5_week_hash": "a2254ba8c0a3d262499ea5e2bb07d419b91aa632dd74faa1ca8d39f91285e627", "evidence_version": "nflverse_weekly_td_joint_2012_2025_v1", "selection_version": "nfl_p12_2023_selection_v1", "selected_candidate": "class_or_shrink_0", "joint_model_version": "nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1", "market_is_model_input": false, "cross_player_p10_draw_alignment": "prohibited"}
- Content Hash
- f3e6b28572d8fbac896557911d2bb51a1d865be2786819149af8208019331616
- Observed At
- 2026-08-17 01:22:11
- Generated At
- 2026-09-10 11:37:58
- Published At
- 2026-09-10 11:37:58
- Player A Name
- Jonathon Brooks
- Player B Name
- Chuba Hubbard
- Probability
- P A
- 0.32425
- P B
- 0.2851
- Both
- 0.077788416833692
- A Only
- 0.24646158316631
- B Only
- 0.20731158316631
- Either
- 0.53156158316631
- Neither
- 0.46843841683369
- Simulation
- Seed
- 1064423853
- Draw Count
- 20000
- Simulated Both
- 0.0772
- Absolute Error From Analytic
- 0.00058841683369183
- Exactly One
- 0.45377316633262
- Naive Independence
- 0.092443675
- Absolute Difference
- -0.014655258166308
- Relative Difference
- -0.15853175640527
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Conditional A Given B
- 0.27284607798559
- Conditional B Given A
- 0.23990259624886
- Explanation
- Short
- Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.
- Football Structure
- Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Lineage
- P10 A
- Content Hash
- 71fc520471af39095e01f7fe2881c6ae709bb548f93c45fea8609615e76b59ba
- Model Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_empirical_v3
- P10 B
- Content Hash
- ff7415d76daa62f0697406fa2d683100c37bd9f4e515341ff415eaa7e7a04609
- Model Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_empirical_v3
- Odds Ratio
- 0.71317257683215
- Pair Order
- ascending canonical player_id
- P5 Week Hash
- a2254ba8c0a3d262499ea5e2bb07d419b91aa632dd74faa1ca8d39f91285e627
- Evidence Version
- nflverse_weekly_td_joint_2012_2025_v1
- Selection Version
- nfl_p12_2023_selection_v1
- Selected Candidate
- class_or_shrink_0
- Joint Model Version
- nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1
- Market Is Model Input
- Cross Player P10 Draw Alignment
- prohibited
Jonathon Brooks + Chuba Hubbard · Supported Empirical Dependence
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 2
- Game Id
- 10534
- Player A Id
- 369
- Player B Id
- 388
- Event A Kind
- scorer_td
- Event B Kind
- scorer_td
- Relationship Class
- same_team_rb_rb
- Model Version
- nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1
- Support State
- supported_empirical_dependence
- Projection State
- fallback
- Player A Probability
- 0.2984000000
- Player B Probability
- 0.2798500000
- Both Probability
- 0.0697250989
- Either Probability
- 0.5085249011
- Exactly One Probability
- 0.4387998023
- Neither Probability
- 0.4914750989
- Conditional A Given B
- 0.2491516843
- Conditional B Given A
- 0.2336631999
- Naive Probability
- 0.0835072400
- Absolute Difference
- -0.0137821411
- Relative Difference
- -0.1650412725
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Probability Json
- {"p_a": 0.2984, "p_b": 0.27985, "both": 0.06972509885012679, "a_only": 0.2286749011498732, "b_only": 0.2101249011498732, "either": 0.5085249011498731, "neither": 0.4914750988501268, "simulation": {"seed": 1065423853, "draw_count": 20000, "simulated_both": 0.07115, "absolute_error_from_analytic": 0.0014249011498732173}, "exactly_one": 0.4387998022997464, "naive_independence": 0.08350724, "absolute_difference": -0.013782141149873209, "relative_difference": -0.16504127246779093, "dependence_direction": "negative", "conditional_a_given_b": 0.2491516842956112, "conditional_b_given_a": 0.2336631998998887}
- Explanation Json
- {"short": "Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.", "football_structure": "Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.", "dependence_direction": "negative"}
- Lineage Json
- {"p10_a": {"content_hash": "ec8cf51c458427c02fe2fbeb19934984954f87adf5790e46667faee151235e64", "model_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_empirical_v3"}, "p10_b": {"content_hash": "d002a755f69382d03c28adf4404a152276a82b7f18de2d0f5d4ba5f0f43e427f", "model_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1"}, "odds_ratio": 0.7131725768321513, "pair_order": "ascending canonical player_id", "p5_week_hash": "d29eadad3b5c88c27d20fafd4be6fa1d5fbe0b44036b8dc0bd9f724b5849a09a", "evidence_version": "nflverse_weekly_td_joint_2012_2025_v1", "selection_version": "nfl_p12_2023_selection_v1", "selected_candidate": "class_or_shrink_0", "joint_model_version": "nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1", "market_is_model_input": false, "cross_player_p10_draw_alignment": "prohibited"}
- Content Hash
- 8a1c9c3f9e97acd8b2bb980539fbb598c04c06bb545de3ae31dc5dc3ee5faa63
- Observed At
- 2026-09-14 07:30:09
- Generated At
- 2026-09-18 00:03:07
- Published At
- 2026-09-18 00:03:07
- Player A Name
- Jonathon Brooks
- Player B Name
- Chuba Hubbard
- Probability
- P A
- 0.2984
- P B
- 0.27985
- Both
- 0.069725098850127
- A Only
- 0.22867490114987
- B Only
- 0.21012490114987
- Either
- 0.50852490114987
- Neither
- 0.49147509885013
- Simulation
- Seed
- 1065423853
- Draw Count
- 20000
- Simulated Both
- 0.07115
- Absolute Error From Analytic
- 0.0014249011498732
- Exactly One
- 0.43879980229975
- Naive Independence
- 0.08350724
- Absolute Difference
- -0.013782141149873
- Relative Difference
- -0.16504127246779
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Conditional A Given B
- 0.24915168429561
- Conditional B Given A
- 0.23366319989989
- Explanation
- Short
- Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.
- Football Structure
- Both backs share rushing environment but compete directly for the same rushing-TD allocation.
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Lineage
- P10 A
- Content Hash
- ec8cf51c458427c02fe2fbeb19934984954f87adf5790e46667faee151235e64
- Model Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_empirical_v3
- P10 B
- Content Hash
- d002a755f69382d03c28adf4404a152276a82b7f18de2d0f5d4ba5f0f43e427f
- Model Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1
- Odds Ratio
- 0.71317257683215
- Pair Order
- ascending canonical player_id
- P5 Week Hash
- d29eadad3b5c88c27d20fafd4be6fa1d5fbe0b44036b8dc0bd9f724b5849a09a
- Evidence Version
- nflverse_weekly_td_joint_2012_2025_v1
- Selection Version
- nfl_p12_2023_selection_v1
- Selected Candidate
- class_or_shrink_0
- Joint Model Version
- nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1
- Market Is Model Input
- Cross Player P10 Draw Alignment
- prohibited
Jonathon Brooks + Tetairoa McMillan · Supported Empirical Dependence
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 1
- Game Id
- 10524
- Player A Id
- 369
- Player B Id
- 393
- Event A Kind
- scorer_td
- Event B Kind
- scorer_td
- Relationship Class
- same_team_rb_wr
- Model Version
- nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1
- Support State
- supported_empirical_dependence
- Projection State
- fallback
- Player A Probability
- 0.3242500000
- Player B Probability
- 0.3454500000
- Both Probability
- 0.1054024233
- Either Probability
- 0.5642975767
- Exactly One Probability
- 0.4588951533
- Neither Probability
- 0.4357024233
- Conditional A Given B
- 0.3051162927
- Conditional B Given A
- 0.3250652994
- Naive Probability
- 0.1120121625
- Absolute Difference
- -0.0066097392
- Relative Difference
- -0.0590091203
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Probability Json
- {"p_a": 0.32425, "p_b": 0.34545, "both": 0.10540242332871888, "a_only": 0.21884757667128113, "b_only": 0.24004757667128113, "either": 0.5642975766712811, "neither": 0.43570242332871895, "simulation": {"seed": 1064423858, "draw_count": 20000, "simulated_both": 0.10465, "absolute_error_from_analytic": 0.0007524233287188598}, "exactly_one": 0.45889515334256226, "naive_independence": 0.11201216249999998, "absolute_difference": -0.006609739171281118, "relative_difference": -0.05900912029335313, "dependence_direction": "negative", "conditional_a_given_b": 0.3051162927448802, "conditional_b_given_a": 0.3250652993946611}
- Explanation Json
- {"short": "The back and receiver share team scoring states while competing for a finite touchdown allocation.", "football_structure": "The back and receiver share team scoring states while competing for a finite touchdown allocation.", "dependence_direction": "negative"}
- Lineage Json
- {"p10_a": {"content_hash": "71fc520471af39095e01f7fe2881c6ae709bb548f93c45fea8609615e76b59ba", "model_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_empirical_v3"}, "p10_b": {"content_hash": "5515b98157248cd4b499a547914bb7d73c0fae86f8ee4917ce5c868e7f3b9a88", "model_version": "nfl_p10c_wrte_empirical_v1"}, "odds_ratio": 0.8741812825015741, "pair_order": "ascending canonical player_id", "p5_week_hash": "a2254ba8c0a3d262499ea5e2bb07d419b91aa632dd74faa1ca8d39f91285e627", "evidence_version": "nflverse_weekly_td_joint_2012_2025_v1", "selection_version": "nfl_p12_2023_selection_v1", "selected_candidate": "class_or_shrink_0", "joint_model_version": "nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1", "market_is_model_input": false, "cross_player_p10_draw_alignment": "prohibited"}
- Content Hash
- 1424c3ead5edf22a6054bc5d94057dc5cc5e00ae7221f4b758d20c101c804c8a
- Observed At
- 2026-09-01 23:59:00
- Generated At
- 2026-09-10 11:37:58
- Published At
- 2026-09-10 11:37:58
- Player A Name
- Jonathon Brooks
- Player B Name
- Tetairoa McMillan
- Probability
- P A
- 0.32425
- P B
- 0.34545
- Both
- 0.10540242332872
- A Only
- 0.21884757667128
- B Only
- 0.24004757667128
- Either
- 0.56429757667128
- Neither
- 0.43570242332872
- Simulation
- Seed
- 1064423858
- Draw Count
- 20000
- Simulated Both
- 0.10465
- Absolute Error From Analytic
- 0.00075242332871886
- Exactly One
- 0.45889515334256
- Naive Independence
- 0.1120121625
- Absolute Difference
- -0.0066097391712811
- Relative Difference
- -0.059009120293353
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Conditional A Given B
- 0.30511629274488
- Conditional B Given A
- 0.32506529939466
- Explanation
- Short
- The back and receiver share team scoring states while competing for a finite touchdown allocation.
- Football Structure
- The back and receiver share team scoring states while competing for a finite touchdown allocation.
- Dependence Direction
- negative
- Lineage
- P10 A
- Content Hash
- 71fc520471af39095e01f7fe2881c6ae709bb548f93c45fea8609615e76b59ba
- Model Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_empirical_v3
- P10 B
- Content Hash
- 5515b98157248cd4b499a547914bb7d73c0fae86f8ee4917ce5c868e7f3b9a88
- Model Version
- nfl_p10c_wrte_empirical_v1
- Odds Ratio
- 0.87418128250157
- Pair Order
- ascending canonical player_id
- P5 Week Hash
- a2254ba8c0a3d262499ea5e2bb07d419b91aa632dd74faa1ca8d39f91285e627
- Evidence Version
- nflverse_weekly_td_joint_2012_2025_v1
- Selection Version
- nfl_p12_2023_selection_v1
- Selected Candidate
- class_or_shrink_0
- Joint Model Version
- nfl_p12_touchdown_joint_v1
- Market Is Model Input
- Cross Player P10 Draw Alignment
- prohibited
Season
Regular season and postseason stay separate; only supported values are shown.
2024 REG · CAR · 3 games
Rush Att: 9 · Targets: 3 · Receptions: 3
- Racr
- -2.875
- Wopr
- 0.0957910102791801
- Games
- 3
- Sacks
- 0
- Carries
- 9
- Targets
- 3
- Attempts
- 0
- Receptions
- 3
- Sack Yards
- 0
- Completions
- 0
- Passing Tds
- 0
- Rushing Epa
- -2.77792557136854
- Rushing Tds
- 0
- Sack Fumbles
- 0
- Target Share
- 0.0731707317073171
- Interceptions
- 0
- Passing Yards
- 0
- Receiving Epa
- 1.45662581454963
- Receiving Tds
- 0
- Rushing Yards
- 22
- Fantasy Points
- 4.5
- Air Yards Share
- -0.0199501246882793
- Receiving Yards
- 23
- Rushing Fumbles
- 0
- Passing Air Yards
- 0
- Receiving Fumbles
- 0
- Sack Fumbles Lost
- 0
- Special Teams Tds
- 0
- Fantasy Points Ppr
- 7.5
- Passing First Downs
- 0
- Receiving Air Yards
- -8
- Rushing First Downs
- 0
- Rushing Fumbles Lost
- 0
- Receiving First Downs
- 2
- Receiving Fumbles Lost
- 0
- Passing 2pt Conversions
- 0
- Rushing 2pt Conversions
- 0
- Passing Yards After Catch
- 0
- Receiving 2pt Conversions
- 0
- Receiving Yards After Catch
- 31
Games
Official game evidence
Published provider box-score evidence by category; it does not imply a start or snap share.
2026 regular · Week 2 · receiving · provider espn
CAR vs ATL · REC 1 · YDS -5 · AVG -5.0 · TD 0 · LONG -5 · TGTS 1
- Labels
- 0
- REC
- 1
- YDS
- 2
- AVG
- 3
- TD
- 4
- LONG
- 5
- TGTS
- Values
- 0
- 1
- 1
- -5
- 2
- -5.0
- 3
- 0
- 4
- -5
- 5
- 1
2026 regular · Week 2 · rushing · provider espn
CAR vs ATL · CAR 5 · YDS 16 · AVG 3.2 · TD 0 · LONG 7
- Labels
- 0
- CAR
- 1
- YDS
- 2
- AVG
- 3
- TD
- 4
- LONG
- Values
- 0
- 5
- 1
- 16
- 2
- 3.2
- 3
- 0
- 4
- 7
2026 regular · Week 1 · receiving · provider espn
CAR vs CHI · REC 1 · YDS 48 · AVG 48.0 · TD 0 · LONG 48 · TGTS 2
- Labels
- 0
- REC
- 1
- YDS
- 2
- AVG
- 3
- TD
- 4
- LONG
- 5
- TGTS
- Values
- 0
- 1
- 1
- 48
- 2
- 48.0
- 3
- 0
- 4
- 48
- 5
- 2
2026 regular · Week 1 · rushing · provider espn
CAR vs CHI · CAR 4 · YDS 14 · AVG 3.5 · TD 0 · LONG 6
- Labels
- 0
- CAR
- 1
- YDS
- 2
- AVG
- 3
- TD
- 4
- LONG
- Values
- 0
- 4
- 1
- 14
- 2
- 3.5
- 3
- 0
- 4
- 6
2026 preseason · Week 3 · rushing · provider espn
CAR vs JAX · CAR 5 · YDS 18 · AVG 3.6 · TD 1 · LONG 11
- Labels
- 0
- CAR
- 1
- YDS
- 2
- AVG
- 3
- TD
- 4
- LONG
- Values
- 0
- 5
- 1
- 18
- 2
- 3.6
- 3
- 1
- 4
- 11
Weekly history
2026 REG · Week 2 · CAR vs ATL
Rush Att: 5 · Targets: 1 · Receptions: 1
- Carries
- 5
- Game Id
- 10534
- Targets
- 1
- Attempts
- 0
- Receptions
- 1
- Completions
- 0
- Passing Tds
- 0
- Rushing Tds
- 0
- Fumbles Lost
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Passing Yards
- 0
- Receiving Tds
- 0
- Rushing Yards
- 16
- Receiving Yards
- -5
2026 REG · Week 1 · CAR vs CHI
Rush Att: 4 · Targets: 2 · Receptions: 1
- Carries
- 4
- Game Id
- 10524
- Targets
- 2
- Attempts
- 0
- Receptions
- 1
- Completions
- 0
- Passing Tds
- 0
- Rushing Tds
- 0
- Fumbles Lost
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Passing Yards
- 0
- Receiving Tds
- 0
- Rushing Yards
- 14
- Receiving Yards
- 48
2024 REG · Week 14 · CAR vs PHI
Rush Att: 1 · Targets: 0 · Receptions: 0
- Sacks
- 0
- Carries
- 1
- Targets
- 0
- Attempts
- 0
- Receptions
- 0
- Sack Yards
- 0
- Completions
- 0
- Passing Tds
- 0
- Rushing Epa
- -1.05149943288416
- Rushing Tds
- 0
- Sack Fumbles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Passing Yards
- 0
- Receiving Tds
- 0
- Rushing Yards
- -3
- Fantasy Points
- -0.3
- Receiving Yards
- 0
- Rushing Fumbles
- 0
- Passing Air Yards
- 0
- Receiving Fumbles
- 0
- Sack Fumbles Lost
- 0
- Special Teams Tds
- 0
- Fantasy Points Ppr
- -0.3
- Passing First Downs
- 0
- Receiving Air Yards
- 0
- Rushing First Downs
- 0
- Rushing Fumbles Lost
- 0
- Receiving First Downs
- 0
- Receiving Fumbles Lost
- 0
- Passing 2pt Conversions
- 0
- Rushing 2pt Conversions
- 0
- Passing Yards After Catch
- 0
- Receiving 2pt Conversions
- 0
- Receiving Yards After Catch
- 0
2024 REG · Week 13 · CAR vs TB
Rush Att: 6 · Targets: 3 · Receptions: 3
- Racr
- -2.875
- Wopr
- 0.0957910102791801
- Sacks
- 0
- Carries
- 6
- Targets
- 3
- Attempts
- 0
- Receptions
- 3
- Sack Yards
- 0
- Completions
- 0
- Passing Tds
- 0
- Rushing Epa
- -1.19088747625938
- Rushing Tds
- 0
- Sack Fumbles
- 0
- Target Share
- 0.0731707317073171
- Interceptions
- 0
- Passing Yards
- 0
- Receiving Epa
- 1.45662581454963
- Receiving Tds
- 0
- Rushing Yards
- 18
- Fantasy Points
- 4.1
- Air Yards Share
- -0.0199501246882793
- Receiving Yards
- 23
- Rushing Fumbles
- 0
- Passing Air Yards
- 0
- Receiving Fumbles
- 0
- Sack Fumbles Lost
- 0
- Special Teams Tds
- 0
- Fantasy Points Ppr
- 7.1
- Passing First Downs
- 0
- Receiving Air Yards
- -8
- Rushing First Downs
- 0
- Rushing Fumbles Lost
- 0
- Receiving First Downs
- 2
- Receiving Fumbles Lost
- 0
- Passing 2pt Conversions
- 0
- Rushing 2pt Conversions
- 0
- Passing Yards After Catch
- 0
- Receiving 2pt Conversions
- 0
- Receiving Yards After Catch
- 31
2024 REG · Week 12 · CAR vs KC
Rush Att: 2 · Targets: 0 · Receptions: 0
- Sacks
- 0
- Carries
- 2
- Targets
- 0
- Attempts
- 0
- Receptions
- 0
- Sack Yards
- 0
- Completions
- 0
- Passing Tds
- 0
- Rushing Epa
- -0.535538662225008
- Rushing Tds
- 0
- Sack Fumbles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Passing Yards
- 0
- Receiving Tds
- 0
- Rushing Yards
- 7
- Fantasy Points
- 0.7
- Receiving Yards
- 0
- Rushing Fumbles
- 0
- Passing Air Yards
- 0
- Receiving Fumbles
- 0
- Sack Fumbles Lost
- 0
- Special Teams Tds
- 0
- Fantasy Points Ppr
- 0.7
- Passing First Downs
- 0
- Receiving Air Yards
- 0
- Rushing First Downs
- 0
- Rushing Fumbles Lost
- 0
- Receiving First Downs
- 0
- Receiving Fumbles Lost
- 0
- Passing 2pt Conversions
- 0
- Rushing 2pt Conversions
- 0
- Passing Yards After Catch
- 0
- Receiving 2pt Conversions
- 0
- Receiving Yards After Catch
- 0
Fantasy outlook
Forward systems
Floor and ceiling are projected distribution percentiles; fumbles lost and two-point conversions remain unsupported.
Standard · 6.5 points · 1.8 floor · 4.4 median · 14.2 ceiling
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 10
- Game Id
- 10660
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Id
- 37
- Opponent Team Id
- 55
- Position Code
- RB
- Scoring System Code
- standard
- Model Version
- nfl_p11a_forward_fantasy_v1
- Scoring Version
- pardonme_fantasy_v1
- Projection State
- fallback
- Position Rank
- 33
- Position Population
- 42
- Projected Points
- 6.5408
- Median Points
- 4.4000
- Floor Points
- 1.8000
- Ceiling Points
- 14.2000
- Projection Json
- {"state": "fallback", "summary": {"mean": 6.54078, "floor": 1.8, "median": 4.4, "ceiling": 14.2, "draw_count": 20000, "interval_80": {"lower": 1.8, "upper": 14.2}, "floor_definition": "10th percentile", "ceiling_definition": "90th percentile", "threshold_probabilities": {"8": 0.3159, "12": 0.1485, "18": 0.04725}}, "completeness": "modeled_components_only", "position_comparison": {"rank": 33, "percentile": 22.61904761904762, "population": 42, "gap_to_position_median": -1.796429999999999}, "unsupported_components": ["two_point_conversions", "fumbles_lost"]}
- Explanation Json
- {"short": "6.8 carries and 2.1 targets; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown.", "drivers": ["6.8 carries and 2.1 targets", "26% chance of 1+ relevant TD", "thin-history fallback widens uncertainty", "availability unknown"], "causal_boundary": "P10 football draws include only versioned, holdout-validated signal effects. Madden/PCA remains context only.", "historical_2025": null}
- Lineage Json
- {"model_version": "nfl_p11a_forward_fantasy_v1", "scoring_version": "pardonme_fantasy_v1", "p10_content_hash": "b6bd34775a72de1fb921ef48fc3f30aeda7b497dbcbe60bd74db75559ba3eaed", "p10_model_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1", "draw_transformation": "exact deterministic P10 draws scored component-wise", "p10_reproducibility": {"seed": 106600120, "method": "empirical total opportunities centered on read-only P5; beta-binomial carry/target, catch and TD allocation; conditional empirical yards-per-carry and yards-per-reception", "simulations": 20000, "source_hash": "e3cce0fa383d44181eb1c4945f2dd641aa536745f98aa7f184af2f667e00e898", "interval_level": 0.8, "football_signals": {"changes": {"carries": -1.1892836723545004, "targets": -0.2557446358745058}, "version": "nfl_p10_football_signals_v1", "features": {"wopr3": 0.08949126007342481, "targets3": 1.0, "snap_last": 0.3, "air_share3": 0.0313373043065732, "snap_mean3": 0.17666666666666667, "carry_share3": 0.14616755793226385, "own_carries8": 23.625, "own_rush_ypc8": 4.285714285714286, "target_share3": 0.03002450980392157, "own_sack_rate8": 0.07669616519174041, "air_per_target3": 4.5, "role_continuity": 1.0, "opponent_carries8": 29.625, "opponent_rush_ypc8": 4.518987341772152, "opportunity_share3": 0.18070652173913043, "opponent_sack_rate8": 0.08098591549295775}, "model_keys": ["role_RB_carries", "role_RB_targets"], "target_week": 10, "feature_hash": "b71316ec2528a54bd1a567e97321364001c273a74478396c673fc816998e882f", "artifact_hash": "abe5a601293374a3b9ce2e82747d93685f38da588d2c76877a5ff3e28360ee8b", "target_season": 2026, "missing_policy": "retain baseline for unsupported signal", "baseline_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_empirical_v3", "strict_prior_week": true, "historical_validation": "2013-2022 fit; 2023 tuning; 2024-2025 final proxy-centered draw holdout"}, "frozen_parameters": {"era_seasons": 3, "rush_td_prior_carries": 500, "catch_rate_prior_targets": 50, "opportunity_mixture_games": 4, "receiving_td_prior_targets": 100, "rush_empirical_blend_weight": 0.5, "rush_efficiency_prior_carries": 200, "carry_share_prior_opportunities": 50, "receiving_empirical_blend_weight": 0.25, "receiving_efficiency_prior_receptions": 100}, "parameter_training_cutoff": 2023}, "source_manifest_hash": "44c63fe3737c449ebe3e5cb68b7d36a7cdb6339c43c7c036f43ae00269d8cf0c", "unsupported_components": ["two_point_conversions", "fumbles_lost"]}
- Content Hash
- 430c53532cf4ee718ad4ba38fe1d60173b491cfe246b5792d9b1d1d5759bcd9c
- Observed At
- 2026-11-15 10:45:02
- Generated At
- 2026-11-15 11:42:43
- Published At
- 2026-11-15 11:42:43
- Projection
- State
- fallback
- Summary
- Mean
- 6.54078
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 14.2
- Draw Count
- 20000
- Interval 80
- Lower
- 1.8
- Upper
- 14.2
- Floor Definition
- 10th percentile
- Ceiling Definition
- 90th percentile
- Threshold Probabilities
- 8
- 0.3159
- 12
- 0.1485
- 18
- 0.04725
- Completeness
- modeled_components_only
- Position Comparison
- Rank
- 33
- Percentile
- 22.619047619048
- Population
- 42
- Gap To Position Median
- -1.79643
- Unsupported Components
- 0
- two_point_conversions
- 1
- fumbles_lost
- Explanation
- Short
- 6.8 carries and 2.1 targets; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown.
- Drivers
- 0
- 6.8 carries and 2.1 targets
- 1
- 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD
- 2
- thin-history fallback widens uncertainty
- 3
- availability unknown
- Causal Boundary
- P10 football draws include only versioned, holdout-validated signal effects. Madden/PCA remains context only.
- Historical 2025
- —
- Lineage
- Model Version
- nfl_p11a_forward_fantasy_v1
- Scoring Version
- pardonme_fantasy_v1
- P10 Content Hash
- b6bd34775a72de1fb921ef48fc3f30aeda7b497dbcbe60bd74db75559ba3eaed
- P10 Model Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1
- Draw Transformation
- exact deterministic P10 draws scored component-wise
- P10 Reproducibility
- Seed
- 106600120
- Method
- empirical total opportunities centered on read-only P5; beta-binomial carry/target, catch and TD allocation; conditional empirical yards-per-carry and yards-per-reception
- Simulations
- 20000
- Source Hash
- e3cce0fa383d44181eb1c4945f2dd641aa536745f98aa7f184af2f667e00e898
- Interval Level
- 0.8
- Football Signals
- Changes
- Carries
- -1.1892836723545
- Targets
- -0.25574463587451
- Version
- nfl_p10_football_signals_v1
- Features
- Wopr3
- 0.089491260073425
- Targets3
- 1
- Snap Last
- 0.3
- Air Share3
- 0.031337304306573
- Snap Mean3
- 0.17666666666667
- Carry Share3
- 0.14616755793226
- Own Carries8
- 23.625
- Own Rush Ypc8
- 4.2857142857143
- Target Share3
- 0.030024509803922
- Own Sack Rate8
- 0.07669616519174
- Air Per Target3
- 4.5
- Role Continuity
- 1
- Opponent Carries8
- 29.625
- Opponent Rush Ypc8
- 4.5189873417722
- Opportunity Share3
- 0.18070652173913
- Opponent Sack Rate8
- 0.080985915492958
- Model Keys
- 0
- role_RB_carries
- 1
- role_RB_targets
- Target Week
- 10
- Feature Hash
- b71316ec2528a54bd1a567e97321364001c273a74478396c673fc816998e882f
- Artifact Hash
- abe5a601293374a3b9ce2e82747d93685f38da588d2c76877a5ff3e28360ee8b
- Target Season
- 2026
- Missing Policy
- retain baseline for unsupported signal
- Baseline Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_empirical_v3
- Strict Prior Week
- 1
- Historical Validation
- 2013-2022 fit; 2023 tuning; 2024-2025 final proxy-centered draw holdout
- Frozen Parameters
- Era Seasons
- 3
- Rush Td Prior Carries
- 500
- Catch Rate Prior Targets
- 50
- Opportunity Mixture Games
- 4
- Receiving Td Prior Targets
- 100
- Rush Empirical Blend Weight
- 0.5
- Rush Efficiency Prior Carries
- 200
- Carry Share Prior Opportunities
- 50
- Receiving Empirical Blend Weight
- 0.25
- Receiving Efficiency Prior Receptions
- 100
- Parameter Training Cutoff
- 2023
- Source Manifest Hash
- 44c63fe3737c449ebe3e5cb68b7d36a7cdb6339c43c7c036f43ae00269d8cf0c
- Unsupported Components
- 0
- two_point_conversions
- 1
- fumbles_lost
Half-PPR · 7.4 points · 1.9 floor · 5.1 median · 15.8 ceiling
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 10
- Game Id
- 10660
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Id
- 37
- Opponent Team Id
- 55
- Position Code
- RB
- Scoring System Code
- half_ppr
- Model Version
- nfl_p11a_forward_fantasy_v1
- Scoring Version
- pardonme_fantasy_v1
- Projection State
- fallback
- Position Rank
- 32
- Position Population
- 42
- Projected Points
- 7.3765
- Median Points
- 5.1000
- Floor Points
- 1.9000
- Ceiling Points
- 15.8000
- Projection Json
- {"state": "fallback", "summary": {"mean": 7.37653, "floor": 1.9, "median": 5.1, "ceiling": 15.8, "draw_count": 20000, "interval_80": {"lower": 1.9, "upper": 15.8}, "floor_definition": "10th percentile", "ceiling_definition": "90th percentile", "threshold_probabilities": {"8": 0.3611, "12": 0.1867, "18": 0.0682}}, "completeness": "modeled_components_only", "position_comparison": {"rank": 32, "percentile": 25.0, "population": 42, "gap_to_position_median": -2.045112500000001}, "unsupported_components": ["two_point_conversions", "fumbles_lost"]}
- Explanation Json
- {"short": "6.8 carries and 2.1 targets; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown.", "drivers": ["6.8 carries and 2.1 targets", "26% chance of 1+ relevant TD", "receptions add 0.5 points each", "thin-history fallback widens uncertainty", "availability unknown"], "causal_boundary": "P10 football draws include only versioned, holdout-validated signal effects. Madden/PCA remains context only.", "historical_2025": null}
- Lineage Json
- {"model_version": "nfl_p11a_forward_fantasy_v1", "scoring_version": "pardonme_fantasy_v1", "p10_content_hash": "b6bd34775a72de1fb921ef48fc3f30aeda7b497dbcbe60bd74db75559ba3eaed", "p10_model_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1", "draw_transformation": "exact deterministic P10 draws scored component-wise", "p10_reproducibility": {"seed": 106600120, "method": "empirical total opportunities centered on read-only P5; beta-binomial carry/target, catch and TD allocation; conditional empirical yards-per-carry and yards-per-reception", "simulations": 20000, "source_hash": "e3cce0fa383d44181eb1c4945f2dd641aa536745f98aa7f184af2f667e00e898", "interval_level": 0.8, "football_signals": {"changes": {"carries": -1.1892836723545004, "targets": -0.2557446358745058}, "version": "nfl_p10_football_signals_v1", "features": {"wopr3": 0.08949126007342481, "targets3": 1.0, "snap_last": 0.3, "air_share3": 0.0313373043065732, "snap_mean3": 0.17666666666666667, "carry_share3": 0.14616755793226385, "own_carries8": 23.625, "own_rush_ypc8": 4.285714285714286, "target_share3": 0.03002450980392157, "own_sack_rate8": 0.07669616519174041, "air_per_target3": 4.5, "role_continuity": 1.0, "opponent_carries8": 29.625, "opponent_rush_ypc8": 4.518987341772152, "opportunity_share3": 0.18070652173913043, "opponent_sack_rate8": 0.08098591549295775}, "model_keys": ["role_RB_carries", "role_RB_targets"], "target_week": 10, "feature_hash": "b71316ec2528a54bd1a567e97321364001c273a74478396c673fc816998e882f", "artifact_hash": "abe5a601293374a3b9ce2e82747d93685f38da588d2c76877a5ff3e28360ee8b", "target_season": 2026, "missing_policy": "retain baseline for unsupported signal", "baseline_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_empirical_v3", "strict_prior_week": true, "historical_validation": "2013-2022 fit; 2023 tuning; 2024-2025 final proxy-centered draw holdout"}, "frozen_parameters": {"era_seasons": 3, "rush_td_prior_carries": 500, "catch_rate_prior_targets": 50, "opportunity_mixture_games": 4, "receiving_td_prior_targets": 100, "rush_empirical_blend_weight": 0.5, "rush_efficiency_prior_carries": 200, "carry_share_prior_opportunities": 50, "receiving_empirical_blend_weight": 0.25, "receiving_efficiency_prior_receptions": 100}, "parameter_training_cutoff": 2023}, "source_manifest_hash": "809fb9d1beaec561e21de567d2a81f6267bb62f6aa2d5b2dbe410b1c62d8e0bc", "unsupported_components": ["two_point_conversions", "fumbles_lost"]}
- Content Hash
- 4e0607f7b821f91e16e849cab59c12967b3f8e5529c1a7789e870c359476045b
- Observed At
- 2026-11-15 10:45:02
- Generated At
- 2026-11-15 11:42:43
- Published At
- 2026-11-15 11:42:43
- Projection
- State
- fallback
- Summary
- Mean
- 7.37653
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 15.8
- Draw Count
- 20000
- Interval 80
- Lower
- 1.9
- Upper
- 15.8
- Floor Definition
- 10th percentile
- Ceiling Definition
- 90th percentile
- Threshold Probabilities
- 8
- 0.3611
- 12
- 0.1867
- 18
- 0.0682
- Completeness
- modeled_components_only
- Position Comparison
- Rank
- 32
- Percentile
- 25
- Population
- 42
- Gap To Position Median
- -2.0451125
- Unsupported Components
- 0
- two_point_conversions
- 1
- fumbles_lost
- Explanation
- Short
- 6.8 carries and 2.1 targets; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 0.5 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown.
- Drivers
- 0
- 6.8 carries and 2.1 targets
- 1
- 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD
- 2
- receptions add 0.5 points each
- 3
- thin-history fallback widens uncertainty
- 4
- availability unknown
- Causal Boundary
- P10 football draws include only versioned, holdout-validated signal effects. Madden/PCA remains context only.
- Historical 2025
- —
- Lineage
- Model Version
- nfl_p11a_forward_fantasy_v1
- Scoring Version
- pardonme_fantasy_v1
- P10 Content Hash
- b6bd34775a72de1fb921ef48fc3f30aeda7b497dbcbe60bd74db75559ba3eaed
- P10 Model Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1
- Draw Transformation
- exact deterministic P10 draws scored component-wise
- P10 Reproducibility
- Seed
- 106600120
- Method
- empirical total opportunities centered on read-only P5; beta-binomial carry/target, catch and TD allocation; conditional empirical yards-per-carry and yards-per-reception
- Simulations
- 20000
- Source Hash
- e3cce0fa383d44181eb1c4945f2dd641aa536745f98aa7f184af2f667e00e898
- Interval Level
- 0.8
- Football Signals
- Changes
- Carries
- -1.1892836723545
- Targets
- -0.25574463587451
- Version
- nfl_p10_football_signals_v1
- Features
- Wopr3
- 0.089491260073425
- Targets3
- 1
- Snap Last
- 0.3
- Air Share3
- 0.031337304306573
- Snap Mean3
- 0.17666666666667
- Carry Share3
- 0.14616755793226
- Own Carries8
- 23.625
- Own Rush Ypc8
- 4.2857142857143
- Target Share3
- 0.030024509803922
- Own Sack Rate8
- 0.07669616519174
- Air Per Target3
- 4.5
- Role Continuity
- 1
- Opponent Carries8
- 29.625
- Opponent Rush Ypc8
- 4.5189873417722
- Opportunity Share3
- 0.18070652173913
- Opponent Sack Rate8
- 0.080985915492958
- Model Keys
- 0
- role_RB_carries
- 1
- role_RB_targets
- Target Week
- 10
- Feature Hash
- b71316ec2528a54bd1a567e97321364001c273a74478396c673fc816998e882f
- Artifact Hash
- abe5a601293374a3b9ce2e82747d93685f38da588d2c76877a5ff3e28360ee8b
- Target Season
- 2026
- Missing Policy
- retain baseline for unsupported signal
- Baseline Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_empirical_v3
- Strict Prior Week
- 1
- Historical Validation
- 2013-2022 fit; 2023 tuning; 2024-2025 final proxy-centered draw holdout
- Frozen Parameters
- Era Seasons
- 3
- Rush Td Prior Carries
- 500
- Catch Rate Prior Targets
- 50
- Opportunity Mixture Games
- 4
- Receiving Td Prior Targets
- 100
- Rush Empirical Blend Weight
- 0.5
- Rush Efficiency Prior Carries
- 200
- Carry Share Prior Opportunities
- 50
- Receiving Empirical Blend Weight
- 0.25
- Receiving Efficiency Prior Receptions
- 100
- Parameter Training Cutoff
- 2023
- Source Manifest Hash
- 809fb9d1beaec561e21de567d2a81f6267bb62f6aa2d5b2dbe410b1c62d8e0bc
- Unsupported Components
- 0
- two_point_conversions
- 1
- fumbles_lost
Full-PPR · 8.2 points · 1.9 floor · 6.0 median · 17.4 ceiling
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 10
- Game Id
- 10660
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Id
- 37
- Opponent Team Id
- 55
- Position Code
- RB
- Scoring System Code
- full_ppr
- Model Version
- nfl_p11a_forward_fantasy_v1
- Scoring Version
- pardonme_fantasy_v1
- Projection State
- fallback
- Position Rank
- 31
- Position Population
- 42
- Projected Points
- 8.2123
- Median Points
- 6.0000
- Floor Points
- 1.9000
- Ceiling Points
- 17.4000
- Projection Json
- {"state": "fallback", "summary": {"mean": 8.21228, "floor": 1.9, "median": 6.0, "ceiling": 17.4, "draw_count": 20000, "interval_80": {"lower": 1.9, "upper": 17.4}, "floor_definition": "10th percentile", "ceiling_definition": "90th percentile", "threshold_probabilities": {"8": 0.3974, "12": 0.2268, "18": 0.0928}}, "completeness": "modeled_components_only", "position_comparison": {"rank": 31, "percentile": 27.38095238095238, "population": 42, "gap_to_position_median": -2.1786175000000014}, "unsupported_components": ["two_point_conversions", "fumbles_lost"]}
- Explanation Json
- {"short": "6.8 carries and 2.1 targets; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown.", "drivers": ["6.8 carries and 2.1 targets", "26% chance of 1+ relevant TD", "receptions add 1.0 points each", "thin-history fallback widens uncertainty", "availability unknown"], "causal_boundary": "P10 football draws include only versioned, holdout-validated signal effects. Madden/PCA remains context only.", "historical_2025": null}
- Lineage Json
- {"model_version": "nfl_p11a_forward_fantasy_v1", "scoring_version": "pardonme_fantasy_v1", "p10_content_hash": "b6bd34775a72de1fb921ef48fc3f30aeda7b497dbcbe60bd74db75559ba3eaed", "p10_model_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1", "draw_transformation": "exact deterministic P10 draws scored component-wise", "p10_reproducibility": {"seed": 106600120, "method": "empirical total opportunities centered on read-only P5; beta-binomial carry/target, catch and TD allocation; conditional empirical yards-per-carry and yards-per-reception", "simulations": 20000, "source_hash": "e3cce0fa383d44181eb1c4945f2dd641aa536745f98aa7f184af2f667e00e898", "interval_level": 0.8, "football_signals": {"changes": {"carries": -1.1892836723545004, "targets": -0.2557446358745058}, "version": "nfl_p10_football_signals_v1", "features": {"wopr3": 0.08949126007342481, "targets3": 1.0, "snap_last": 0.3, "air_share3": 0.0313373043065732, "snap_mean3": 0.17666666666666667, "carry_share3": 0.14616755793226385, "own_carries8": 23.625, "own_rush_ypc8": 4.285714285714286, "target_share3": 0.03002450980392157, "own_sack_rate8": 0.07669616519174041, "air_per_target3": 4.5, "role_continuity": 1.0, "opponent_carries8": 29.625, "opponent_rush_ypc8": 4.518987341772152, "opportunity_share3": 0.18070652173913043, "opponent_sack_rate8": 0.08098591549295775}, "model_keys": ["role_RB_carries", "role_RB_targets"], "target_week": 10, "feature_hash": "b71316ec2528a54bd1a567e97321364001c273a74478396c673fc816998e882f", "artifact_hash": "abe5a601293374a3b9ce2e82747d93685f38da588d2c76877a5ff3e28360ee8b", "target_season": 2026, "missing_policy": "retain baseline for unsupported signal", "baseline_version": "nfl_p10b_rb_empirical_v3", "strict_prior_week": true, "historical_validation": "2013-2022 fit; 2023 tuning; 2024-2025 final proxy-centered draw holdout"}, "frozen_parameters": {"era_seasons": 3, "rush_td_prior_carries": 500, "catch_rate_prior_targets": 50, "opportunity_mixture_games": 4, "receiving_td_prior_targets": 100, "rush_empirical_blend_weight": 0.5, "rush_efficiency_prior_carries": 200, "carry_share_prior_opportunities": 50, "receiving_empirical_blend_weight": 0.25, "receiving_efficiency_prior_receptions": 100}, "parameter_training_cutoff": 2023}, "source_manifest_hash": "4c45a50dbb6e7865acd1d113afeec55f390f6b9ea36095678d6ef5f1319257e5", "unsupported_components": ["two_point_conversions", "fumbles_lost"]}
- Content Hash
- 444cef8e1fce4bca861726e8bac68cfa8f8d5e72b7a997552c0fb991dde926b8
- Observed At
- 2026-11-15 10:45:02
- Generated At
- 2026-11-15 11:42:43
- Published At
- 2026-11-15 11:42:43
- Projection
- State
- fallback
- Summary
- Mean
- 8.21228
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6
- Ceiling
- 17.4
- Draw Count
- 20000
- Interval 80
- Lower
- 1.9
- Upper
- 17.4
- Floor Definition
- 10th percentile
- Ceiling Definition
- 90th percentile
- Threshold Probabilities
- 8
- 0.3974
- 12
- 0.2268
- 18
- 0.0928
- Completeness
- modeled_components_only
- Position Comparison
- Rank
- 31
- Percentile
- 27.380952380952
- Population
- 42
- Gap To Position Median
- -2.1786175
- Unsupported Components
- 0
- two_point_conversions
- 1
- fumbles_lost
- Explanation
- Short
- 6.8 carries and 2.1 targets; 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD; receptions add 1.0 points each; thin-history fallback widens uncertainty; availability unknown.
- Drivers
- 0
- 6.8 carries and 2.1 targets
- 1
- 26% chance of 1+ relevant TD
- 2
- receptions add 1.0 points each
- 3
- thin-history fallback widens uncertainty
- 4
- availability unknown
- Causal Boundary
- P10 football draws include only versioned, holdout-validated signal effects. Madden/PCA remains context only.
- Historical 2025
- —
- Lineage
- Model Version
- nfl_p11a_forward_fantasy_v1
- Scoring Version
- pardonme_fantasy_v1
- P10 Content Hash
- b6bd34775a72de1fb921ef48fc3f30aeda7b497dbcbe60bd74db75559ba3eaed
- P10 Model Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_signals_v1
- Draw Transformation
- exact deterministic P10 draws scored component-wise
- P10 Reproducibility
- Seed
- 106600120
- Method
- empirical total opportunities centered on read-only P5; beta-binomial carry/target, catch and TD allocation; conditional empirical yards-per-carry and yards-per-reception
- Simulations
- 20000
- Source Hash
- e3cce0fa383d44181eb1c4945f2dd641aa536745f98aa7f184af2f667e00e898
- Interval Level
- 0.8
- Football Signals
- Changes
- Carries
- -1.1892836723545
- Targets
- -0.25574463587451
- Version
- nfl_p10_football_signals_v1
- Features
- Wopr3
- 0.089491260073425
- Targets3
- 1
- Snap Last
- 0.3
- Air Share3
- 0.031337304306573
- Snap Mean3
- 0.17666666666667
- Carry Share3
- 0.14616755793226
- Own Carries8
- 23.625
- Own Rush Ypc8
- 4.2857142857143
- Target Share3
- 0.030024509803922
- Own Sack Rate8
- 0.07669616519174
- Air Per Target3
- 4.5
- Role Continuity
- 1
- Opponent Carries8
- 29.625
- Opponent Rush Ypc8
- 4.5189873417722
- Opportunity Share3
- 0.18070652173913
- Opponent Sack Rate8
- 0.080985915492958
- Model Keys
- 0
- role_RB_carries
- 1
- role_RB_targets
- Target Week
- 10
- Feature Hash
- b71316ec2528a54bd1a567e97321364001c273a74478396c673fc816998e882f
- Artifact Hash
- abe5a601293374a3b9ce2e82747d93685f38da588d2c76877a5ff3e28360ee8b
- Target Season
- 2026
- Missing Policy
- retain baseline for unsupported signal
- Baseline Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_empirical_v3
- Strict Prior Week
- 1
- Historical Validation
- 2013-2022 fit; 2023 tuning; 2024-2025 final proxy-centered draw holdout
- Frozen Parameters
- Era Seasons
- 3
- Rush Td Prior Carries
- 500
- Catch Rate Prior Targets
- 50
- Opportunity Mixture Games
- 4
- Receiving Td Prior Targets
- 100
- Rush Empirical Blend Weight
- 0.5
- Rush Efficiency Prior Carries
- 200
- Carry Share Prior Opportunities
- 50
- Receiving Empirical Blend Weight
- 0.25
- Receiving Efficiency Prior Receptions
- 100
- Parameter Training Cutoff
- 2023
- Source Manifest Hash
- 4c45a50dbb6e7865acd1d113afeec55f390f6b9ea36095678d6ef5f1319257e5
- Unsupported Components
- 0
- two_point_conversions
- 1
- fumbles_lost
Historical fantasy
PardonMe-derived scoring and usage are not official NFL statistics. Historical floor, ceiling and consistency are backward-looking; rolling, trailing and qualified position comparisons use prior weeks only.
2024 · Standard · 4.5 points · 1.5 PPG
- Player Id
- 369
- Season Year
- 2024
- Scoring System Code
- standard
- Position Code
- RB
- Total Points
- 4.500
- Points Per Game
- 1.500
- Games With Coverage
- 3
- Coverage State
- observed_games_only
- Position Finish
- 89
- Overall Finish
- 384
- Summary Json
- {"boom_rate": "0.000000", "bust_rate": "1.000000", "volatility": "1.883", "floor_points": "0.200", "median_points": "0.700", "ceiling_points": "2.400", "top12_week_rate": "0.000000", "top24_week_rate": "0.000000", "expected_team_games": 17}
- Source Manifest Hash
- 14bae780f725c5d470662080a4d0ca3f63fc244bd7794cf2e0ac1b4afdb4378f
- Methodology Version
- nfl_fantasy_season_v1
- Last Published At
- 2026-07-29 22:49:07
- Summary
- Boom Rate
- 0.000000
- Bust Rate
- 1.000000
- Volatility
- 1.883
- Floor Points
- 0.200
- Median Points
- 0.700
- Ceiling Points
- 2.400
- Top12 Week Rate
- 0.000000
- Top24 Week Rate
- 0.000000
- Expected Team Games
- 17
2024 · Half-PPR · 6.0 points · 2.0 PPG
- Player Id
- 369
- Season Year
- 2024
- Scoring System Code
- half_ppr
- Position Code
- RB
- Total Points
- 6.000
- Points Per Game
- 2.000
- Games With Coverage
- 3
- Coverage State
- observed_games_only
- Position Finish
- 89
- Overall Finish
- 388
- Summary Json
- {"boom_rate": "0.000000", "bust_rate": "1.000000", "volatility": "2.578", "floor_points": "0.200", "median_points": "0.700", "ceiling_points": "3.150", "top12_week_rate": "0.000000", "top24_week_rate": "0.000000", "expected_team_games": 17}
- Source Manifest Hash
- f9c593f525d40365a7bc34cd5b1715272fa28edc9096b68edcf7c3222eca678b
- Methodology Version
- nfl_fantasy_season_v1
- Last Published At
- 2026-07-29 22:49:07
- Summary
- Boom Rate
- 0.000000
- Bust Rate
- 1.000000
- Volatility
- 2.578
- Floor Points
- 0.200
- Median Points
- 0.700
- Ceiling Points
- 3.150
- Top12 Week Rate
- 0.000000
- Top24 Week Rate
- 0.000000
- Expected Team Games
- 17
2024 · Full-PPR · 7.5 points · 2.5 PPG
- Player Id
- 369
- Season Year
- 2024
- Scoring System Code
- full_ppr
- Position Code
- RB
- Total Points
- 7.500
- Points Per Game
- 2.500
- Games With Coverage
- 3
- Coverage State
- observed_games_only
- Position Finish
- 88
- Overall Finish
- 383
- Summary Json
- {"boom_rate": "0.000000", "bust_rate": "1.000000", "volatility": "3.278", "floor_points": "0.200", "median_points": "0.700", "ceiling_points": "3.900", "top12_week_rate": "0.000000", "top24_week_rate": "0.000000", "expected_team_games": 17}
- Source Manifest Hash
- 2dd002bd5c66f8b9e66d4cf3ce08fc1da8236a3f2209405cae853a00579838f4
- Methodology Version
- nfl_fantasy_season_v1
- Last Published At
- 2026-07-29 22:49:07
- Summary
- Boom Rate
- 0.000000
- Bust Rate
- 1.000000
- Volatility
- 3.278
- Floor Points
- 0.200
- Median Points
- 0.700
- Ceiling Points
- 3.900
- Top12 Week Rate
- 0.000000
- Top24 Week Rate
- 0.000000
- Expected Team Games
- 17
2024 Week 14 · -0.3 derived points · complete
Usage, rates, shares and comparisons
- Usage
- Wopr
- —
- Carries
- 1.000
- Targets
- 0.000
- Air Yards
- 0.000
- Receptions
- 0.000
- Target Share
- —
- Opponent Abbr
- PHI
- Position Code
- RB
- Air Yards Share
- —
- Total Opportunities
- 1.000
- Features
- Freshness Weeks
- 1
- Trailing 3 Wopr
- 0.095791
- Recent Volatility
- 3.200
- Trailing 3 Carries
- 8.000
- Trailing 3 Targets
- 3.000
- Previous Game Points
- 7.100
- Trailing 3 Points Avg
- 3.900
- Trailing 3 Receptions
- 3.000
- Trailing 5 Points Avg
- 3.900
- Trailing 3 Target Share
- 0.073171
- Trailing 3 Opportunities
- 11.000
- Games With Valid Coverage
- 2
- Season To Date Points Avg
- 3.900
- Trailing 3 Air Yards Share
- -0.019950
- Season To Date Opportunities
- 11.000
- Position Percentile
- 22.7273
- Position Zscore
- -0.867859
- Sample Size
- 55
- Minimum Sample Qualified
- 1
2024 Week 13 · 7.1 derived points · complete
Usage, rates, shares and comparisons
- Usage
- Wopr
- 0.095791
- Carries
- 6.000
- Targets
- 3.000
- Air Yards
- -8.000
- Receptions
- 3.000
- Target Share
- 0.073171
- Opponent Abbr
- TB
- Position Code
- RB
- Air Yards Share
- -0.019950
- Total Opportunities
- 9.000
- Features
- Freshness Weeks
- 1
- Trailing 3 Wopr
- —
- Recent Volatility
- —
- Trailing 3 Carries
- 2.000
- Trailing 3 Targets
- 0.000
- Previous Game Points
- 0.700
- Trailing 3 Points Avg
- 0.700
- Trailing 3 Receptions
- 0.000
- Trailing 5 Points Avg
- 0.700
- Trailing 3 Target Share
- —
- Trailing 3 Opportunities
- 2.000
- Games With Valid Coverage
- 1
- Season To Date Points Avg
- 0.700
- Trailing 3 Air Yards Share
- —
- Season To Date Opportunities
- 2.000
- Position Percentile
- 0.7353
- Position Zscore
- -1.532260
- Sample Size
- 68
- Minimum Sample Qualified
- 1
2024 Week 12 · 0.7 derived points · complete
Usage, rates, shares and comparisons
- Usage
- Wopr
- —
- Carries
- 2.000
- Targets
- 0.000
- Air Yards
- 0.000
- Receptions
- 0.000
- Target Share
- —
- Opponent Abbr
- KC
- Position Code
- RB
- Air Yards Share
- —
- Total Opportunities
- 2.000
- Features
- Freshness Weeks
- —
- Trailing 3 Wopr
- —
- Recent Volatility
- —
- Trailing 3 Carries
- —
- Trailing 3 Targets
- —
- Previous Game Points
- —
- Trailing 3 Points Avg
- —
- Trailing 3 Receptions
- —
- Trailing 5 Points Avg
- —
- Trailing 3 Target Share
- —
- Trailing 3 Opportunities
- —
- Games With Valid Coverage
- 0
- Season To Date Points Avg
- —
- Trailing 3 Air Yards Share
- —
- Season To Date Opportunities
- —
- Position Percentile
- —
- Position Zscore
- —
- Sample Size
- —
- Minimum Sample Qualified
- —
Madden
76EA OVR
madden-26 · Observed: 2026-09-10 · Team: Carolina Panthers
EA ratings are supplied by EA; no presentation tiers are used.
Key attributes
Speed90
Acceleration91
Carrying91
Change Of Direction88
Break Tackle79
Awareness68
EA rating history
madden-26 · 76 OVR · Team unknown
- Provider
- ea
- Provider Player Id
- 14621
- Game Version
- madden-26
- Player Id
- 369
- Display Name
- Jonathon Brooks
- Ratings Observed Date
- 2026-09-10
- Team Id
- —
- Team Name
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Jersey Number
- 24
- Overall Rating
- 76
- Attributes Json
- {"press": 25, "speed": 90, "injury": 82, "tackle": 38, "agility": 90, "jumping": 85, "overall": 76, "pursuit": 41, "release": 56, "stamina": 82, "bCVision": 82, "carrying": 91, "catching": 65, "hitPower": 34, "jukeMove": 84, "runBlock": 32, "spinMove": 77, "stiffArm": 78, "strength": 70, "trucking": 81, "awareness": 68, "breakSack": 25, "kickPower": 28, "leadBlock": 31, "passBlock": 54, "toughness": 86, "kickReturn": 40, "playAction": 15, "powerMoves": 10, "throwPower": 23, "breakTackle": 79, "manCoverage": 23, "acceleration": 91, "finesseMoves": 10, "kickAccuracy": 22, "runningStyle": "Default", "zoneCoverage": 30, "blockShedding": 35, "runBlockPower": 21, "throwOnTheRun": 20, "catchInTraffic": 50, "impactBlocking": 36, "passBlockPower": 43, "playRecognition": 30, "runBlockFinesse": 26, "deepRouteRunning": 51, "passBlockFinesse": 39, "spectacularCatch": 50, "throwAccuracyMid": 15, "changeOfDirection": 88, "shortRouteRunning": 65, "throwAccuracyDeep": 10, "mediumRouteRunning": 58, "throwAccuracyShort": 20, "throwUnderPressure": 18}
- Avatar Url
- https://ratings-images-prod.pulse.ea.com/madden-nfl-26/portraits/10022.png?im=FaceCrop,padding=0.7
- Resolution State
- high_confidence_auto_match
- Confidence Score
- 100.000
- Source Hash
- 94cb465a6ab84fd3a34a09a0cc7fa7f11b481109c193681b8a8534958eee4819
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-01 00:52:24
- Last Published At
- 2026-09-10 11:15:34
madden-26 · 76 OVR · Team unknown
- Provider
- ea
- Provider Player Id
- 14621
- Game Version
- madden-26
- Player Id
- 369
- Display Name
- Jonathon Brooks
- Ratings Observed Date
- 2026-09-03
- Team Id
- —
- Team Name
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Jersey Number
- 24
- Overall Rating
- 76
- Attributes Json
- {"press": 25, "speed": 90, "injury": 82, "tackle": 38, "agility": 90, "jumping": 85, "overall": 76, "pursuit": 41, "release": 56, "stamina": 82, "bCVision": 82, "carrying": 91, "catching": 65, "hitPower": 34, "jukeMove": 84, "runBlock": 32, "spinMove": 77, "stiffArm": 78, "strength": 70, "trucking": 81, "awareness": 68, "breakSack": 25, "kickPower": 28, "leadBlock": 31, "passBlock": 54, "toughness": 86, "kickReturn": 40, "playAction": 15, "powerMoves": 10, "throwPower": 23, "breakTackle": 79, "manCoverage": 23, "acceleration": 91, "finesseMoves": 10, "kickAccuracy": 22, "runningStyle": "Default", "zoneCoverage": 30, "blockShedding": 35, "runBlockPower": 21, "throwOnTheRun": 20, "catchInTraffic": 50, "impactBlocking": 36, "passBlockPower": 43, "playRecognition": 30, "runBlockFinesse": 26, "deepRouteRunning": 51, "passBlockFinesse": 39, "spectacularCatch": 50, "throwAccuracyMid": 15, "changeOfDirection": 88, "shortRouteRunning": 65, "throwAccuracyDeep": 10, "mediumRouteRunning": 58, "throwAccuracyShort": 20, "throwUnderPressure": 18}
- Avatar Url
- https://ratings-images-prod.pulse.ea.com/madden-nfl-26/portraits/10022.png?im=FaceCrop,padding=0.7
- Resolution State
- high_confidence_auto_match
- Confidence Score
- 100.000
- Source Hash
- 94cb465a6ab84fd3a34a09a0cc7fa7f11b481109c193681b8a8534958eee4819
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-01 00:52:24
- Last Published At
- 2026-09-03 11:15:19
madden-26 · 76 OVR · Team unknown
- Provider
- ea
- Provider Player Id
- 14621
- Game Version
- madden-26
- Player Id
- 369
- Display Name
- Jonathon Brooks
- Ratings Observed Date
- 2026-08-27
- Team Id
- —
- Team Name
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Jersey Number
- 24
- Overall Rating
- 76
- Attributes Json
- {"press": 25, "speed": 90, "injury": 82, "tackle": 38, "agility": 90, "jumping": 85, "overall": 76, "pursuit": 41, "release": 56, "stamina": 82, "bCVision": 82, "carrying": 91, "catching": 65, "hitPower": 34, "jukeMove": 84, "runBlock": 32, "spinMove": 77, "stiffArm": 78, "strength": 70, "trucking": 81, "awareness": 68, "breakSack": 25, "kickPower": 28, "leadBlock": 31, "passBlock": 54, "toughness": 86, "kickReturn": 40, "playAction": 15, "powerMoves": 10, "throwPower": 23, "breakTackle": 79, "manCoverage": 23, "acceleration": 91, "finesseMoves": 10, "kickAccuracy": 22, "runningStyle": "Default", "zoneCoverage": 30, "blockShedding": 35, "runBlockPower": 21, "throwOnTheRun": 20, "catchInTraffic": 50, "impactBlocking": 36, "passBlockPower": 43, "playRecognition": 30, "runBlockFinesse": 26, "deepRouteRunning": 51, "passBlockFinesse": 39, "spectacularCatch": 50, "throwAccuracyMid": 15, "changeOfDirection": 88, "shortRouteRunning": 65, "throwAccuracyDeep": 10, "mediumRouteRunning": 58, "throwAccuracyShort": 20, "throwUnderPressure": 18}
- Avatar Url
- https://ratings-images-prod.pulse.ea.com/madden-nfl-26/portraits/10022.png?im=FaceCrop,padding=0.7
- Resolution State
- high_confidence_auto_match
- Confidence Score
- 100.000
- Source Hash
- 94cb465a6ab84fd3a34a09a0cc7fa7f11b481109c193681b8a8534958eee4819
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-01 00:52:24
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-27 11:15:32
madden-26 · 76 OVR · Team unknown
- Provider
- ea
- Provider Player Id
- 14621
- Game Version
- madden-26
- Player Id
- 369
- Display Name
- Jonathon Brooks
- Ratings Observed Date
- 2026-08-20
- Team Id
- —
- Team Name
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Jersey Number
- 24
- Overall Rating
- 76
- Attributes Json
- {"press": 25, "speed": 90, "injury": 82, "tackle": 38, "agility": 90, "jumping": 85, "overall": 76, "pursuit": 41, "release": 56, "stamina": 82, "bCVision": 82, "carrying": 91, "catching": 65, "hitPower": 34, "jukeMove": 84, "runBlock": 32, "spinMove": 77, "stiffArm": 78, "strength": 70, "trucking": 81, "awareness": 68, "breakSack": 25, "kickPower": 28, "leadBlock": 31, "passBlock": 54, "toughness": 86, "kickReturn": 40, "playAction": 15, "powerMoves": 10, "throwPower": 23, "breakTackle": 79, "manCoverage": 23, "acceleration": 91, "finesseMoves": 10, "kickAccuracy": 22, "runningStyle": "Default", "zoneCoverage": 30, "blockShedding": 35, "runBlockPower": 21, "throwOnTheRun": 20, "catchInTraffic": 50, "impactBlocking": 36, "passBlockPower": 43, "playRecognition": 30, "runBlockFinesse": 26, "deepRouteRunning": 51, "passBlockFinesse": 39, "spectacularCatch": 50, "throwAccuracyMid": 15, "changeOfDirection": 88, "shortRouteRunning": 65, "throwAccuracyDeep": 10, "mediumRouteRunning": 58, "throwAccuracyShort": 20, "throwUnderPressure": 18}
- Avatar Url
- https://ratings-images-prod.pulse.ea.com/madden-nfl-26/portraits/10022.png?im=FaceCrop,padding=0.7
- Resolution State
- high_confidence_auto_match
- Confidence Score
- 100.000
- Source Hash
- 94cb465a6ab84fd3a34a09a0cc7fa7f11b481109c193681b8a8534958eee4819
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-01 00:52:24
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-21 11:15:30
madden-26 · 76 OVR · Team unknown
- Provider
- ea
- Provider Player Id
- 14621
- Game Version
- madden-26
- Player Id
- 369
- Display Name
- Jonathon Brooks
- Ratings Observed Date
- 2026-07-31
- Team Id
- —
- Team Name
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Jersey Number
- 24
- Overall Rating
- 76
- Attributes Json
- {"press": 25, "speed": 90, "injury": 82, "tackle": 38, "agility": 90, "jumping": 85, "overall": 76, "pursuit": 41, "release": 56, "stamina": 82, "bCVision": 82, "carrying": 91, "catching": 65, "hitPower": 34, "jukeMove": 84, "runBlock": 32, "spinMove": 77, "stiffArm": 78, "strength": 70, "trucking": 81, "awareness": 68, "breakSack": 25, "kickPower": 28, "leadBlock": 31, "passBlock": 54, "toughness": 86, "kickReturn": 40, "playAction": 15, "powerMoves": 10, "throwPower": 23, "breakTackle": 79, "manCoverage": 23, "acceleration": 91, "finesseMoves": 10, "kickAccuracy": 22, "runningStyle": "Default", "zoneCoverage": 30, "blockShedding": 35, "runBlockPower": 21, "throwOnTheRun": 20, "catchInTraffic": 50, "impactBlocking": 36, "passBlockPower": 43, "playRecognition": 30, "runBlockFinesse": 26, "deepRouteRunning": 51, "passBlockFinesse": 39, "spectacularCatch": 50, "throwAccuracyMid": 15, "changeOfDirection": 88, "shortRouteRunning": 65, "throwAccuracyDeep": 10, "mediumRouteRunning": 58, "throwAccuracyShort": 20, "throwUnderPressure": 18}
- Avatar Url
- https://ratings-images-prod.pulse.ea.com/madden-nfl-26/portraits/10022.png?im=FaceCrop,padding=0.7
- Resolution State
- high_confidence_auto_match
- Confidence Score
- 100.000
- Source Hash
- 94cb465a6ab84fd3a34a09a0cc7fa7f11b481109c193681b8a8534958eee4819
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-01 00:52:24
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-01 00:55:19
madden-26 · 76 OVR · Team unknown
- Provider
- ea
- Provider Player Id
- 14621
- Game Version
- madden-26
- Player Id
- 369
- Display Name
- Jonathon Brooks
- Ratings Observed Date
- 2026-07-23
- Team Id
- —
- Team Name
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Jersey Number
- 24
- Overall Rating
- 76
- Attributes Json
- {"press": 25, "speed": 90, "injury": 82, "tackle": 38, "agility": 90, "jumping": 85, "overall": 76, "pursuit": 41, "release": 56, "stamina": 82, "bCVision": 82, "carrying": 91, "catching": 65, "hitPower": 34, "jukeMove": 84, "runBlock": 32, "spinMove": 77, "stiffArm": 78, "strength": 70, "trucking": 81, "awareness": 68, "breakSack": 25, "kickPower": 28, "leadBlock": 31, "passBlock": 54, "toughness": 86, "kickReturn": 40, "playAction": 15, "powerMoves": 10, "throwPower": 23, "breakTackle": 79, "manCoverage": 23, "acceleration": 91, "finesseMoves": 10, "kickAccuracy": 22, "runningStyle": "Default", "zoneCoverage": 30, "blockShedding": 35, "runBlockPower": 21, "throwOnTheRun": 20, "catchInTraffic": 50, "impactBlocking": 36, "passBlockPower": 43, "playRecognition": 30, "runBlockFinesse": 26, "deepRouteRunning": 51, "passBlockFinesse": 39, "spectacularCatch": 50, "throwAccuracyMid": 15, "changeOfDirection": 88, "shortRouteRunning": 65, "throwAccuracyDeep": 10, "mediumRouteRunning": 58, "throwAccuracyShort": 20, "throwUnderPressure": 18}
- Avatar Url
- https://ratings-images-prod.pulse.ea.com/madden-nfl-26/portraits/10022.png?im=FaceCrop,padding=0.7
- Resolution State
- high_confidence_auto_match
- Confidence Score
- 100.000
- Source Hash
- 94cb465a6ab84fd3a34a09a0cc7fa7f11b481109c193681b8a8534958eee4819
- Source Observed At
- 2026-07-23 19:03:09
- Last Published At
- 2026-07-24 23:34:22
Career
Coverage: 2024–2024
Team history
2026 · CAR · RB · #25
- Player Id
- 369
- Season Year
- 2026
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Position Code
- RB
- Jersey Number
- 25
- Status Code
- RES
- First Week
- 1
- Last Week
- 9
- Source
- nflverse
- Source Hash
- 16e75ec17b6652ca426dadcd7629a1d338ecb5d2d85c069414f7c1fa4f7c0c8b
- Source Observed At
- 2026-11-10 12:15:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-10-15 11:15:38
2025 · CAR · RB · #24
- Player Id
- 369
- Season Year
- 2025
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Position Code
- RB
- Jersey Number
- 24
- Status Code
- RES
- First Week
- 1
- Last Week
- 19
- Source
- nflverse
- Source Hash
- 44d915b1f1dbb527d8a9f40c20cb4946dfe328c9233bbb0938daf8cac0713178
- Source Observed At
- 2026-07-24 23:15:05
- Last Published At
- 2026-07-24 23:34:22
2024 · CAR · RB · #24
- Player Id
- 369
- Season Year
- 2024
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Position Code
- RB
- Jersey Number
- 24
- Status Code
- RES
- First Week
- 1
- Last Week
- 18
- Source
- nflverse
- Source Hash
- 1437ba72e771f7a1ae128728c30c7aa16dedda6cfe025b5cd701d455865dfc03
- Source Observed At
- 2026-07-24 23:06:13
- Last Published At
- 2026-07-24 23:34:22
Role summaries
2026 · CAR · 0 supported starts
- Player Id
- 369
- Season Year
- 2026
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Games With Workload
- 8
- Supported Starts
- 0
- Primary Backup Games
- 0
- Rotational Games
- 2
- Avg Offense Pct
- 0.24500
- Avg Defense Pct
- 0.00000
- Avg Special Teams Pct
- 0.00000
- Latest Role
- unknown
- Latest Week
- 9
- Coverage State
- partial_depth
- Source Hash
- 824e92ddd478c8575864cfe973e9e53bd583e5ca33133f8c01467294b1a84d56
- Last Published At
- 2026-11-11 11:18:59
2025 · CAR · 0 supported starts
- Player Id
- 369
- Season Year
- 2025
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Games With Workload
- 18
- Supported Starts
- 0
- Primary Backup Games
- 0
- Rotational Games
- 0
- Avg Offense Pct
- —
- Avg Defense Pct
- —
- Avg Special Teams Pct
- —
- Latest Role
- unknown
- Latest Week
- 19
- Coverage State
- partial_depth
- Source Hash
- c8efa82ea379d0177ad18e4b488736945e68fc069608244c06121ddee4f125c4
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
2024 · CAR · 0 supported starts
- Player Id
- 369
- Season Year
- 2024
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Games With Workload
- 17
- Supported Starts
- 0
- Primary Backup Games
- 0
- Rotational Games
- 3
- Avg Offense Pct
- 0.11000
- Avg Defense Pct
- 0.00000
- Avg Special Teams Pct
- 0.00000
- Latest Role
- unknown
- Latest Week
- 18
- Coverage State
- partial_depth
- Source Hash
- c362917d60a05f412f51eb352865da3bfb99ec6baf99151acde7c4cefb069f25
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
Full role history
2026 Week 9 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2026
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 9
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- bb02d0bfb54f9a035b714745786fd090d0508afd305cc7ae0db052eff4770c93
- Source Observed At
- 2026-11-11 07:31:45
- Last Published At
- 2026-11-11 11:18:59
2026 Week 8 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2026
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 8
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- 2ade7aca2b2636bc4ee9d80c9345ac2368efef8a2d3abfa001bd4448b0a8a099
- Source Observed At
- 2026-11-04 07:31:28
- Last Published At
- 2026-11-04 11:18:21
2026 Week 7 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2026
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 7
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- f498c3132a2092d87a78270482b786f3d7c498ae064a891b8c9f2ef6e0013045
- Source Observed At
- 2026-10-28 07:30:52
- Last Published At
- 2026-10-28 11:19:27
2026 Week 6 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2026
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 6
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- 2dba6886b76e88d368d6143d62aa3321787938723ae0e2162b20f8840be42b00
- Source Observed At
- 2026-10-15 07:31:12
- Last Published At
- 2026-10-15 11:21:49
2026 Week 4 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2026
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 4
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- 2d199a997a957d50946d441feb53562f5a113e5943f39562dfb84a535bc19e20
- Source Observed At
- 2026-10-15 07:31:12
- Last Published At
- 2026-10-15 11:21:49
2026 Week 3 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2026
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 3
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- 60eeb0799b0138369b6b201cc7b8c3523110d950e21d8c0a1d7a61070f3f64e1
- Source Observed At
- 2026-10-15 07:31:12
- Last Published At
- 2026-10-15 11:21:49
2026 Week 2 · rotational · offense 30%
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2026
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 2
- Game Id
- 2026_02_CAR_ATL
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- rotational
- Starter State
- not_supported
- Offense Snaps
- 20
- Offense Pct
- 0.30000
- Defense Snaps
- 0
- Defense Pct
- 0.00000
- Special Teams Snaps
- 0
- Special Teams Pct
- 0.00000
- Confidence
- medium
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_and_snaps
- Warnings Json
- []
- Source Hash
- 600b04ecf152c210748aaa59b4fdf7857b2f7cd73e5d0bbdac0451a2bd2ddba9
- Source Observed At
- 2026-09-18 16:46:12
- Last Published At
- 2026-10-15 11:21:49
2026 Week 1 · rotational · offense 19%
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2026
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 1
- Game Id
- 2026_01_CHI_CAR
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- rotational
- Starter State
- not_supported
- Offense Snaps
- 13
- Offense Pct
- 0.19000
- Defense Snaps
- 0
- Defense Pct
- 0.00000
- Special Teams Snaps
- 0
- Special Teams Pct
- 0.00000
- Confidence
- medium
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_and_snaps
- Warnings Json
- []
- Source Hash
- 6d28340d68baafaa3f1363370c256f9807dd53a95db153af98de3de65a19621e
- Source Observed At
- 2026-09-16 16:27:46
- Last Published At
- 2026-10-15 11:21:49
2025 Week 19 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2025
- Season Type
- WC
- Week Number
- 19
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- ce8160b1b4bb9943e4226a726759bc76b4322a6d38883f664e9d62f07f132209
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-06 11:16:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
2025 Week 18 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2025
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 18
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- 8a3f7cabfcc37b70fc764eb818686feccd40afa9fb2e5956dd4da3a4f87fab05
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-06 11:16:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
2025 Week 17 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2025
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 17
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- f23de95b4d5a95164b44f3f6e72828376348d7f659b32274e06c49c164f9df38
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-06 11:16:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
2025 Week 16 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2025
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 16
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- 8f47a6dfafef41355adbdcea5e8674e54c33c9705184f894be015b0fe4500f50
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-06 11:16:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
2025 Week 15 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2025
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 15
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- 5ab2b614e28cc54e03ea875c3bff0994aceb17c67766e2562065b05a7eb524dd
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-06 11:16:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
2025 Week 13 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2025
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 13
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- 35835199b81c6bf8d97d54fee5d1785ba5a74cd1b5e590be550e7e3f2acf6e54
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-06 11:16:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
2025 Week 12 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2025
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 12
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- 650fc51e7d669f3dd1142f5f2ca0023fc5e7c4fd919baf85e50df068151624cb
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-06 11:16:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
2025 Week 11 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2025
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 11
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- 6d227952a53f74ee583f642bed8ddf033199a6bb1428c00638842e4b0f410677
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-06 11:16:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
2025 Week 10 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2025
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 10
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- 3d64b27d46b2c92281b6007fd748687db7431764307e632e4135e262eb045fc2
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-06 11:16:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
2025 Week 9 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2025
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 9
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- 3fd17ad1a03d3ca3c37c059642c8db2c0aa6396ce0432e3a7e7dc1c14365b9e5
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-06 11:16:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
2025 Week 8 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2025
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 8
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- 4fa36568648170762a24849e8ed3b3c3851df6bcb505de470de58846925dcb40
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-06 11:16:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
2025 Week 7 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2025
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 7
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- 30d64677b0f961bbe9141b4d8d97283311b14f87753542d0297a38c1e985dbe8
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-06 11:16:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
2025 Week 6 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2025
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 6
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- 9776be535963223447a418513bd900e7615ac6a49c6897905c057e6f6fc46449
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-06 11:16:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
2025 Week 5 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2025
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 5
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- 27fda5af8ea187f4f888d6d340c4006644d5fd97bdc0d04a01f0fdb30142b42b
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-06 11:16:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
2025 Week 4 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2025
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 4
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- f27a6e54894d39a9d831307a170ebe863007707b54ddd1306633a3fd0d4f6e95
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-06 11:16:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
2025 Week 3 · unknown · offense —
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Season Year
- 2025
- Season Type
- REG
- Week Number
- 3
- Game Id
- —
- Position Code
- RB
- Depth Position
- RB
- Formation
- —
- Depth Rank
- —
- Derived Role
- unknown
- Starter State
- unknown
- Offense Snaps
- —
- Offense Pct
- —
- Defense Snaps
- —
- Defense Pct
- —
- Special Teams Snaps
- —
- Special Teams Pct
- —
- Confidence
- low
- Evidence Completeness
- depth_only
- Warnings Json
- ["relevant_snap_percentage_unavailable", "no_positive_participation_evidence", "official_depth_only_no_snap_evidence"]
- Source Hash
- fb2bf625092360ea2be8b8dde8f5491cadeecb00a5daf49d5df67cdb1d2280bb
- Source Observed At
- 2026-08-06 11:16:26
- Last Published At
- 2026-08-06 11:17:12
More
Availability detail and history
Doubtful · current · reported 2026-11-15 10:45:02
Injury wording unavailable · prior factual role Unknown · prior-game snap share 0%
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Id
- 37
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 10
- Game Id
- 10660
- Headline
- Doubtful
- Canonical Status
- doubtful
- Practice Participation
- limited
- Game Designation
- doubtful
- Inactive Status
- unknown
- Reserve Status
- unknown
- Roster Status
- unknown
- Injury Wording
- —
- Illness Flag
- —
- Report At
- 2026-11-15 10:45:02
- Observed At
- 2026-11-15 10:45:02
- Source Owner
- CAR
- Source Url
- https://www.panthers.com/team/injury-report
- Freshness State
- current
- Conflict State
- none
- Unknown State
- 0
- Evidence Completeness
- partial
- Prior Role
- unknown
- Prior Snap Share
- 0.000000
- Trailing Snap Share
- 0.000000
- Evidence Json
- {"observation_ids": [604539, 604540]}
- Source Manifest Hash
- 5d49d27a209c3ec65dd22aba516339f96c92d561daff937cc4879fcf87f5daf1
- Derivation Version
- nfl_availability_episode_v4
- Source Published At
- 2026-11-15 11:21:53
- Last Published At
- 2026-11-15 11:21:53
Source: CAR
DOUBTFUL · 2026-11-15 10:45:02
- Availability Observation Id
- 604540
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Id
- 37
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 10
- Game Id
- 10660
- Observation Type
- game_designation
- Canonical Status
- doubtful
- Provider Status
- DOUBTFUL
- Practice Participation
- unknown
- Game Designation
- doubtful
- Inactive Status
- unknown
- Reserve Status
- unknown
- Roster Status
- unknown
- Injury Wording
- —
- Illness Flag
- —
- Source Owner
- CAR
- Source Url
- https://www.panthers.com/team/injury-report
- Source Published At
- —
- Observed At
- 2026-11-15 10:45:02
- Effective At
- 2026-11-15 10:45:02
- Ingested At
- 2026-11-15 10:46:10
- Verification State
- verified
- Evidence Completeness
- partial
- Warnings Json
- —
- Correction Of Observation Id
- —
- Source Hash
- e55a90efa40dab8dc7567718409cc0088853b9fb50a024747ad2ffb016a6298f
- Source Published To Serving At
- 2026-11-15 11:21:53
LIMITED · 2026-11-15 10:45:02
- Availability Observation Id
- 604539
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Id
- 37
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 10
- Game Id
- 10660
- Observation Type
- practice
- Canonical Status
- unknown
- Provider Status
- LIMITED
- Practice Participation
- limited
- Game Designation
- unknown
- Inactive Status
- unknown
- Reserve Status
- unknown
- Roster Status
- unknown
- Injury Wording
- —
- Illness Flag
- —
- Source Owner
- CAR
- Source Url
- https://www.panthers.com/team/injury-report
- Source Published At
- —
- Observed At
- 2026-11-15 10:45:02
- Effective At
- 2026-11-15 10:45:02
- Ingested At
- 2026-11-15 10:46:10
- Verification State
- verified
- Evidence Completeness
- partial
- Warnings Json
- —
- Correction Of Observation Id
- —
- Source Hash
- bcd8a66707b46a26bfd9a712026f25f67324993f7e8409b5a4890d56018001bf
- Source Published To Serving At
- 2026-11-15 11:21:53
DOUBTFUL · 2026-11-15 09:45:02
- Availability Observation Id
- 603935
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Id
- 37
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 10
- Game Id
- 10660
- Observation Type
- game_designation
- Canonical Status
- doubtful
- Provider Status
- DOUBTFUL
- Practice Participation
- unknown
- Game Designation
- doubtful
- Inactive Status
- unknown
- Reserve Status
- unknown
- Roster Status
- unknown
- Injury Wording
- —
- Illness Flag
- —
- Source Owner
- CAR
- Source Url
- https://www.panthers.com/team/injury-report
- Source Published At
- —
- Observed At
- 2026-11-15 09:45:02
- Effective At
- 2026-11-15 09:45:02
- Ingested At
- 2026-11-15 09:46:10
- Verification State
- verified
- Evidence Completeness
- partial
- Warnings Json
- —
- Correction Of Observation Id
- —
- Source Hash
- fdb6a70be71461fb7fea952b0dd90b4481e510513f71cd2b024538e52607f2a2
- Source Published To Serving At
- 2026-11-15 11:21:53
LIMITED · 2026-11-15 09:45:02
- Availability Observation Id
- 603934
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Id
- 37
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 10
- Game Id
- 10660
- Observation Type
- practice
- Canonical Status
- unknown
- Provider Status
- LIMITED
- Practice Participation
- limited
- Game Designation
- unknown
- Inactive Status
- unknown
- Reserve Status
- unknown
- Roster Status
- unknown
- Injury Wording
- —
- Illness Flag
- —
- Source Owner
- CAR
- Source Url
- https://www.panthers.com/team/injury-report
- Source Published At
- —
- Observed At
- 2026-11-15 09:45:02
- Effective At
- 2026-11-15 09:45:02
- Ingested At
- 2026-11-15 09:46:10
- Verification State
- verified
- Evidence Completeness
- partial
- Warnings Json
- —
- Correction Of Observation Id
- —
- Source Hash
- 9a00c57ac3cc82fbfd58661e5c055d751f29c1e2e0c7de2fa34f4aecd6a5e118
- Source Published To Serving At
- 2026-11-15 11:21:53
DOUBTFUL · 2026-11-15 08:45:02
- Availability Observation Id
- 603330
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Id
- 37
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 10
- Game Id
- 10660
- Observation Type
- game_designation
- Canonical Status
- doubtful
- Provider Status
- DOUBTFUL
- Practice Participation
- unknown
- Game Designation
- doubtful
- Inactive Status
- unknown
- Reserve Status
- unknown
- Roster Status
- unknown
- Injury Wording
- —
- Illness Flag
- —
- Source Owner
- CAR
- Source Url
- https://www.panthers.com/team/injury-report
- Source Published At
- —
- Observed At
- 2026-11-15 08:45:02
- Effective At
- 2026-11-15 08:45:02
- Ingested At
- 2026-11-15 08:45:53
- Verification State
- verified
- Evidence Completeness
- partial
- Warnings Json
- —
- Correction Of Observation Id
- —
- Source Hash
- d36af77048a7febb037c5a95ee25ce438cd4e597085f66f9cf965db80f19a461
- Source Published To Serving At
- 2026-11-15 11:21:53
LIMITED · 2026-11-15 08:45:02
- Availability Observation Id
- 603329
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Id
- 37
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 10
- Game Id
- 10660
- Observation Type
- practice
- Canonical Status
- unknown
- Provider Status
- LIMITED
- Practice Participation
- limited
- Game Designation
- unknown
- Inactive Status
- unknown
- Reserve Status
- unknown
- Roster Status
- unknown
- Injury Wording
- —
- Illness Flag
- —
- Source Owner
- CAR
- Source Url
- https://www.panthers.com/team/injury-report
- Source Published At
- —
- Observed At
- 2026-11-15 08:45:02
- Effective At
- 2026-11-15 08:45:02
- Ingested At
- 2026-11-15 08:45:53
- Verification State
- verified
- Evidence Completeness
- partial
- Warnings Json
- —
- Correction Of Observation Id
- —
- Source Hash
- 1f397e27ba84ba93e03a6119bd71c65aa623b113ba40d28f92dfc30e402b44f2
- Source Published To Serving At
- 2026-11-15 11:21:53
DOUBTFUL · 2026-11-15 07:45:02
- Availability Observation Id
- 602725
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Id
- 37
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 10
- Game Id
- 10660
- Observation Type
- game_designation
- Canonical Status
- doubtful
- Provider Status
- DOUBTFUL
- Practice Participation
- unknown
- Game Designation
- doubtful
- Inactive Status
- unknown
- Reserve Status
- unknown
- Roster Status
- unknown
- Injury Wording
- —
- Illness Flag
- —
- Source Owner
- CAR
- Source Url
- https://www.panthers.com/team/injury-report
- Source Published At
- —
- Observed At
- 2026-11-15 07:45:02
- Effective At
- 2026-11-15 07:45:02
- Ingested At
- 2026-11-15 07:46:09
- Verification State
- verified
- Evidence Completeness
- partial
- Warnings Json
- —
- Correction Of Observation Id
- —
- Source Hash
- 2e07a1ab36758e451f2911680239ebeb62a81409fcc6ed06779555b7718ddb08
- Source Published To Serving At
- 2026-11-15 11:21:53
LIMITED · 2026-11-15 07:45:02
- Availability Observation Id
- 602724
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Id
- 37
- Season Year
- 2026
- Week Number
- 10
- Game Id
- 10660
- Observation Type
- practice
- Canonical Status
- unknown
- Provider Status
- LIMITED
- Practice Participation
- limited
- Game Designation
- unknown
- Inactive Status
- unknown
- Reserve Status
- unknown
- Roster Status
- unknown
- Injury Wording
- —
- Illness Flag
- —
- Source Owner
- CAR
- Source Url
- https://www.panthers.com/team/injury-report
- Source Published At
- —
- Observed At
- 2026-11-15 07:45:02
- Effective At
- 2026-11-15 07:45:02
- Ingested At
- 2026-11-15 07:46:09
- Verification State
- verified
- Evidence Completeness
- partial
- Warnings Json
- —
- Correction Of Observation Id
- —
- Source Hash
- bd94635d891f2f153d398c6e5f7e9c95d83a2649462be0aa7b731322e6a0d5a2
- Source Published To Serving At
- 2026-11-15 11:21:53
Advanced distributions and matchup context
Backfield distribution
fallback_distribution. Suppressed or unavailable values are not projected as zero.
- Game Id
- 10524
- Player Id
- 369
- Team Id
- 37
- Opponent Team Id
- 38
- Position Code
- RB
- Model Version
- nfl_p10b_rb_empirical_v3
- Evidence Tier
- position_current_era_fallback
- Confidence
- Insufficient Evidence
- Distribution Json
- {"state": "fallback_distribution", "carries": {"mean": 10.40185, "median": 9.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 5.0, "upper": 18.0}}, "targets": {"mean": 2.8558, "median": 2.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 1.0, "upper": 6.0}}, "total_tds": {"mean": 0.4089, "median": 0.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 0.0, "upper": 1.0}, "probabilities": {"0": 0.67575, "1": 0.25255, "1+": 0.32425, "2+": 0.0717}}, "receptions": {"mean": 2.293, "median": 2.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 0.0, "upper": 5.0}}, "rushing_tds": {"mean": 0.32655, "median": 0.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 0.0, "upper": 1.0}, "probabilities": {"0": 0.731, "1": 0.2188, "1+": 0.269, "2+": 0.0502}}, "opportunities": {"mean": 13.25765, "median": 11.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 6.0, "upper": 23.0}}, "receiving_tds": {"mean": 0.08235, "median": 0.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 0.0, "upper": 0.0}, "probabilities": {"0": 0.9226, "1": 0.0727, "1+": 0.0774, "2+": 0.0047}}, "rushing_yards": {"mean": 43.2004, "median": 36.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 18.0, "upper": 76.0}}, "receiving_yards": {"mean": 17.15185, "median": 15.0, "interval_80": {"lower": 0.0, "upper": 37.0}}}
- Evidence Json
- {"current_truth": {"role": {"state": "supported", "depth_rank": 2, "source_hash": "bf4ed44f0fce5c16e8517f3ad269ac24a2eec001817d315c82ea48f67cda8fd7", "team_match_state": "matched"}, "availability": {"state": "unknown", "reason": "current_availability_unknown_projection_retained", "values": {"roster_status": "reserve_unknown", "reserve_status": "reserve_unknown", "inactive_status": "unknown", "canonical_status": "reserve_unknown", "game_designation": "unknown"}, "conflict_state": "none", "freshness_state": "stale", "game_scope_state": "old_or_unknown", "team_match_state": "matched", "serve_distribution": true}, "availability_source_manifest_hash": "509122860b5ec351f79996c13775fbc5bb41e0083c50ff5ca4d0c2f8045ba131"}, "individualized": false, "unknown_inputs": ["routes (not retained)", "historical snap share joined to nflverse player identity", "validated causal P9 run-defense coefficient", "multi-season red-zone/inside-10/inside-5 player opportunity", "true end-zone targets"], "fallback_reason": "insufficient_player_history", "player_rb_games": 1, "projection_basis": "model_imputed_baseline", "p9_run_environment": [{"run": {"edge": "mixed", "state": "supported", "defense": {"opponent_carries": 457.0, "opponent_rush_yards": 2287.0, "league_rank_low_is_best": 29, "yards_per_carry_allowed": 5.00437636761488}, "offense": {"carries": 461.0, "rush_yards": 1977.0, "yards_per_carry": 4.288503253796096, "league_rank_high_is_best": 19}, "denominator": "Retained player carries; rushing yards divided by carries", "league_medians": {"offense_yards_per_carry": 4.319816463259086, "defense_yards_per_carry_allowed": 4.29079863438525}}, "defense": "CHI", "offense": "CAR", "model_effect": "explanatory only; no validated causal coefficient"}], "meaningful_definition": ">=5 carries+targets and >=15% of team RB opportunities", "p5_opportunity_center": {"value": 12.988419856033, "contract": "accepted P5 external carries+targets center; read-only", "workload_target": "opportunities"}, "p9_scoring_opportunity_context": {"season": 2025, "model_effect": "none; retained one-season context is not used as an unvalidated multiplier", "inside_5_carries": 0, "red_zone_carries": 0, "red_zone_targets": 0, "inside_10_carries": 0, "true_end_zone_targets": "Unknown"}}
- Reproducibility Json
- {"seed": 105240120, "method": "empirical total opportunities centered on read-only P5; beta-binomial carry/target, catch and TD allocation; conditional empirical yards-per-carry and yards-per-reception", "simulations": 20000, "source_hash": "d3420a1fc87b5871c17ce5e6d7cb4450f6d1c71333ce5ed4ebf58b1daf037b26", "interval_level": 0.8, "frozen_parameters": {"era_seasons": 3, "rush_td_prior_carries": 500, "catch_rate_prior_targets": 50, "opportunity_mixture_games": 4, "receiving_td_prior_targets": 100, "rush_empirical_blend_weight": 0.5, "rush_efficiency_prior_carries": 200, "carry_share_prior_opportunities": 50, "receiving_empirical_blend_weight": 0.25, "receiving_efficiency_prior_receptions": 100}, "parameter_training_cutoff": 2023}
- Content Hash
- 71fc520471af39095e01f7fe2881c6ae709bb548f93c45fea8609615e76b59ba
- Observed At
- 2026-08-04 17:03:13
- Generated At
- 2026-08-04 17:03:13
- Published At
- 2026-09-08 01:32:16
- Team Abbr
- CAR
- Opponent Abbr
- CHI
- Distribution
- State
- fallback_distribution
- Carries
- Mean
- 10.40185
- Median
- 9
- Interval 80
- Lower
- 5
- Upper
- 18
- Targets
- Mean
- 2.8558
- Median
- 2
- Interval 80
- Lower
- 1
- Upper
- 6
- Total Tds
- Mean
- 0.4089
- Median
- 0
- Interval 80
- Lower
- 0
- Upper
- 1
- Probabilities
- 0
- 0.67575
- 1
- 0.25255
- 1+
- 0.32425
- 2+
- 0.0717
- Receptions
- Mean
- 2.293
- Median
- 2
- Interval 80
- Lower
- 0
- Upper
- 5
- Rushing Tds
- Mean
- 0.32655
- Median
- 0
- Interval 80
- Lower
- 0
- Upper
- 1
- Probabilities
- 0
- 0.731
- 1
- 0.2188
- 1+
- 0.269
- 2+
- 0.0502
- Opportunities
- Mean
- 13.25765
- Median
- 11
- Interval 80
- Lower
- 6
- Upper
- 23
- Receiving Tds
- Mean
- 0.08235
- Median
- 0
- Interval 80
- Lower
- 0
- Upper
- 0
- Probabilities
- 0
- 0.9226
- 1
- 0.0727
- 1+
- 0.0774
- 2+
- 0.0047
- Rushing Yards
- Mean
- 43.2004
- Median
- 36
- Interval 80
- Lower
- 18
- Upper
- 76
- Receiving Yards
- Mean
- 17.15185
- Median
- 15
- Interval 80
- Lower
- 0
- Upper
- 37
- Evidence
- Current Truth
- Role
- State
- supported
- Depth Rank
- 2
- Source Hash
- bf4ed44f0fce5c16e8517f3ad269ac24a2eec001817d315c82ea48f67cda8fd7
- Team Match State
- matched
- Availability
- State
- unknown
- Reason
- current_availability_unknown_projection_retained
- Values
- Roster Status
- reserve_unknown
- Reserve Status
- reserve_unknown
- Inactive Status
- unknown
- Canonical Status
- reserve_unknown
- Game Designation
- unknown
- Conflict State
- none
- Freshness State
- stale
- Game Scope State
- old_or_unknown
- Team Match State
- matched
- Serve Distribution
- 1
- Availability Source Manifest Hash
- 509122860b5ec351f79996c13775fbc5bb41e0083c50ff5ca4d0c2f8045ba131
- Individualized
- Unknown Inputs
- 0
- routes (not retained)
- 1
- historical snap share joined to nflverse player identity
- 2
- validated causal P9 run-defense coefficient
- 3
- multi-season red-zone/inside-10/inside-5 player opportunity
- 4
- true end-zone targets
- Fallback Reason
- insufficient_player_history
- Player Rb Games
- 1
- Projection Basis
- model_imputed_baseline
- P9 Run Environment
- 0
- Run
- Edge
- mixed
- State
- supported
- Defense
- Opponent Carries
- 457
- Opponent Rush Yards
- 2287
- League Rank Low Is Best
- 29
- Yards Per Carry Allowed
- 5.0043763676149
- Offense
- Carries
- 461
- Rush Yards
- 1977
- Yards Per Carry
- 4.2885032537961
- League Rank High Is Best
- 19
- Denominator
- Retained player carries; rushing yards divided by carries
- League Medians
- Offense Yards Per Carry
- 4.3198164632591
- Defense Yards Per Carry Allowed
- 4.2907986343852
- Defense
- CHI
- Offense
- CAR
- Model Effect
- explanatory only; no validated causal coefficient
- Meaningful Definition
- >=5 carries+targets and >=15% of team RB opportunities
- P5 Opportunity Center
- Value
- 12.988419856033
- Contract
- accepted P5 external carries+targets center; read-only
- Workload Target
- opportunities
- P9 Scoring Opportunity Context
- Season
- 2025
- Model Effect
- none; retained one-season context is not used as an unvalidated multiplier
- Inside 5 Carries
- 0
- Red Zone Carries
- 0
- Red Zone Targets
- 0
- Inside 10 Carries
- 0
- True End Zone Targets
- Unknown
- Reproducibility
- Seed
- 105240120
- Method
- empirical total opportunities centered on read-only P5; beta-binomial carry/target, catch and TD allocation; conditional empirical yards-per-carry and yards-per-reception
- Simulations
- 20000
- Source Hash
- d3420a1fc87b5871c17ce5e6d7cb4450f6d1c71333ce5ed4ebf58b1daf037b26
- Interval Level
- 0.8
- Frozen Parameters
- Era Seasons
- 3
- Rush Td Prior Carries
- 500
- Catch Rate Prior Targets
- 50
- Opportunity Mixture Games
- 4
- Receiving Td Prior Targets
- 100
- Rush Empirical Blend Weight
- 0.5
- Rush Efficiency Prior Carries
- 200
- Carry Share Prior Opportunities
- 50
- Receiving Empirical Blend Weight
- 0.25
- Receiving Efficiency Prior Receptions
- 100
- Parameter Training Cutoff
- 2023
Unit, passing and scoring context
- Unit Matchups
- Passing Matchups
- Scoring Opportunities
- Team
- Player
- Matchup Context
- State
- unknown
- Game Id
- 10660
- Position
- RB
- Role
- State
- supported_current_official_depth
- Label
- RB2
- Depth Rank
- 2
- Boundary
- Official depth is role context; it does not establish starter status, snap share or workload share.
- Availability
- State
- reserve_unknown
- Headline
- —
- Boundary
- Unknown, not-yet-available and reserve-unknown are not healthy, active, available or reduced-usage conclusions.
- Prior Role
- State
- available
- Offense Pct
- 0.3
- Derived Role
- rotational
- Evidence Label
- same_season_prior_week_observed_role
- Boundary
- Backward-looking observed workload does not establish current workload or starter status.
- Projection
- Basis
- evidence_backed_individualized_projection
- Boundary
- P9 matchup environments explain context only and do not change the accepted P5 player projection.
- Unit
- —
- Passing
- —
- Scoring Opportunity
- Player
- State
- unknown
- Reason
- No supported prior scoring-opportunity evidence
- Team Matchup
- State
- unknown
- Reason
- No supported prior team scoring-opportunity evidence
- Boundary
- Prior 2025 scoring-opportunity evidence is explanation only and does not change P5 or calculate touchdown probability.
- Individual Coverage
- unknown_team_environment_is_not_individual_coverage_evidence
- Replacement Effect
- unknown_not_inferred_from_depth_or_availability
- Primary Context
- 0
- run
- Broader Context
- 0
- passing
- Individual Blocking Assignment
- unknown_team_run_environment_is_not_individual_assignment_evidence
- Boundary
- Team run environment does not infer carry share, target share, starter status, snap share, blocking assignment or replacement effect.
These are explanation-only values. Pressure, individual assignments, coverage and replacement effects remain unavailable unless retained above.
Sources & Methodology
Official depth, provider box scores, governed fantasy serving, EA ratings, PardonMe projections, matchup context and market comparisons retain source lineage. Markets are not model inputs.
Methodology: P5 is read-only workload and fantasy serving. P10 distributions are independent, governed models. P9 context and Madden analysis explain rather than adjust them. Missing, insufficient, conflicting, stale, or unsupported evidence remains unavailable.
Provenance: nflverse season totals, provider game evidence, official availability/depth, EA ratings and dated observations are shown with their retained fields above.